Knicks vs. Heat, 3/3/23 NBA Prediction, Odds & Trends

Knicks vs. Heat Prediction & Odds

The Knicks are one of the hottest teams in the NBA and are only laying two points on the road Friday night in Miami where they’ll take on the Heat at 8:00 p.m. ET. Is New York a no-brainer ATS play tonight?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

553 New York Knicks (-2) at 554 Miami Heat (+2); o/u 215.5

8:00 p.m. ET, Friday, March 3, 2023

Miami-Dade Arena, Miami, FL

Knicks vs. Heat Public Betting Information

The public favors the Pelicans in this game. Our NBA Public Betting Information page shows that 78% of public bets are on Knicks in this contest. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once tipoff rolls around.

New York Knicks DFS Spin

Julius Randle accumulated 21 points (7-of-15 FGs, 3-of-5 FTs), eight rebounds, eight assists, and four 3-pointers in 35 minutes during Wednesday's 142-118 win over the Nets. Randle has scored 20 points or more in 12 of his last 13 games, and he's been even better over the last two weeks. During this stretch, he's averaging 29.5 points, 6.0 rebounds, 4.8 assists, 0.5 steals, and 4.8 3-pointers per game, shooting 51.3% from the field and 77.3% from the foul line. That's been good for top-25 value in 9-cat formats, tops on the team. While the acquisition of Josh Hart (4/4/5/2/1 in 26 minutes) gave the Knicks a needed jolt, the biggest reason for the team's success has been the play of Randle and Jalen Brunson.

Miami Heat DFS Spin

Jimmy Butler (right knee soreness) is officially listed as questionable for Friday's matchup with the Knicks. Butler exited early from Wednesday's loss to Philadelphia, so it isn't surprising to see him on Friday's injury report. If he misses this game, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo and Caleb Martin would all be in line to play larger roles in his absence.

Knicks vs. Heat NBA Betting Trends

Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games

Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home

Over is 7-1-1 in Knicks last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record

Under is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points

Knicks vs. Heat NBA Prediction:

The Knicks are 6-0-1 against the spread in their last seven games overall, are 30-11 against the number in their last 41 road games and are 5-0 at the betting window in their last five games coming off one day of rest. On the other side, the Heat are just 9-23-1 against the spread in their last 33 home games, are 1-5 against the number in their last six games overall and are 2-10 at the betting window in their last 12 games when their opponent allowed 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA BETTING PREDICTION: NEW YORK KNICKS -2