Hawks vs. Heat, 3/6/23 NBA Prediction, Odds & Trends

Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Odds

Is the total for Monday night’s matchup between the Hawks and Heat at 7:30 p.m. ET set too high at 227 points?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

527 Atlanta Hawks (+3) at 528 Miami Heat (-3); o/u 227

7:30 p.m. ET, Monday, March 6, 2023

Miami-Dade Arena, Miami, FL

Hawks vs. Heat Public Betting Information

Our NBA Public Betting Information page shows that 66% of public bets are on the Heat in this contest. These public betting figures are subject to change, however, so be sure to click on the link provided to get the most up-to-date NBA public betting information.

Atlanta Hawks DFS Spin

Trae Young finished with a well-rounded line on Friday as he contributed 23 points (6-for-14 FGs), seven rebounds, 11 assists, two steals and three 3-pointers in a win over the Blazers. Trae’s shooting struggles have been on full display this season, but he looked like the former All-Star starter in the third quarter, when he hit three straight 3-pointers. He has hit more than three triples in a game only eight times this season, after doing it 30 times last year. His 30-point streak ended at two, but he was able to help Quin Snyder get his first win as head coach of the Hawks despite a slow start shooting the ball. Young has provided top-20 value since the All-Star break, which is more in line with where managers expected him to produce than how he has performed this season.

Miami Heat DFS Spin

Bam Adebayo shot 10-of-12 from the field and 10-of-12 from the foul line in Saturday's 117-109 win over the Hawks, scoring 30 points with 11 rebounds, five assists, one steal, and two blocks in 35 minutes. One night removed from a pedestrian night by his lofty standards, Adebayo rebounded in the second game of Miami's home back-to-back. Not only was this his first double-double since the Heat's final game before the All-Star break, it was also Bam's first game with 30 points or more since February 8 vs. Indiana. Bam's only providing 14th-round, per-game value over the last two weeks, but there isn't much to worry about there. Miami plays four games in Week 20, beginning with a rematch with the Hawks Monday night.

Hawks vs. Heat NBA Betting Trends

Hawks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games

Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall

Heat are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall

Hawks vs. Heat NBA Prediction:

The under is 47-23 in the last 70 meetings between these two teams and is 36-15 in the last 51 meetings in Miami. The under is also 38-18 in the Hawks’ last 56 games versus a team with a winning record, is 9-4 in their last 13 games coming off an ATS loss and is 6-2 in their last eight games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. On the other side, the under is 4-1 in the Heat’s last five games overall, is 8-3 in their last 11 home games and is 16-5 in their last 21 games coming off a win.

NBA BETTING PREDICTION: HAWKS/HEAT UNDER 227