Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction
Can the Boston Red Sox avoid a letdown on the road when they open up a weekend series with the Baltimore Orioles tonight at 7:05PM ET?
965 Boston Red Sox vs. 966 Baltimore Orioles
Friday, June 19, 2019
7:05PM ET – Oriole Park
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Red Sox are the favorite on the road, as they are getting odds of -245 to win. The Orioles are listed with a money line of +200 at home, while the over/under total is listed at 9.5 runs. The public betting for the contest currently has 83 percent going on Boston as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Red Sox hit the road
Boston opened the second half of the season with seven straight home games, going 4-3 against the Dodgers and Blue Jays over the last week. Boston is 53-44 on the year, 29-19 on the road and 55-39 with the over. The Sox have David Price getting the start today. He is 7-2 on the season with a 3.16 ERA.
The Red Sox have the league’s top offense, averaging 5.64 runs per game while hitting .273 as a squad, both of which lead MLB. On the mound, Boston has a 4.59 team ERA with a 1.34 team WHIP. Rafael Devers has 28 doubles, 19 home runs and 73 RBI this season while Xander Bogaerts has 31 doubles, 21 home runs and 74 RBI.
Orioles still struggling
Baltimore is just 2-4 to start the second half of the season after splitting a pair of games with the Nationals. The Orioles are 29-66 on the year, 13-35 at home and 46-44 with the over. Baltimore has John Means getting the start this evening. He is 7-5 on the season with a 2.94 ERA.
The Orioles rank last in the league in pitching with a 5.68 team ERA. They also are posting a 1.46 team WHIP. At the plate, Baltimore is averaging just 4.17 runs per game while hitting .239 as a team. Renato Nunez is leading the team with 18 doubles, 21 home runs and 51 RBI. Trey Mancini is adding 20 doubles, 19 home runs and 43 RBI.
MLB Betting Trends
The Red Sox have won five straight against a left-handed starter and four straight series openers.
The Orioles are just 28-70 in their last 98 AL East games and 9-24 in their last 33 games against a left-handed starter.
Price has been pretty solid this season, but he has struggled to get deep into games. He has allowed two earned runs or less in nine of his last 10 starts and I could see more of the same today against a poor Baltimore lineup. Means just gave up six runs to the Rays in his last home start and Boston’s hitting is far superior to that of Tampa’s. I expect the Sox to cruise to a big win tonight.
MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-145)