Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 3/24/20
By Mike Dempsey
It is Tuesday and we will head back out to Will Rogers Downs in Oklahoma and Fonner Park in Nebraska, the only two thoroughbred tracks running this afternoon.
Of the eight races yesterday in my Best Plays Report, four at each track, the only real success we had was a nice $13.40 winner and $81.60 exacta at Will Rogers Downs in the seventh race.
It looks as if racing will continue at several major tracks including Gulfstream Park, which has the $1 million Florida Derby (G1) coming up on Saturday.
Among the tracks still scheduled to run are Gulfstream Park, Santa Anita, Tampa Bay Downs, Fonner Park, Will Rogers Downs, Los Alamitos, Charles Town, Turfway Park, Remington Park and Oaklawn Park.
My plan for this week is to do the entire card for Gulfstream Park starting on Wednesday and my Best Plays Report will be Gulfstream Park along with Tampa Bay Downs tomorrow, then I’ll add Santa Anita or Oaklawn Park into the mix Friday and Saturday.
Horseplayers can stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $200 for new players.
Keep an eye on the schedule for FS1 and FS1 and NBCSN as they will be adding some horse racing action this week as well.
My Best Plays Report for Tuesday includes my eight strongest plays from Will Rogers Downs and Fonner Park.
Tuesday’s Featured Race of the Day from Will Rogers Downs:
WRD Race 2 Md Sp Wt (1:45 CT)
#6 Dramacide 8-1
#5 O S U Kickoff 5-2
#2 Im the Man Now 8-1
#1 What Thinking 3-1
Analysis: Dramacide was not a threat in his debut and showed improvement second out at Remington Park where he pressed the early pace and weakened late to finish third, beaten 1 1/2 lengths. He has worked well since his last outing for the Ashford barn that is showing a 24% win clip (with a +ROI) with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. The gelding is out of a Slewacide mare that has dropped five winners.
O S U Kickoff makes his first starts since his debut here last April. In that outing he was sent off as the 9-5 favorite, pressed the early pace and was no match for an 8 1/4 length winner. Three came out of that race to win next out including the winner Oh What Luck who beat state bred Alw1 foes at Remington Park in his next start and has not started since. Good works on the morning tab for the barn and this is not a real tough looking spot for his return. He is the first foal to race out of a Proud Citizen mare.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 5-1 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 1,2,5,6
TRI: 5,6 / 1,2,5,6 / 1,2,5,6,8
Tuesday’s Featured Race of the Day from Fonner Park:
FON Race 6 Alw $2,500s (5:45 CT)
#2 Shooters Alley 5-2
#3 Cowboy Don 8-1
#4 Piccadilly Roadster 5-1
#1 Beta Capo Song 6-1
Analysis: Shooters Alley took the field gate to wire to win at this level last out in his first start off the claim by the Martinez barn that has been very live at the meeting, hitting at a 32% clip. The gelding was claimed two back for $2,500 out of an eight-length win against restricted foes. He is now 2 for 2 since landing here from Delta and he owns a solid pace profile throughout. Looks capable of winning right back here in this spot.
Cowboy Dan prompted the early pace and finished gamely to prevail by a head last out against $2,500 non-winners of two races in '19-20. It was his first start off a six-month layoff. He was claimed out of the race by the McDonald barn that is showing no starts. There is a trainer by that name that last started a runner in 1990. The gelding owns solid early and mid pace numbers and owns back numbers good enough to be in the mix here. Worth tossing in the mix here if he goes off near his 8-1 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 1,2,3,4
TRI: 2,3 / 1,2,3,4 / 1,2,3,4,9
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park
PURCHASE
Fonner Park - Race 5
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $3,700 • Post: 5:18P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2019 - 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. HARMONY GROVE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HARMONY GROVE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. BORN FORCE : Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. XAVIER DAVEY: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or four th start after a layoff. FORZE MAU (VEN): Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
8
HARMONY GROVE
12/1
5/1
5
BORN FORCE
2/1
6/1
4
XAVIER DAVEY
15/1
7/1
9
FORZE MAU (VEN)
6/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
8
HARMONY GROVE
8
12/1
Alternator/Front-runner
77
70
71.0
65.2
52.2
4
XAVIER DAVEY
4
15/1
Stalker
81
68
60.5
74.6
69.1
6
GREEN CARD
6
9/2
Alternator/Stalker
76
75
67.6
54.6
45.1
2
RAIN RAY
2
3/1
Trailer
74
64
38.2
67.8
54.8
9
FORZE MAU (VEN)
9
6/1
Trailer
86
73
33.8
63.4
57.9
5
BORN FORCE
5
2/1
Trailer
82
76
24.1
68.9
62.9
7
COMO SE LLAMA
7
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79
59
70.0
56.8
43.3
3
DRIBBLES
3
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
84
73
50.8
62.2
54.7
1
LIL' QUARTER CHUTE
1
25/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
39.0
44.4
26.4
10
SPUR
10
25/1
Alternator/Non-contender
69
67
26.3
58.8
43.3
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs
PURCHASE
Will Rogers Downs - Race 1
Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) First Half of Daily Double
Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $9,900 • Post: 1:15P
FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 24, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. DIXIE DELTA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DIXIE DELTA: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. I'M THEBOSSRIGHTNOW: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SMART BOX: Horse's average winnin g distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
10
DIXIE DELTA
5/1
3/1
6
I'MTHEBOSSRIGHTNOW
7/2
5/1
12
SMART BOX
9/2
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
10
DIXIE DELTA
10
5/1
Front-runner
72
59
71.8
60.6
51.1
12
SMART BOX
12
9/2
Front-runner
70
54
54.0
49.8
37.3
8
FLASHFLOOD WARNING
8
10/1
Front-runner
71
62
38.0
43.8
29.3
3
HOBBS HOPE
3
10/1
Front-runner
68
62
0.0
0.0
0.0
6
I'MTHEBOSSRIGHTNOW
6
7/2
Alternator/Front-runner
82
76
57.8
42.2
36.7
4
HOOKED ON A HIT
4
4/1
Stalker
70
62
51.2
57.2
48.7
11
TOSKIKO
11
20/1
Alternator/Stalker
67
61
45.4
56.6
42.1
9
SARAH ELISE
9
15/1
Alternator/Stalker
61
58
35.7
49.8
33.3
1
EURO STEP
1
12/1
Alternator/Stalker
73
55
35.4
54.2
45.2
5
SMOOTH AS BOURBON
5
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
65
52
43.8
45.8
27.8
7
MARVS CLASSIC LADY
7
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
62
70
32.9
25.5
5.5
2
WIN IN THE WILLOW
2
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
77
57
18.5
42.8
31.3
__________________