Marlins vs. Reds Thursday Prediction

Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds, 4/11/2019 Predictions & Odds

The Reds have had a rough start to the new season but they’ve put themselves in position to sweep the Marlins with a win on Thursday afternoon. Is Cincinnati a trustworthy runline option for bettors?

Game Snapshot & Odds

901 Miami Marlins (+145) at 902 Cincinnati Reds (-167); 8.5 runs

Thursday, April 11, 2019

12:35 p.m. ET, Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, OH

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 70% of the betting tickets are on the Reds to beat the Marlins on the moneyline.

Miami Marlins Fantasy Spin

Neil Walker slugged a solo homer for his club's only run in a loss to the Reds on Wednesday. He went 1-for-3 with a walk on the night. He ripped a Tyler Mahle offering into the seats with the bases empty in the third inning. The veteran second baseman is getting plenty of playing time but hasn't found a way to convert it into fantasy relevance just yet. He is slashing .207/.324/.448 with two home runs and two RBI in 12 games. He hit .219 with 11 homers and 46 RBI in 398 plate appearances for the Yankees last year.

Cincinnati Reds Fantasy Spin

Tyler Mahle gave up just one run on two hits through five innings but didn't get a decision against the Marlins on Wednesday. He struck out seven batters and issued four walks while racking up 89 pitches in the short start. Neil Walker smacked a solo home run against him in the third inning. Mahle has pitched very well in both of his starts so far this season. He has 12 strikeouts against four walks in 11 innings pitched. He's given up just one run and seven hits. He will face a tough test on the road against the Dodgers on Tuesday.

MLB Betting Trends


The Marlins are 1-7 in Lopez’s last eight starts and are 1-4 in his last five road outings.


The Reds have only won twice in their last six home games.


Sonny Gray bounced back in his second start with the Reds, pitching 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball against the Pirates with seven strikeouts and no walks. It was a total reversal of his first outing of the season hen he lasted just 2 2/3 innings. The Marlins’ lineup is horrendous and while Gray is unlikely to put together a dominant effort, I certainly like the Reds’ chances of blasting Lopez than I do the Marlins’ ability to figure out Cincinnati’s pitching.

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds -1.5

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