Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Premium Service Plays For Saturday 1/4/20

The Prez

4% Houston Texans -2.5 (+100)

There are game day handicapping variables that can simply be ignored in this AFC matchup. One would think that a team that has barely sniffed postseason play the last 18 years would be void of player personnel with playoff stripes. The thing is Buffalo has more playoff experience than one would guess. A total of 25 of the 53 players on the active roster have appeared in at least one playoff game in their career. That’s better than 47 percent of the squad.

The Houston Texans have more players with more experience and more postseason minutes -- but the margin or the minutes and number of players -- isn't what is significant in this contest. More on this at the close of this game analysis.

Buffalo is preparing to make just their second playoff appearance since the 1999 season. And the Houston franchise is sloppy 3-5 all-time in postseason play. The Buffalo franchise has not won a postseason game since 1995. Furthermore, the Texans have earned a spot in the postseason bracket five times since 2011. In those five January's the club has a 3-5 straight up record. As a franchise during that time span, they are 3-2 in wild card contests.

The Texans earned the No 4 seed by winning the AFC South title. Houston closed the regular season slate with a loss to the Tennessee Titans finishing the campaign with a 10-6 record.

The Texans went 5-3 at home while the Bills were 6-2 in the role as a visitor this season. And both teams essentially treated Week 17 as a bye week. As a result both were losers this past Sunday.

Houston ranked 14th in the NFL with 23.6 points per game and 13th with 362.0 total yards of offense per game. Buffalo was 23rd in points per game (19.6) and 24th in yards per game (330.2).

The Bills had the No. 2 defense in the NFL with 16.2 PPG allowed per game. Buffalo allowed the third-fewest yards per game (298.3) this season. The Texans rank 19th in PPG allowed (24.1) and 28th in YPG allowed (388.3).

The edge in experience goes to the Texans in this wild card weekend affair. Watson was the 12th overall pick in the 2017 NFL draft. His first and only postseason appearance came last January against Indianapolis when the Colts defeated the Deshaun Watson and the Texans 21-7. For the simple reason that this will be Allen's first time in the postseason spotlight matters. Just as it did a year ago for Watson.

Both teams produced one 1,000-yard receiver in Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins (1,165) and Bills WR John Brown (1,060). But there isn't an NFL owner, nor starting quarterback in the league that would choose Brown over Hopkins.

Neither team had a Bell Cow back to lean on. Buffalo's top tailback gained 775 yards. Veteran rusher Carlos Hyde rushed for nearly 1100 total yards. The edge at the offensive skilled positions goes to Houston; at quarterback, running back and at the wide receiver position.

The turnover ratio for both teams was void of any at-a-boys. The Bills had a turnover differential of plus-4 to the Texans' nil.

Buffalo and Houston Injury Report:

Bills:
CB Levi Wallace (ankle) day-to-day.

Texans:
WR Will Fuller (groin) is probable.
DL J.J. Watt (pectoral) is questionable

The edge that the Bills have in this wild card matchup is their ability to rush the quarterback. Buffalo finished the regular season with 44 sacks to Houston's 31. And the Texans allowed more sacks (49-40).

The status of Watt plays a large part in this game. With JJ Houston should be touchdown chalk. He'll be needed to help

And while many want to call the quarterback edge a wash because of QB Josh Allen's ability to use his legs, (510 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground this year) Watson can still scramble and run with the best in the league.

The edge on the offensive side of the ball rests in the Houston corner. The defensive experience and the Texans' ability to move Allen off his spot make Houston a near mortal lock to win this wild card matchup, and with nearly the same probability to cover the current oddsmakers number.

Playing at home offers the Texans another significant advantage, especially in the ability of Watson receiving max protection with the line having the ability to hear the cadence. When Watson has four-or more seconds to survey the field and make a decision his completion rate is nearly 70 percent.

The Buffalo fan base is excited about their chances in this game but the truth is that Watson, Hopkins, and Hyde easily trump Allen, Singletary, and Brown.

Play on: HOUSTON TEXANS -2.5 (play good to -5)
4% play rating
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Vegas Synergy

4% Buffalo Bills +3 (-108)

Bills have the better defense and the better coaching. They actually have the advantage in many categories. Obviously, Houston has the QB advantage but Allen did very well in his last prime time game in Dallas. Metrics have this game a pick and any points is a gift. Bills getting extra value because of their absence from playoffs recently.
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Larry Hartstein

TENNESSEE +4.5
TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
MON 12/30
The Titans went 7-3 with Ryan Tannehill, and they outgained their opponents in those three losses. On a yards-per-play basis, the Titans under Tannehill have been by far the NFL's most productive offense. While I don't like the fact that Derrick Henry had 32 carries last week, I can't get past the Pats' 4-4 finish to the regular season and Julian Edelman's injury-related decline. Grab the points.

54-35-3 IN LAST 92 NFL ATS PICKS | +1546
10-3-1 IN LAST 14 TEN ATS PICKS | +682

3-2 IN LAST 5 NE ATS PICKS | +82
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Mike Tierney

HOUSTON -2.5
BUFFALO @ HOUSTON | 1/04 | 4:35 PM EST
MON 12/30
Finally, Buffalo is getting some respect from the public, but it’s too much. Houston’s frequent flubs in the wild-card round -- the Texans have covered just once in the last five postseason outings -- have depressed this line to below a field goal. The Bills have been impressive but their offense can’t hold a candle to Houston’s. If DE J.J. Watt returns after being written off for the season with a pectoral muscle injury, the morale boost would be incalculable. Lay the points.

58-31-5 IN LAST 94 NFL PICKS | +2391
4-1-1 IN LAST 6 BUF ATS PICKS | +294

7-4-1 IN LAST 12 HOU ATS PICKS | +263
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Emory Hunt

TENNESSEE +5
TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
WED 1/1
Tennessee creates a wide array of problems for the Patriots. The Titans can run the ball, they play solid defense, and they force turnovers. Ryan Tannehill has done wonders for the passing game. You can't bank on this New England offense, so I'd expect a very close game.

60-38 IN LAST 98 NFL ATS PICKS | +1782
8-1 IN LAST 9 NE ATS PICKS | +689

5-2 IN LAST 7 TEN ATS PICKS | +280

HOUSTON -2.5
BUFFALO @ HOUSTON | 1/04 | 4:35 PM EST
WED 1/1
The Bills have been impressive defensively, but they face a supreme challenge trying to stop Deshaun Watson. He thrives in pressure situations, and I trust him here more than second-year QB Josh Allen. Lay the small number.

60-38 IN LAST 98 NFL ATS PICKS | +1782
4-1 IN LAST 5 HOU ATS PICKS | +289

3-1 IN LAST 4 BUF ATS PICKS | +190

SO. MISS +7
SO. MISS VS TULANE | 1/04 | 11:30 AM EST
ARMED FORCES BOWL -- I don't trust either defense in this game. Both offenses will move the ball up and down the field. It might come down to who has the ball last. Grab the points.

113-76-2 IN LAST 191 CFB ATS PICKS | +3004
2-1 IN LAST 3 TULANE ATS PICKS | +86
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Hank Goldberg

TENNESSEE +4.5
TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
TUE 12/31
I think the Patriots are going to get beat. Last year they got killed by this team (34-10 in November 2018). Mike Vrabel knows the Pats very well. Tom Brady and Julian Edelman aren't right. The Patriots struggle against mobile quarterbacks. Ryan Tannehill didn't play well in Foxborough, Mass., when he was with Miami, but he's a much better player now on a much better team. Derrick Henry is the leading rusher in the league. How are they going to stop him?

24-11-3 IN LAST 38 NFL ATS PICKS | +1186
8-2 IN LAST 10 NE ATS PICKS | +581

2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +98

HOUSTON -2.5
BUFFALO @ HOUSTON | 1/04 | 4:35 PM EST
TUE 12/31
Buffalo got some key guys hurt last week in a meaningless game. J.J. Watt is coming back for Houston and I think the Bills will struggle to score. Deshaun Watson will have a decent game, Carlos Hyde will do some damage on the ground and the Texans will win.

24-11-3 IN LAST 38 NFL ATS PICKS | +1186
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 BUF ATS PICKS | +568

4-3-1 IN LAST 8 HOU ATS PICKS | +80
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Tom Fornelli

OVER 44
TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:46 AM
The Titans have been an entirely different team with Ryan Tannehill on both the offensive and defensive side of the ball. Not only have they scored more points with Tannehill, but they've allowed more as well because opponents have to keep up. Well, I don't know that the Patriots will need to keep up in this game, but I do know that the Over is 9-1 in Tannehill's 10 starts for a reason, and I have the Patriots winning this game 27-20. So, Over it is.

37-26-2 IN LAST 65 NFL PICKS | +847

TULANE -7
SO. MISS VS TULANE | 1/04 | 11:30 AM EST
Southern Miss has had a good season but I fear this is a mismatch for the Eagles against a Tulane team that played in a much tougher conference. Tulane has been good ATS under Willie Fritz overall, but it's been great as a favorite lately, going 7-1 ATS in their last eight games. The Wave are 11-6 in nonconference games under Fritz as well.
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Micah Roberts

OVER 43.5
TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
MON 12/30
The big question here is whether the Patriots can flip the switch in the playoffs and be the Patriots as we know them. The best angle is getting this game Over the total like nine of the past 10 Titans' games have gone behind Ryan Tannehill. The Patriots have gone Over in their last three. The Titans will force the issue early here, and Patriots will keep up. Over is the play.

23-15 IN LAST 38 NFL O/U PICKS | +651
3-1 IN LAST 4 NE O/U PICKS | +191
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R.J. White

NEW ENGLAND -5
TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
WED 1/1
If this game were held on a random week in the middle of the regular season, I'd probably like the Titans. But how can you fade the Patriots in Foxborough in January? As great as the Titans offense has looked after their QB change, they've played exactly zero tough opponents on the road (Panthers, Colts, Raiders, Texans backups). While plenty of attention is being paid to the decline of Tom Brady and his passing game, the Pats' four best rushing performances came in their last five games. Bill Belichick can grind out first downs and points on offense, focus on slowing Derrick Henry and force Ryan Tannehill to beat him on the road in the playoffs. I give the Pats the edge there.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NFL ATS PICKS | +471
23-17 IN LAST 40 TEN ATS PICKS | +406

HOUSTON -2.5
BUFFALO @ HOUSTON | 1/04 | 4:35 PM EST
WED 1/1
Though the overall stats point to the Bills as the better team and though I have concerns about the Texans defense, there are two key factors I can't get over. One: The Bills were 1-4 against playoff teams, with the only win against the Titans before their QB change when they were clearly not playoff-caliber. Two: Strength of schedule clearly favors the Texans (sixth, per Football Outsiders) over the Bills (30th), key for two teams with identical records. Throw in a secretly-important injury issue for Buffalo with Levi Wallace nursing an ankle sprain, and I expect the Texans to get it done at home.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NFL ATS PICKS | +471
13-7-1 IN LAST 21 BUF ATS PICKS | +532
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Dave Essler

3* under bills/houston 44
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Brad Feinberg
Titans
Texans
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Marc Lawrence

Play - Buffalo Bills (Game 141)
Edges - Bills: 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in the playoffs when coming off a loss since 1980; and 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS away this season; and 5-1 ATS away off a SUATS loss under Sean McDermott … Texans: 1-4 SUATS last five playoff games; and QB Deshaun Watson 13-5-1 ATS as a dog in his NFL career but only 7-11-2 ATS as a favorite, including 0-3 ATS versus .600 or greater opponents … We cement the call with these powerful angles from our powerful database: 1) NFL teams in the playoffs coming off a division loss of 20 or more points are 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS since 1999; and 2) NFL playoff dogs of 3 or fewer points who own a same or better record than their opponent 19-2 ATS when coming off a division opponent, including 12-0 ATS against a foe that is not off a spread win of more than 8 points … With the Bills owning 50 YPG the better defense in this contest, we recommend a 3* play on Buffalo. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Tom Stryker

15-0 ATS & 9-0 ATS NFL WILDCARD PERFECT BEST BET

Texans
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Football Jesus text NFL BILLS+ points. And a 6 pt 2 team teaser TITANS & SAINTS
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Wunderdog NFL Pick:

Game: Buffalo Bills (141) @ Houston Texans (142)
Time: Saturday 01/04 4:35 PM Eastern
Pick: UNDER 44 (-115) at BetOnline
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Sleepy J
NFL
3* Ten/NE Over44
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Virgobbi Sports

Wildcard Round:

NE -5 (-101)
HOU -2.5 (-106)
BUF-HOU u43.5 (-118)
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Virgobbi Sports

Wildcard Round:

NE -5 (-101)
HOU -2.5 (-106)
BUF-HOU u43.5 (-118)
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Killer Sports NFL
Buffalo +2.5 (17-0 ATS Trend)
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Johnny Capone's NFL Saturday TOY Play!

Johnny Capone's Smart Plays

Our 2020 NFL Total of The Year will be Saturday January 4th 2020 in the Buffalo vs Houston matchup! We recommend a.... XXX LARGE play on the OVER 43 or 44 total posted on that game! As always, shop for the best possible line! Enjoy the game....enjoy the cash and....see you AT THE WINDOW!!!
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Mike Tierney

SO. MISS +7
SO. MISS VS TULANE | 1/04 | 11:30 AM EST
YESTERDAY 10:01 AM
ARMED FORCES BOWL -- Somehow Tulane is granting a touchdown despite dropping five of its last six games straight-up. Such spreads should be confined to near-mismatches, and this is not one. The Green Wave subscribe to a rushing offense, which plays into Southern Miss’ strength; the Golden Eagles ranked 14th in run defense. With Tulane allowing 35.7 points per game during the six-game stretch, the Eagles should slip out of an offensive slump (27 points total in their last two outings.). Take Southern Miss.

35-28-1 IN LAST 64 CFB ATS PICKS | +394
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Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE

YESTERDAY 11:13 PM
HOUSTON -2.5
BUFFALO @ HOUSTON | 1/04 | 4:35 PM EST
This line may hit and even pass the key number as we get closer to kickoff. While the Bills deserve respect for their defensive acumen, I do not see how they can score enough points to beat the Texans. That's not to say Houston is a bunch of world beaters, but I trust Deshaun Watson in this spot, and their weapons are better. J.J. Watt returning helps, and there is talent on that Texans defense. Unless the Bills manage a defensive score, I'm not sure how they stay within the small number here.

40-26-2 IN LAST 68 NFL ATS PICKS | +1118
4-2 IN LAST 6 BUF ATS PICKS | +166
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Mississippi Kid
Tenn Titans +5 1U

Tulane -7 1U
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Lee Sterling

30 Texans
25 Tulane
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Mike Missanelli
Texans
patriots
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Wayne Root

Millionaires Marquette -1

No Limit Club Tulane +7.5

Perfect Play Iowa +2.5

Inner Circle Auburn -1.5

Pinnacle Texas Tech -6
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Wayne Root NFL

MILL New England -
No Limit Houston -
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TONY FINN NFL SATURDAY

FINNs AFC WILDCARD PRIVATE PLAY
Game: (141) Buffalo Bills at (142) Houston Texans
Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 4:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 44.0 (-108)

View Analysis

PLAY: Under the Total of 44 (good to 43)
4% confidence rating
(141) Buffalo Bills at (142) Houston Texans
Game analysis upcoming
UNDER the TOTAL of 44
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nbaclubinfo
Sacramento Kings - New Orleans Pelicans
Over 222
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DR. CHUCK FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (143) Tennessee Titans at (144) New England Patriots
Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 8:15 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tennessee Titans 5.5 (-110)

View Analysis

Is this line serious? Belichick's tree is rapidly changing and adapting....Flores just created this no BYE situation....done with Fitzpatrick and a band of misfits that went to OT with Cincy and was molded in the Tank for Tua vein. Now Vrabel and his team that's lost maybe once since Halloween is getting damn near a TD no PAT?!?!?!
For those who have been on board since day one....I feel Bohemian Rhapsody coming on....
"Is this the real life....is this just fantasy...."
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Paul Leiner
3000- Hous o44
100- NE -4.5
100- Tulane o56.5
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DWAYNE BRYANT FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (141) Buffalo Bills at (142) Houston Texans
Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 4:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Buffalo Bills 2.5 (-110)

View Analysis

4:35 PM ET -- NFL

141 Buffalo Bills
142 Houston Texans

PLAY --> #141 BUFFALO BILLS +2.5

BET SIZE --> 3%

Love getting points with the better defense. Buffalo's D allowed the second-fewest points per game, and ranks #3 in fewest yards allowed. Houston's D allowed the fourth-most passing yards this season, and allowed the fifth-most yards per game.

Houston actually has a negative point differential on the season (-7), while Buffalo is +55.

The Texans have the better QB in Deshaun Watson, but Buffalo's Josh Allen is more than capable of getting the job done against this Texans defense.

I also like Bills head coach Sean McDermott over Houston's Bill O'Brien.

Put a little on the money line, too.

PLAY BUFFALO.
Game: (143) Tennessee Titans at (144) New England Patriots
Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 8:15 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New England Patriots -5.0 (-110)

View Analysis

8:15 PM ET -- NFL

143 Tennessee Titans
144 New England Patriots

PLAY --> #144 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5

BET SIZE --> 3%

The Patriots have not looked dominant in quite some time. The offense struggles much of the time. New England just lost at home to Miami as double-digit chalk last Sunday, while the Titans rolled the Texans in Houston. Tennessee has looked very tough since Ryan Tannehill took over at QB. Add it all up, and many bettors like the Titans. But last week's loss just adds fuel to the fire for a Patriots side that hasn't had to play on Wild Card weekend in ten years. The experience edge Belichick and Brady have over Vrabel and Tannehill is significant (this is Tannehill's first playoff start). The Patriots have been playoff home chalk of less than a TD three times since 2015. They are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in that role. Just when you're ready to count the Patriots out, they deliver (see our Patriots pick over Buffalo from two weeks ago).

PLAY NEW ENGLAND.
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Tony Finn BASKETBALL PLAYS

FINNs SAT CBB ALL-ACCESS GAME I
Game: (701) Oregon at (702) Utah U
Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 5:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Utah U 6.0 (-110)

View Analysis

PLAY: Utah Utes +6 (good to +4)
4% confidence rating

(701) Oregon at (702) Utah U
The quick turnaround, from Thursday night to Saturday afternoon is difficult for even flexable college athletes that have most everything paid for and help with their studies. Seeing that this game comes on the heels of a Thursday night event isn't as overwhelming than it will be in late January and February when school work is required. It is even more difficult considering this is the second game at altitude against a quality opponent in less than 48 hours.
More game analysis posted Saturday morning
UTAH +6 points

FINNs SAT CBB ALL-ACCESS GAME II
Game: (729) Iowa State at (730) TCU
Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 6:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: TCU -3.5 (-112)

View Analysis

PLAY: TCU Frogs -3.5 (play good tro -6)
4% confidence rating
(729) Iowa State at (730) TCU
The perimeter defense of the Horned Frogs is the best that this beyond the arc challenged ISU group has or will see in 2019-20. The four guard set of the Frogs assist in nearly 65% of all points scored.
More gameday analysis posted shortly.
TCU HORNED FROGS -3.5

FINNs SAT CBB ALL-ACCESS GAME III
Game: (719) Alabama at (720) Florida
Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 6:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Florida -6.5 (-108)

View Analysis

PLAY: Florida Gators -6.5 (good to -10)
4% confidence rating
(719) Alabama at (720) Florida
The Crimson Tide under a first-year head coach have yet to come together to the level that is neccessary to be competitive with the top half of the conference clubs, e.g. Florida Gators.
Bama is a guard-heavy offensive scheme that only on rare occasions do they find the Rocky Mountains to take the ball to the rim.
The matchup for the Tide versus a Gator perimeter defense that is argualby the best in the SEC is not a favorable matchup, especially being played in Floriday.
More game analysis shortly
FLORIDA GATORS -6.5 points
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TONY FINN NFL SATURDAY

FINNs AFC WILDCARD: PATS v TITANS
Game: (143) Tennessee Titans at (144) New England Patriots
Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 8:15 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tennessee Titans 5.5 (-110)

View Analysis

PLAY: Tennessee Titans +5.5 (good to +4)
4% confidence rating
(143) Tennessee Titans at (144) New England Patriots
Game analysis posted shortly
TENNESSEE TITANS +5.5
Play: Tennessee Titans 5.5 (-110)
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG

9:48 AM
TENNESSEE +4.5
TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
At the risk of opting against Tom Brady, a famously bad-weather QB, the rainy forecast favors Tennessee with indefatigable RB Derrick Henry. The Titans do not throw much anyway with QB Ryan Tannehill, who has proven efficient down the season’s stretch. This line is boosted by the Patriots’ incomparable playoff success, which cannot be discounted. But the visitors have been superior lately, as a 5-2 ATS record attests, while the Pats closed 1-4-1 ATS. New England went 3-3 straight-up this season against plus-.500 foes, and every winning margin was by one score. Take Tennessee.

58-31-5 IN LAST 94 NFL PICKS | +2391
12-5 IN LAST 17 NE ATS PICKS | +648

11-6 IN LAST 17 TEN ATS PICKS | +439
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Marc Lawrence NFL Wild Card Game Of The Year!
Play - Philadelphia Eagles (Game 148).
Edges - Eagles: 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS at home when coming off consecutive wins under Doug Peterson, including 5-0 SUATS when playing with revenge; and home dogs in the NFL playoff Wild Card round home dogs seeking same season loss revenge are 9-1-1 ATS since 1980, including 9-0-1 ATS if they won three or more games last season … Seahawks: 2-12 SU and 5-9 ATS away in the playoffs since 1984, including 1-6 SUATS versus avenging foes … We cement the call with these three powerful angles for our database, as it notes 1) NFL playoff home dogs are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS all-time since 1980 when facing an opponent coming off a loss; and 2) NFL playoff road favorites who were an underdog in their previous game are 3-10-1 ATS, including 0-6-1 ATS in the Wild Card round; and 3) NFL playoff favorites who were a division dog in their previous game are 0-15-1 ATS since 2007 when facing a foe that was a favorite in its previous game. With that we recommend a strong 4* play on Philadelphia. Thank you and good luck as always.
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NFAC

SATURDAY 1-4-19 =
144) New England -4.5...($800) via Bookmaker - Upgraded
141) Over 43.5 Buffalo-Houston...($600) via Cantor
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Kenny White

TENNESSEE +4.5
TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
10:07 AM
Since Ryan Tannehill took over as the starting quarterback for Tennessee, the Titans have won seven of 10 games. Tennessee played six teams with a winning record, and in those games the offense averaged 6.0 yards per carry and 9.4 yards per pass. Last week against Houston, Derrick Henry ran for 211 yards and three touchdowns. Meanwhile the Patriots lost two home games in December, including last week as a 17-point favorite with a bye on the line. The Patriots have been outgained in four of their last six games and are 1-4-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. Take the points.

16-9-1 IN LAST 26 NFL PICKS | +604
2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +85

HOUSTON -2.5
BUFFALO @ HOUSTON | 1/04 | 4:35 PM EST
9:58 AM
Buffalo has played five games against teams with a winning record and has gone 1-4 while averaging just 14.2 points per game. Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson rates out three points better than the average quarterback while Buffalo's Josh Allen, who will be playing his first playoff game, was one point below average. Defensive lineman J.J. Watt returns for Houston, which is a one-point upgrade for the Texans defense. I have Houston.

16-9-1 IN LAST 26 NFL PICKS | +604
2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +90

2-1 IN LAST 3 BUF ATS PICKS | +85
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Jeff Ma

Houston -2.5 Buffalo
New England -5 Tennessee
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newworldinsiders

BIG 10 INSIDER: Penn St -2.5
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Tom Stryker

Southern Miss
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Kenny White

UNDER 126
SAINT MARY'S @ PACIFIC | 1/04 | 10:00 PM EST
10:51 AM
My model predicts between 56 and 58 possessions in this game since both teams rank in the bottom 10 in time per possession. Pacific's offense ranks 209th, but its defense ranks 137th, and the Under is 13-4 in the team's last 17 West Coast Conference games. Meanwhile Saint Mary's has held its last four opponents to 63 points or fewer and three of the four to 58 or fewer. The Under is 38-14-3 in the Gaels' last 55 road games and 40-15-2 in the last 57 conference games. Take the Under.

VA. TECH +6.5
VA. TECH @ VIRGINIA | 1/04 | 2:00 PM EST
10:44 AM
Virginia is just 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games. The champs still have the No. 1 defense in the country, but their offense has struggled, ranking 178th in points per possession. Meanwhile Virginia Tech comes in looking for revenge after losing both games to Virginia. Tech has beaten Virginia twice in the last five meetings. Tech also plays at a very slow pace, so points will be at a premium. Take the Hokies plus the points.

4-0 IN LAST 4 VATECH ATS PICKS | +400

VMI -1
SAMFORD @ VMI | 1/04 | 1:00 PM EST
10:35 AM
Samford is 1-7 straight up and ATS on the road, coming off a one-point win over The Citadel. I think the Bulldogs will be looking ahead to their next game versus Wofford. Meanwhile VMI is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games after stating the year 0-5 ATS. Revenge is on the side of the Keydets after Samford won both games last year. Take VMI.

CLEMSON +2
NC STATE @ CLEMSON | 1/04 | 12:00 PM EST
10:29 AM
Clemson's defense is its strength, ranking 47th in points per possession allowed. NC State comes in 10-3 and with the ninth best offense in the nation, however the Wolfpack defense ranks 113th in points per possession. The team will likely be without guard C.J. Bryce, whom I think is the team's best player. I'll take the team with the better defense against a shorthanded NC State team. Take the Tigers.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CLEM ATS PICKS | +96

IOWA ST. +4
IOWA ST. @ TCU | 1/04 | 6:00 PM EST
10:20 AM
Iowa State is coming off a horrendous loss at home as a 25-point favorite to Florida A&M. The Cyclones played that game without their best player, Tyrese Haliburton. The good news is that Haliburton will return to face the Horned Frogs, who are 9-3 but just 4-7 ATS. More importantly they are 0-3 straight up and ATS against the three best teams they've played this year. Take Iowa State plus the points.

3-2 IN LAST 5 IOWAST ATS PICKS | +71
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POINTWISE PHONES

4- Buffalo/Houston Under
3- Tulane
2- UL Lafayette (mon), Buffalo
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NFL(BOB BALFE)VIP
4:35 PM EST
Rotation #141-142
Bills/Texans Over 43.5
One thing we need to learn from last year is to be cautious on wagering on QB’s playing in their first playoff game. The playoffs are totally different animal. How will Josh Allen respond to the road pressure? That is the question, but in the answer there couldn’t be a better defense to have your first playoff game against. The Texans are brutal in just about every statistical category on the defensive end and the return of JJ Watt is all smoke and mirrors. There is no way Watt is going to be at peak performance to disrupt the game like we know and have seen him do. Buffalo has a great chance in this game and I believe will put up a good amount of points. The backend of this defense is injured and gives up huge plays. It will be up to Deshawn Watson and the Texans to move the ball on a really good defense. Has Watson learned from his postseason disaster from last year? Will Fuller being out of this game really hurts this team as well. I can’t believe they didn’t dress him just to be a distraction. This is going to be a great game. I believe home field advantage is huge because I don’t see Houston winning this game if they were playing in a cold and windy Buffalo. There are perfect indoor conditions this afternoon and I believe both teams will push the offensive pace in this game. Two mobile QB’s that can move the chains with their feet is huge in this one. Take the Over.

NFL
8:15 PM EST
Rotation #143-144
Patriots -4.5 over Titans
I will not talk bad about the Titans because they had a complete turnaround and made the playoffs. What I will say is they face weak defenses and faced nothing close to what New England will bring at the 31 year old Ryan Tannehill. This is Tannehill’s first playoff game, the offensive coordinators first playoff game and head coach Mike Vrabel’s first playoff game. If the Patriots beat the Dolphins last week people might not be giving Tennessee a chance, but all of a sudden because of one football game the entire world is taking the Titans. New England is still a tough place to play and it gets worse at night under the lights with a lunatic passionate crowd that knows the game as well as any fan base. Good luck. The Patriots might not have the best offense this year, but they still have great running backs who can also catch the ball as well. Tom Brady is still the best player in the history of the NFL until he no longer isn’t. The Titans might appear to be the more favorable team here, but it’s going to take a lot from many people who have not been in a playoff setting to play 4 flawless quarters to beat this team. If they do it then hats off. I just think the odds are not on their side. Take the Patriots.
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Rain man:
5 star Tulane
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Seabass football : 700 so miss , 700 so miss game over , 800 bills game over , 1000 * patriots , 200
patriots to win SB at 20 to 1
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Bill Marzano

GONZAGA -21
PEPPERDINE @ GONZAGA | 1/04 | 10:00 PM EST
11:02 AM
The Zags are the best team in the nation right now and the top scoring team as well. They have won 31 consecutive home games, the longest streak in the nation. They have completely dominated this series, having won 37 straight meetings, including 21 straight at home. The Zags will pretty much do whatever they want in this game and won't be surprised to see them put up 100 here. The Waves are horrible defensively, they can't guard and they can't rebound, expect the Zags to dominate the boards as well.

4-0 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS | +400
3-2 IN LAST 5 GONZAG ATS PICKS | +77

UNDER 128.5
SAN DIEGO ST @ UTAH ST. | 1/04 | 10:00 PM EST
11:01 AM
The Aztecs are just one of two undefeated teams in the nation, Auburn is the other. But they will have their hands full here as the oddsmakers have them listed as an underdog against Utah State. The Aztecs have dropped the last two meetings after complete domination in this series. These are two very good defensive teams and I think points will be at a premium in this one. The Aztecs can defend, allowing just 56 points per game overall, while Utah State allows 62. The Under has cashed in six straight meetings.

14-6 IN LAST 20 CBB O/U PICKS | +740
W. VIRGINIA +10
W. VIRGINIA @ KANSAS | 1/04 | 4:00 PM EST
10:59 AM
This is a fantastic matchup and I think this number is way too high. West Virginia comes into this game unranked, but it will be ranked shortly. This team can play and has played one of the toughest schedules to date. The Jayhawks have won 28 consecutive home openers, however they have two losses already and shown they are beatable. Kansas has had a tough time vs. good defensive teams and WV is going to challenge most of the shots the Jayhawks take, as well as battle on the boards.

4-0 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS | +400
COLUMBUS -1.5
SAN JOSE @ COLUMBUS | 1/04 | 1:00 PM EST
10:56 AM
The Jackets may be the hottest team in the NHL, posting points in 12 straight games. On Saturday they face a struggling Sharks team that may not be ready for this early start and is just 3-9-2 in its last 14 games. San Jose lost both meetings against Columbus last year and was outscored 8-1 in the process. The Sharks have dropped five of their last six road games and haven't won back-to-back games since the end of November. Columbus money line (+178) is the play.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NHL PICKS | +200
CONNECTICUT -3.5
CONNECTICUT @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 1/04 | 2:00 PM EST
10:56 AM
The UConn Huskies come into this game off a horrible loss to Cincinnati. Look for them to make some adjustments here and continue their dominance in this series. The Huskies have won 12 of the last 13 meetings overall and are a better team than the Bulls. The Bulls are shooting a league worst 59 percent from the FT line and are not a good offensive team, ranking 322nd in the nation in scoring. The Huskies are 7-2 ATS their last nine games following an ATS L.

4-0 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS | +400
INDIANA +7
INDIANA @ MARYLAND | 1/04 | 12:00 PM EST
10:53 AM
The Hoosiers come into Conference play with just two losses and 11 wins, and they will test the Terps here for sure. Indiana leads the nation in free throws made with almost 19 per game. That alone should keep the Hoosiers in this game. The Hoosiers come into this game off a tough seven-point loss to Arkansas, who are very underrated in my opinion. The Hoosiers have a couple big wins under their belts already over FSU, UConn and ND, while their other loss was to a solid Badgers team that just upset Ohio State last night. The Terps have dropped four straight ATS and six of their last eight overall.

4-0 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS | +400
3-2 IN LAST 5 IND ATS PICKS | +78
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Seabass hoops first report : 300 DePaul , 300 Louisville
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Kelso 50 Tenn Titans
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Buffalo+2.5 NFL

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
5* Texas Arlington NCAABB
3* Seattle-13 NCAABB
3* Buffalo/Houston UNDER 43.5 NFL
3* Auburn-1.5 NCAABB

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Penn State-2.5 NCAABB
3* NC State-2 NCAABB
3* Patriots-4.5 NFL

Primetime Sports Picks For 01/04/20
5 Unit --> Auburn -1.5 over Mississippi St. (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Tulane/Southern Miss UNDER 57 (NCAAF)
3 Unit --> Gonzaga -21.5 over Pepperdine (NCAAB)
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Tim Doyle

KANSAS -10
W. VIRGINIA @ KANSAS | 1/04 | 4:00 PM EST
11:36 AM
Why is the line so high? Because Vegas knows. The Mountaineers struggle from deep, and Kansas is tough down low. The Big 12 goes through Lawrence again.

7-5 IN LAST 12 CBB PICKS | +206
PROVIDENCE +125
PROVIDENCE @ DEPAUL | 1/04 | 2:00 PM EST
11:33 AM
DePaul has had an outstanding year, but a tough close home loss to Seton Hall makes me question where its head will be at today in Chicago. With an empty building and the buzz dying, the Friars take advantage. Providence money line (+125) is the play.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CBB ML PICKS | +365
UNDER 127.5
WYOMING @ COLORADO ST. | 1/04 | 1:00 PM EST
11:29 AM
Both of these teams struggle to score. Colorado State’s defense held Colorado to 56 points. This will be ugly, and I love it. Take the Under.

7-5 IN LAST 12 CBB PICKS | +206
BRYANT -9
F. DICKINSON @ BRYANT | 1/04 | 1:00 PM EST
11:27 AM
Bryant coach Jared Grasso is a star, and in Year 2 he has turned this program into the best team in the NEC. Lay the points with Bryant at home.

7-5 IN LAST 12 CBB PICKS | +206
LSU PK
LSU @ TENNESSEE | 1/04 | 12:00 PM EST
11:24 AM
Tennessee scored 48 in its last game, against Wisconsin. The Vols are in a bad way. I’d lay six points with LSU. Take the Tigers.

7-5 IN LAST 12 CBB PICKS | +206
UNDER 134.5
CREIGHTON @ BUTLER | 1/04 | 12:00 PM EST
11:21 AM
Butler locks up defensively, and Creighton doesn’t make too many mistakes on offense. This will be a low-scoring, grind-it-out affair. Take the Under.

7-5 IN LAST 12 CBB PICKS | +206
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:

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Jin Feist

NBA
3* #509 Indiana -7

WORLDS WORST PICKER

NCAABB
Peabodys Super Picks: Villanova Georgia Tech
Peabodys Regular Picks: Indiana Penn State Arkansas State Furman Chattanooga UAB

Play On: Marquette UNC
Play On: Maryland Iowa Texas State E Tenn State Mercer Old Dominion
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Gavazzi
4 ne
3 hou
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Allegheny Analysis Princeton under
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The 'R' Factor (The Swami - NHL) - 9 Units Florida Panthers -125
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Maddux

10 Hst ov 43'
10 Tease (NO-1' Pha+7')
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Philly Guy - Titans Penn St Villanova Penn Tulane over

Champagne - Top Penn Reg Titans Pats Pats under Charleston N Colorada

Dime Man - Top Az Vikings Reg Bills Ark St Appl St Tenn St Wash St
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Jack Winningham

NHL
Arizona -128 vs Philadelphia
Vancouver -150 vs NY Rangers
LA Kings +110 vs Nashville

NCAA Hoops
Texas +9 vs Baylor
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Up And Up Sports

New England Patriots -4.5
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Maddux

Added

10 - NE-4
10 - Tease Buf+8', NO-1')
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Midwest NFL Handicapping

NE -4

BUFF +8.5/UNDER 49.5
NE +2/UNDER 51
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Bill Hilton - Gameday

3- Houston
1- NE
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Vegas runner

5 pats
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Bezobets

NCAA Basketball: Depaul -2.5 @ 1.993/-101
NFL: Bills/Texans UNDER 44 @ 1.873/-115
NFL: Tennessee Titans +5 @ 1.87/-115
NCAA Basketball: Utah State -1 1st Half @ 1.893/-112
NCAA Basketball: LSU +1.5 @ 1.973/-103
NCAA Basketball: Louisville -6 @ 1.909/-110
NCAA Basketball: Villanova +1.5 @ 1.909/-110
NCAA Basketball: Kansas -10 @ 1.87/-115
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Al Demarco 15 dimer gonzaga -20.5
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Maddux

NBA

10 Charlotte/Dallas under 216.5
10 Indiana/Atlanta over 221
10 Memphis/LA Clippers over 230
10 Golden State +3
10 New Orleans/Sacramento over 224.5

CBB

10 612 Eastern Michigan +4
10 669 Middle Tennessee +8
10 675 Georgia Southern +3
10 679 Mississippi +8
10 702 Utah +5.5
10 722 Drake -2
10 727 Georgia Tech +7.5
10 739 UTSA +5.5
10 754 Nebraska Omaha pick
10 759 Texas +9
10 763 Montana +7
10 766 SMU/Vanderbilt under 146
10 777 New Mexico State/Cal Baptist over 136
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Daily Edge
New England -4
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Tony Bruno- Overall: 73-47 in 120 bets. a 61% winning edge. Now, let’s get down to the business yo! NFL AFC Wild Card Weekend Locks

AFC Saturday has late afternoon and prime time games.
4:35pm kickoff in Houston on ABC, as the texans get JJ Watt back and host Buffalo.

The Bills were 1-4 on the road this past season against playoff teams, and the only win was against Tennessee before the QB switch. Buffalo is getting much deserved respect as a 2 1/2 pt underdog, but I love that number for a veteran home field team in a huge game. Texans and lay the Points.
Saturday Night Special in Foxboro at 8:15 on CBS.

Patriots in uncomfortable waters as a wild card team for the 3rd time and each time failed to make the Super Bowl.
The upstart Tennessee Titans come marching in with ex patriot star Mike Vrabal flipping all the right switches to finish 7-3 after going with Ryan Tannehill over Marcus Mariotta. He also has the best running back in the league in Derrick Henry and a facing a Pats team that is still good, but are they still great?
Last time this franchise won in Massachusetts was 1993 when they were the Houston Oilers. I expect student to match wits with teacher and take the Titans plus the 5 points
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Tri Lambda

Under [141] Buffalo Bills vs. [142] Houston Texans
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Marco CBB
4% Auburn
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Miller locks

4:35 pm est nfl
buffalo bills vs. Houston texans

pick: Buffalo bills +2.5 (-102)

risk: 11 units bet now!

8:15 pm est nfl
tennessee titans vs. New england patriots

pick: New england patriots -4 (-109)

risk: 11 units bet now!

8:30 pm est nba
san antonio spurs vs. Milwaukee bucks

pick: San antonio spurs +12 (-105)

risk: 11 units
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Potato Kmish

5* Mississippi St Pk
3* Eagles +1.5
3* Patriots -4
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charlie
bills over 43
ne-4.5
Texans-2.5
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Scott Delaney
FIRST
Top-Rated
100 DIME
NFL Release of the Campaign

AFC WILD-CARD
GAME OF THE YEAR

100 dime- Bills
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Sean Michaels

SATURDAY
50 Dime play on Houston over Buffalo. The Texans are -2 1/2 at 7:55 this morning here in Las Vegas. At this price do nothing. But if the price moves up to anywhere between -3 and -4 1/2, then you want to buy down the 1/2-point on Houston.
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Mitchell Newman

Today's Release...
Selection: Saturday's release is a 40 Dime play on New England over Tennessee.

Line: At 7:30 am eastern, New England is -5 points.
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Karl Garrett

Today's Winner...

TODAY'S WINNER
25 Dime - Colorado Avalanche -1 1/2 goalsAt 6:45 am eastern time, the Avs are -1 1/2 goals, +140.
Update: At 2:00 pm eastern, the Avalanche are now -1 1/2 goals, +
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Stephen DeAngelo

SATURDAY'S WINNER
The pick: 40 DIME - Bills-Texans UNDER the total
The line: As of midnight Pacific Time on Friday night, the consensus total in this game was 43.5.

The analysis: Fourreasons I love this Bills-Texans playoff game to stay UNDER the total:
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Kirby Maxwell

TONIGHT'S WINNER
My 40 Dime play is the BUFFALO BILLS, who are +3 at 6 am pacific. Be sure to purchase the half point up in this one, as long as the books are offering you anywhere between +2.5 and +4.
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Jack Brayman

TODAY'S WINNER
Today's Play: 60 Dime OVER Titans-Patriots

Line/Total: -44.5 as of 7:45 am eastern
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Chris Jordan

Today:
800♦ BYU COUGARS

At 4:30 am pacific, the line is -17' points.
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Steve Budin - CEO

Saturday's Pick
The Brooklyn College Boys have a 50 DIME play on Memphis at home over Georgia. The Tigers are -7 1/2 as I put my site live at 10:35 am eastern
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King Creole under 44 Texans
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MTI two team teaser (bought and confirmed)

4.5-Star Eagles +7.5, Buffalo +8.5
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Dr Bob
Best Bet - (630) *DePaul (-2.5) 1-Star at -3 or less.
Best Bet - (651) *Virginia Tech (+7) 1-Star at +7 or more.
Best Bet - (670) **Charlotte (-7) 2-Stars at -8 or less.
Best Bet - (676) *Appalachian State (-1.5) 1-Star at -2 or less.
Best Bet - (700) **Tennessee State (-11.5) 2-Stars at -12 or less, 1-Star up to -13.
Best Bet - (727) **Georgia Tech (+8) 2-Stars at +8, 1-Star down to +7.
Best Bet - (738) **Arkansas (-14) 2-Stars at -14 or less, 1-Star up to -15.
Best Bet - (760) *Baylor (-9) 1-Star at -9 or less.
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jack jones

15*. tenn
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Bondi

4* ne.

3* buff
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Hope everyone is doing well today. Does anyone have Brandon Lang’s pick today? Thanks and good luck to all