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NHL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Wednesday 6/12/19

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 6/12/19

 
Posted : June 12, 2019 6:20 am
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The 2018-19 NHL season all comes down to this, a Game 7 between the St. Louis Blues and Boston Bruins in the Stanley Cup finals. This comes after Boston earned a 5-1 victory in St. Louis in Game 6 two forced the deciding contest.

This was a close contest through the first two periods. Boston took the lead 8:40 into the game when Brad Marchand scored a power-play goal to put the Bruins on top 1-0. It remained that way through the first 40 minutes, but St. Louis simply fell apart in the third. Brandon Carlo scored his second goal of the playoffs 2:31 into the third and eight minutes later it would be Karson Kuhlman extending the lead to three with his first goal of the postseason. St. Louis cut the deficit to two a couple of minutes later, but goals by David Pastrnak and Zdeno Charo sealed the victory. Pastrnak and Marchand each finished with a goal and an assist.

Featured Game

Louis Blues (-120) vs. Boston Bruins (-103)

St. Louis Notes

Ryan O’Reilly could very well be the Conn Smythe winner should St. Louis win the series. Over the last three games, he has scored four goals and added three assists to give him 21 total points in the playoffs. This ties the franchise record set by three players, most recently by Brett Hull in 1990.

Should St. Louis when the Stanley Cup, Blues goaltender Jordan Binnington will set an NHL record for victories by a rookie in the postseason. It would give him 16 victories, giving him sole possession of the all-time record for a single postseason.

Boston Notes

Tuukka Rask has put together an impressive postseason, but it has been his performance in elimination games where he has really stepped up his performance. In games were Boston can be eliminated, Rask has saved 145 of 149 shots he has faced, a .973 save percentage. Rask was the backup to Tim Thomas when the Bruins won the Stanley Cup in 2011.

In the last 16 Game 7s played in the Stanley Cup Finals, the home team is 12-4. That includes the Boston Bruins winning in 2011. Defenseman Zdeno Chara will be playing in his 14th Game 7 in the playoffs, setting a new NHL record.

Goaltending Matchup:

Jordan Binnington looked very good through the first 42 minutes of Game 6, but things went terribly wrong for him as the St. Louis goaltender allowed four goals on 31 shots. It is the sixth time this postseason that he has allowed at least four goals and a game but has followed up each of those performances by allowing no more than two goals in the following contests, that includes in Game 5, where he allowed two goals on 23 shots two nights after allowing five goals on 19 shots to the Bruins. Binnington has a 2.52 goals-against average and a .911 save percentage through his 25 playoff games this year. Binnington has allowed 17 total goals in this series.

Tuukka Rask was absolutely brilliant in Game 6, allowing one goal on 29 shots he faced. Of his 23 playoff games this season, the Boston goaltender has allowed two goals are last in 16 of those games and has posted an amazing 1.93 goals-against average and a .938 save percentage. Should Boston win, there is no doubt that he will be the Conn Smythe trophy winner. He has allowed 13 total goals in the 16 Stanley Cup games.

Stat Pack:

Blues:
Goals For: 2.84
Goals Against: 2.76
Power-Play: 16.3%
Penalty Killing: 75.0%

Bruins:
Goals For: 3.39
Goals Against: 2.04
Power-Play: 32.9%
Penalty Killing: 88.4%

Prediction

There are a number of reasons to believe that either one of these teams will win Game 7. Both teams have been stellar when faced with elimination. Boston has been incredible at home, and St. Louis is played extremely well on the road, especially in the latter portion of a best-of-seven series.

The big difference is experience. Five players for the Bruins were part of that 2011 Stanley Cup championship team, and each of them understands fully what it takes to win a Game 7 in the finals. Add to it the fact that the home team has dominated these games in the championship round, and the Bruins look to be the wise pick.

The total was originally set at 5.0 but has increased to 5.5. We understand that both teams are going to be tense early on, which usually results in a tight-checking, low-scoring affair. However, we see this as a situation that will create costly mistakes, leading to a wide-open contest dominated by the Bruins. The Boston Bruins will hoist the Cup after a 5-2 victory.

 
Posted : June 12, 2019 6:22 am
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( 13 ) ST LOUIS @ ( 14 ) BOSTON | 8:00 pm 6/12/2019
Play OVER ST LOUIS using the puck line in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record.

The record is 20 Overs and 10 Unders this season (+15.9 units)
_______________________

( 13 ) ST LOUIS @ ( 14 ) BOSTON | 8:00 pm 6/12/2019
Play ON ST LOUIS using the money line in Road games after allowing 4 goals or more.

The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses this season (+11.6 units)
_______________________

( 13 ) ST LOUIS @ ( 14 ) BOSTON | 8:00 pm 6/12/2019
Play ON ST LOUIS using the money line in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record.

The record is 20 Wins and 10 Losses this season (+15.9 units)

 
Posted : June 12, 2019 6:25 am
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The 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs will come to an end on Wednesday as the Boston Bruins and St. Louis Blues meet in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final from TD Garden.

Betting Preview - St. Louis at Boston

The road team has gone 4-2 through the first six games of this best-of-seven series.

Boston opened as a -175 favorite for Game 7 while St. Louis is a plus-151 underdog.

The 'over/under' was installed at 5.5 for Wednesday and the 'over' has gone 4-2 through the first six games, with four outcomes ending with more than six combined goals. Three of those games were decided by empty-net goals.

The Blues have gone 9-3 on the road in the postseason while the Bruins have gone 7-6 at TD Garden.

Recent Game 7 History

Boston has played in more Game 7's than any other team, going 15-12 in 27 appearances. St. Louis owns a 9-8 all-time record in Game 7's.

The last time the Sharks and Avalanche met for a Game 7 came back in the 2002 semifinals as Colorado edged San Jose, 1-0 at home.

Boston
2019 First Round - Boston 5 vs. Toronto 1
2018 First Round - Boston 7 vs. Toronto 4
2014 Second Round - Boston 1 vs. Montreal 3

St. Louis
2019 Second Round - St. Louis 2 vs. Dallas 1 (2OT)
2016 Second Round - St. Louis 6 at Dallas 1
2016 First Round - St. Louis 3 vs. Chicago 2

NHL Game 7 Playoff History (2012-2019)

Including the five games from this year's postseason, there have been 175 all-time Game 7’s in the NHL Playoffs and the home squad owns a 102-73 (58%) record.

Last year, road teams went 2-1 in Game 7's and the visitors scored 14 goals in those games which led to a 2-1 'over' mark.

In this year's playoffs, the home team has gone 4-1 in Game 7's and the 'over' has gone 3-2 in those games. Carolina has been the only visitor to win a Game 7 this year, earning a 4-3 decision at Washington in the first round.

2019
Colorado 2 at San Jose 3
Dallas 1 at St. Louis 2 (OT)
Toronto 1 at Boston 5
Vegas 4 at San Jose 5 (OT)
Carolina 4 at Washington 3 (OT)

2018
Washington Capitals 4 at Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Winnipeg Jets 5 at Nashville Predators 1
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 at Boston Bruins 7

2017
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 at Washington Capitals 0
Edmonton Oilers 1 at Anaheim Ducks 2

2016
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 at Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Nashville Predators 0 at San Jose Sharks 5
St. Louis Blues 6 at Dallas Stars 1
Nashville Predators 2 at Anaheim Ducks 1
Chicago Blackhawks 2 at St. Louis Blues 3

2015
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 at New York Rangers 0
Chicago Blackhawks 5 at Anaheim Ducks 3
New York Rangers 2 at Washington Capitals 1
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 at Detroit Red Wings 0
Washington Capitals 2 at New York Islanders 1

2014
Los Angeles Kings 5 at Chicago Blackhawks 4 (OT)
Los Angeles Kings 6 at Anaheim Ducks 2
Montreal Canadiens 3 at Boston Bruins 1
New York Rangers 2 at Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Philadelphia Flyers 3 at New York Rangers 4
Minnesota Wild 5 at Colorado Avalanche 4
Los Angeles Kings 5 at San Jose Sharks 1

2013
New York Rangers 5 at Washington Capitals 0
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 at Boston Bruins 5 (OT)
Detroit Red Wings 3 at Anaheim Ducks 2
Detroit Red Wings 1 at Chicago Blackhawks 2 (OT)
San Jose Sharks 1 at Los Angeles Kings 2

2012
Ottawa Senators 1 at New York Rangers 2
Washington Capitals 2 at Boston Bruins 1 (OT)
New Jersey Devils 3 at Florida Panthers 2 (2OT)
Washington Capitals 1 at New York Rangers 2

 
Posted : June 12, 2019 6:57 am
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St. Louis Blues vs. Boston Bruins Preview and Predictions 06-12-2019 in NHL

An 82-game regular season and two pressure-packed months of playoff hockey have taken NHL fans on an exhilarating adventure, one filled with myriad memories and answers to every question except the identity of the champion. The wild ride enters its final turn on Wednesday as the visiting St. Louis Blues and Boston Bruins battle for supremacy in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final.

While the City of Boston prepares to host its first Game 7 in a championship round since the NBA's Celtics in 1984, the core group of Bruins -- namely Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand, David Krejci, captain Zdeno Chara and Tuukka Rask -- previously traversed this terrain by suiting up in a winner-take-all contest in Vancouver in 2011. "(The) leadership group's been there; they've been in a Game 7 before, in the Stanley Cup Final," Boston coach Bruce Cassidy said. "They've lived it. We've been in Game 7 at home against Toronto this (season). Stanley Cup's not at stake, but if you don't win (that game), you have no chance at (the Cup)." St. Louis' chances for its first championship in franchise history looked bleak at best just three days into the calendar year, with the club residing in the basement of the league's standings. "Listen, if you told me four months ago we were going to be in the finals in Game 7, I think I'd take it," Blues coach Craig Berube said. "We've been a good road team (9-3 in the playoffs). We've won twice up there in this series, so we're a confident group."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, Sportsnet, TVAS

ABOUT THE BLUES: Ryan O'Reilly has scored four goals and set up another in his last three games to push his overall playoff point total to 21 (seven goals, 14 assists), matching a franchise record with Hall of Famers Doug Gilmour (1986), Bernie Federko (1986) and Brett Hull (1990). Jordan Binnington, who yielded four goals on 31 shots in a 5-1 setback in Game 6 on Sunday, will have a second chance to set the single postseason rookie win total of 16 should he rebound after a loss. The 25-year-old has posted a 7-2 mark with a 1.86 goals-against average in games after defeats in the playoffs.

ABOUT THE BRUINS: Rask added to his potential Conn Smythe Trophy-winning resume by turning aside 28 shots on Sunday, including 12 while St. Louis was on the power play. The 2014 Vezina Trophy recipient sports a sparkling .938 save percentage in the playoffs, a total that elevates to .973 (145 saves on 149 shots) in elimination games this spring. Rask, who served as a backup to Tim Thomas on Boston's 2011 championship-winning team, was stellar for all but a disastrous 17-second span in the Bruins' eventual Stanley Cup Final run that resulted in a heartbreaking loss to Chicago.

OVERTIME

1. Home teams own a 12-4 record in Game 7s of the Stanley Cup Final, although the road club has won each of the last two (Pittsburgh in 2009, Boston in 2011).

2. Like the Bruins, the Blues also captured a win in Game 7 of the 2019 playoffs after St. Louis native Patrick Maroon scored in double overtime against Dallas on May 7.

3. Chara will play in his 14th Game 7, passing Hall of Famers Patrick Roy and Scott Stevens for the most in the NHL.

PREDICTION: Bruins 3, Blues 1
__________________

 
Posted : June 12, 2019 9:13 am
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NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, June 12

St. Louis @ Boston

Game 13-14
June 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
14.102
Boston
12.648
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+150); Over
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Posted : June 12, 2019 9:14 am
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NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, June 12

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ST LOUIS (60-36-0-11, 131 pts.) at BOSTON (64-31-0-10, 138 pts.) - 6/12/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 28-9 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-25 ATS (-4.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 60-47 ATS (+2.1 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 45-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 128-104 ATS (+234.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 44-26 ATS (+10.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-6 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
ST LOUIS is 31-22 ATS (+5.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
ST LOUIS is 23-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
ST LOUIS is 39-26 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 27-14 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 297-249 ATS (-106.6 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-6 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-6-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)
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Posted : June 12, 2019 9:15 am
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NHL

Wednesday, June 12

Trend Report

St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Boston
St. Louis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games at home
Boston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Boston is 5-12-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against St. Louis
__________________

 
Posted : June 12, 2019 9:15 am
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