Padres vs. Mets Prediction
The San Diego Padres and the host New York Mets have both disappointed this season as they get set to open a series against each other. Can New York record the win tonight as the home underdogs?
Tuesday, July 23, 2019
Citi Field at 7:10PM ET
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Public Betting Information
According to oddsmakers, the Padres are a -132 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Mets are a +122 underdog, while the over-under sits at 8.5 runs. As of Tuesday afternoon, 72 percent of public bets are coming in on visiting San Diego. Check out our MLB Public Betting Page for the latest information.
Padres avoid sweep at Cubs
San Diego earned a 5-1 win at Chicago Sunday afternoon to salvage a game in the three-game series. Francisco Mejia helped lead the Padres offense as he finished 2-for-3 with a solo home run, a walk and two runs scored. Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-4 with a walk and three RBIs. Hunter Renfroe was 1-for-3 with a double, a walk and a run. Cal Quantrill picked up the win as the bulk starter as he gave up two hits with six strikeouts and no walks over 5 2/3 scoreless innings. Chris Paddack draws the start tonight as he enters with a 6-4 record, 2.70 ERA and 0.87 WHIP with 95 strikeouts over 90 innings.
Mets fall in 12 innings
New York lost by a count of 3-2 in 12 innings Sunday afternoon in its series finale at San Francisco. J.D. Davis helped pace the offense as he went 2-for-5 with a double. Amed Rosario finished 1-for-4 with a solo home run and a walk. Michael Conforto was 1-for-5 with a solo homer. Robert Gsellman took the loss in relief as he gave up one earned run on one hit with no strikeouts or walks over 1 1/3 innings. Jason Vargas will start tonight for the Mets as he comes in with a 4-5 record, 4.25 ERA and 1.28 WHIP with 68 strikeouts over 82 2/3 innings.
MLB Betting Trends
The Padres are 2-7 in their last nine games overall. San Diego is 0-5 in its last five series openers.
The Mets are 4-1 in their last five Tuesday games. New York is 3-7 in the last 10 Vargas Tuesday starts.
Paddack has been awesome his last two starts, both on the road, and for much of the season in general. While San Diego is going to limit his innings over the next couple months, that won't be an issue here and he's likely to have a lot of success again versus a Mets squad he threw 7 2/3 innings of shutout baseball with 11 strikeouts against back in May. Vargas is typically efficient, but I don't think he's up to the task of keeping up with Paddack today. Additionally, the Padres have the more trusted bullpen.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: SAN DIEGO PADRES -132