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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Wednesday 10/18/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : October 18, 2023 9:49 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Wednesday’s games
Florida International @ Sam Houston State
Florida International (3-4)
— FIU lost its last three games, 38-6/34-17/27-14.
— last 4+ years, FIU is 14-35 ATS, 16-31-1 ATS
— Panthers allowed 439+ total yards in five of six I-A games.
— FIU was held to 17-6-17-14 points in their losses.
— FIU is playing a freshman QB (57.8%, 5 TD’s, 7 INT’s)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line, with a new OL coach
— Panthers are 7-14 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
— FIU is 5-7 ATS in last 12 C-USA games (2-16-1 ATS from 2019-21)
— FIU lost three of last four bowls SU; they haven’t been to bowl since 2019.

Sam Houston State (0-6)
— Bearkats lost their first six games (3-2-1 ATS).
— Sam Houston was outscored 65-10 in its first three games.
— Sam Houston was outscored 83-67 in its last three games.
— This is Sam Houston’s first season in I-A football
— Coach Keeler has been here for 10 years.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 50 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Bearkats are favored for first time this year.
— Under is 4-2 in their games this season.
— Last three years, Sam Houston was 26-5 SU, at I-AA level.

— These teams haven’t played recently.
— Conference USA home favorites are 5-4 ATS.

New Mexico State @ UTEP
New Mexico State (4-3)
— Aggies are 12-10 SU under coach Kill (went 8-30 from 2018-21)
— Aggies are 3-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 41-33-20 points in losses.
— State’s I-A wins TY are by 10-17-14 points.
— Aggies are 0-2 when they score less than 27 points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- four starters are back
— junior QB has 8 starts.
— since 2016, Aggies are 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— In his career, coach Kill is 9-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Four of State’s last five games stayed under the total.
— Last year was Aggies’ first bowl since 2017.

UTEP (2-5)
— UTEP is 1-5 SU/ATS vs I-A teams; they won 27-14 @ FIU LW.
— Miners’ last four losses were all by 14+ points.
— UTEP is 0-5 when they give up more than 14 points.
— UTEP lost I-A home games, 45-28 (UNLV), 24-10 (La Tech)
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 29 starts.
— Under Dimel, Miners are 11-18 ATS at home.
— Last 3+ years, UTEP is 13-11 ATS in conference games (1-2 TY).
— Last 5+ years, UTEP is minus-48 in turnovers (minus-5 TY).
— Miners have played in one bowl since 2014 (2021 New Mexico Bowl)

— UTEP beat New Mexico State last two years, 20-13/30-3.
— Favorites covered five of last six series games.
— Five of last six meetings stayed under the total.
— Conference USA home underdogs are 1-4 ATS.

 
Posted : October 18, 2023 9:52 am
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