Mariners vs. Astros Prediction
The Houston Astros have a big lead in the AL West standings but are still battling for the best record in the American League heading into the playoffs. Can Houston open its home series with the Seattle Mariners with a win tonight?
Thursday, September 5, 2019
Minute Maid Park at 8:10PM ET
TV: ATT SportsNet-SW
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Public Betting Information
According to oddsmakers, the Astros are a -240 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Mariners are a +220 underdog, while the total is set at 9.5 runs. As of Thursday afternoon, 77 percent of public bets are pouring in on host Houston. Check out our MLB Public Betting Page for the latest updates.
M's slowed by Cubs
Seattle lost both games of its interleague series at Chicago including Tuesday night's 6-1 decision. Daniel Vogelbach drove in the lone run with a pinch-hit RBI single. Dee Gordon finished 2-for-4 with a run scored. Braden Bishop also ended the contest 2-for-4. Felix Hernandez took the loss as he surrendered two earned runs on two hits with five strikeouts and four walks over three innings. Marco Gonzales gets the start tonight as he enters with a 14-10 record, 4.30 ERA and 1.34 WHIP plus 128 strikeouts over 169 2/3 innings pitched.
Astros doubled up at Brewers
Houston lost by a score of 4-2 Tuesday night in its interleague series finale at Milwaukee to drop to 90-50 overall and 39-33 on the road. Alex Bregman led the Astros offensively as he finished 2-for-4 with a solo home run. Josh Reddick went 1-for-3 with an RBI. Abraham Toro was 1-for-3 with a double and a run scored. Zack Greinke suffered the loss as he gave up four earned runs on eight hits with four strikeouts and no walks over six innings. Wade Miley will start tonight for Houston as he enters with a 13-4 record, 3.06 ERA and 1.22 WHIP plus 134 strikeouts over 156 innings of work.
MLB Betting Trends
The Mariners are 1-4 in their last five games overall. Seattle is 1-5 in the last six Gonzales starts.
The Astros are 20-7 in the last 27 Miley starts. Houston is 40-18 in its last 58 games overall.
Gonzales has had a fairly good season and analytics show he's been better than his base numbers suggest. But Houston provides a bad matchup with plenty of power, even if it's missing a couple bats. Miley should mow down this underwhelming Mariners lineup. With a possible rout here, I'm betting the Astros on the runline.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: HOUSTON ASTROS RL -135