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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Tuesday 10/17/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : October 17, 2023 10:03 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Tuesday’s games
Middle Tennessee @ Liberty
Middle Tennessee (2-5)
— MTSU is 1-5 vs I-A teams, losing by 49-4-8-21-15 points.
— Blue Raiders’ only I-A win: 31-23 over Louisiana Tech LW.
— MTSU is minus-5 in turnovers (+12/+11 last two years).
— Last 3 games, Blue Raiders allowed 421.3 yards/game.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 50 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started six games the last two years. 
— MTSU is giving up 36.5 ppg in its I-A games.
— Blue Raiders are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road dog.
— Blue Raiders are 3-8 ATS in last 11 conference games.
— MTSU won their bowl game the last two years.

Liberty (6-0)
— Last 4+ years, Liberty is 40-16 SU/34-22 ATS
— Flames are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS TY, gaining 479 yards/game.
— Flames are 3-0 at home TY, winning 34-24/33-17/21-6 (2-1 ATS)
— Liberty is 10-9 ATS in last 19 games as home favorite (2-1 TY).
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 98 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started four games LY.
— Liberty has run the ball for 253.5 yards/game TY.
— Flames have a +8 turnover ratio.
— Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
— New HC Chadwell went 39-22 coaching Coastal Carolina.

— MTSU (+19.5) lost 41-13 at Liberty in only meeting, two years ago.
— Conference USA home favorites are 5-4 ATS.

Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky (4-2)
— WKU won its first two C-USA games, 31-10/35-28/ 
— Hilltoppers are +8 in turnovers; last two years, were +10/+11.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 56 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 14 games LY, threw for 4,744 yards, 40 TD’s.
— WKU scored 35.7 ppg in its wins (+6 turnovers).
— WKU was held to 10-24 points in its losses (minus-1 turnovers).
— under Helton, WKU is 7-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under is 3-2 in their I-A games.
— Hilltoppers are 14-4-1 ATS in last 19 conference games.
— WKU has been to a bowl the last four years (3-1).

Jacksonville State (5-1)
— Jacksonville State is 4-2 vs I-A teams. 
— This is Jax State’s first season in I-A football
— Gamecocks’ I-A losses: 16-30 at Coastal Carolina, 13-31 to Liberty.
— Coach is Rich Rodriguez (has coached West Va, Michigan, Arizona)
— In his career, Rodriguez is 48-55-2 ATS in home games (2-1 TY).
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 43 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Gamecocks have +10 turnover ratio.
— Last three weeks, Gamecocks gave up 435/563/417 TY.
— JSU completed less than 50% of its passes in 3 of last 4 games.
— Under is 4-2 in the Gamecocks’ I-A games. 
— Last 3 years, Gamecocks were 24-11 SU, at I-AA level.

— These two teams haven’t met recently.
— Conference USA home underdogs are 1-4 ATS.

Southern Miss @ South Alabama
Southern Mississippi (1-5)
— Southern Miss is 0-5 SU/ATS vs I-A teams, giving up 39.6 ppg.
— Golden Eagles are 0-2 on road, losing 66-13/44-37.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 87 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB is a transfer from Clemson (53%, 7 TD’s, 5 INT).
— USM has a win over a I-AA team; that was six weeks ago.
— Under Hall, Golden Eagles are 5-7 ATS as road underdogs.
— Under Hall, Golden Eagles are 8-11 ATS in conference games.
— over is 3-2 in their I-A games.
— Southern Miss has been to one bowl the last three years.

South Alabama (3-3)
— USA is 3-3, despite winning 33-7 at Oklahoma State.
— Jaguars lost the next week, as 16-point home faves vs Central Michigan.
— USA allowed 17-7-7 points in wins, 37-34-31 points in losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB had 13 career starts coming into this year. 
— USA is 0-2 TY in games decided by less than 18 points.
— Jaguars are 3-0 scoring 33+ points, 0-3 scoring less than 33.
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 6-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— Jaguars’ last three games went over the total.
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 8-10 ATS in conference games.
— South Alabama is 0-3 in bowl games (’14, ’16, last year)

— USA is 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in series, winning by 7-24-11 points.
— Southern Miss (+2) lost 31-7 in last visit to Mobile.
— Sun Belt home favorites are 6-6 ATS.

 
Posted : October 17, 2023 10:11 am
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