NY JETS (8 - 5) at DALLAS (4 - 9) - 12/19/2015, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.
DALLAS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NY JETS vs. DALLAS
NY Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Dallas
NY Jets are 7-17 SU in their last 24 games on the road
Dallas is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets at Dallas
New York: 6-3 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders
Dallas: 1-7 ATS in games played on turf
StatFox Super Situations
NY JETS at DALLAS
Play Under - Home teams against the total off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more, team with a losing record in the second half of the season 41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.7 units )
NY JETS at DALLAS
Play On - Any team vs the money line (DALLAS) average passing team (185-230 PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game 38-19 over the last 10 seasons. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
NFL Week 15
Jets (8-5) @ Cowboys (4-9) -- Jets won last three games, scoring 30.3 ppg; they're in 3-way battle for two Wild Card slots. Dallas is 1-8 in games started by backups; in their last three games they were outscored 40-6 in first half, with no TDs. Cowboys are 1-5 at home, with only win by point over Giants in Week 1. Jets are +15 in turnovers in their eight wins, -13 in five losses; Cowboys has eight takeaways all season (-15). Gang Green lost its last three true road games by 7-14-7 points- their only true road victory was 20-7 at Indy in Week 2. Dallas is 7-3 in series, with all seven wins by 10+ points; Jets lost two of three visits here, with last visit in '07. NFC East non-divisional underdogs are 8-13 vs spread, 4-5 at home; AFC East road favorites are 4-6. Under is 4-1 in last five games for both teams.
Armadillosports.com
Jets travel to Dallas
By Sportsbook.ag
NEW YORK JETS (8-5) at DALLAS COWBOYS (4-9)
Sportsbook.ag Line: New York -3.5, Total: 42
The struggling Cowboys will be hosting a Jets team that is hungry for a chance to play in the postseason on Saturday.
New York looked like it was ready to fade away in the AFC playoff race, but the team has won three straight games. The Jets dominated the Titans in New York in Week 14, winning 30-8 as an eight-point home favorite. They are now 2-0-1 ATS in their past three contests and their last two games have gone Under the total.
The Cowboys, meanwhile, lost 28-7 in Green Bay last week. Dallas has won two of its past three games both SU and ATS. The team has also gone Under the total in its previous two games heading into this contest.
The Jets and Cowboys have met just five times since 1992. Dallas is 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in those contests and three of the five have gone Under the total. Favoring the Jets in this one is the fact that the Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in home games after failing to cover in two of their past three games over the last three seasons. The Cowboys are, however, an impressive 33-17 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points since 1992.
The Jets were supposed to be relying on their defense this season, but they have actually been explosive on the offensive side of the ball over the past few weeks. Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing the best football of his life for New York, throwing for nine touchdowns and zero interceptions over the past three weeks. He has thrown for 263 yards or more in each of those games and will look to stay hot with a big performance on Saturday. He should be okay as long as he is giving his receivers a chance to make plays.
Eric Decker and Brandon Marshall have been one of the best pass-catching duos in the league this season, as Decker has 66 receptions for 875 yards and nine touchdowns and Marshall has 89 receptions for 1,187 yards and 11 touchdowns.
As long as the Jets can stop the run then they should be victorious in this game. That should not be a problem, as New York is allowing just 78.9 rushing yards per game (1st in NFL).
The Cowboys had high hopes this season, but a series of injuries has left Matt Cassel as the team’s starting quarterback. Cassel has not thrown a touchdown pass since Nov. 26 and he just is not getting the job done for Dallas. His completion percentage was 44.8% against the Packers and if he is not more effective on Saturday then he will likely lose his starting job.
The one thing that can keep the Cowboys in this game is the play of Darren McFadden. Dallas has been relying heavily on the running game and McFadden has answered the call, rushing for 798 yards with three touchdowns on the year. Not much was expected of him before the year, but he has been the least of Dallas’ concerns.
NFL's Biggest Betting Mismatches
By Jason Logan
New York Jets at Dallas Cowboys (+3.5, 42)
Jets’ third-down defense vs. Cowboys’ third-down troubles
The Cowboys welcome Gang Green to Jerry’s World for a special Saturday night showdown in Arlington. Dallas has sputtered on offense all season, despite having one of the most talented offensive lines in football. That line hasn’t lived up to the hype and has struggled to make way on even the shortest plays.
The Cowboys are dead last in the NFL in converting third-and-1 situations and have an overall conversion percentage of just over 35 percent on third downs this season. That number has dropped the past three weeks, with Big D moving the chains on third down less than 25 percent of the time. Dallas was a despicable 1 for 11 on third down in last week’s loss to Green Bay, and went 0 for 2 on fourth-down attempts.
New York enters Week 15 among the best teams in the NFL in ushering opponents off the field. The Jets have allowed foes to convert on third down in just under 34 percent of those plays, trimming that to 25 percent over the past three games – third in the league during that span. New York stumped Tennessee on all but three of their 14 third-down attempts last week and limited the Giants to 4 for 15 on third downs the week before.
Saturday Night Football Betting Preview: Jets at Cowboys
By Covers.com
New York Jets at Dallas Cowboys (+3.5, 41.5)
The New York Jets look for their fourth straight win and try to keep pace in the playoff race when they visit the Dallas Cowboys on Saturday night. The Jets currently hold the final wild-card berth but don't control their own destiny as they need to continue to pile up the victories and have either Pittsburgh or Kansas City lose another game to have a shot at the postseason.
Led by Ryan Fitzpatrick, the Jets' offense is firing on all cylinders. Fitzpatrick enters Saturday's game with 24 touchdown passes, just five shy of Vinny Testaverde's franchise record. His top targets, Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker, are also nearing milestones - Marshall is six receptions away from breaking Al Toon's team single-season mark of 93 and Decker needs 125 yards to reach 1,000 for the season. Dallas' offense is quite the opposite, falling completely apart since Tony Romo fractured his collarbone. Dez Bryant caught just one pass in the Cowboys' 28-7 loss at Green Bay last week and the Cowboys have plummeted to 28th in the league in total offense.
LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Cowboys as 3-point home dogs but that has moved to +3.5. The total opened at 42 but is down to 41.5.
POWER RANKINGS: Jets (-2.5) - Cowboys (+4) + home field (-3.0) = Jets -3.5
INJURY REPORT:
Jets - WR Jeremy Kerley (Questionable, calf), DB Dion Bailey (Questionable, ankle), DB Marcus Williams (Questionable, knee), RB Zac Stacy (Out for season, ankle), WR Devin Smith (I-R, knee), DE Mike Catapano (I-R, foot), G Willie Colon (I-R, knee), K Nick Folk (I-R, quad), S Antonio Allen (I-R, Achilles), TE Jace Amaro (I-R, shoulder), TE Zach Sudfeld (I-R, knee).
Cowboys - DE Demarcus Lawrence (Questionable, chest), CB Morris Claiborne (Questionable, hamstring), OL Chaz Green (Questionable, hip), LB Mark Nzeocha (Questionable, knee), LB Rolando McClain (Questionable, concussion), QB Tony Romo (Out for season, collarbone), Ryan Russell (I-R, abdominal), RB Lance Dunbar (I-R, knee), DT Terrell McClain (I-R, toe), CB Orlando Scandrick (I-R, knee).
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "With a three TD effort against the Titans, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick set his career high for TD passes and is now ranked in the Top 10 in QB rating for the first time in his career. Dallas enters Saturday?s home game against the Jets riding a 12-26 ATS run at home dating back to the start of the 2011 campaign; just 1-5 SU and ATS at Jerry?s World this year." Covers Expert Teddy Covers.
ABOUT THE JETS (8-5 SU, 7-5-1 ATS, 7-6 O/U): New York has racked up 10 wins or more 10 times in its history and all 10 times it has reached the playoffs. This season, however, even 11 wins might not be enough for the Jets, who rank 10th in the NFL in points scored (25.0) and points allowed (19.7). New York lost receiver Devin Smith to a torn ACL last week and Jeremy Kerley is questionable with a calf injury, but its depth has been outstanding. Chris Ivory has rushed for 914 yards and his backup, Bilal Powell, has scored touchdowns in each of the past two weeks while amassing 190 yards from scrimmage.
ABOUT THE COWBOYS (4-9 SU, 4-9 ATS, 5-8 O/U): Bryant admitted that his surgically repaired foot was hurting after last week's game but Dallas has no plans of shutting him down for the season. Perhaps that's because the Cowboys, who are 1-5 at home, are still mathematically alive for a playoff berth, but even owner Jerry Jones admitted those chances are "very, very slim." Darren McFadden was the lone bright spot last week, gaining 111 yards on nine carries to leave him 202 yards shy of a 1,000-yard season that would net him a $300,000 bonus.
TRENDS:
* Jets are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in December.
* Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last five games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 4-1 in Jets last five games in December.
CONSENSUS: Seventy percent of Covers users are backing the Jets.
SNF - Jets at Cowboys
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com
After stealing a game on a Monday night in Landover to close out Week 13, the Cowboys held out hope that their season-long nightmare might have a happy ending after all. Last week in Green Bay, the Packers basically snuffed out those aspirations with a 28-7 rout.
While still not mathematically eliminated, Dallas has to win out and hope everyone else in the NFC East loses in the right combination to sneak into the playoffs as a 7-9 team. The Cowboys have won once without injured QB Tony Romo despite the fact he’s played only four games, leaving half of them with collarbone injuries. Brandon Weeden went 0-3 and is now in Houston. Matt Cassel is 1-5 in starts and has shown little improvement, throwing for 114 yards against the Packers and giving his team very little chance to be successful.
Dez Bryant was targeted seven times in Green Bay last Sunday and made a single nine-yard reception while recording multiple drops. Although he claims to be healthy after breaking his foot in Week 1, he’s also had knee issues and has a single 100-yard receiving game out of the eight he’s participated in. Bryant has got six catches for 97 yards over the last three games and has only scored a pair of touchdowns all season. We’ll see if the challenge of going one-on-one with Darrelle Revis sparks him to a vintage effort. The Cowboys need him to help Cassel be successful against a complicated opponent.
The Jets arrive in Dallas on a season-long three-game winning streak and have been installed as 3.5-point favorites on Saturday night. They’ll be playing away from East Rutherford for the first time since a Nov. 22 loss at Houston, having beaten the Dolphins and Titans in addition to a “road” game against the Giants. They’ve covered in all three wins, outscoring their vanquished foes by a combined margin of 91-48. Their success has them in the playoff hunt, threatening to end a postseason drought that dates back to 2010. Their 8-5 record is even with Pittsburgh and Kansas City, in the mix for the final two AFC Wild Card spots.
After Mark Sanchez, Geno Smith and stints kicking around the tires on Michael Vick and Matt Simms, New York has finally found its quarterback. Despite never reaching the playoffs himself in five previous stops, Ryan Fitzpatrick is enjoying a Pro Bowl-caliber season, currently up to a career-best 25 touchdown passes and just 11 interceptions. He’s been exceptional during this current Jets run, tossing for 930 yards and nine TDs without an interception.
Picks have been a problem for Fitzpatrick in the past – he threw 23 in one season in 2011 -- but he’s consistently avoided mistakes while establishing great chemistry with top targets Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker, who have already combined for 20 touchdowns and over 2,000 receiving yards. It’s definitely not a good week for the Cowboys to be down corner Morris Claiborne, who despite his struggles is one of the team’s most dynamic athletes. Defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli has done a nice job keeping the Cowboys in games despite their offensive woes, but he’ll likely be down a pair of key defenders. Claiborne is doubtful with a hamstring injury. LB Rolando McClain (concussion) has already been ruled out. DE DeMarcus Lawrence, Dallas’ sack leader with six, is probable after missing practice time with a chest injury and forms a dangerous duo up front with Greg Hardy.
The Jets will aim to keep the Cowboys pass rush from being overly aggressive with a heavy helping of the Chris Ivory-led run game and a steady diet of screens to Bilal Powell. Powell has a touchdown catch in each of the last two games and 20 receptions for 211 yards over the last four games. Ivory ranks fifth in the NFL with 914 rushing yards after posting a 101-yard day in Sunday’s 30-8 blowout of Tennessee. Dallas has the 18th-ranked defense against the run. New York ranks No. 1, surrendering just 78.9 yards per game. It will be interesting to see how they fare against formidable Cowboys offensive line that has helped spring Darren McFadden to four 100-yard rushing games since he became the starter on Oct. 25, eight games ago. He had runs of 50 and 45 yards against Green Bay that undoubtedly got the attention of the Jets defense in this week’s film study.
Total-wise, this is a weird game to get a grasp on since there are feared playmakers on both sides of the ball set to do battle. New York’s defensive front against the Dallas o-line. Bryant vs. Revis. Ivory vs. terrific Cowboys outside linebacker Sean Lee.
The number opened as high as 43 at a few offshore betting shops and has dropped to 41.5 as of Saturday morning. VegasInsider.com NFL totals expert Chris David believes the opener was high and agrees with the early move.
“The Cowboys have seen the ‘under’ go 8-5 this season and that includes a 4-1 run in their last five games. With Cassel at quarterback, Dallas is a one-dimensional team and they’re averaging 15 PPG in his seven starts this season. Defensively, the Cowboys are ranked ninth in total defense (334 YPG) and they are the third best team in time of possession. Two of the most important factors for winning ‘under’ tickets are a solid defense and a ball control offense, which Dallas certainly has.” explained David.
“The Jets have a little more pop on offense than the Cowboys but they’re definitely not a juggernaut and their offensive numbers are very inconsistent. At home, New York is averaging 27.9 PPG while nearly a touchdown less on the road (21.7 PPG). The Jets have slightly leaned to the ‘over’ (7-6) this season and with this number being so low, I wouldn’t be surprised to see another game go the high side knowing that the Jets have seen 41 or more combined points scored in 10 of their 13 games this season.”
The Jets have played in two primetime games this season and both went ‘under’ the total while Dallas is 3-1 to the ‘under’ in its four contests played under the lights in 2015.