Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 1/28/21
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, January 28
Oregon State @ USC
Oregon State (8-5, 4-3)
— ranked #127 by KenPom
— Tempo: #334
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #155
— OSU won its last three games, giving up 56-64 points in last two.
— Beavers have #283 eFG% in country.
— OSU is 1-1 on road; lost by 4 at Wazzu, upset Oregon in Eugene.
USC (12-3, 6-2)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #203
— Experience: #192
— Continuity: #328
— USC won 7 of last 8 games; the loss was in Corvallis.
— Trojans are 3-1 in Pac-12 home games, winning by 18-27-8 points.
— You’re reading ************.com
— USC has #10 eFG% in country.
— Oregon State won three of last four series games.
— Beavers upset USC 58-56 at home, nine days ago.
— OSU lost four of last five games in Galen Center.
Texas-El Paso @ Texas-San Antonio
UTEP (7-7, 3-5)
— ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #234
— Experience: #118
— Continuity: #215
— Miners lost four of their last five games.
— UTEP scored 86.7 ppg in its C-USA wins, 57.4 ppg in losses.
— Marquette is shooting 46.0% inside arc (#280).
UTSA (7-8, 3-5)
— ranked #204 by KenPom
— Tempo: #39
— Experience: #111
— Continuity: #58
— UTSA is 3-1 at home, 0-4 on road in C-USA games.
— Roadrunners have #307 eFG% defense in country.
— UTSA is 1-7 vs top 200 teams.
— UTSA won six of last seven series games.
— Miners lost their last five visits to the Alamo.
Michigan State @ Rutgers
Michigan State (8-4, 2-4)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #115
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #80
— Michigan State hasn’t played in 20 days.
— Spartans are 3-4 vs top 100 teams
— MSU split its four true road games.
Rutgers (8-6, 4-6)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #168
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #114
— Rutgers lost 3 in row at home, 5 of last 6 games overall.
— Scarlet Knights are shooting 57.9% on foul line (#346)
— Rutgers doesn’t sub much (#311 bench minutes)
— Spartans waxed Rutgers 68-45 at home on January 5th.
— Michigan State is 11-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 games.
— Spartans won last four visits here, by 20-31-10-11 points.
Louisiana Tech @ Southern Miss
Louisiana Tech (12-5, 5-3)
— ranked #102 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #114
— Tech won four of its last five games.
— Bulldogs have #2 eFG% defense in C-USA games (#2 of 14)
— Tech has #37 eFG% defense in country.
Southern Miss (7-8, 3-5)
— ranked #254 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #207
— Continuity: #185
— USM is 3-1 at home, 0-4 on road in C-USA games
— To this point, Golden Eagles have played schedule #266.
— USM is turning ball over 21.5% of time (#279)
— Tech won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Tech also lost two of last three visits to Hattiesburg.
Memphis @ SMU
Memphis (9-5, 5-2)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #61
— Experience: #326
— Continuity: #68
— Memphis won its last three games, scoring 76 ppg.
— Tigers are 2-1 on AAC road, losing 58-57 at Tulsa.
— Memphis is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#40)
SMU (8-3, 4-3)
— ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #69
— SMU lost three of last five games, after a 6-0 start.
— Mustangs lost two of their last three home games.
— Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#15)
— SMU lost 76-72 at Memphis Tuesday; Tigers were 12-25 on line, SMU 5-6.
— Memphis is 8-3 in last 11 series games, 2-3 in last five.
— Tigers lost five of last six games in Moody Coliseum.
Bradley @ Valparaiso
Bradley (9-7, 3-4)
— ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #237
— Continuity: #209
— Bradley lost last three games, scoring 56-56-58 points.
— Braves lost four of their five true road games.
— Bradley is 3-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Valparaiso (5-9, 2-3)
— ranked #206 by KenPom
— Tempo: #238
— Experience: #274
— Continuity: #102
— Valpo is 0-7 vs top 200 teams.
— Crusaders are shooting 27.0% on arc (#336)
— Valpo’s best wins are over #246 Illinois State.
— Home side won last six series games.
— Braves lost last three visits here, by 13-11-12 points.
TCU @ Kansas
TCU (9-5, 2-4)
— ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #265
— Experience: #321
— Continuity: #126
— TCU lost its last three games, scoring 53 ppg.
— Horned Frogs are 2-1 on road, 0-3 at home in Big X.
— TCU is shooting 62.7% on foul line (#330)
Kansas (10-5, 4-4)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #218
— Experience: #269
— Continuity: #116
— Kansas lost its last three games, by 3-8-7 points.
— Jayhawks are only 6-5 in top 100 games.
— Kansas grabs its own missed shots 33.1% of time (#48)
— Kansas hammered TCU 93-64 in Fort Worth January 5
— Jayhawks won last seven series games.
— TCU lost last eight visits here, last three by 7-9-9 points.
Montana @ Montana State
Montana (7-8, 3-5)
— ranked #167 by KenPom
— Tempo: #323
— Experience: #333
— Continuity: #281
— Montana hasn’t played in 12 days.
— Grizzlies are 1-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Montana has #266 eFG% in country.
Montana State (9-3, 6-0)
— ranked #185 by KenPom
— Tempo: #198
— Experience: #97
— Continuity: #227
— Bobcats won their last six games, gave up 58 ppg in last four.
— State has #30 eFG% defense in country.
— Bears are shooting 55.7% inside arc in Big Sky games (#1 of 11).
— Montana won 18 of last 19 series games.
— Griz won last three visits to Bozeman, by 15-5-5 points.
— This is first time in long time Montana State is better than Montana. Right now, this is State’s best season since 2002.
Belmont @ Austin Peay
Belmont (16-1, 10-0)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #50
— Experience: #290
— Continuity: #208
— Belmont is shooting 61.1% inside arc (#3)
— Bruins are 4-0 ATS as an OVC road favorite this season.
— Belmont is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#42).
Austin Peay (8-5, 4-3)
— ranked #210 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #232
— Continuity: #144
— Governors are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#309)
— Opponents are shooting 58.8% inside arc (#339)
— Austin Peay has #223 eFG% in country, vs schedule #276.
— Belmont won six of last seven series games.
— Bruins won four of last five visits here, but lost 86-78 LY.
Air Force @ San Jose State
Air Force (4-10, 2-8)
— ranked #313 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #225
— Air Force lost last three games, all by 19+ points.
— Falcons’ two MW wins were by 2-3 points.
— Air Force is turning ball over 24.4% of time (#336).
San Jose State (3-11, 1-9)
— ranked #325 by KenPom
— Tempo: #20
— Experience: #223
— Continuity: #234
— Spartans won last game, their first win (1-11) vs a D-I team.
— San Jose’s last five losses were all by 15+ points.
— Spartans have #333 eFG% in country.
— Air Force won six of last seven series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.
Stanford @ Arizona
Stanford (9-5, 5-3)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #79
— Experience: #292
— Continuity: #67
— Stanford is 1-3 on Pac-12 road, with lone win at Oregon State.
— Cardinal scored 56-65-64 in their Pac-12 losses, 73+ in their wins.
— Stanford is turning ball over 21.5% of time (#280).
Arizona (12-3, 6-3)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #136
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #322
— Arizona won last three games, scoring 98-84-80 points.
— You’re reading ************.com
— Wildcats are 10-0 when they allow fewer than 78 points.
— Arizona gets 23.7% of its points on foul line (#17).
— Arizona lost 78-75 to Stanford in Santa Cruz December 19
— That was Stanford’s first win in last 21 series games.
— Four of Stanford’s last six losses in Tucson were by 13+ points.
California @ Arizona State
California (7-10, 2-8)
— ranked #141 by KenPom
— Tempo: #313
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #115
— Cal is 1-4 on Pac-12 road, losing by 20-13-9-29- they won at Utah.
— Opponents are shooting 40.7% on arc (#340)
— Cal was held to 57-68 points in its last two games.
Arizona State (4-8, 1-5)
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #15
— Experience: #174
— Continuity: #166
— ASU lost its last six games, giving up 81.3 ppg in last three.
— Sun Devils have #261 eFG% defense, despite forcing TO’s 22.1% of time (#45)
— Four of six games in their losing streak were at home.
— ASU won 70-62 in Berkeley December 3rd.
— Sun Devils won last six series games.
— Cal lost 84-53/69-59 in last two visits to Tempe.
New Mexico @ Fresno State
New Mexico (5-9, 1-9)
— ranked #280 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #313
— Lobos are 1-4 on MW road, with three losses by 23+ points.
— New Mexico is shooting 24.9% on arc (#346)
— Lobos have one win (1-8) vs a top 300 team (#193 Rice)
Fresno State (5-6, 3-6)
— ranked #182 by KenPom
— Tempo: #298
— Experience: #299
— Continuity: #306
— Fresno lost its last three games, losing by 16-14-22 points.
— Bulldogs are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#279)
— Fresno is a top 50 rebounding team in country.
— Bulldogs won six of last eight series games.
— Lobos lost last four visits here, by 10-9-12-5 points.
713OREGON ST -714 USC
OREGON ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the last 3 seasons.
715WYOMING -716 SAN DIEGO ST
WYOMING is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
717UTEP -718 TX-SAN ANTONIO
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.
719MICHIGAN ST -720 RUTGERS
MICHIGAN ST is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half in the last 3 seasons.
721LOUISIANA TECH -722 SOUTHERN MISS
Jay Ladner is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game (Coach of SOUTHERN MISS)
721LOUISIANA TECH -722 SOUTHERN MISS
SOUTHERN MISS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging =72% of their attempts since 1997.
725BRADLEY -726 VALPARAISO
BRADLEY is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997.
727N COLORADO -728 N ARIZONA
N COLORADO is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
729N TEXAS -730 RICE
N TEXAS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.