Alex Smart
Orlando Magic -6.5
I have not been a big supporter of the young Orlando Magic this season and felt like they were playing above themselves in the early going. Do not get me wrong their a fine young team on the rise, but their early season heroics , which saw them win 17 of their first 23 games was not a barometer to judge this team by. Chicagos was at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum at the beginning of this season, losing 10 of their first 12 games, but despite of improving have never really shown any of us, what many thought was a resurgent Bulls franchise. Bottom line: Despite of the under achieving and over achieving tag , attached to each of these teams, they are on paper, pretty evenly matched. But with Chicago now on tired legs, playing their 3rd road game in 5 nights, and the Magics home court advantage thrown in , we have a situation that favors the host team. Final notes & Key Trends: Chicago is 0-10 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons Play on Orlando
Mighty Quinn
Miss. State -8
RedZone Sports Comp
Notre Dame.
Cappers Access
Mich St
Kentucky
LT'S LOCK
Miami Fl. +2
Joe Wiz's Comp
TCU +4
CTO
*BAYLOR over Oklahoma State...Buoyed by a strong preconference showing--including upsets vs. Notre Dame & South Carolina (in Columbia)--have faith rising 11-2 Baylor can cover smallish number vs. "roadworrier" OSU, which hasn't won a game as a true visitor in nearly 2 seasons (13 straight losses, 0-2 vs. spread TY). Bears superbly-balanced attack (6 avg. between 10 & 15 ppg), bolstered by recruiting gem, 6-4 frosh G Dunn (12 ppg, 2.4 treys pg at 47%!), should keep up their high-scoring ways (82 ppg) vs. Cowboy squad near cellar of Big XII in scoring & FG% defense. Undervalued Baylor 11-3 vs. spread last 14 (through January 7).
*BAYLOR 85 - Oklahoma State 72 RATING - 10
Arthur Ralph Superpick
Michigan State
Regular Pick: BYU
Burns 3-pack
Anaheim
Tampa Bay
Columbus
Pers Fave---------Michigan St
East conf GOM----Knicks
Blue Chip----------Under Raptors/Pistons
NHL Ult. Report----Lightning, Ducks, Blue Jackets
Gator Report (Cajun-Sports)
Gator's 70% Situational Report
NBA
Tuesday: Play On NBA road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a team winning percentage of 60% to 75% playing a team with a losing record
33-9 ATS the last 5 seasons (78.6%) PLAY: PHOENIX -7
CBB
Tuesday: Play Against CBB home teams when the line is +3 to -3 with an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), after 2 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher.
23-4 ATS the last 5 seasons (85.2%) PLAY: NEBRASKA -3
GAMBLERS WORLD
Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks Current Line: -1.5 Over/Under: 205
Reason: The Denver Nuggets and the Atlanta Hawks will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at Philips Arena. Oddsmakers currently have the Hawks listed as 1½-point favorites versus the Nuggets, while the game's total is sitting at 205. The Nuggets were upset 119-116 by the Bobcats last time out, as 4.5-point favorites on the road. The combined score sailed OVER the posted total of 209.5. Carmelo Anthony scored a team-high 35 points and Marcus Camby had a double-double with 20 points and 23 rebounds in the loss. The Hawks defeated Chicago 105-84 as a 4-point favorite last time out. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (187). Joe Johnson scored 37 points to go along with nine rebounds and six assists for Atlanta, while Josh Childress added 14 points and nine rebounds in the win. Team records: Denver: 22-14 SU, 18-18 ATS Atlanta: 17-17 SU, 18-16 ATS Denver most recently: When playing on Tuesday are 3-7 Before playing Utah are 5-5 After playing Charlotte are 4-2 After a loss are 7-3 Atlanta most recently: When playing on Tuesday are 6-4 Before playing Milwaukee are 1-9 After playing Chicago are 4-6 After a win are 6-4 A few trends to consider: Denver is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta Atlanta is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Denver The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Michael Cannon
20 Dime –
CAVALIERS
Take the Cavs tonight as the small road chalk over the Grizzlies.
LeBron James is finally getting some help and the Cavaliers are playing better team defense. Larry Hughes is getting better every game which has led to Cleveland holding eight of its last nine opponents under 95 points.
Memphis on the other hand, well let’s just say their happy if they hold a team under 95 points for the first three quarters. They rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed per game and field goal percentage.
The Grizzlies don’t have a defensive stopper who can keep James in check.
The favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two and Memphis is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 home games.
Take the Cavs as the small road chalk as they grab the win and cover.
5 Dime –
NC STATE
Take the points with NC State tonight when they visit Clemson in an ACC clash.
I’ll admit Clemson is the more talented team, but I think the Wolfpack will come out fighting mad after the drubbing they took at the hands of North Carolina on Saturday.
Clemson also has a history of fading once conference play starts and I’m not comfortable laying this kind of number with a team that lost by 10 at home to Charlotte last Wednesday as a 15 ½-point chalk.
NC State has enough with J.J. Hickson and Courtney Fells to stay within this number on the road.
The Wolfpack are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games and 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings with Clemson.
Take the points as NC State keeps this one close.
MIAMI (Fla)
Take Miami as the small road dog tonight against Boston College.
Miami has been one of the bigger surprises this year in college basketball and I expect them to continue their run tonight at Boston College.
Boston College may have gotten back on track with Saturday’s rout of Wake Forest, but this is still the same team that lost back-to-back home games, to undefeated Kansas and Division II Robert Morris. They had been 0-3 ATS before Saturday’s win.
The Hurricanes are on impressive ATS runs of 14-3-1 overall, 7-0 on the road and 4-1 in the ACC.
Take the Hurricanes as the small road chalk as they get it done tonight over Boston College.
P Leiner
25* NBA Over 182 Det/Tor
10* CBB Boston College -2
5* CBB Over 123 Col/Neb
SportyT
Denver Nuggets +2
Vegasexperts
Creighton Blue Jays at Northern Iowa Panthers
After a double dip in its first two conference games, Creighton has rallied to win three in a row, including a pair of road wins on the tough courts of Missouri State and Wichita State. While that was going on, Northern Iowa has squandered its 2-0 league start by dropping three straight MVC games, including a loss to injury-depleted Bradley on the Panthers home floor. Normally, we would try to call the turn in a situation like this but, tonight we are going with the current trend. The reason is Creighton's mastery of the Panthers. The Blue Jays are 19-4 SU and 17-6 ATS against Northern Iowa, including five straight covers as pick or dog. We're flying with the Jaybirds in this one.
Play on: Creighton
Suns should be ready to run as they've been off since Saturday and don't play again until Thursday night at the Lakers. That's bad news for the short-handed and slow-footed Clippers who have lost ten of their last 11 games. They are 6-5 ATS in that span but it's difficult to keep covering games without winning outright once in a while. Supporting angles say to Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - vs. division opponents, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog (45-17 over the last 5 seasons, 72.6%) and Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record (33-9 over the last 5 seasons, 78.6%).
Play on: Phoenix
Brandon Lang
10 Dime
Mississippi State
5 Dime
Notre Dame
Bulls
Free Pick - Missouri State
Stan Sharp
CBB Sides
triple-dime bet528 Baylor -6.0 vs Oklahoma St.
Analysis: All 3 of Stan's Top College Bettors and Stan agree that BAYLOR will Blowout Oklahoma St. tonight. They expect Baylor to WIN by 12-15 Points. TAKE BAYLOR as STAN'S COLLEGE BLOWOUT BIG BET OF THE MONTH and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.
Greg Shaker
CBB Total
triple-dime bet Clemson / North Carolina St. Over 138.5
Analysis:
Note: Most teams that demostrate a slower than usual pace have a better than average D and that is the case with the Wolfpack. But that has only been when they have played to the home crowd and not when they hit the road. The numbers for this ACC School have been like night and day depending on where they are dribbling and they have dribbled poorly on the road, allowing over 47% shooting and 81 points per contest. All true Road games have gone OVER the posted mark and the average final score has seen 148 points. North Carolina certainly had their way verses NC State and the liklihood of Clemson doing the same is very good. The Tigers have both outstanding offensive and defensive numbers and have been tough to beat here, even losing just by two to the Tarheels. They do push the ball, ranked #51 in the country and with great success as well, ranked #24 in offensive efficiency. The visitors are going to try to slow the action down, and they might have some success early in this game, but eventually they are going to have to play the Tiger way, as most teams coming here have to to do. That is one reason why OVER is 13-3 last 16 played by Clemson and that is why Clemson played games have averaged 151 this year. With the exception of games with very slow tempo Samford and Puudue, home games for this team have been a scoring bonanza as has the last two between these two here and the last 3 regardless of where they have played. A good combination of home and away trends, and Tigers being able to control the tempo gives us what I think is a very nice play tonight
DOC'S
4 Unit Play. #521 Take Creighton +1 over Northern Iowa (7:00 pm ESPN 2) After a tough start to the season, the Blue Jays are starting to put it together having won three straight games including a contest @ Wichita State last Saturday. The Panthers do not have much of a home court advantage playing @ McLeod Center, as they are just 6-3 in Cedar Falls this season. NIU is weak on offense scoring just over 60 points per game and shooting below 45% as a team. They will be lucky to get out of the fifties today since Creighton holds its opponents to just 62 points per game. The first team to sixty wins and that will be the visitor.
4 Unit Play. #528 Take Baylor -6 over Oklahoma State (8:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) We used this same game as our Midwest Game of the Year last season and won with ease, as the Bears led by 19 points in that game and Ok State lost much of their firepower from last year’s squad. The Cowboys are 1-5 when playing away from Gallagher Iba Arena and Baylor will challenge for an NCAA Tournament bid this season. Baylor has great balance and they now believe they belong in the Big XII and will pull away late to win this game by double digits.
4 Unit Play. #538 Take Maryland -7 over Wake Forest (9:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) The underachieving is over and Maryland will finally play up to its potential on Tuesday and thus record their first victory of the season. Wake Forest has been a bad road team all season long, winning just one of their five road affairs. A common opponent both teams played in a bad Charlotte team and Maryland dominated that game for 35 minutes and Wake lost straight-up to them. The Terrapins have won three of the last four meetings and will make it an even 80% this evening winning comfortably.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS
1.5-Unit Play. #521 Take Northern Iowa -1 over Creighton (7 pm)
Over the last three games the Panthers have really hit the skids, and at 2-3 in MVC play, they could really use an inspired victory to get them back on track. NIU will have the advantage inside, both on the glass and points in the paint. I think this is where they can take this game. Creighton has really skated through some of its road games with narrow wins. They failed to put away its last two wins on the road, while losing the two before that. I'm more confident with Northern Iowa at home than the Blue Jays away from Nebraska. Here the slight home favorite comes through.
2-Unit Play. #535 Take Nebraska -2.5 over Colorado (9 pm)
The Cornhuskers have been playing pretty well outside of their last game with Kansas. And as we've seen, Colorado is no Kansas. Nebrasaka has proven themselves somwhat with victories against the likes of Oregon and Arizona State, and he're they will score a Big 12 victory in Boulder.
2-Unit Play. #534 Take Boston College -2 over Miami (9 pm)
The Hurricanes have looked impressive this season, but BC is tough in Chestnut Hill, and here I think they come out on top at home. Miami has yet to really be tested on the road, and they haven't been away from Coral Gables since around the middle of December. The Eagles have won the last ten meetings, going 9-1 ATS in those games. They continue that one-sided dominance tonight.
3-Unit Play. #539 Take Kentucky +9.5 over Mississippi State (9 pm)
I have a hard time seeing how the Wildcats aren't going to come out fully focused and motivated to continue to play well after that victory this past weekend. That win at home over previously undefeated Vandy is what you could call a season changer, and now a little momentum on their sides could be just what they need to push through SEC play with some success. The Bulldogs haven't lived up to what people thought they could be early in the season, and their latest stretch has basically been beating up on bad teams sans Missouri. This match-up will be close in Starkville, and Kentucky will stay inside this number.
1.5-Unit Play. Take New Mexico/TCU Over 141 (9 pm)
The Lobos really like to get out and run with their balanced attack, and them being the better team, they'll be able to dictate tempo against the Horned Frogs. New Mexico has gone over its last four posted totals and are 10-5 in that category this season. I think if TCU has a shot to win this game, it will be a back-and-forth affair. This one will be played in the 70s, so the over is the play.
3-Unit Play. #545 Take BYU +2.5 over UNLV (11 pm)
The Cougars had a stretch where they did not play particularly well. I think here's a spot where they rebound nicely with an away win in the Mountain West. They opener conference play with a convincing victory over Colorado State this past weekend, and look for another strong effort from BYU, this time in Vegas over the Rebels. The Cougs take this one outright.
Tony Mathew's Free College Basketball Selection
Matchup: Oklahoma State vs. Baylor
Selection: Baylor -5 (-110)
Explanation: We will lay the points with Baylor as they face-off against Oklahoma State in Tuesday's College Basketball contest.
Baylor has the much better offense. Baylor (at home) is scoring an average of 83.6 points per game, while Oklahoma State (on the road) is scoring an average of only 70.5 points per game. It's clear Baylor has the much better offense.
Baylor also has the better defense. Baylor (at home) is allowing opponents to score an average of only 64.5 points per game, while Oklahoma State (on the road) is allowing opponents to score an average of 83.5 points per game. To say the least, Baylor has the much better defense.
Baylor is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against Big 12 teams, while Oklahoma State is 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games against Big 12 teams.
Oklahoma State is one of those teams that plays poorly on the road. In fact, Oklahoma State is 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Take Baylor -5!