Betting Recap - Week 6
By Daniel Dobish
VegasInsider.com
National Football League Week 6 Results
Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 4-9
Against the Spread 2-11
Home-Away
Straight Up 5-8
Against the Spread 5-8
Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-6
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Dolphins (+13.5, ML +700) at Falcons, 20-17
Giants (+13.5, ML +600) at Broncos, 23-10
Bears (+5.5, ML +190) at Ravens, 27-24 (OT)
The largest favorite to cover
Texans (-7.5) vs. Browns, 33-17
Saints (-5.5) vs. Lions, 52-38
Jets Overhead
The New York Jets fell short in their upset bid against the New England Patriots, 24-17, but they were able to cover at home against their division rivals for the fifth consecutive time. They're also an impressive 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine meetings overall in this series. The Jets continue to bang covers, too, as they are now a perfect 4-0 ATS over the past four outings heading into next week's road trip in Miami.
Even-Week Blues
The Jacksonville Jaguars dropped a 27-17 decision against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 6, as a very strange trend continues to the Jags. They're now 3-0 SU/ATS in odd-numbered weeks, and 0-3 SU/ATS in weeks with an even number. As previously mentioned, the good news is that the Jags will have a bye in Week 8. If you believe in trends, they'll cover next weekend's game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts. They opened as three-point favorites over Indy, as they look to improve on their 5-1 ATS mark over the past six road games. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five against AFC South foes, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four vs. the Colts. Jacksonville is also an impressive 7-3 ATS in their past 10 trips to Indianapolis, so perhaps the trend continues into next week.
Total Recall
Sunday Night Football was a lopsided affair for most of the game, but not the same anyone envisioned. N.Y. Giants-Denver (37.5) had the lowest total on the board because of multiple injuries to skill position players for the previously winless G-Men. They weren't supposed to be able to score against Denver's vaunted defense, but it was the other way around. There were just 33 points scored in the game, with 23 surprisingly coming from New York.
The second-lowest total on the board -- Chicago-Baltimore (39.5) easily cashed 'over', as the two sides needed overtime to decide a winner. A 21-point flurry in the final quarter pushed the total over the number. The next lowest total was L.A. Rams-Jacksonville (42), and that was helped out by defensive and special teams scores. In fact, 'under' bettors probably couldn't believe their misfortune when Pharoh Cooper returned the opening kickoff 103 yards for a score. Even with crazy start, which featured 31 points in the first quarter, the total just went over as there were only 13 points in the final three quarters.
The Detroit-New Orleans (50.5) line was the highest total on the board, and the Saints actually took care of the over themselves. This game was outstanding if you like scoring, and in a multitude of ways. There were five passing touchdowns, two running scores, three pick-sixes, a scoop and score, a punt return for touchdown and a pair of field goals.
The 'Over' is 10-9 (52.6%) through the first 19 primetime games of the 2017 season, with Monday's game between the Indianapolis Colts-Tennessee Titans (48) pending. Officially, the 'over' finished 27-24 (52.9%) through 51 games under the lights in 2016. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56%) in 2013.
Injury Report
Broncos WR Emmanuel Sanders (leg) suffered a lower right leg injury in the second half and he was unable to put any weight on his foot before finally being carted to the locker room from the sidelines.
Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston (shoulder) was knocked out of the loss in Arizona due to a shoulder injury, but he apparently checked out all right after the game. He tried throwing on the sidelines, but was unable to throw how he liked so he was held out for the remainder of the game.
Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (collarbone) sustained a broken collarbone early in the first half in Minnesota, totally changing the complexion of that game. Rodgers might be in danger of missing the remainder of the season.
Looking Ahead
The Chiefs suffered their first loss of the season at the hands of the Steelers. They won't have to wait long to take out their frustrations, as they travel to meet the skidding Raiders. Kansas City has covered 14 of their past 17 on the road, while going 6-0 ATS in their past six inside the AFC West. The Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning record, and just 3-7 ATS over their past 10 appearances on Thursday. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings with the Raiders, while going an impressive 11-3 ATS in their past 14 trips to the Black Hole. The road team has covered 21 in the past 28 meetings in this series. Kansas City opened as 2 1/2-point favorites. The under is also 18-6 in the past 24 meetings.
As mentioned, the Jets have covered four in a row. For whatever reason, Week 7 has been lucky for them, too, as they're 6-0-1 ATS in their past seven games during the week. The Dolphins are just 5-11 ATS in their past 16 divisional games, and 5-16 ATS in their past 21 home meetings with Gang Green. The Jets are 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings in this series, including a 20-6 win on Sept. 24 in the Meadowlands.
The Cardinals and Rams hook up in London, and the Rams are looking to get on track against the number. L.A. is just 1-10-1 ATS over their past 12 against NFC foes, and 0-5 ATS in their past five against teams with a losing record. They have also failed to cover in each of their past five inside the division. The Cardinals have covered six of the past eight meetings.
The Bengals hit the road to meet the up-and-down Steelers. Cincinnati is 4-0 ATS in the past four road games, but they're just 3-7-1 ATS in their past 11 against teams with a winning record. Pittsburgh has owned this series against the number, going 19-7-2 ATS in the past 28 in the series, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven home meetings with the Stripes. The 'under' is 5-1 in the past six meetings, and 7-1 in the past eight meetings at Heinz Field.
The Broncos meet the Chargers in L.A., and hope their luck is as good as it was in San Diego. The Broncos covered five of their past six in this series in the old home of the Chargers. The road team is 10-3-2 ATS in the past 15 meetings, including a 24-21 push when the Bolts rallied but came up short in Week 1 in the Mile High City.
The Redskins meet the Eagles on Monday night, and Washington looks to maintain their dominance in the series. The 'Skins are 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings, and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 trips to Philly. Washington will be looking to exact a little revenge after a rare Philadelphia win, 30-17, back in Week 1 in the nation's capital.