Bucks vs. Heat Prediction
Can the Milwaukee Bucks go on the road and hand the Miami Heat a rare loss at home when the two collide tonight at 7:30PM ET?
585 Milwaukee Bucks vs. 586 Miami Heat
Monday, March 2, 2020
7:30PM ET – AmericanAirlines Arena
TV – NBA TV
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, the Bucks are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -3.5 points against the Heat. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 226.5 points. The public betting currently is unavailable for this game. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NBA Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bucks keep rolling on
Milwaukee had a low-scoring game with Charlotte last night, but still picked up a 93-85 road win for a sixth straight victory. The Bucks are 52-8 on the season, 25-5 on the road, 35-25 against the spread and 30-29-1 with the under.
The Bucks lead the league in scoring, averaging 119.6 points per game while shooting 48 percent as a team. Defensively, Milwaukee is giving up just 106.9 points per game while holding opponents to 41 percent shooting. Milwaukee is led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is averaging 29.9 points, 13.8 rebounds and 5.8 assists per contest. Khris Middleton is adding 21.1 points, 6.3 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game.
Heat struggling to cover
Miami is coming off a 116-113 win at home over Brooklyn on Saturday for a second straight victory, but the Heat are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games. The Heat are now 38-22 on the season, 25-4 at home, 31-27-2 against the spread and 37-22-1 with the over.
The Heat are putting up 112.8 points per game on offense this season while shooting 47 percent from the field. Defensively, Miami is giving up 109.5 points per game while opponents shoot 44.8 percent from the floor. Jimmy Butler is leading the Heat with 20.5 points, 6.8 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. Bam Adebayo is adding 16.2 points, 10.5 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest.
NBA Betting Trends
The Bucks have covered the spread in six straight games on no rest and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
The Heat are 20-9-1 against the spread in their last 30 home games, but 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a win.
Miami won the first meeting with the Bucks in Milwaukee back on Oct. 26, but I think the Bucks continue their winning ways tonight. Even on no rest, Milwaukee has been able to play at a high level. Miami has had a strong season, but the Heat have been playing some of their worst basketball in recent weeks. I think their offense is going to struggle with the Milwaukee defense and the Heat won’t be able to get enough stops to keep pace. The Bucks are just too strong for them.
NBA Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -3.5