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Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 9/15/22

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
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Thursday 9/15/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NFL & NCAAF games

 
Posted : September 15, 2022 8:07 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
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Fezzik

2* KC ML -180 prefers this over laying -3.5
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R&R TOTALS

*TOP PLAY* NFL: Take #103 Chargers v #104 Chiefs UNDER (55 -110)
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Marc Lawrence

100% ATS Perfect Thursday Night Play!

L.A. Chargers
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Wayne ROOT:

Chairman’s: Chargers +4
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Ziti sports
MLB
Tampa Bay Rays +122 Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM)

NFL

Kansas City Chiefs -4 -110 Los Angeles Chargers (8:15 PM)

 
Posted : September 15, 2022 8:11 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
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Amedeus Mastrangelo

9* LA Chargers +4
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Jimmy Adams 4%
(951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies -135 Action
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Sports Guru

Pirates vs. Mets U 7.5
Chargers vs. Chiefs O 54
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RICKY TRAN

NFL, 09/15 8:20 PM Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs
PICK: Under 54 for 7 Units
Ricky's 7* play on Under.

MLB, 09/15 3:12 PM Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays -133 for 7 Units
WAGER TYPE: Action
Ricky's 7* play on TOR.
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AAA

GOW
Chargers +4.5
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ATS Covers

MLB 1:15 pm Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox -149 for 1 units

MLB 7:45 pm Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins -162 for 1 units
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R&R TOTALS

*TOP PLAY* MLB: Take #965 White Sox v #966 Guardians UNDER (8 -105) (1:10 PM EST)
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Stephen Nover NFL

2* Chargers
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The Money Team Sports

10k NFL POD - FH Kansas City -3
10k MLB POD - Minnesota Over 8.5
4k St Louis Under 8.5
2k Houston -1.5 -145
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The Hitman

1* Clyde Edwards Helaire (KC) u2.5 Receptions
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Posted : September 15, 2022 11:48 am
(@shazman)
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Tomas Sports
Kc ml
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JR SPORTS
Chargers under 54
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Zack Cimini

NFL | L.A. CHARGERS @ KANSAS CITY | 09/15 | 8:15 PM EDT
L.A. CHARGERS +4
ANALYSIS: As strong as the Chiefs' win was against the Cardinals, one can’t discount the consistency of Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert in the division. In his two years the Chargers have been in contention in divisional games, and all non-overtime divisional losses have been by five points or fewer. Additionally, his two losses to the Chiefs both came in overtime. Take the Chargers.
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Matt Severance

NFL | L.A. CHARGERS @ KANSAS CITY | 09/15 | 8:15 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY -189
ANALYSIS: I'm starting to see this tick up at some books because I'm guessing the Keenan Allen injury and bettors starting to hammer the Chiefs so let's just do this now before the moneyline gets over -200. I look forward to my first Amazon Prime NFL game and, you know, buying dog treats for Snoopy while Patrick Mahomes is throwing a TD pass.
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R.J. White

NFL | L.A. CHARGERS @ KANSAS CITY | 09/15 | 8:15 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY -3.5
ANALYSIS: It's no wonder this game moved up a half-point from the lookahead number of 3 after the Chiefs obliterated the Cardinals and the Chargers survived with a close win over the Raiders. I'm very much a fan of this Chargers team long-term and believe they could win the division, but the Chiefs offense made an emphatic statement on Sunday that we should consider them a top-two NFL team until someone slows them down. The odds the Chargers can keep up in a shootout get much longer should Keenan Allen (hamstring) get ruled out, something I think will happen. I make this line Chiefs -6 without Allen, so I expect there to be movement if he's unavailable.
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John Bollman

MLB | CHI. WHITE SOX @ CLEVELAND | 09/15 | 1:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +135
ANALYSIS: There’s just no reason the White Sox should be favored this heavily in this situation. The Guardians have now won six games in a row and the White Sox had to travel yesterday and now play a day game today while the Guardians stayed at home. Hunter Gaddis struggled in his Major League debut but that is understandable especially considering it was against the Astros. Lance Lynn has been much better lately and against the Guardians this season, but the Guardians still have the best bullpen in the league in the last 30 days behind Gaddis. This is a make-up game, so the White Sox are flying right out of town after this game again and going to Detroit. I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re flat today. I like the value on the Guardians at home.
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Larry Hartstein

MLB | KANSAS CITY @ MINNESOTA | 09/15 | 7:40 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -1.5
ANALYSIS: Minnesota has beaten Kansas City six straight times by a combined score of 34-8. I like the Twins to keep that up Thursday at home, where they are 42-32. This is the fifth time the Twins will see Daniel Lynch this season. The lefty enters in poor form, having allowed 17 earned runs in his last four starts covering 18.1 innings. Play Minnesota -1.5 runs at +115.
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Matt Severance

MLB | TAMPA BAY @ TORONTO | 09/15 | 3:07 PM EDT
TORONTO -135
ANALYSIS: I don't normally recommend fading Rays ace Shane McClanahan but this will be his first start off the IL due to a shoulder issue so there's probably no way he goes more than five innings -- if even that many. Jays pitcher Kevin Gausman tends to dominate one start and struggle the next but has a 1.59 ERA in 17 innings this year against Tampa Bay, which has lost five of six and is seven games below .500 on the road.

 
Posted : September 15, 2022 12:49 pm
(@neversplitaces)
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Sir Shaz, is it possible to put out an APB for WWP, because he's MIA?

Appreciate you as always

 
Posted : September 15, 2022 1:33 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
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Line Prophet
Clevland ml
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HITMAN | NFL Prop - Thursday, Sep 15 2022 8:15PM
Juju O

(-115)FanDuel 103 LAC vs 104 KAN single-dime bet

Analysis:
Juju Smith Schuster (KC) O55.5 rec yds -115

Thin one, good up to 57.5.
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kelso

football
50 chiefs

bases
15 cards run line
15 astro run line
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Jim Feist

MLB
3* #951 Philadelphia -137
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Ashley covers
la chargers +4.5
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jack jones
15
phillies
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jesse schule
twins
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mike lundin
10
cardinals rl
twins
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dave price
6
mets rl
twins rl
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scott rickenbach
10 phillies
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rob v
padres
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damico
cardinals rl
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tim michael
cardinals rl
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asa

10 cardinals rl
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big al

chargers + 4
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Jack Banks

chargers + 4
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Monte Hale

chiefs/chargers over 54
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Posted : September 15, 2022 3:33 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 58019
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Northcoast

Top Opinions:
Thursday NFL Marquee - Kansas City (-4) LA Chargers 8:15pm
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Brandon Lang

40 DIME

Chargers +4
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Allie O'Neill

MLB | OAKLAND @ HOUSTON | 09/15 | 7:20 PM EDT
HOUSTON -1.5
ANALYSIS: Lance McCullers Jr. has been excellent since his return from the IL, going 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA. He made his first start of the season against the A's last month and pitched six shutout innings. Even if McCullers doesn't get very deep in the game, he'll be backed by the best bullpen in the league. On the other hand, James Kaprielian is 3-9 and has recorded a loss in four of his last five starts, in which he's recorded a 6.56 ERA and 1.90 WHIP. Kaprielian rarely pitches more than five innings, leaving a lot of time for the A's struggling bullpen. The Astros are on a four game win streak and have won 12 of their last 15 games. Meanwhile, the A's are 3-10 in their last 13. Back the Astros on the run line at -142.
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Matt Severance

MLB | PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI | 09/15 | 6:40 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -130
ANALYSIS: This is one of those where I'd probably take the Marlins RL if it was around the same price as Phillies ML, but it's 25 cents more expensive. I don't trust Noah Syndergaard all that much for the Phils and no Rhys Hoskins as expected after he was plunked on Wednesday ... but only -130? I pondered Under 7.5 runs with Hoskins out and the Marlins being the Marlins, but Miami pitcher Pablo Lopez has a 5.01 ERA at home.
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Mike Tierney

NFL | L.A. CHARGERS @ KANSAS CITY | 09/15 | 8:15 PM EDT
UNDER 54
ANALYSIS: The total inched 1.5 points higher after the Chiefs’ opener generated 65 points. It takes two to tango, however, and the Chargers’ defense was beastly while holding Las Vegas in the teens. Pass rusher supreme Khalil Mack, who introduced himself to L.A., with three sacks, could hassle QB Patrick Mahomes. A potential wrench in the K.C. scoring machine is an injury to kicker Harrison Butker, who is out. The Chargers’ offense will miss ailing KR Keenan Allen.

 
Posted : September 15, 2022 4:40 pm
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