Heat vs. Hornets Prediction & Odds

Heat vs. Hornets 1/29/23 Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

The sixth-seeded Miami Heat travel to Charlotte to take on the fourteenth-seeded Hornets on Sunday afternoon at 1:00 PM ET. Can the Hornets cover the 6-point spread as home underdogs?

The Miami Heat are 28-22 on the season. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Heat are 19-28-3 ATS on the year.

The Charlotte Hornets are 14-36 on the season. They’re 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Hornets are 21-27-2 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

545 Miami Heat (-6) at 546 Charlotte Hornets (+6); O/U 222.5

1:00 PM ET, Sunday, January 29, 2023

Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC

Heat vs. Hornets Public Betting Information

Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 72% of public bettors are currently backing the Heat -6 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.

Miami Heat DFS Spin

Miami Heat small forward Jimmy Butler is tied for the NBA lead with 2.1 steals per game. On top of that, Butler is also averaging 21.8 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 5 assists per game for the Heat this season. He’s shooting an efficient 51.9% from the field on the campaign. Butler may be worth the price in DFS Sunday.

Miami shooting guard Max Strus could offer some cost-effective shooting in DFS this weekend. Strus is averaging 2.6 made three-pointers per game and is shooting a respectable 34% from deep this season. He’s also averaging 3.7 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest while playing an average of 30.6 minutes per game this year.

Charlotte Hornets DFS Spin

Hornets shooting guard Kelly Oubre Jr. will miss Sunday’s game against the Heat. Oubre tore a ligament in his shooting hand at the beginning of January and likely won’t be back until mid-February. Oubre is third on the team in scoring with 20.2 points per game on the campaign.

Charlotte point guard LaMelo Ball has done a bit of everything for the Hornets this year. Ball is posting 23.1 points, 5.4 rebounds, 8.2 assists, 1.1 steals, and 3.9 made three-pointers for the Hornets this season. He does only shoot 40% from the field but his counting stats might be enough to offset that in most DFS formats.

Heat vs. Hornets NBA Betting Trends

Miami is 9-20-2 ATS in their last 31 games following an outright win.

Miami is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing straight-up record.

Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games.

Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following an outright win of more than 10 points.

Heat vs. Hornets NBA Prediction

The Miami Heat have the third-worst record in the NBA against the spread this season at 19-28-3. They only cover the spread 40.4% of the time. Miami is also 7-15 against the spread in their last 22 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Charlotte is 6-16 at home this year. And finally, Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Charlotte scored 111 points in their win over Chicago on Thursday night. It might seem like the Heat are the obvious pick here, but upon further inspection, I don think so. I’ll take the Hornets and the points at home.  

NBA BETTING PREDICTION: CHARLOTTE HORNETS +6

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