Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 3/11/21
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, March 11
ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
Syracuse vs Virginia
Syracuse (16-8, 10-7)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #66
— Syracuse won six of its last eight games.
— In their last six losses, Syracuse allowed 78+ points- they’re 14-2 allowing less than 78 points.
— Syracuse is #338 in country on the defensive boards.
— Syracuse made 14-29 on arc yesterday; four starters played 31:00+.
— In seven years in the ACC, Syracuse is 4-5 in this event.
Virginia (17-6, 13-4)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #110
— Continuity: #160
— Virginia won its last two games, after an 0-3 skid.
— Cavaliers are shooting 38.6% on the arc (#13)
— Virginia is #11 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last six years, Virginia is 11-4 in ACC tournament.
— Syracuse lost 81-58 at Virginia January 25; UVa made 14-31 on arc.
— Virginia is 7-4 vs Syracuse in ACC meetings.
Duke vs Florida State
Duke (13-11, 11-9)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #251
— Duke won six of its last nine games, with two of three losses in OT.
— Blue Devils gets only 13.1% of their points on foul line (#342)
— Duke has #222 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke played last two days; FSU has been off since Saturday.
— Duke won two of last three ACC tourneys.
Florida State (15-5, 11-4)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #103
— Seminoles lost two of last three games, after a 9-1 run.
— Opponents are shooting 44.2% inside arc (#11)
— Florida State is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#54)
— Last eight years, Florida State is 7-7 in ACC tournament.
— Duke won its last five games with Florida State; teams haven’t met this year.
North Carolina vs Virginia Tech
North Carolina (17-9, 11-6)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #256
— Tar Heels are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Carolina has #222 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.9% of time (#270)
— UNC is grabbing 41.1% of its missed shots (#1)
— Tar Heels went W-L in this event three of last four years; they last won the ACC tournament in 2016.
Virginia Tech (15-5, 9-4)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #102
— This is Hokies’ first game in 12 days.
— Tech is 4-3 in its last seven games.
— 41.6% of shots they take are on the arc (#65).
— Tech went W-L in ACC tourney four of last five years.
— Teams split last four series games; they haven’t met this year.
— Carolina beat the Hokies 78-56 in LY’s ACC tourney.
Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Oklahoma State vs West Virginia
Oklahoma State (18-7, 11-7)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #322
— Continuity: #290
— Cowboys won six of their last seven games.
— Oklahoma State has #49 eFG% defense in country.
— Their last five wins were all by 5 or fewer points.
— Freshman star Cunningham (ankle) sat out last game; check status.
— Last six years, Oklahoma State is 2-5 in Big X tourney.
West Virginia (18-8, 11-6)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #151
— Continuity: #38
— West Virginia is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Mountaineers shoot only 46.3% inside arc (#291)
— West Virginia is grabbing 36.1% of their missed shots (#10)
— Last four Big X tournaments, West Virginia went WWL.
— Teams split this year; Oklahoma State just won 85-80 at West Virginia Saturday.
— Cowboys won four of last five series games.
Texas vs Texas Tech
Texas (17-7, 11-6)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #112
— Continuity: #4
— Texas won its last three games, giving up 65.3 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 45.3% inside arc (#27)
— 42.2% of Texas’ shots come behind the arc (#57)
— Under Smart, Longhorns are 3-5 in Big X tournament.
Texas Tech (17-9, 9-8)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #314
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #242
— Tech won three of its last four games.
— Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 23.5% of time (#11)
— Tech gets 22% of its points on foul line (#26)
— You’re reading ***************.com.
— Under Beard, Tech is 40-31 in Big X in regular season, 1-3 in Big X tourney.
— Tech beat Texas twice this season, 79-77/68-59
— Red Raiders won seven of last eight series games.
Big East tournament (@ New York City)
Seton Hall @ St John’s
Seton Hall (13-12, 10-9)
— ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #252
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #131
— Seton Hall lost its last four games, scoring 60.3 ppg in last three.
— Opponents are shooting 36.9% on arc (#315)
— Seton Hall is #257 in country on defensive boards.
— Last seven years, Seton Hall is 8-5 in Big East tourney.
St John’s (16-10, 10-9)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #252
— Continuity: #151
— St John’s split their last six games.
— Johnnies force turnovers 22.0% of time (#40), but still have #288 eFG%.
— St John’s scored 81+ points in four of its last five games.
— Last 4 years, St John’s won its first Big East tourney game.
— Seton Hall led Johnnies 18-0 Saturday, lost 81-71.
— Pirates won earlier meeting 77-68 at home back in December.
— Seton Hall won nine of last 12 series games.
Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Michigan State vs Maryland
Michigan State (15-11, 9-11)
— ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #174
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #76
— Spartans won five of their last seven games.
— Michigan State is shooting 47.8% inside arc (#253), 32.2% on arc (#247)
— MSU lost six of its last seven games away from home.
— Spartans won four of the last eight Big 14 tourneys.
Maryland (15-12, 9-11)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #93
— Maryland lost its last two games, to Northwestern/Penn State
— Maryland is 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Terrapins get 35.4% of their points on arc (#60).
— Last four years, Maryland is 0-3 in Big 14 tourney, losing by 8-5-8 points.
— Michigan State lost 73-55 at Maryland February 28.
— Spartans are 9-3 vs Maryland in Big 14 meetings.
Indiana vs Rutgers
Indiana (12-14, 7-12)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #284
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #80
— Indiana lost last five games, scoring 59 ppg in last four.
— Hoosiers are 4-11 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Indiana is shooting 48.6% inside the arc (#228)
— Last 10 years, Nebraska is 3-7 in its first Big 14 tournament game.
Rutgers (14-10, 10-10)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #213
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #5
— Rutgers is 3-4 SU in their last seven games.
— Scarlet Knights are shooting 31.6% on arc (#271), 62.4% on foul line (#337)
— Rutgers has #65 eFG% defense in country.
— Last eight years, Rutgers is 5-7 in Big 14 tourney.
— Rutgers beat Indiana twice this year, 74-70/74-63
— Scarlet Knights won five of last six series games.
Mountain West tournament (@ UNLV)
Nevada vs Boise State
Nevada (15-9, 10-7)
— ranked #95 by KenPom
— Tempo: #115
— Experience: #334
— Continuity: #303
— Nevada won five of its last seven games overall.
— Wolf Pack lost its last five games away from home.
— Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#59)
— Last five years, Nevada is 6-4 in Mountain West tournament.
Boise State (18-7, 14-6)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #245
— Boise lost its last three games, scoring 62.7 ppg.
— Broncos are forcing turnovers 20.3% of time (#89)
— Broncos are #28 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last nine years, Boise State is 4-9 in Mountain West tourney.
— Nevada swept Boise State 74-72/73-62 in Reno, February 5-7.
— Wolf Pack won 10 of last 11 series games.
Utah State @ UNLV
Utah State (18-7, 15-4)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #137
— Utah State won its last four games, giving up 62 ppg.
— Aggies are a top 10 rebounding team in country.
— Opponents are shooting only 43.4% inside arc (#8)
— Last two years, Utah State won Mountain West tournament.
UNLV (13-14, 9-10)
— ranked #164 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #261
— Continuity: #294
— UNLV lost three of its last five games.
— Rebels are 1-11 vs teams in top 100; only win was over Utah State.
— UNLV gets only 13% of its points on foul line (#345)
— Last 10+ years, UNLV is 12-10 in Mountain West tournament- last time they won it was back in 2008.
— These teams split pair in this arena on January 25-27.
— Utah State won five of last seven series games.
Pac-12 tournament (@ Las Vegas)
Arizona State vs Oregon
Arizona State (11-13, 8-10)
— ranked #112 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #83
— Continuity: #136
— ASU is 7-5 in its last 12 games, after an 0-6 skid.
— Last three games, Sun Devils scored 61.3 ppg.
— ASU is 4-8 when it scores less than 75 points.
— Under Hurley, Sun Devils are 3-4 in Pac-12 tourney
Oregon (19-5, 14-4)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #248
— Experience: #35
— Continuity: #269
— Oregon won five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Ducks are shooting 38% on the arc (#24)
— Oregon forces turnovers 20.4% of time (#86)
— Last six years, Ducks are 13-3 in Pac-12 tourney, winning it twice
— Ducks won 75-64 in Tempe on February 11.
— Oregon won 12 of last 14 series games.
Oregon State vs UCLA
Oregon State (14-12, 10-10)
— ranked #103 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #76
— Continuity: #155
— Beavers won three of their last four games.
— OSU is shooting only 46.7% inside arc (#281)
— Beavers get 20.9% of their points on foul line (#53)
— Under Tinkle, Oregon State is 3-5 in Pac-12 tourney.
UCLA (17-8, 13-6)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #336
— Experience: #278
— Continuity: #223
— UCLA lost its last three games, scoring 68 ppg.
— Bruins are shooting 37.3% on the arc (#36)
— UCLA is #41 team in country on defensive boards.
— UCLA went W-L in four of last five Pac-12 tourneys.
— Oregon State lost 57-52 at UCLA January 30.
— Bruins won six of last eight series games.
SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Mississippi State vs Kentucky
Mississippi State (14-13, 8-10)
— ranked #68 by KenPom
— Tempo: #305
— Experience: #311
— Continuity: #253
— Bulldogs split their last ten games.
— Miss State has #29 eFG% defense in country.
— Bulldogs turn ball over over 21.8% time (#312)
— Miss State went W-L in last three SEC tourneys.
Kentucky (9-15, 8-9)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #182
— Experience: #336
— Continuity: #342
— Kentucky won four of its last six games.
— Wildcats shoot only 45.6% inside arc (#306)
— Kentucky has #30 eFG% defense in country.
— Kentucky won four of last five SEC tournaments.
— Kentucky won 78-73 in double OT in Starkville January 2nd- they were down 9 with 9:04 left in game.
— Wildcats won last fifteen series games.
663BALL ST -664 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.
665OHIO U -666 KENT ST
OHIO U is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
667MIAMI OHIO -668 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
669BOWLING GREEN -670 AKRON
BOWLING GREEN is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the current season.
671MICHIGAN ST -672 MARYLAND
MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
675INDIANA -676 RUTGERS
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.
679SYRACUSE -680 VIRGINIA
SYRACUSE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.
687TEMPLE -688 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.
689TULANE -690 TULSA
TULSA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
691E CAROLINA -692 UCF
E CAROLINA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in the last 3 seasons.