Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 5/10/20

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#2 Noble Maria Class dropper really woke up in her return off the long layoff, should only move forward off that tightener, and drew much better than the wide favorite; look out.
#12 Generic Mark The chalk will be tough off the MSW drop, and note Arnold is 26% with Gaffalione riding, but the July layoff is a problem, and the post is even more so; second-best.
#4 Nanie's Treasure Speedy sort cleared then predictably tired an August layoff, so she's another who should move forward, and there's not much pace signed on here either; price appeal.
Race Summary You won't get rich on the 2, but there's little doubt the 12 is going to take a ton of play, so maybe you sneak out 7-2 or so on a gal who returned with a big figure (for this group) and now looks poised to better it, so play her in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since she won't have to improve much, if at all, to handle this modest crew, especially with the chalk marooned out wide.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#9 Fiamma Mamma Class dropper has the speed to be involved throughout, which means she'll be pressing in the clear, and therefore could break this open off the far turn; love her chances here.
#2 La Tres Jolis Fellow dropper has been doing the turf thing of late but has some decent dirt form to fall back on, and if things get heated up front, she'll be rolling through the lane; stretch danger.
#8 I'm That Bird Lightly raced runner has never been on the dirt but is sure bred for it, as dad Birdstone was a star, and there's plenty of upside here off just five starts as well; eligible to wake up.
Race Summary The post and race flow seem to work for the 9, and she's been in good form too, which is more than most of these can say, so play her in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since this looks like a tough puzzle to solve, so a win in the 7-2 range might play a lot longer in both sequences.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10
Picks Notes
#3 All Around Closer gets back to the dirt and goes off the claim for Ramirez, a 3-for-9 angle, and while the January layoff is a bit of a concern, there's a ton of pace here to set him up, and those AM drills leading up to this have been huge; mows them all down.
#4 South Sea Major player goes off the Joseph claim, a monstrous 39% move, and his rating gear will have him settling just off the speed, which will get him first run on the pick, so there's a ton to like here, save the underlaid tote price; looms the one to beat.
#10 Quijote Stiff class dropper didn't fire in his return and now plunges, which is never a good sign, but Irad sees fit to ride, Baxter seems to have the magic tough, and this one will be chasing wide, though still, that ugly return smarts a bit; tread lightly here.
Race Summary There's a lot going on here, and a lot of runners you can play, which means just maybe the pick falls through the wagering cracks, which means you might sneak out 6-1 or so, which would be plenty of value in all the slots, though you can guarantee even more by using him to end the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he's got the dirt form to be a threat, and the pace seems perfect for his style too.
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#12 Quarky Chased and faded off the layoff last out, but he draws well to push the splits from the outside, and he's got some upside in this second start off the break.
#7 Good Bye Greg Thinking he's overbet off the bench here as he deals with some other pace, but it's tough to discount this guy any time he heads to post.
#11 Sturgeon Has some mild ability to pass some horses from time to time, and he may be along late with these at a price in a spot where he's probably not quite quick enough to keep up early.
Race Summary Quarky faded badly in the comeback run, but Saez sticks around, and he has some obvious upside today.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#4 Create Again Worth a small swing at a price here, as there isn't a ton of serious sprint pace signed on in this group, and he's fast enough to find the front if they want it. Wings it on the engine?
#3 Yodel E. A. Who Has been tough with claiming types in the past, but he'll be a short price off a clunker last time out. He's fast enough to find a good spot near the top.
#6 Fortune Cookie Might not get quite enough pace to set up his midpack rally, but he won't be distanced in the early going and might be able to stick close enough to make a race of it late.
Race Summary Create Again has a small chance to find the front without a ton of trouble in here, and if that happens, he'd be plenty attractive heading into the turn at something like 10/1.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#6 Where Paradise Lay Walsh barn isn't particularly good off the claim, but they don't dive in for these types very often, so it's a small sample size compared to the overall record. Trainer grabs this one for himself off a nice win, and there are a trio of potential speed players for him to line up behind.
#2 Frosted Grace Looks like the obvious one to beat, but this race isn't a sure thing for him, and he'll have some company near the top early. His ability to rate make him dangerous.
#3 Running For Riz Looks like the speed of the speed in here, and if he's somehow able to clear off to a comfortable lead, his ceiling is high enough to win this if he gets brave.
Race Summary Where Paradise Lay ran a really good one when scoring from close range last time out, and he should be able to land a similar trip for his new owner/trainer Brendan Walsh.
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#1 Cold Brewster Drew poorly last time and still ran 4th; should prosper with an inside post and can be close up throughout.
#2 Pollitical Game Pressed from the outside and tired; can move up with his draw today.
#3 Ron Stone Cowboy Ran a decent 3rd last out from the inside post and likely will be in a strong stalking position.
Race Summary Cold Brewster gets the inside, has enough speed to keep that position and should have something left for the finish.

Remington Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#9 Uncle Eds Idea Just missed last out in an improved effort; was a Black Gold winner at WRD last fall and his best will make him tough here.
#6 Uptowne Babe Tired late in the Oklahoma Derby looks to return to her 2019 form that included a win in the Grade 1 Heritage Place Futurity.
#3 Trump My Record Has won 8 of 10 and won the G1 Texas Classic Futurity in his last start; makes his 1st appearance since November.
Race Summary Uncle Eds Idea was outrun in his 1st of the year but improved in his latest and appears to be heading back to top form.

Remington Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#7 Aint Working Was runnerup to Love Is Everything V in the Oklahoma Derby and will win if he runs back to his last one.
#8 Jess Different Was up in time for a maiden win and continued improvement will make him a factor.
#9 Striking Perfection Won the 1st three of her career and was off the board in her last three; has been in strong races and can get work her way into the exotic plays.
Race Summary Aint Working was a solid 2nd last out and is ready to get back to winning; the one to beat here.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $42000 Class Rating: 106

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (CONDITION

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 11 STURGEON 6/1

# 13 TAKE CHARGE DUDE 7/2

# 5 JAKE ROCKS 20/1

My choice in this event is STURGEON. This equine has some longshot angles going for him. Has to be given a shot against this group displaying strong numbers recently and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 90 under similar conditions. With one of the top jock in terms of gains at the window, don't count this gelding out. TAKE CHARGE DUDE - He must be considered given the very good speed figures. This gelding looks good for this race since Joseph has a sharp winning percentage with horses going this distance. JAKE ROCKS - Win percentage one of the top in this group of horses.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 74

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 DURGA 3/5

# 2 INDIAS LUTE 3/1

# 1 WILLOWGLADE 20/1

My selection for this event is DURGA. Is tough not to look at based on speed figs which have been very strong - 62 avg - of late. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the top class numbers of this group. INDIAS LUTE - This filly looks strong for this event since Morfin has a strong winning percentage with horses going this distance. Has been running quite well lately and will almost certainly be on the lead early on. WILLOWGLADE - Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of animals - worth a look. Don't let this filly slip past you. Could score at boxcar odds.
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE

05/10/20, GP, Race 5, 3.11 ET
05/10/20,GP,5,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000 (includes up to $2,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since April 10 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $6,250 (Races Where Entered For $5,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 8 I'm That Bird 4-1 Jaramillo E Gulick James M. TC 39.27 1.38/$1
099.32 5 La Flamenca 6-1 Rodriguez A A Navarro Marcial FL 39.27 1.38/$1
098.80 2 La Tres Jolie 3-1 Saez L Sano Antonio J 39.27 1.38/$1
098.75 1 Union Lane 12-1 Burgos A Pita Daniel W 39.27 1.38/$1
098.27 9 Fiamma Mamma 5/2 Trejos J Delgado Gustavo 39.27 1.38/$1
096.39 4 Distinctly Sassy 12-1 Vasquez M A Bezara Agustin C. E 39.27 1.38/$1
095.69 3 Kaufy Futures 10-1 Fuentes M Levy Tamara L. 35.10 1.31/$1
095.49 6 Tell Me Maux 12-1 Juarez N Brownlee David R. S 35.10 1.31/$1
094.17 7 Country Strong 20-1 Lebron V Kassen David C. 35.10 1.31/$1
* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.84, ROI 1.08/$1
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