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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 14

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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : December 5, 2023 9:53 am
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NFL Betting Angles

 
Posted : December 5, 2023 10:22 am
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NFL Long Sheet Week 14

 
Posted : December 5, 2023 10:24 am
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NFL Dunkel Week 14

 
Posted : December 6, 2023 10:26 am
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 14

Thursday’s game
Patriots
(2-10) @ Steelers (7-5)
— Patriots lost five in row, eight of last nine games (1-8 ATS).
— Last three games, NE was outscored 16-3 in first half.
— NE lost last four games by 3-4-3-6 points.
— Last three games, Patriots scored one TD on 30 drives.
— New England is minus-9 in turnovers this year.
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-35 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 82-100 without Brady.
— Zappe is 2-1 as an NFL starting QB, Mac James 18-26.
— Last three games, Patriots held opponents to 264-220-241 yards.
— Under is 9-2-1 in New England games this season.
— AFC East teams are 11-17 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 11-1. Opponents’ team total: 6-6 over

— Steelers scored 10-16-10 points in their last three games.
— They fired their offensive coordinator last week.
— Steelers are 4-3 SU/ATS at home this year.
— Steelers are 16-20 ATS last 36 games as a home favorite.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh was outscored 20-6 in first half.
— Last five games, Pittsburgh ran ball for 165.2 yards/game.
— Last 11 games, Steelers have a +11 turnover margin.
— Steelers are 13-7 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 10-2 in Steeler games.
— Backup QB Trubisky is 31-26 as NFL starter, 2-3 with Pittsburgh.
— AFC North home favorites are 10-3-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-4-2. Opponents’ team total: under 6-6

— New England won six of last seven meetings.
— Patriots are 6-3-1 ATS in last ten visits to Pittsburgh.
— Last six series games stayed under the total.

Sunday’s games
Buccaneers
(5-7) @ Falcons (6-6)
— Bucs lost six of last eight games (4-2 ATS last six)
— Bucs are 0-6 when they allow more than 18 points.
— Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU/5-1 ATS on road this year.
— Bucs have 18 takeaways in 12 games (+6 turnovers)
— Last three games, opponents were 9-38 on third down.
— Bucs are 15-13 ATS in last 28 NFC South road games.
— Under is 8-4 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Buccaneers are 11-10 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Tampa is 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Mayfield is 37-46 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Team total: under 6-5-2. Opponents’ team total: under 7-5-1

— Falcons lost three of their last five games.
— Last two games, Atlanta didn’t allow a TD, on 22 drives.
— underdogs covered six of Atlanta’s last seven games.
— Atlanta is 1-4-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— under Smith, Falcons are 2-9-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last four games, Falcons were 25-54 on third down.
— Last three games, Atlanta is +4 in turnovers (6-2)
— Atlanta is 18-23-3 in last 44 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Falcons are 4-1 ATS in last five NFC South home games.
— Ridder is 8-6 as an NFL starting QB.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine Atlanta games.
— Team total: under 6-5-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5-2

— Falcons (+2.5) won 16-13 in Tampa back in Week 7.
— Buccaneers won six of last eight series games.
— Bucs are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Atlanta.
— Over is 9-3 in last 12 meetings.

Lions (9-3) @ Bears (4-8)
— Lions are 8-2 SU/6-4 ATS in their last ten games.
— Lions gave up 37-38-29 points in their three losses.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 4-1 ATS as road favorite (4-0 TY).
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 11-6 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 31-14-1 ATS overall.
— Last three games, Detroit is minus-3 in turnovers (4-7)
— Last four games, Lions ran ball for 162.5 yards/game.
— Opponents converted 11 of last 23 third down plays (47.8%).
— Goff is 65-51-1 as an NFL starter, 21-20-1 with the Lions.
— over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Lions covered their last five NFC North road games.
— Team total: under 6-6. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5

— Chicago is 2-6 when Fields starts at QB, 2-2 when Bagent starts.
— Bears are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
— Last four games, Bears ran ball for 145 yards/game.
— Chicago is 2-8 when it scores less than 30 points
— In Fields starts, Bears are 45-110 (40.9%) on third down.
— In Bagent’s four starts, Bears were 26-54 (48.1%) on third down.
— Fields is 7-26 as an NFL starter.
— For season, Bears have been outscored 159-115 in second half.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 13-33 SU/18-26-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 6-8 ATS in last 14 games as home underdogs (2-1 TY).
— Chicago is 2-7 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
— Four of their five games stayed under the total.
— Bears are 1-10 ATS in last 11 NFC North home games.
— Team total: under 7-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5

— Bears (+8) lost 31-26 at Detroit three weeks ago.
— Lions scored 17 points in last 3:00 of that game.
— Detroit won last three meetings, scoring 41-31-31 points.
— Lions are 2-4-1 ATS in last seven visits to Chicago.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games played here.

Colts (7-5) @ Bengals (6-6)
— Indianapolis won/covered last four games.
— Colts scored 27-31 points in their last two games.
— Colts are 0-5 giving up 29+ points, 7-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— QB Minshew is 13-19 as an NFL starter, 5-3 TY.
— Colts won/covered four of five true road games TY.
— In its last four games, Indy was +6 in turnovers (9-3)
— Colts are 11-12 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Over is 5-2 in Indy’s last seven games.
— Colts are 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Team total: over 9-2-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-6

— Short week for Cincinnati after their win Monday night.
— Bengals lost three of last four games, giving up 30+ points three times.
— QB Burrow is out for the year.
— QB Browning was 32-37/354 passing Monday, his 2nd NFL start.
— Bengals are 5-1 giving up 20 or less points, 1-5 allowing more than 2o.
— Last eight games, Bengals are +7 in turnovers. (14-7)
— Cincinnati split six home games this year (losses by 3-3-6 points)
— Cincinnati is 16-10-2 ATS in last 28 home games.
— Bengals are 11-3 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win (2-2 TY).
— Bengals are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Three of Bengals’ last four games went over total.
— Team total: under 8-4. Opponents’ team total: under 6-6

— Bengals won four of last six series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Colts are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Cincinnati.
— Over is 4-1 last five meetings.

Jaguars (8-4) @ Browns (7-5)
— Short week for Jacksonville after Monday night’s loss
— QB Lawrence has high ankle sprain (check status)
— Jaguars won/covered seven of their last nine games.
— Last three games, Jags outscored foes 40-21 in first half.
— This season, Jags are 6-0 SU/ATS outside Jacksonville.
— since 2018, Jags are 13-22-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Pederson, Jaguars are 6-5 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last two games, opponents are 14-27 on third down.
— Jaguars are minus-5 in turnovers in their losses (+4 in wins).
— Pederson is 64-52-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 20-26 as an NFL starter.
— Backup QB Beathard is 2-10 as an NFL starter (last start, 2020)
— Team total: over 6-5-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-5

— Unclear which QB will start; Flacco is back on practice squad.
— Browns have started four different QB’s in 12 games.
— Cleveland lost last two weeks, giving up 29-36 points.
— Last three games, Browns scored 13-12-19 points (4 TD’s/35 drives)
— Last 3 weeks, Browns ran ball for 96.7 yards/game (151.2/previous five).
— Last three games, Cleveland is minus-4 in turnovers (1-5)
— Browns are 8-3-2 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Browns are 5-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-5 allowing 24+.
— Cleveland won/covered five of six home games TY.
— Opponents have converted only 42-152 (27.6%) third down plays.
— over is 5-2 in last seven Cleveland games.
— AFC North teams are 19-13-1 outside the division.
— Team total: over 8-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-6

— These teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Jaguars won three of last four series games.
— Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in last seven visits here.
— Under is 4-3 in last seven series games played here.

Panthers (1-11) @ Saints (5-7)
— Carolina lost his last five games (2-3 ATS)
— Panthers fired their coach and two assistants last week.
— Carolina is 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS on road, losing by 14-10-18-21-3-7-3.
— Last eight games, Panthers were outscored 126-49 in first half.
— In six post-bye games, Panthers scored six TD’s on 59 drives.
— In six post-bye games, Carolina scored 13.2 ppg.
— Carolina is 10-19-1 ATS in last 30 games following a loss.
— Young’s nine starts (1-10), Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started (5.5 ypa)
— Last six games, Carolina was held to 224-275-213-187-258-282 yards.
— Panthers are 12-14 ATS in last 26 NFC South road games.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Team total: under 8-4. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5

— Saints lost last three games, giving up 27-24-33 points.
— Saints were outscored 62-19 in first half of those games.
— New Orleans is 4-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 20.
— Opponents have nine TD’s on their last 31 drives.
— Last three games, New Orleans is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Last five games, Saints were 29-66 on third down.
— Saints are 2-3 SU/0-5 ATS at home this season.
— NO is 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite (0-4 TY)
— Last four games, Saints gave up 162.8 rushing yards/game.
— over is 4-2 in Saints’ last six games.
— New Orleans is 0-4 ATS in last four NFC South home games.
— Team total: under 8-4. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5

— Saints (-3) beat Carolina 20-17 in Charlotte in Week 2.
— Panthers won three of last four series games.
— Carolina is 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Bourbon Street.
— Last five meetings stayed under the total.

Texans (7-5) @ Jets (4-8)
— Houston won four of its last five games.
— Texans’ last six games were decided by 2-2-3-5-3-5 points.
— Underdogs covered eight of their last ten games.
— since 2016, Houston is 1-6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three games, opponents are 10-34 on third down.
— Texans are 3-2 SU/ATS on road this season.
— Last five weeks, Texans scored 26.6 points/game.
— Houston is 11-13-1 in last 25 games coming off a win.
— Stroud is 7-5 as an NFL starter.
— last two weeks, Texans were +4 in turnovers (4-0)
— six of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— Team total: under 7-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 9-3

— #3 QB Boyle got cut Tuesday; Siemian would be 4th starter TY.
— Jets lost last five games, scoring 9.0 ppg.
— In six post-bye games, Jets scored three TD’s on 71 drives.
— Jets scored 22-31-20-13 points in wins, 10-10-20-6-12-6-13-8 in losses.
— Jets have been outscored 157-81 in first half of games.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 8-12 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 15-23 ATS as an underdog
— Last ten games, Jets converted 32-147 (21.8%) third down plays.
— Jets have scored ten TD’s, have 48 3/outs on 134 drives.
— Siemian is 13-17 as an NFL starter; Zach Wilson is 11-20.
— Jets are 24-37 ATS in last 61 games coming off a loss.
— AFC East underdogs are 4-9 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 8-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 8-4

— Houston won three of last four series games.
— Texans are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to the Garden State.
— under is 6-3 in last nine meetings.

Rams (7-6) @ Ravens (9-3)
— Rams won last three games, giving up 16-14-19 points.
— LA is 4-0 giving up 16 or less points, 2-6 giving up 19+ points.
— Rams are 3-3 SU/3-2-1 ATS on road this season.
— Rams are 5-2 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 78-35 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Rams outscored last three opponents 49-18 in second half.
— Stafford is 25-16 as a starter with the Rams.
— LA is 2-7-1 ATS last ten games as a road underdog (1-2-1 TY)
— Rams are 3-6-1 ATS last eight games coming off a win.
— Under is 5-3 in Rams’ last eight games.
— LA is 5-8-2 ATS last 15 games vs AFC opponents.
— Team total: under 6-5-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-4-1

— Ravens won six of last seven games (5-2 ATS).
— Last five games, Baltimore scored 17 TD’s on 52 drives.
— Last four games, they ran ball for 298-106-157-197 yards.
— Last nine games, Ravens outscored foes 156-41 in first half.
— Baltimore is 4-2 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Ravens are 9-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in last five games coming off a bye.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +8 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 55-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 4-2 in Baltimore’s last five games.
— AFC North teams are 19-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 8-4. Opponents’ team total: under 8-3-1

— Ravens won four of last five series games.
— Rams won last visit here 20-19 in 2021, scoring a late TD.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.

Vikings (6-6) @ Raiders (5-7)
— Vikings lost last two games, by total of three points.
— Minnesota was minus-5 in turnovers (2-7) in those games.
— Last seven games, Minnesota is 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS
— Minnesota is 5-6 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)
— Vikings are 5-3 when they allow less than 27 points.
— Minnesota has lost field position battle in 11 of 12 games.
— Overall, Dobbs is 2-11 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games coming off a bye
— Under is 8-2 in Minnesota’s last ten games.
— NFC North underdogs are 9-11-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 6-6. Opponents’ team total: under 8-3-1

— Las Vegas is 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS since its coaching change.
— In those games, opponents were 18-50 on third down.
— Last three games, Raiders 16-13-17 points.
— Home team won 8 of Raiders’ last 9 games (7-2 ATS).
— Raiders won/covered four of last five home games.
— Last six games, Las Vegas is 25-75 on third down.
— Raiders are 1-5 SU/ATS in last six post-bye games.,
— Raiders are 13-12-1 ATS last 26 games as a home underdog.
— Under is 9-3 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
— Las Vegas is 13-23-2 ATS in last 38 games vs NFC teams.
— Team total: under 11-1. Opponents’ team total: under 8-4

— Vikings won three of last four series games.
— This is their first visit to Las Vegas.
— Last five meetings went over the total.

Seahawks (6-6) @ 49ers (9-3)
— Seattle lost last three games, giving up 17-31-41 points.
— Seahawks are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-5 scoring less than 20.
— Seahawks were outscored 101-30 in second half of their losses.
— Last six games, Seattle converted 21-78 (26.9%) third down plays.
— Seattle is 16-13 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 15-9-1 ATS in its last 25 games as a road dog (3-2 TY).
— Geno Smith is 28-35 as an NFL starter, 16-17 with Seattle.
— Seahawks are 5-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 1-6 if they don’t.
— Seattle is 3-3 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Over is 3-1 in Seattle’s last four games.
— Seahawks are 4-6 ATS in last ten NFC West road games.
— Team total: under 7-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-4-1

— SF scored 34-27-31-42 points in winning its three post-bye games.
— 49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17 in losses.
— Last four weeks, 49ers were +6 in turnovers (6-0)
— 49ers have outscored opponents 157-89 in 2nd half.
— SF ran ball for 169-146 yards in their last two games.
— 49ers are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS as a home favorite TY.
— SF is 14-12 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
— 49ers are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— SF is 7-3 ATS in last ten NFC West home games.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 16-4 as NFL starter.
— Team total: over 8-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-6

— 49ers (-7) won 31-13 in Seattle two weeks ago.
— SF outgained Seahawks 377-220, led 24-3 at the half.
— 49ers won last four series games.
— Seattle is 7-3 ATS in last ten visits to San Antonio
— Over is 7-3 in last ten meetings.

Broncos (6-6) @ Chargers (5-7)
— Broncos are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in their last six games.
— Three of those five wins were by 1 or 2 points.
— Denver was minus-3 in turnovers LW (+11 in previous 4 games)
— Broncos outscored last five opponents 64-46 in first half.
— Denver is 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS on road this season.
— Last three weeks, Denver converted 8-37 on third down.
— Broncos are 11-14-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Denver is 17-14-1 ATS last 32 games as a road underdog.
— Six of last eight Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Russell Wilson is 123-77-1 as an NFL starter, 10-17 with Denver.
— Denver is 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 AFC West road games.
— Team total: under 7-5. Opponents’ team total: under 7-5

— LA is 3-5 since its bye, with three losses by 3 points.
— Chargers are 0-5 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— under Staley, Chargers are 10-11-2 ATS at home.
— Chargers lost four of six home games this season.
— under Staley, Bolts are 9-8-2 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Chargers have 11 takeaways (+8) in wins, three (minus-7) in losses.
— Herbert is 30-32 as an NFL starter.
— Opponents are 18-70 on 3rd down in LA wins, 36-86 in losses.
— Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Charger games.
— Chargers are 5-2 in last seven AFC West home games.
— Team total: under 6-5-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-5

— Teams split their last six meetings (home teams 6-0 SU/4-0-2 ATS)
— Broncos are 2-4-2 ATS in last eight road series games.
— Under is 9-1 in last 10 series games where Chargers were home.

Bills (6-6) @ Chiefs (8-4)
— Buffalo is 3-5 SU in its last eight games (1-6-1 ATS).
— Buffalo fired OC Dorsey two weeks ago.
— Bills are 6-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-6 giving up more than 20.
— Last two games, Buffalo has a +3 turnover ratio (5-2).
— Bills are 8-3-2 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Buffalo outscored last 11 foes 169-92 in second half.
— Josh Allen is 53-35 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 7-0 SU/4-2-1 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Buffalo is 2-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.
— Team total: over 7-5. Opponents’ team total: under 6-5-1

— Chiefs lost three of last five games, after a 6-1 start.
— Last five games, Chiefs were outscored 54-30 in second half.
— In last five games, Chiefs gained 6+ yards/pass attempt once.
— KC has outscored opponents 192-94 in first half.
— Chiefs have 11 takeaways in their wins (+1), 3 in losses (minus-5)
— KC is 13-15 ATS in last 28 games as a home favorite (3-2 TY).
— Chiefs held eight of last ten foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.
— Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in last six games coming off a loss.
— Mahomes is 83-23 SU as an NFL starter.
— AFC West teams are 13-19-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 9-3. Opponents’ team total: under 9-3

— Buffalo won last two meetings (24-20/38-20), both at Arrowhead.
— Bills are 9-4 ATS in last 13 visits to Kansas City.
— Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.

Eagles (10-2) @ Cowboys (9-3)
— Eagles won 10 of first 12 games (6-3-3 ATS)
— Last three games, Eagles were outscored 48-20 in first half.
— Philly ran for 46 yards LW, their least YR this season.
— Last eight games, Philly is minus-6 in turnovers.
— Last six games, Eagles have 23 TD’s on 59 drives.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-8 ATS as an underdog.
— Eagles scored 21+ points in all of their wins, 14-19 in losses.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 35-15 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-5 ATS coming off a loss.
— Hurts is 35-15 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Eagles were minus-4 in turnovers in their two losses (+6 in wins).
— Team total: over 7-4-1. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5

— Cowboys won/covered six of last seven games.
— Last four weeks, Dallas scored 42 points/game.
— Dallas scored 16-10-23 points in losses, 37.7 ppg in wins.
— Dallas won its five home games TY by 20-35-23-32-35-6 points.
— Cowboys are 15-6 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite (5-1 TY)
— Cowboys are +12 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Dallas is 17-13 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win.
— QB Prescott is 73-42 as an NFL starter.
— Last four games, Cowboys are 27-52 on third down.
— Dallas is 8-1 ATS in last nine NFC East home games.
— Last six Dallas games went over the total.
— Team total: over 9-3. Opponents’ team total: under 6-5-1

— Dallas (+3) lost 28-23 at Philly in Week 9.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last five visits to Dallas.
— Last five meetings went over the total.

Monday’s games
Packers
(6-6) @ Giants (4-8)
— Packers won four of last five games, after an 0-4 skid.
— Green Bay outscored last two foes 39-12 in first half.
— Last three games, Packers are +5 in turnovers (5-0)
— Packers are 2-4 SU/ATS on the road this year.
— Last five games, Green Bay is 32-65 on third down.
— Packers are 2-7-1 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
— Jordan Love is 6-7 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 6-7-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Last four games, Green Bay gave up 205-150-140-148 rushing yards.
— Team total: under 6-6. Opponents’ team total: under 8-4

— Giants won their last two games, giving up 19-7 points.
— Last five weeks, Big Blue was outscored 68-24 in first half.
— Rookie QB DeVito won two of his first three NFL starts.
— Last five weeks, Giants are 14-70 on third down.
— Giants are averaging only 258.8 yards/game this season.
— Last eight games, Giants are +13 in turnovers.
— Giants are 7-4-1 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.
— since 2018, Big Blue is 11-20-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under is 9-3 in Giant games this season.
— NFC East teams are 16-16-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 8-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-6

— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to the Garden State
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Titans (4-8) @ Dolphins (9-3)
— Titans lost six of their last eight games SU.
— Tennessee is 0-7 SU/1-6 ATS away from home this year.
— Titans are 1-4 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Tennessee fired its special teams coach TW, after six years there.
— Titans are 3-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-7 scoring 17 or less.
— Last seven games, Tennessee converted 25-82 (30.5%) on third down.
— Tennessee is 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Titans are minus-5 in turnovers (8-13) so far this season.
— Rookie QB Levis is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
— Titans scored 3 TD’s on 26 drives in his three road starts.
— Seven of their last ten games stayed under total.
— Team total: under 8-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-3-3

— Dolphins won four of their last five games.
— Miami outscored last four opponents 51-15 in second half.
— Favorites are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
— Miami scored 31+ points in seven of nine wins; 20-17-14 in losses.
— Last eight games, Miami is minus-6 in turnovers (10-16).
— Overall, Dolphins have scored 47 TD’s on 125 drives.
— Last two games, Miami converted 18-29 third down plays.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 8-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 10-6 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 3-2 in their home games this year.
— Tagovailoa is 30-16 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 7-5. Opponents’ team total: under 8-4

— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Titans are 3-4 ATS in their last seven visits to Miami.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

 
Posted : December 6, 2023 10:28 am
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