Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction
Will the Miami Heat be able to continue their impressive play at home tonight when they host the Dallas Mavericks at 8PM ET?
539 Dallas Mavericks vs. 540 Miami Heat
Friday, February 28, 2020
8PM ET – AmericanAirlines Arena
Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NBA Odds & Betting Page.
Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, the Heat are the slight favorite at home, as they are getting odds of -2 points against the Mavericks. The over/under total for the contest has yet to be listed. The public betting currently is unavailable for this game right now as well. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NBA Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Mavs picking up steam
Dallas is coming off a 109-103 win at San Antonio on Wednesday night. The Mavericks have won and covered the spread in their last five games. Dallas is 36-23 on the season, 20-9 on the road, 32-24-3 against the spread and 37-22 with the over.
The Mavericks are putting up 116.6 points per game on offense this season while shooting 46.2 percent from the field. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 110.5 points per game while opponents shoot 45.2 percent against them. The Mavs have lost backup guard Jalen Brunson indefinitely with a shoulder injury, while leader Luka Doncic is dealing with a thumb injury and questionable to play tonight. Doncic averages 28.7 points, 9.6 rebounds and 8.7 assists per game. Kristaps Porzingis is adding 18.7 points and 9.2 rebounds per game.
Heat on a slide
Miami is coming off a 129-126 loss at home to Minnesota on Wednesday. The Heat are just 1-4 straight up and against the spread in their last five games. Miami is 36-22 on the season, 23-4 at home, 30-26-2 against the spread and 35-22-1 with the over.
The Heat are averaging 112.5 points per game on offense this season while shooting 47 percent from the field. Defensively, Miami is allowing 109.3 points per game while opponents shoot 44.8 percent from the floor. Jimmy Butler is leading Miami this season with 20.5 points, 6.8 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. Bam Adebayo is adding 16.2 points and 10.5 rebounds per game.
NBA Betting Trends
The Mavericks are 14-5-2 against the spread in their last 21 games as a road underdog and 6-2 ATS in their last eight Friday games.
The Heat are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games playing on 1 day of rest and 1-5 ATS in their last six Friday games.
Miami earned an OT win at Dallas earlier this season, but both teams are going in different directions as the moment. The Mavs have won four of five, but have been dealing with some injuries. Miami has dropped four of five, losing to pretty poor teams like Minnesota, Cleveland and Atlanta. Miami’s defense has really let it down lately and I think that is going to be a problem with this Dallas team. Behind Doncic, the Mavs can score in bunches. Keep an eye on the thumb situation. I am making this pick as if Doncic is playing. With him in the lineup, I like Dallas to cover.
NBA Prediction: Dallas Mavericks +2