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NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Thursday 3/28/24

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : March 28, 2024 6:41 am
(@shazman)
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ARIZONA is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after a non-conference game in the current season.

CONNECTICUT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the current season.

ILLINOIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half in the current season.

 
Posted : March 28, 2024 8:24 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 28

Thursday’s games
Clemson
vs Arizona (-7.5) (@ Los Angeles)
Clemson (23-11) ranked #23 by KenPom
Tempo: #257
Experience: #26
Continuity: #65
Clemson won its first two NCAA games, scoring 77-73 points.
Clemson is shooting 54.4% inside arc (#38)
Tigers are 12-1 in non-conference games.
Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#43)
Clemson is 8-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Tigers are 9-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #23
bench minutes: #232
Since 1997, Clemson is 0-2 in Sweet 16 games.

Arizona (27-8) ranked #5 by KenPom
Tempo: #16
Experience: #81
Continuity: #211
Arizona won first two NCAA games, scoring 85-78 points.
Wildcats are 11-2 in non-league games.
Arizona has #24 eFG% in country.
Wildcats are a top 5 rebounding team in country.
Arizona is 10-4 against teams in the top 50.
Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #30
bench minutes: #281
Since 2009, Arizona is 3-4 SU in Sweet 16 games.
Since 2019, #2-seeds are 6-4 SU in Sweet 16 games.

This is first time since 2015 that a #2-seed played a #6-seed in this round.
Pac-12 teams are 3-3 SU/ATS vs ACC teams this year.

San Diego State (-5.5) vs UConn (@ Boston)
San Diego State (26-10) ranked #17 by KenPom
Tempo: #266
Experience: #44
Continuity: #117
San Diego State won four of its last five games.
Aztecs’ last four losses were all by 5 or less points.
Aztecs have #26 eFG% defense in country.
San Diego State is 11-2 in D-I non-conference games.
Aztecs are 7-9 against top 50 teams.
San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #32
bench minutes: #211
Since 2011, San Diego State is 1-2 in Sweet 16 games.
Since 2005, eight #5-seeds have played in the Sweet 16; underdogs went 8-0 ATS in those games.

UConn (32-3) ranked #1 by KenPom
Tempo: #315
Experience: #69
Continuity: #149
UConn won nine in row, 23 of last 24 games.
Huskies won the national title last year.
UConn has #5 eFG% in country, #5 eFG% defense.
Huskies are #15 team on offensive boards.
Huskies are 13-2 vs teams ranked in top 50.
UConn’s schedule, to this point: #41
bench minutes: #229
Last four times UConn made Sweet 16, they also made Final Four.

UConn (-6.5) beat San Diego State 76-65 in national title game LY.
UConn held Aztecs to 32.2% from the floor.
Mountain West teams are 2-1 SU/ATS vs Big East teams this year.
Last six years, #1-seeds are 6-5-1 ATS in this round.

Alabama vs North Carolina (-4.5) (@ Los Angeles)
Alabama (23-11) ranked #14 by KenPom
Tempo: #8
Experience: #63
Continuity: #276
Alabama is 3-1 in its last four games.
They gave up 99+ points in four of their last five losses.
Crimson Tide is 10-5 in non-conference games (NC SOS #16).
Alabama has #10 eFG% in country.
Crimson Tide is #26 team on offensive boards.
Opponents are shooting 50.9% inside arc (#209)
Crimson Tide is 5-11 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #4
bench minutes: #133
Under Oats, Alabama is 0-2 SU in Sweet 16, losing by 7-10 points.

North Carolina (29-7) ranked #9 by KenPom
Tempo: #41
Experience: #6
Continuity: #179
UNC won 10 of its last 11 games.
Tar Heels are 10-3 in non-conference games.
UNC has #15 eFG% defense in country.
Tar Heels are #6 team in country on defensive boards.
UNC is 9-4 against teams in the top 50.
UNC’s schedule, to this point: #16
bench minutes: #332
Since 2004, UNC is 8-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

This year, SEC teams are 16-12 SU/18-10 ATS vs ACC opponents.
Last six years, #1-seeds are 6-5-1 ATS in this round.
Since 2012, #4-seeds are 10-14-1 ATS in this round.

Illinois vs Iowa State (-1.5) (@ Boston)
Illinois (28-8) ranked #10 by KenPom
Tempo: #71
Experience: #11
Continuity: #136
Illinois won six in row, nine of last ten games.
Illini is 11-2 in non-league games.
Last four games, Illinois scored 91.3 ppg.
Illini has #31 eFG%, #46 eFG% defense in country.
Illini is 4th-worst team in country at forcing turnovers.
Illinois is 9-6 against teams in the top 50.
Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #33
bench minutes: #238
Last time Illini made Elite 8 was 2001.

Iowa State (29-7) ranked #7 by KenPom
Tempo: #205
Experience: #124
Continuity: #197
Iowa State won 13 of its last 15 games.
Cyclones are 13-2 in non-conference games (NC sked #346).
Cyclones are forcing turnovers 25.5% of time (#2)
Iowa State has #34 eFG% defense in country.
Iowa State is 12-5 against teams in the top 50.
Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #44
bench minutes: #235
Since 2014, Iowa State is 0-3 SU in Sweet 16 games.

This year, Big X teams are 4-3 SU/ATS vs Big 14 opponents.
Since 2016, #2-seeds are 7-4 ATS vs #3-seeds in this round.

 
Posted : March 28, 2024 8:25 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAB Dunkel Thursday, March 28

NCAAB Long Sheet Thursday, March 28

 
Posted : March 28, 2024 8:32 am
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