Suns vs. Mavericks 3/5/23 NBA Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

Suns vs. Mavericks Prediction & Odds

The fourth-seeded Phoenix Suns head to Dallas to take on the sixth-seeded Mavericks on ABC Sunday afternoon at 1:00 PM ET. Can the Mavericks cover the 1.5-point spread as home favorites?

The Phoenix Suns are 35-29 on the season. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Suns are 34-28-2 ATS on the year.

The Dallas Mavericks are 33-31 on the season. They’re 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Mavericks are 23-38-3 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

501 Phoenix Suns (+1.5) at 502 Dallas Mavericks (-1.5); O/U 232.5

1:00 PM ET, Sunday, March 5, 2023

American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Suns vs. Mavericks Public Betting Information

Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 72% of public bettors are currently backing the Suns +1.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.

Phoenix Suns DFS Spin

Suns center Deandre Ayton is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the Mavericks with a knee injury. Ayton is averaging 18.5 points and 10.4 rebounds per game for Phoenix this year. His status is worth monitoring up to game time.

The Suns traded for star forward Kevin Durant at the trade deadline, and he’s averaged 21.5 points per game in the two contests he’s played in for Phoenix this month. If Deandre Ayton doesn’t play, Durant might be asked to rebound a bit more, and he may top his season average of 6.8 boards per game. He could be worth a look in DFS on Sunday.  

 Dallas Mavericks DFS Spin

Kevin Durant’s former teammate Kyrie Irving was shipped to Dallas before last month's trade deadline. In 8 contests, Irving is posting 26.6 points, 5 rebounds, 6.8 assists, and 1.3 steals per game for the Mavericks this season. He put up 40 points in a Dallas win over Philadelphia on Thursday, and Irving might be in for another big day this weekend.

If you need efficient multi-category production from your forward spot, consider the Mavericks’ Christian Wood. The 6’9” UNLV alum is posting 17.4 points, 7.8 rebounds, 1.1 blocks, and 1.7 made three-pointers per game while shooting a blistering 52.1% from the floor this season.    

Suns vs. Mavericks NBA Betting Trends

Phoenix is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Phoenix is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Phoenix is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Sunday games.

Dallas is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games.

Suns vs. Mavericks NBA Prediction

Both of these teams acquired prime-time players at the trade deadline, but for Dallas problems still remain. The Mavericks are 25th in the NBA in defensive efficiency, and they’ve given up 111 points or more in 7 of the 8 games that Kyrie Irving has played in since the trade. Dallas has gone 4-4 straight up in that span. 

Phoenix on the other hand has gone 2-0 in the games that Kevin Durant has played in since the trade, and they won both of those games by double digits. Kevin Durant can be a good defender, but his strength lies in his ability to blend in and play with and alongside any group of teammates. Durant has shot 68% from the floor in his first two games with the Suns, and he seems to be elevating them from a playoff team to a potential championship contender. I don’t think Dallas will be able to get enough stops on defense to win this game outright, so I’ll take the Suns and the points.

NBA BETTING PREDICTION: PHOENIX SUNS +1.5