Pirates vs. Reds Game 1 Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Game 1, 5/27/2019 Predictions & Odds

The Pirates and Reds will play a doubleheader in Cincinnati on Memorial Day, starting with Game 1 at 1:10 p.m. ET. With Nick Kingham set to oppose Luis Castillo in the pitching matchup, will these division foes play over the total for bettors?

Game Snapshot & Odds

903 Pittsburgh Pirates (+190) at 904 Cincinnati Reds (-222); 9 runs

Monday, May 27, 2019

1:10 p.m. ET, Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, OH

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 63% of the betting tickets are on the Reds to beat the Pirates on the moneyline.

Pittsburgh Pirates Fantasy Spin

Bryan Reynolds went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in a loss to the Dodgers on Sunday. Long before the Dodgers pulled away, Reynolds' two-run shot in the second inning actually gave the Bucs an early lead. It was Reynolds' fifth of the year and his fourth in his last nine games. He's hit safely in nine of 10 and has a robust .319/.373/.564 line in 30 games overall, and has moved into a starting role accordingly. It's hard to really buy in, especially as the Pirates get more regulars back, but Reynolds has at least shown enough to stick in the majors for the time being and is worth a look in NL-only leagues for what he's shown when in the lineup.

Cincinnati Reds Fantasy Spin

Nick Senzel went 3-for-4 with a walk and four runs scored to lead the Reds to a 10-2 blowout win over the Cubs on Sunday. Senzel paced the Reds’ offense by reaching base safely in four of his five plate appearances out of the leadoff spot. He led off the contest with a single and came around to score in the opening frame. He also singled and scored in the third, walked and scored a run in the sixth and capped off his monster performance with a leadoff double and another run scored in the eighth. The fact that he was picked off and caught stealing in the third, yet still managed to advance thanks to a throwing error on the play, represented the lone blemish in an otherwise sterling effort. The 23-year-old rookie sensation has gotten off to a blistering start, hitting .258/.333/.427 with 15 runs scored, three home runs, eight RBI and five stolen bases in 100 plate appearances.

MLB Betting Trends

Pittsburgh

The Pirates are 6-2 in their last eight games played in Cincinnati and are 19-7 in their last 26 games versus the Reds overall.

Cincinnati

The Reds are 13-5 in Castillo’s last 18 home starts and are 11-5 in his last 16 outings after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.

Prediction:

The over is 4-1 in the Pirates’ last five road games, is 20-7 in their last 27 games overall and has cashed in 11 of their last 12 games after they scored five runs or more in their previous contest. On the other side, the over is a perfect 4-0 in the Reds’ last four divisional games, is 4-1 in their last five games when facing a right-handed starter and is 8-3 in their last 11 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous contest.

The Pick: Pirates/Reds over 9

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