Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 14
Conference championship games
Friday’s games
New Mexico State @ Liberty
New Mexico State (10-3, 7-1)
— Aggies won their last eight games, after a 2-3 start.
— Aggies are 17-9 SU under coach Kill (went 8-30 from 2018-21)
— State lost 33-17 at Liberty back in September.
— State won 31-10 at Auburn two weeks ago.
— Aggies are 9-1 when they give up less than 33 points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- four starters are back
— junior QB has 8 starts.
— Aggies are 12-6 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— In his career, coach Kill is 23-17 ATS as a road underdog.
— Nine of State’s last 11 games stayed under the total.
— Last year was Aggies’ first bowl since 2017.
Liberty (12-0, 8-0)
— Last 4+ years, Liberty is 46-16 SU/37-25 ATS
— Flames are 12-0 SU/8-4 ATS TY.
— 10 of Flames’ 12 wins were by 10+ points.
— Liberty is 12-11 ATS in last 23 games as home favorites (4-3 TY).
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— 98 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started four games LY.
— Last seven games, Liberty ran the ball for 324.1 yards/game.
— Flames have a +8 turnover ratio.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.
— New HC Chadwell went 39-22 coaching Coastal Carolina.
— Liberty (-9.5) beat New Mexico State 33-17 here in September.
— Flames ran for 250 yards, threw for 276; they were +2 in turnovers.
— Overall, Liberty won four of last six series games.
— New Mexico State beat Liberty 49-14 here LY.
— C-USA home favorites are 9-12 ATS this season.
— Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in last five C-USA title games.
Oregon vs Washington (@ Las Vegas)
Oregon (11-1, 8-1)
— Oregon has scored 31+ points in every game this season.
— Nine of their 11 wins were by 14+ points.
— Ducks’ only loss was 36-33 at Washington on October 14.
— Last four games, Oregon threw ball for 421.5 yards/game.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 96 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB Nix QB has 47 career starts, 34 of them at Auburn.
— Last 5+ years, Ducks are 56-17 SU.
— under Lanning, Ducks are 15-5 ATS as a favorite.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 12-5-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 14-4 ATS coming off a win.
— Under is 7-4 in Oregon’s I-A games.
— Ducks are 3-2 in last five bowl games; all three wins were by one point.
— Oregon is in Pac-12 title game for 4th time in last five years (2-1 L3)
Washington (12-0, 9-0)
— Washington is 9-0 SU/3-5-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Huskies allowed 300+ PY in three of last five games.
— Last three games, Washington is +4 in turnovers.
— Huskies’ last three wins were by 7-2-3 points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 30 starts; 17 here, 13 at Indiana.
— under DeBoer, Huskies are 3-0 ATS as an underdog.
— In his career, DeBoer is 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Washington is 17-32-1 ATS in last 50 Pac-12 tilts.
— Last year was Washington’s first bowl since 2019.
— Washington won Pac-12 title game last time they were here (2019)
— Washington (-3) beat Oregon 36-33 in Seattle in October.
— Huskies are 4-3 in last seven series games, winning last two by 3-3 points.
— Pac-12 favorites are 22-30 ATS this season.