Reds vs. Cardinals Game 2 Prediction
The Reds and Cardinals will wrap up their series tonight with the second game of Sunday’s double-header at 7:05 p.m. ET. With Luis Castillo on the hill for Cincinnati, are the Reds the best bet to take the series finale from Busch Stadium?
Game Snapshot & Odds
981 Cincinnati Reds (-116) at 982 St. Louis Cardinals (-105); 8 runs
Sunday, September 1, 2019
7:05 p.m. ET, Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 58% of the betting tickets are on the Reds to beat the Cardinals on the moneyline.
Cincinnati Reds Fantasy Spin
Luis Castillo struck out 11 but allowed five runs over six innings in a win over the Marlins on Tuesday. Castillo scuffled early, giving up two first-inning runs and another in the second, but he settled in from there and appeared on his way to turning in a respectable line. The strikeouts were nice, but a two-run Jorge Alfaro homer in the sixth inning took a bite out of his final numbers. He was still provided with enough run support to pick up his 13th win of the year, and even with Tuesday's outing he's still got a shiny 3.21 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 190/63 K/BB ratio in 160 innings. Castillo's next objective will be slowing down the red-hot Cardinals on Sunday.
St. Louis Cardinals Fantasy Spin
Daniel Ponce de Leon will be recalled to start one of the games during Saturday's doubleheader versus the Reds. Michael Wacha will get the ball in the other outing. Ponce de Leon holds a 3.76 ERA in seven starts and three relief appearances with the big club this season. He'll stick around since rosters expand Sunday but figures to work in long relief after Saturday's spot start.
MLB Betting Trends
Cincinnati
The Reds are 3-13 in their last 16 games when playing the fourth game of a series.
St. Louis
The Cardinals are a perfect 4-0 in Ponce de Leon’s last four starts when facing an opponent with a losing record.
Prediction:
The Reds are 5-1 in Castilo’s last six starts versus the Cardinals and are 7-3 in his last 10 outings overall. Cincinnati has won five of Castillo’s last six starts coming off four days of rest as well. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have dropped six of their last seven games when facing a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds -116