Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles, 7/28/2018 Prediction & Odds

Rays vs. Orioles Saturday Pick

The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles combined for 20 runs on Friday night, with most of those runs produced by the O's bats. Will Saturday night's matchup also be high-scoring for bettors?

Game Snapshot & Odds

919 Tampa Bay Rays (-110) at 920 Baltimore Orioles (+100); 9 runs

Saturday, July 28, 2018

7:05 p.m. ET, Oriole Park at Camden Yards

TV: TB (FS SUN); BAL (MSN2)

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Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Rays as a -110 favorite. As of this writing, 60% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Rays to beat the Orioles on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Rays' Stankey strikes out two in perfect inning vs. Astros

Ryne Stanek struck out two in a perfect first inning of work while serving as the Rays' opener in Saturday's win over the Astros. Stanek struck out George Springer and induced a pop out from Alex Bregman to begin his inning of work. Jose Altuve then struck for a single, but the 26-year-old right-hander would not allow further escalation of the offensive threat, retiring Evan Gattis via strikeout to finish the inning and get the Rays started on the right track before ceding way to his bullpen brethren for the rest of the contest. While the team's decision to utilize a reliever as "opener" is forward-thinking enough, it's a pure zero for fantasy purposes. That's not a knock on Stanek himself, who has pitched to a respectable 1.78 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 30/13 K/BB ratio in 25 1/3 innings this season.

Orioles' Gausman shelled in loss vs. Red Sox

Kevin Gausman allowed five runs on three hits over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to the Red Sox on Monday. With the exception of a Mitch Moreland solo shot in the second inning, Gausman was cruising early, until the wheels came off in the fifth inning. After allowing a leadoff double to Xander Bogaerts, Gausman walked three consecutive batters to bring home a run, and then surrendered a back-breaking two-run, ground-rule double to Andrew Benintendi. The mercurial right-hander has showcased pinpoint control, posting a 99/30 K/BB ratio in 117 innings, but has allowed 20 home runs, and remains underwhelming in terms of run prevention this season. Gausman is 4-8 with a 4.54 ERA in 20 starts. He will face the Rays at home this weekend.

MLB Betting Trends

Tampa Bay

The Rays have dropped all five of Stanek's last five road outings.

Baltimore

The Orioles are 4-0 in Gausman's last four home starts versus the Rays.

Prediction:

The over has cashed in nine of the last 11 meetings between these two teams in Baltimore. It is also 4-1 in the Rays' last five road games and is 3-1-1 in the Orioles' last five games coming off a win. The over is also in play with James Hoye behind the plate. In his last seven games behind the dish, the over hit six times.

 

The Pick: Rays/Orioles over 9