WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, August 29th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
Betting Recap - 8/21-8/27
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 8-6 straight up (SU)
Underdogs went 8-6 against the spread (ATS)
Home teams posted a 10-4 SU record
Home teams posted an 8-6 ATS record
The 'under' went 9-4-1
Team Betting Notes
Atlanta (12-20) must’ve received the wake-up call last week as the team captured not one but two straight victories after dropping nine consecutive games. Closing the season with three or four in a row might be tough knowing the Dream end with road games at Los Angeles on Friday and Phoenix on Sunday.
Chicago (12-19) snapped its two-game losing skid on Friday with a 96-83 win at Connecticut as an eye-opening 10-point road underdog. Unfortunately the club followed that performance up with a 92-62 setback at New York on Sunday afternoon. Including those results, the Sky are now 8-8 on the road opposed to 4-11 at home. The ‘over’ has gone 5-1 in their last six games.
After rolling off a handful of easy wins, Connecticut (20-11) struggled to a 1-1 record last week and it burned bettors twice at the betting counter. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games when laying more than eight points and that’s something to keep an eye. The Sun will likely be the third or fourth seed in the playoffs but closing with their last three games on the road won’t be easy, especially with two on the West Coast (Phoenix, Los Angeles).
Dallas (15-17) went 1-1 last week and still sits in the eighth and final playoff spot in the WNBA. The Wings did go 2-0 ATS last week and is 5-2 over its last seven games. The club visits Chicago on Wednesday before hosting New York in the season finale on Sunday.
Indiana (9-23) couldn’t stop the bleeding this week as it dropped two more games and saw its losing skid reach six games. They did manage to cover in Saturday’s 79-74 loss at Atlanta as a 10-point road underdog. The ‘under’ cashed in both games. The club welcomes Minnesota on Wednesday before closing the season at home against San Antonio, which could be a winnable game.
Los Angeles (24-8 ) looks like it’s ready for the playoffs. The club went 2-0 last week and has now won five in a row and all of the victories have come by double digits. The Sparks are 5-0 ATS during this run and Sunday’s wire-to-wire home victory over Minnesota made a serious statement. The ‘under’ went 2-0 last week and is 7-1 over the last eight for Los Angeles. The club finishes the season with two home games versus Atlanta and Connecticut.
The Lynx (24-7) went 1-1 last week and the setback came on Sunday at Los Angeles. Minnesota still owns the top overall seed in the playoffs but will likely have to win out to lock up homecourt in the postseason. A trip to Indiana on Wednesday is followed with home games versus Chicago and Washington over the weekend.
Stop the presses in New York (20-12) because the Liberty cannot be stopped! The club extended its winning streak to eight straight games last week by going 3-0 both SU and ATS. The defense continues to be lights our and they held teams to 50, 66 and 62 points during this week’s action. The ‘under’ cashed in all of those games and is 7-0-1 during their winning streak. The club closes the season with winnable games versus San Antonio and at Dallas this week.
Phoenix (16-16) started the week with back-to-back losses and the offense (69, 67) looked dismal in both efforts. It didn’t improve much on Sunday but the Mercury snapped a three-game losing skid with a 75-71 win at Seattle as a five-point home underdog. Phoenix finishes the season home games versus Connecticut on Friday before Atlanta visits on Sunday. The Mercury are currently slated for the sixth seed in the playoffs but could improve to the fifth or possibly drop to as low as the eighth.
San Antonio (7-25) wasn’t expected to win this week as it was listed as double-digit underdogs against the top two teams in the WNBA. The Stars lost at Los Angeles by 20 on Tuesday before dropping their home finale to Minnesota by 19. The club will finish the season with a pair of road games at New York and Indiana this week.
The Storm (14-18) went 0-2 both SU and ATS last week as a favorite and both outcomes were decided by six points or less. Those setbacks came after the club ripped off four straight wins. Seattle (14-18) hasn’t technically clinched a playoff spot yet but it needs one win over its final two games or at least one loss by Chicago in their three games. Coincidentally, the pair play in “The Windy City” on Sunday evening.
Washington (17-14) will be participating in this year’s postseason and an early exit wouldn’t be surprising. The Mystics lost two games last week and they’re 1-4 over their last five games. They failed to over the spread in any of the setbacks and even the return of All-Star Elena Delle Donne might be enough to get the club on track. She returned from a six-game absence this week and dropped 15 and 29 in the losses. Washington finishes with three games this week, two at home and the season finale at Minnesota on Sunday.
WNBA Prediction: Connecticut at Washington
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
A battle between the first and the third best team of the Eastern Conference takes place tonight, when the previous leaders of the East Washington Mystics (17-14), are hosting the newest leaders, the Connecticut Sun (20-11), with both squads looking to bounce back from losses in their latest matchups.
Washington Mystics have a 17-14 record so far this season (14-17 ATS) and they have fallen to the third place of the East. They have lost four of their last five matches and in their last game they lost at home against Dallas with a 78-83 score. Elena Delle Donne leads the team in scoring with 19.1 ppg, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 blocks. Emma Messeman adds 14.3 ppg and 6 rpg, while Kristi Toliver adds 11.7 ppg and a team high 3.2 assists per game.
Connecticut Sun have a 20-11 record (19-12 ATS) and they currently sit on the first place of the East. In their last game they saw a two-game winning streak getting snapped by losing at home against Chicago with an 83-96 score. Jonquel Jones leads the team in scoring with 15.9 ppg, adding a league-best 11.7 rebounds per game. She is followed by Alyssa Thomas with 14.5 ppg, 6.7 rebounds and a team high 4.7 assists per game, while Jasmine Thomas adds 14.4 ppg and 4.3 assists per game.
This will be the third meeting between those two teams this season, with each team having won at home. Washington are 10-5 at home, while Connecticut are 8-6 on the road. Connecticut are better offensively, scoring a league-best 87.2 ppg to Washington’s 81.3, while Washington are better defensively, allowing 79.9 ppg to Connecticut’s 81.6. Connecticut have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with 45.5% to Washington’s 41.5% (third-worse), and in 3-pointers, shooting with a second-best 36.5% to Washington’s 31.5% (third-worse). Sun are also better in rebounding, grabbing a second-best 36.4 to Mystics’ third-best of 36, dish more assists, with 18 to Mystics’ 16.4 (third-worse), while Mystics commit the fewest turnovers in the league with 12.1 to Suns’ second-best of 12.4. It is going to be a close game but Washington have lost their last three home games, so pick Connecticut in this one.
Prediction: Connecticut Sun -1.5
CONNECTICUT (20 - 11) at WASHINGTON (17 - 14) - 8/29/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a division game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 308-367 ATS (-95.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT vs. WASHINGTON
Connecticut is 5-13-1 SU in its last 19 games ,when playing Washington
Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington13-2-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Washington is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,at home
StatFox Super Situations
CONNECTICUT at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 playing with 2 days rest, in August or September games 62-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.9% | 31.2 units ) 7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )
CONNECTICUT at WASHINGTON
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, in August or September games 152-51 since 1997. ( 74.9% | 0.0 units ) 1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | 0.0 units )
CONNECTICUT at WASHINGTON
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after one or more consecutive overs against opponent after 2 or more consecutive unders 79-39 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.9% | 36.1 units ) 16-10 this year. ( 61.5% | 5.0 units )