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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 3

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(@shazman)
Posts: 57775
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 9/17/20

 
Posted : September 17, 2020 11:10 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57775
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

College football odds Week 3: Opening lines & odds movement
Patrick Everson

Quarterback Ian Book and Notre Dame, coming off a win but failing to cover against Duke, host South Florida in Week 3. PointsBet USA opened the Fighting Irish as 26-point favorites.

College football odds for Week 3 are on the betting board and already getting action. The ACC dots the list of key matchups, including No. 13 Central Florida facing a Georgia Tech team coming off a road upset of Florida State.

PointsBet USA provided insights on college football Week 3 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

College football Week 3 odds

These are the current College football Week 3 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of September 14.

Wake Forest at NC State odds

Opening line
North Carolina State -3, Over/Under 55.5

Why the line moved
PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said Monday that the Wolfpack moved to -2.5 this morning on interesting early betting splits. Sixty-five percent of tickets are on North Carolina State, but 60 percent of the point-spread money is on Wake Forest.

(13) UCF at Georgia Tech odds

Opening line
Georgia Tech +7.5, Over/Under 60

Why the line moved
PointsBet USA's Eichner said there was an early move to Central Florida -7, but more to stay in line with the market. Still, an opinion is forming. Ticket count is split 50/50, but about 80 percent of the early money is on UCF.

Charlotte at (11) North Carolina odds

Opening line
North Carolina -27, Over/Under 61

Why the line moved
This line bounced around quite a bit early at PointsBet USA, stretching to 28.5 Monday morning before pulling back to 27.5. Seventy percent of early spread bets and money are on big underdog Charlotte to cover.

(18) Miami at (16) Louisville odds

Opening line
Louisville -1.5, Over/Under 61

Why the line moved
This line is already up a full point Monday at PointsBet USA, with host Louisville 2.5-point chalk. But Miami has its share of takers, landing 70 percent of early money on the point spread, while Louisville is getting 65 percent of early tickets.

Syracuse at Pittsburgh odds

Opening line
Pittsburgh -20.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved
PointsBet USA moved to Pitt -21.5, thanks to early interest in the Panthers. "All Pitt in this one," Eichner said. "About 90 percent of spread tickets and handle are on the Panthers."

South Florida at (7) Notre Dame odds

Opening line
Notre Dame -26, Over/Under 53

Why the line moved
PointsBet USA's Eichner said this game is similar to Syracuse-Pitt early, with Notre Dame taking 90 percent of tickets and bets by Monday. However, there's not enough money in the pot to move the line yet.

Tulsa at (12) Oklahoma State odds

Opening line
Oklahoma State -22.5, Over/Under 65

Why the line moved
There was limited action and no movement yet on this game by Monday afternoon at PointsBet USA.

 
Posted : September 17, 2020 11:11 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57775
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103LA LAFAYETTE -104 GEORGIA ST
LA LAFAYETTE is 41-21 ATS (17.9 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

107WAKE FOREST -108 NC STATE
NC STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 56.5-63 in the last 3 seasons.

109UCF -110 GEORGIA TECH
GEORGIA TECH is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992.

113BOSTON COLLEGE -114 DUKE
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games as an favorite of 3.5-10 in the last 3 seasons.

115MIAMI -116 LOUISVILLE
MIAMI is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.

119SYRACUSE -120 PITTSBURGH
SYRACUSE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as an underdog of 10.5-21 since 1992.

121APPALACHIAN ST -122 MARSHALL
APPALACHIAN ST is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

123LIBERTY -124 W KENTUCKY
LIBERTY is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1992.

125LOUISIANA TECH -126 SOUTHERN MISS
SOUTHERN MISS are 51-33 ATS (14.7 Units) in the first month of the season since 1992.

127TEXAS ST -128 LA MONROE
LA MONROE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.

129SMU -130 NORTH TEXAS
SMU is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when the total >=63 in the last 3 seasons.

133NAVY -134 TULANE
TULANE is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons.

135TROY -136 MIDDLE TENN ST
MIDDLE TENN ST is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game since 1992.

141TULSA -142 OKLAHOMA ST
OKLAHOMA ST is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games as an favorite of 21.5-31 since 1992.

 
Posted : September 17, 2020 11:11 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57775
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Topic starter
 

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, September 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 0) at GEORGIA ST (0 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 0) at GA SOUTHERN (1 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WAKE FOREST (0 - 1) at NC STATE (0 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (0 - 0) at GEORGIA TECH (1 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (0 - 1) at N CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (0 - 0) at DUKE (0 - 1) - 9/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (1 - 0) at LOUISVILLE (1 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SYRACUSE (0 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 0) at MARSHALL (1 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LIBERTY (0 - 0) at W KENTUCKY (0 - 1) - 9/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (0 - 0) at SOUTHERN MISS (0 - 1) - 9/19/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (0 - 2) at LA MONROE (0 - 1) - 9/19/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
LA MONROE is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
LA MONROE is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LA MONROE is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (1 - 0) at NORTH TEXAS (1 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NAVY (0 - 1) at TULANE (1 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 183-135 ATS (+34.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 183-135 ATS (+34.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 101-63 ATS (+31.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 86-47 ATS (+34.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 86-47 ATS (+34.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 165-120 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 1-1 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (0 - 0) at MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 1) - 9/19/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S FLORIDA (1 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (0 - 0) at OKLAHOMA ST (0 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TULSA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (0 - 0) at BAYLOR (0 - 0) - 9/19/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : September 17, 2020 11:12 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57775
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NCAAF

Week 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, September 19

Tulsa @ Oklahoma State
Tulsa
Tulsa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tulsa's last 15 games on the road
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tulsa

Syracuse @ Pittsburgh
Syracuse
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Syracuse's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Syracuse
Pittsburgh is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Syracuse

Liberty @ Western Kentucky
Liberty
Liberty is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Liberty is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Austin Peay @ Cincinnati
Austin Peay
Austin Peay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Austin Peay is 1-20 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home

Navy @ Tulane
Navy
Navy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tulane
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games on the road
Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 5 games
Tulane is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Georgia State
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Georgia State
Georgia State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Georgia State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Boston College @ Duke
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston College's last 11 games on the road
Boston College is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Duke's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Duke's last 12 games

Houston @ Baylor
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games on the road
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baylor
Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baylor's last 6 games at home

Appalachian State @ Marshall
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Marshall's last 9 games at home
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

South Florida @ Notre Dame
South Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Florida's last 5 games
South Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Stephen F. Austin @ Texas-San Antonio
Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Stephen F. Austin is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 7 games

Central Florida @ Georgia Tech
Central Florida
Central Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Central Florida is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia Tech's last 9 games
Georgia Tech is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

Florida Atlantic @ Georgia Southern
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games at home

Charlotte @ North Carolina
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games at home
North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Troy @ Middle Tennessee
Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Troy's last 8 games when playing Middle Tennessee
Troy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games when playing Troy
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Middle Tennessee's last 7 games at home

The Citadel @ Clemson
The Citadel
The Citadel is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The Citadel is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Clemson is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games

Southern Methodist @ North Texas
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
Southern Methodist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
North Texas
North Texas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home

Central Arkansas @ Arkansas State
Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Central Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Louisiana Tech @ Southern Miss
Louisiana Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Louisiana Tech's last 13 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Miss's last 7 games at home

Texas State @ Louisiana-Monroe
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas State's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Texas State's last 21 games
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games when playing Texas State

Miami-FL @ Louisville
Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Miami-FL's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami-FL's last 21 games
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Wake Forest @ North Carolina State
Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 6 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wake Forest
North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wake Forest

Abilene Christian @ Texas El Paso
Abilene Christian
Abilene Christian is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Abilene Christian is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas El Paso's last 9 games at home

 
Posted : September 17, 2020 11:12 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57775
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 3

Saturday, September 19

Syracuse @ Pittsburgh

Game 119-120
September 19, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Syracuse
81.960
Pittsburgh
89.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 8
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 22
50
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+22); Over

Liberty @ Western Kentucky

Game 123-124
September 19, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Liberty
71.561
Western Kentucky
88.242
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 16 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 13
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(-13); Over

Houston @ Baylor

Game 143-144
September 19, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
84.192
Baylor
104.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 20 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 4 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-4 1/2); Over

Navy @ Tulane

Game 133-134
September 19, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
78.629
Tulane
78.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
Even
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 8
49
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+8); Over

Austin Peay @ Cincinnati

Game 147-148
September 19, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Austin Peay
65.573
Cincinnati
94.204
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 28 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 33 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Austin Peay
(+33 1/2); Under

LA-Lafayette @ Georgia State

Game 103-104
September 19, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
97.646
Georgia State
69.212
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 28 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 17
61
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(-17); Under

Boston College @ Duke

Game 113-114
September 19, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
83.395
Duke
83.142
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
Even
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 6
51
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+6); Over

Tulsa @ Oklahoma State

Game 141-142
September 19, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
77.695
Oklahoma State
102.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 25
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 20 1/2
66
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(-20 1/2); Over

Appalachian St @ Marshall

Game 121-122
September 19, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
94.079
Marshall
84.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 9 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 3 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(-3 1/2); Under

South Florida @ Notre Dame

Game 139-140
September 19, 2020 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Florida
73.632
Notre Dame
105.616
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 32
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 24 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-24 1/2); Under

Stephen F Austin @ TX-San Antonio

Game 149-150
September 19, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stephen F Austin
52.926
TX-San Antonio
65.264
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-San Antonio
by 12 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TX-San Antonio
by 14 12
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stephen F Austin
(+14 1/2); Under

Florida Atlantic @ Georgia Southern

Game 105-106
September 19, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
84.807
Georgia Southern
82.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 5 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(+5 1/2); Over

Central Florida @ Georgia Tech

Game 109-110
September 19, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Florida
90.308
Georgia Tech
85.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 5
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 7 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Tech
(+7 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ North Carolina

Game 111-112
September 19, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
70.241
North Carolina
103.147
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 33
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 26 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-26 1/2); Under

The Citadel @ Clemson

Game 151-152
September 19, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
The Citadel
58.964
Clemson
119.932
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 61
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 43 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-43 1/2); Over

Troy @ Middle Tennessee St

Game 135-136
September 19, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
69.443
Middle Tennessee
68.633
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 1
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 3 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(+3 1/2); Over

SMU @ North Texas

Game 129-130
September 19, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
82.508
North Texas
70.753
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 12
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 14 1/2
71
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(+14 1/2); Under

Central Arkansas @ Arkansas St

Game 153-154
September 19, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
65.277
Arkansas St
86.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 21
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 17
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-17); Over

Louisiana Tech @ Southern Miss

Game 125-126
September 19, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
72.259
Southern Miss
80.258
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 8
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 5
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(-5); Under

Miami-FL @ Louisville

Game 115-116
September 19, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
87.952
Louisville
85.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 2 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 2 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(+2 1/2); Under

Texas State @ LA-Monroe

Game 127-128
September 19, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
64.943
LA-Monroe
72.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Monroe
by 7 1/2
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas State
by 5
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(+5); Over

Wake Forest @ NC State

Game 107-108
September 19, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
85.368
NC State
71.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 14
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 3
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+3); Under

Abilene Christian @ UTEP

Game 155-156
September 19, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Abilene Christian
49.530
UTEP
60.389
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UTEP
by 11
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UTEP
by 4
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(-4); Under

 
Posted : September 17, 2020 11:13 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57775
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

College Football Tech Trends - Week 3
Bruce Marshall

Week 3 of the College Football season kicks off on Saturday Sept. 19 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups. We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Saturday, Sept. 19

UL-LAFAYETTE at GEORGIA STATE (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Ragin’ Cajuns on a 17-7-2 spread uptick since early 2018 for Napier.
Panthers struggling as dog, only 4-10-4 in role since 2018.

Tech edge: UL-Lafayette, based on team trends.

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Taggart now at FAU, was only 8-13-1 in 1+ years vs. line at FSU, as his once-gaudy spread success had waned.
Owls covered 5 of 6 on road last season for Lane Kiffin, who posted a 10-4 spread mark in 2019.
GSU didn’t cover opener vs. Campbell, but still 10-4 vs. spread last 14 at Statesboro.

Tech edge: Georgia Southern, based on team trends.

WAKE FOREST at NC STATE (ACC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

This Tobacco Road rivalry series has one of strongest home-team trends in ACC, with host 11-2 vs. points last 13 meetings.
NCS, however, enters 2020 having dropped 10 of last 11 against the number, and only 1-5 vs. points last six at Raleigh.
Wake has won and covered last two meetings but Deacs dropped all four vs. spread on ACC trail a year ago.

Tech edge: Slight to Wake Forest, based on recent NCS negatives.

UCF at GEORGIA TECH (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Golden Knights covered all four vs. non-AAC foes in 2019, now 10-3 vs. spread last 13 vs. those entries.
Jackets struggled in Collins debut in 2019, only 3-8-1 vs. line, but did shock Florida State in opener last Saturday.
GT still just 1-6 vs. spread as host at Bobby Dodd Stadium/Grant Field LY.

Tech edge: UCF, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at NORTH CAROLINA (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m. ET)

49ers improved last season but were still only 2-5 vs. line away from Charlotte.
Charlotte did cover 2020 opener at App State.
Mack Brown closed last season with a rush at UNC, winning and covering handily in last three, and win/cover steak now at 4 after success vs. Syracuse in opener.

Tech edge: UNC, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at DUKE (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Hafley takes over at BC. Under Addazio, Eagles were a pretty spunky underdog, 13-5-1 vs. spread in role the past three years.
Also 11-2 vs. spread last 13 as ACC visitor.
Cutcliffe sagged to 4-6-2 spread mark in 2019 but did cover 2020 opener at ND.
Duke 5-10-2 vs. ACC since 2018 (counts ND game).

Tech edge: BC, based on team trends.

MIAMI-FLA at LOUISVILLE (ABC, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Canes disappointed last season but were 3-0 as underdog for Diaz.
Miami also entered 2010 on 11-19 spread skid, but did cover opener vs. UAB.
Cards in revenge mode after 52-27 loss at Hard Rock Stadium LY, but Sattterfield now 5-2 vs. spread at home since arriving, and his teams at App State and ‘Ville are 17-8-1 vs. spread since 2018.
Canes “under” 27-13 since 2017.

Tech edge: Louisville and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

SYRACUSE at PITTSBURGH (ACC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Old rivals to the days each campaigned as an Eastern Independent.
Pitt has covered last 3 and 9 of last 11 in series.
Cuse dipped to 4-8 SU and vs. line in 2019 after a smashing 2018, and gave up late cover in last week’s opener at UNC.
Orange only 2-7 as dog since last season.
“Unders” 24-10 in Pitt games entering 2020.

Tech edge: “Under” and Pitt, based on “totals” and team trends.

APP STATE at MARSHALL (CBSSN, 1:30 p.m. ET)

Mounties entered 2020 on 22-8-1 spread uptick since late in 2017 season (though missed cover in opener vs. Charlotte), also 11-2 vs. number last 13 as visitor.
Herd entered this season 5-13 as home chalk since 2016, though did bomb outmanned EKU in 2020 opener.
Marshall was just 9-17 vs. spread across the previous two seasons.

Tech edge: App State, based on team trends.

LIBERTY at WESTERN KENTUCKY (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)

WKU was 7-2-1 vs. spread down the stretch last season.
Tops surged in 2019 after loss to ‘Ville very similar to last week.

Tech edge: WKU, based on recent trends.

LA TECH at SOUTHERN MISS (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m. ET)

If Skip Holtz a dog here note 19-8-1 spread mark in role since arriving at Tech in 2014, and 13-7-1 vs. spread last 21 away from Ruston entering Hattiesburg.

Tech edge: La Tech, based on team trends.

TEXAS STATE at UL-MONROE (ESPNU, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Spavital only 3-8-1 vs. line in TSU debut last season, Bobcats 1-1 vs. line thus far in 2020.
TSU has lost four in a row SU vs. ULM but has covered in 4 of the last 6 meetings.
After Army loss, ULM only 8-19 vs. spread last 27 on line for Matt Viator since late in the 2017 campaign.

Tech edge:Slight to Texas State, based on series trends.

SMU at NORTH TEXAS (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m. ET)

Metroplex rivalry. Home team has won and covered big the last three meetings, all decisions by 22 or 23 points!
Sonny Dykes just 1-6 vs. spread laying points away from Ford Stadium for SMU. But UNT entered this season on 3-15 spread skid.

Tech edge: Slight to UNT, based on series home trends.

NAVY at TULANE (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

After Mids entered 2020 on 14-3 spread uptick, they were destroyed by BYU in opener.
Navy still 20-10 as visiting dog for Niumatalolo since 2009, and 18-10 last 28 as road dog.
Wave, however, covered all six as host LY.

Tech edge: Slight to Navy, based on extended trends.

TROY at MIDDLE TENNESSEE (ESPN2, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Blue Raiders were 9-4 as chalk in 2017-18 but fell back to 1-3 in role a year ago.
Troy enters this season 2-5 vs. line its last seven as visitor.

Tech edge: Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at NOTRE DAME (USA, 2:30 p.m. ET)

Jeff Scott the new coach at USF, trying to improve Bulls from 3-8 spread mark last 11 as dog under Charlie Strong.
USF also just 2-8 last 10 as DD dog.
Irish off superb 9-4 spread mark in 2019, including 5-2 as South Bend chalk, though failed to cover big price in Duke opener.

Tech edge: Notre Dame, based on team trends.

TULSA at OKLAHOMA STATE (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Teams have not met regularly in recent years, but OSU scored 59 or more in winning and covering three meetings between 2010-17, and also covered last year’s battle at Tulsa when scoring 40.
Golden Hurricane 5-1 vs. spread away in 2019 and 3-1 as road dog, the latter more reminiscent of Montgomery’s first couple of years with Tulsa when 6-1 as visiting dog in 2015-16.
OSU, however, on 13-4 spread uptick since late 2018, and Gundy has remarkably covered last 14 non-Big 12 games dating to 2016!

Tech edge: Ok State, based on team and extended series trends.

 
Posted : September 17, 2020 11:13 am
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