Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 3/29/21
653ARKANSAS -654 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
655OREGON ST -656 HOUSTON
OREGON ST is 14-0 ATS (14 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Monday, March 29
Arkansas (3) vs Baylor (1)
Arkansas (25-6)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won 12 of its last 13 games.
— Arkansas is 11-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #273)
— Razorbacks gave up 78+ points in all six of their losses.
— Razorbacks won last two games by a hoop each.
— Opponents are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#47)
— Musselman is 5-3 in NCAA Tournament games; his team trailed by 10+ points in all five of the wins.
Baylor (25-2)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #32
— Baylor is 8-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
— Bears are shooting 40.8% on the arc (#2)
— Baylor forces turnovers 24.8% of time (#3)
— Baylor gave up 56.3 ppg in its first three tourney wins.
— Bears are grabbing 36.8% of their missed shots (#6)
— Under Drew, Baylor lost Elite 8 games in 2010, 2012.
— Since 2007, in regional finals between #1-#3 seeds: favorites are 8-4 ATS.
Oregon State (12) vs Houston (2)
Oregon State (20-12)
— ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #305
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #154
— Oregon State won six in row, nine of its last ten games.
— Oregon State is getting 21.5% of its points on foul line (#40)
— Beavers are shooting 46.8% inside arc (#278)
— OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time, after they were 5th in regular season.
— Beavers’ wins last week were their first tournament wins since 1982
— OSU gave up 61.3 ppg in its first three NCAA games.
Houston (27-3)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #142
— Continuity: #107
— Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are shooting 29.0% on arc (#8)
— Cougars won their last ten games, six of them by 24+ points.
— So far in this tournament, Houston has played seeds #15-10-11.
— Cougars allowed 54 ppg in first three NCAA games.
— Sampson made 2002 Final Four with Oklahoma, then lost in the Elite 8 the next year.
— Oregon State is 2nd #12-seed ever to play in regional final; Missouri (+6.5) lost 81-75 to Oklahoma in 2002.
— Since 2004, #2-seeds are 3-8 ATS as a favorite in regional finals.