NCAABB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Wednesday 11/14/18

Basketball Discussion

Last Post by shazman 5 years ago

4 Posts

1 Users

0 Likes

1,148 Views

RSS

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57875

Member Moderator

Topic starter

Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 11/14/18

Posted : November 14, 2018 9:34 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57875

Member Moderator

Topic starter

Villanova beat Michigan 79-62 in national title game seven months ago; Wildcats hammered a couple of stiffs to start this season, winning by 23-33 points. Villanova starts two sophs, three seniors- they took 32 3’s, 36 2’s in their last game, vs Quinnipiac. Michigan allowed 40.5 ppg in winning its first two games, by 19 points each. Wolverines start only one senior- they made 20% of their 3’s in first two games. Last 3+ years, Big 14 teams are 28-26-1 vs spread when playing Big East teams, 15-11-1 when an underdog.

Road team won both Toledo-Wright State games last two years; Rockets won 82-78 here in 2016, lost 77-69 at home LY. Toledo won its opener 87-86 at Oakland after trailing by 14 in first half; Rockets forced only three turnovers (-10) but outscored the hosts 21-13 on foul line. Toledo starts two juniors, two seniors- they whacked a stiff in their 2nd game. WSU split its first two games, losing by 19 at Murray State in last game Saturday. Raiders start two sophs, two juniors. Last 3+ years, Horizon teams are 27-39 vs spread when playing MAC opponents.

Boston College is 2-0 but didn’t lead either game at halftime; they were +30/+5 in second half of those games. Eagles played four starters 36:00+ in Sunday’s 74-69 win over St Francis, which is a red flag- not much depth. Six of their 10 guys are frosh/sophs. IUPUI lost by 13 at Xavier (was only 37-34 at half) in its opener, before beating Eastern Illinois last game; Jaguars start two juniors, two seniors. Last 3+ years, ACC teams are 10-6 vs spread when playing a Horizon team.

Florida split couple of routs to open season; they lost by 21 at Florida State, then beat Charleston Southern by by 30- hard to tell much that way. Gators three seniors, one junior- they’ve forced turnovers on 24.4% of possessions in two games, which is good. LaSalle allowed 76 ppg in losing its first two games, losing 77-76 at home to Lafayette in its last game, a bad loss. Explorers start three sophs and a junior; they took 31 3’s, 30 2’s vs Lafayette. Last 3+ years, A-14 teams are 14-12-1 vs spread when playing SEC opponents.

Seton Hall beat a stiff by 40 in its opener; Pirates start two sophs, two juniors after going 22-12 LY and winning game in NCAA’s. Nebraska absolutely crushed couple stiffs to open their year, holding both teams under 40 points, but now that they’re playing a team that can compete with them, how do they react? Huskers start three seniors, one junior- they went 22-11 LY and made NIT. Last three years, Big 14 teams are 28-26-1 vs spread when playing Big East teams, 13-15 when favored.

Oklahoma State lost its opener by hoop in Charlotte after leading by 24 with 12:16 left, not the best way to start your season; Cowboys start two frosh, three juniors- thats a tough loss to bounce back from. Tex-San Antonio lost its opener to an NAIA team, then lost by 20 at home to Oklahoma; Roadrunners start three juniors and a senior- they’ve turned ball over 25.1% of the time so far, which is bad. Last three years, Big X teams are 9-7 vs spread when playing C-USA squads.

Crosstown rivals Houston/Rice are playing for first time in four years; Cougars won last four meetings, by 22-5-2-11 points. Rice split couple of D-I games so far this season; they lost by 16 at Penn, beat Alabama State by 14 at home. Owls start only one senior; 5 of their 10 guys are frosh. Houston beat a stiff by 47 to start the season; Cougars start three seniors- they made 15-30 on arc in the opener. Houston has three starters back from a 27-8 team; their front court is the ??? Last 3+ years, AAC teams are 10-11 vs spread when playing a C-USA opponent.

Marquette lost nine of its last 11 games vs Big 14 teams, with 7 of 9 losses by 11+ points- both wins were vs in-state Wisconsin. Eagles allowed 50.5 ppg in winning first two games this year by 25-33 points over couple stiffs. Marquette made 14-27 on arc last game; they start three juniors- their three seniors are all subs. Indiana crushed couple of stiffs to start the season; Hoosiers start two frosh and a soph. Last three years, Big 14 teams are 28-26-1 vs spread when playing Big East teams, 13-15 when favored.

Arizona won its first two games this year by 30-21 points; they’ve got lot of new guys after the recent NCAA issues. Wildcats are off to Maui Classic after this game. UTEP lost its first D-I game by 27 at New Mexico State and two starters played whole 40:00, which is a bad sign. Miners have new coach; they started two frosh, two sophs- none of their subs played 10+ minutes. Last 3+ years, Pac-12 teams are 5-5 vs spread when playing C-USA teams.

Still hard to believe Loyola IL was in Final Four LY; Ramblers split their first two games this year, losing at home at buzzer to Furman in last game, after blowing 13-point lead with 13:08 left to play. Loyola starts three starters, two seniors- they were 3-20 on arc, 15-25 on line in loss to Furman. Niagara upset rival St Bonaventure 80-72 in its opener; Purple Eagles outscored Bonnies 19-2 on foul line- they start a junior and three seniors. Last 3+ years, MAAC teams are 4-2-1 vs spread when playing MVC teams.

Northern Arizona split its first two games, beating Jacksonville, then pushing spread in 90-74 loss at South Dakota; Lumberjacks are 20-78 the last 3+ years- they don’t play any seniors, starting two sophs, two juniors. Omaha lost its opener by 26 at Minnesota, then hammered a stiff last game; start two juniors, two seniors, are picked to finish near bottom of Summit League despite having four starters back from LY’s 9-22 team. Last 3+ years, Big Sky teams are 19-19-1 vs spread when playing a Summit opponent.

Bradley won its first D-I game by 11 over SE Missouri State, in brickfest where teams combined to make 12-46 on arc; Braves have four starters back from LY, when they won 20+ games for first time in eight years- they start three juniors, one senior, are picked to finish 4th in MVC. Jacksonville State lost its first two games by 20-15 points; they lost by 15 at Penn State, in a game where PSU pulled away in last 10:00. Gamecocks start four seniors and a junior, so their 0-2 start is disappointing. Last 3+ years, OVC teams are 19-16 vs spread when playing MVC foes.

Colorado State has a new coach after lot of drama LY; Rams lost three starters from LY’s 11-21 team- they start three juniors and a senior. CSU made 12-23 on arc in 92-67 win over a stiff in their first D-I game. Montana State lost its first two games by 30-45 points to Indiana/Utah State, then beat up on an NAIA team last game; Bobcats start two juniors, two seniors- they’re picked to finish in middle of Big Sky pack. Last 3+ years, Mountain West teams are 22-23 vs spread when playing Big Sky teams.

______________________________________

Posted : November 14, 2018 9:35 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57875

Member Moderator

Topic starter

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (2 - 0) at VILLANOVA (2 - 0) - 11/14/2018, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in November games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 114-79 ATS (+27.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (2 - 0) at WRIGHT ST (1 - 1) - 11/14/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 1-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E MICHIGAN (3 - 0) at DUKE (2 - 0) - 11/14/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 160-200 ATS (-60.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 118-155 ATS (-52.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DUKE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 134-93 ATS (+31.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
DUKE is 36-15 ATS (+19.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.
DUKE is 216-161 ATS (+38.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.