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NCAAF Betting News Match-Ups and Trends For Friday 9/1/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : September 1, 2023 8:47 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Friday
Miami OH @ Miami FL
Miami OH
— Last four years, Red Hawks are 23-20 SU, 21-22 ATS.
— Miami was 6-7 LY despite a +11 turnover ratio.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 61 starts back on offensive line- lost 2 starters to transfer portal.
— senior QB has 29 career starts
— Last four years, Miami is 6-10 ATS as a road underdog.
— Red Hawks are 7-16 ATS in last 23 non-conference games.
— Miami played in bowls three of last four years, going 1-2.

Miami FL
— Last two years, Miami is 12-12 SU, 8-16 ATS.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has t18 career starts.
— Miami is 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
— In his career, Cristobal is 14-26-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Hurricanes are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 non-conference games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020; last bowl win? 2016.

— Since 2016, ACC teams are 15-7 ATS vs MAC opponents.
— These teams haven’t met since 1987.

Central Michigan @ Michigan State
Central Michigan
— Chippewas were 4-8 LY, their first losing year since 2018.
— Central was minus-18 in turnovers LY (+7 previous 2 years)
— 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line.
— both returning QB’s have one career start.
— Since 2014, CMU is 23-10 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, McElwain is 22-18-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Chippewas went bowling in five of last eight years (1-4).

Michigan State
— Three years under Tucker: 2-5/11-2/6-7…….17-13-2 ATS
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 77 starts back on offensive line.
— QB bolted to Auburn; this year’s QB is inexperienced.
— Under Tucker, Spartans are 5-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under Tucker, Spartans are 6-1 ATS in non-conference tilts.
— Michigan State went bowling four of last six years (3-1).

— These teams last met in 2018.
— Since 2018, Big 14 teams are 27-12 ATS vs MAC opponents.

Louisville vs Georgia Tech (@ Atlanta)
Louisville
— Last coach went 26-24 in four years, bolted to Cincinnati.
— New coach Brohm is a Louisville alum (66-44 as a HC)
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 150 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 12 games at Cal last year.
— Last four years, Louisville was 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— In his career, Brohm is 39-40 ATS as a favorite.
— Cardinals went bowling five of last seven years (2-3).

Georgia Tech
— Georgia Tech hasn’t had a winning season since 2018.
— GT was 5-7 last year, despite being +11 in turnovers.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started 7 games at Texas A&M.
— Tech is 15-18-1 ATS in last 34 games vs ACC opponents.
— Since 2016, Tech is 6-13 ATS as a home underdog.
— Yellow Jackets haven’t gone bowling since 2018; last bowl win? 2016.

— Game is in Atlanta, but not in Tech’s home stadium.
— Tech won last two meetings, 46-27/66-31.
— Teams last met in 2020.

Stanford @ Hawai’i
Stanford
— Last two years, Cardinal went 3-9/3-9; now they’ve got new coach.
— Stanford was -10/-10 in turnovers the last two years.
— 3 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 15 starts back on offensive line.
— New coach, inexperienced QB, only 6 of 22 starters back.
— Last four years, Stanford is 1-2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Cardinal is 4-9 ATS in last 13 non-conference games.
— Stanford hasn’t gone bowling since 2018.

Hawai’i
— Last 2+ years, Hawai’i is 9-18 SU/15-11-1 ATS
— Last 5+ years, Rainbows are minus-27 in turnovers (minus-8 LY)
— 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 67 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 13 career starts.
— Last 4 years, Hawai’i is 11-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 2+ years, Hawai’i is 4-7 ATS in non-conference games.
— Rainbows were 7-2 ATS last year, coming off a SU loss.
— Last week, Hawai’i (+16) lost 35-28 at Vanderbilt.
— Rainbows outgained Vandy 391-297, were minus-2 in TO’s.

— These teams haven’t met since 1972.
— LY, Pac-12 teams were 6-3 ATS vs Mountain West opponents.

 
Posted : September 1, 2023 9:03 am
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