Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 2/28/20
NCAA Basketball Preview
David Schwab
The top betting matchup on Friday night’s limited schedule of college basketball games is an Atlantic 10 tilt featuring one of the best teams in the nation.
Kicking off Friday night’s action, the Davidson Wildcats will be on the road against the No. 4 Dayton Flyers, who are looking to extend their perfect SU run in conference play.
Davidson Wildcats at No. 4 Dayton Flyers
(ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Dayton -11, Total 141
Betting Matchup
Davidson has moved to 9-6 SU in A 10 play with four wins in its last five games while going 3-2 against the spread. Tuesday’s 74-49 blowout against LaSalle as an 11-point home favorite stayed UNDER 137 ½ points. It had gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in their previous five contests.
The Wildcats come into the first of three final regular season games at 15-12 SU with a 12-15 record ATS. They have gone 2-7 ATS in nine previous games closing as underdogs. Kellen Grady scored 22 points in Tuesday’s rout with Jon Axel Gudmunsson adding 14 points to the winning cause. These two guards have been Davidsons’ top two scorers all season long with a combined 30.8 points per game.
This roster runs deep with scorers with three more players averaging at least 10 points a game. The Wildcats are putting up 73.2 PPG while shooting 45.3 percent from the field and 36.7 percent from three-point range.
At 15-0 SU in conference play, this will be Dayton’s first and only regular season meeting against Davidson. While the Flyers (26-2 SU, 14-13-1 ATS) have yet to lose an A 10 game, they have been a tough team to bet on at 7-8 ATS. They failed to cover as 12-point road favorites in Tuesday’s 62-55 victory against George Mason.
This dropped their record to 2-5 ATS in their last seven outings. The total has stayed UNDER in five of those seven games.
Dayton’s strong suit the entire season has been the consistent gap between points scored (79.9) and points allowed (65.2). The issue covering the spread in conference play is more about the 10 games closing as a double-digit favorite.
This team goes four deep in double-digit scorers led by Obi Toppin’s 19.7 PPG. The sophomore forward is also pulling down 7.7 rebounds a game. He scored 19 points in Tuesday’s victory after putting up 28 points in his previous start.
Betting Trends
-- The Wildcats have lost four of their last five road games as underdogs both SU and ATS. They are 3-7 (SU and ATS) in their last 10 games as road underdogs. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in seven of those 10 contests.
-- The Flyers are a perfect 15-0 SU this season at home closing as favorites in every game. That record drops to 8-6-1 ATS after failing to cover in three of their last four home games. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games played on their home court.
-- In six previous meetings, Dayton has the 4-2 edge SU and Davidson has been able to cover in four of the six games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of those six matchups.
851GA SOUTHERN -852 GEORGIA ST
GA SOUTHERN is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival since 1997.
853WRIGHT ST -854 N KENTUCKY
WRIGHT ST is 18-8 ATS (9.2 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games in the last 3 seasons.
855HARVARD -856 COLUMBIA
COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.
857QUINNIPIAC -858 FAIRFIELD
FAIRFIELD is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.
859MONMOUTH -860 RIDER
RIDER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.
861DARTMOUTH -862 CORNELL
DARTMOUTH is 30-53 ATS (-28.3 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
863SIENA -864 MARIST
SIENA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.
865PENNSYLVANIA -866 YALE
YALE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the current season.
865PENNSYLVANIA -866 YALE
PENNSYLVANIA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) as a dog in the current season.
867PRINCETON -868 BROWN
PRINCETON is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 2 seasons.
869DAVIDSON -870 DAYTON
DAYTON is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the current season.
871TEXAS ST -872 TX-ARLINGTON
TX-ARLINGTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
873WASHINGTON ST -874 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.
875KENT ST -876 OHIO U
KENT ST is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite in the last 3 seasons.
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, February 28
Kent State lost four of its last six games, is 8-7 in MAC, 3-4 on road, losing last two road games, by 3-21 points. Flashes are turning ball over 20% of times in MAC play. Young Ohio team (#308 experience) won four of its last six games, is 6-9 in MAC, but they won their last four home games. Home team won their last eight games. Kent made 17-31 on arc in its 87-72 home win over Ohio Feb 15; Flashes scored 1.23 ppp. Kent won six of last seven series games, losing three of last four visits to Athens. Home team won seven of last eight series games.
Georgia State outscored Georgia Southern 31-12 over final 12:58 of their 82-77 road win Jan 25; Panthers forced 17 turnovers (+7). State won four in row, six of last seven series games; Eagles lost their last five visits here, by 17-3-5-17-5 points. Ga Southern won four of its last six games, is 11-7 in Sun Belt, winning three of last four road games- they’re experience team #42 that shoots only 32% on arc (#237). Ga State lost its last two games, is also 11-7 in league, 7-1 at home, with only home loss to Troy. Panthers have best eFG% defense in Sun Belt, #55 in country.
Wright State made 12-22 on arc, hammered Northern Kentucky 95-63 at home Jan 24; they were up 20 at the half. Raiders won four of last six series games; they lost two of three visits to NKU, with all three decided by 7 or less points. Wright wraps up regular season title with a win here; they won five of last six games, are 14-3 in Horizon, losing two of last three road games. Raiders have made 41% of their 3’s in Horizon games. NKU won seven of eight games since the beating in Dayton; they’re 13-4 in Horizon, winning six of last seven home games.
Harvard beat Columbia 77-73 in double OT Feb 15, despite going 8-43 on arc; Columbia’s senior G Smith scored 38 in losing cause. Crimson won five of last six series games, but they lost three of last four visits to Columbia. Harvard won four in row, 13 of last 16 games; they’re 7-3 in Ivy, but only 2-3 on road- their last four road tilts were decided by total of six points, with last three all decided by one point. Columbia lost its last nine games; they lost their last four home games, only one of which was by more than nine points.
Quinnipiac lost seven of its last eight games; they’re young (experience team #274) team that depends a lot of 3’s (50.9% of their shots are 3’s, #2 in country). Bobcats lost their last four road games, last three by 11+ points. Fairfield lost four of its last six games, is 7-9 in MAAC, sing two of last three home games. Stags don’t defend 3’s that well (34.3%, #233). Quinnipiac made 12-32 on arc in its 81-67 home win over Fairfield Jan 24; Bobcats scored 1.25 ppp. Teams split last eight series games; Quinnipiac won three of last four visits here.
Monmouth was 26-35 on foul line, Rider 17-22 in Hawks’ 90-84 home win Feb 2- they had 17 offensive rebounds. Teams split last eight series games, also split last six meetings in the Broncs’ Zoo. Monmouth won three of its last four games overall, is 10-6 in MAAC, 4-5 on road- they’re forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#34) but shoot only 45% inside arc (#334). Hawks have #281 eFG% in country- they need steals to create offense. Rider lost three of its last four games, is 9-8 in MAAC, winning their last five home games- they turn ball over 19.6% of time (#231).
Dartmouth shot 62% inside arc in its 75-53 home win over Cornell Feb 15, ending their 6-game series losing streak. Big Green lost their last three visits to Ithaca, by 13-1-15 points. Dartmouth won three of its last four games but is 3-7 in Ivy, League, losing all five of their road games, by 5-22-8-2-18 points. armadillo sports dotcom Big Green is #63 experience team that shoots only 30.6% on line (#295), 67.4% on line (#295). Cornell lost four of its last five games; they’re 3-2 at home, 0-5 on road in Ivy, losing home games to Brown/Princeton. Big Red shoots 30.7% on arc (#294).
Siena won its last six games, leads St Peter’s by half-game in MAAC; Saints are 12-5 in MAAC, and are 13-0 overall at home this season, Four of their nine MAAC home wins were by 3 or fewer points. Saints have one of best G’s in MAAC (Pickett), are shooting 35.4% on arc (#69). Marist lost four of its last five games, is 6-11 in MAAC, losing last three road games, by 1-8-9 points. Siena was 21-24 on foul line, Marist 9-9 in Saints’ 70-57 home win Jan 24; Siena won four in row, nine of last 11 series games. Saints split their last four games in McCann Center.
Yale is 8-2 in Ivy League but lost 69-61 at home to Penn Feb 15, going 7-27 on arc with -6 (12-6) turnover ratio. Penn outscored Yale 16-3 over final 4:48 of that game. Quakers won five of last seven series games; Yale lost last three series games in the Palestra, by 9-23-11 points. Yale has one-game lead in Ivy League; they’re 4-1 at home in Ivy, with all voter wins by 14+ points. Penn got swept by Dartmouth/Harvard LW; they’re 5-5 in Ivy, game out of last playoff spot. Quakers lost three of five Ivy League road games, losing by 5-7-4 points.
Princeton split its last six games, is 7-3 in Ivy, tied for 2nd with Harvard, a game behind Yale. Tigers are 3-2 on Ivy League road, losing at Cornell/Harvard. Ivy opponents are shooting 28.6% on arc against the Tigers, but their overall eFG% defense is #304. Brown won six of its last eight games; they’re 6-4 in Ivy, have one-game lead for last playoff spot in Ivy. Bears are shooting 26.4% of 3’s in league games (last). Princeton shot 68% inside arc in its 73-54 home win over Brown Feb 15; teams split last six series games. Princeton won five of its last six visits here.
Dayton won its last 17 games; their only losses this season were both in OT, on neutral courts to Kansas/Colorado. Flyers are 15-0 in A-14; six of their seven home wins were by 10+ points. Dayton is shooting 62.1% inside arc, best in country- they’re experience team #65. Davidson won four of its last five games, is 9-6 in A-14, losing three of last four home games- they’re shooting 36.8% on arc (#28). Dayton won four of six A-14 meetings with Davidson, winning both meetings here, by 1-6 points. Underdogs covered four of last five series games.
Texas State won seven of eight games since 64-62 home loss to Tex-Arlington Jan 25; they led 11-2 early, but made only 5-16 on arc. Arlington won last five series games; Bobcats lost their last nine visits here, last three all by 10+ points. Texas State won four in row, 11 of last 13 games; they’re 12-6 in Sun Belt, winning four of last five road games. Bobcats force turnovers 21.8% of time (#39), have #75 eFG% defense in country. Arlington won three of last four home games, is 9-9 in Sun Belt, winning four of their last five home games, with loss to Georgia Southern.
Washington State outscored Washington 24-10 on foul line in its 79-67 home win over the rival Huskies Feb 9, ending a 4-game series skid. Coogs lost their last two visits to Seattle, by 18-18 points. Wazzu lost four in row, seven of last nine games; they’re 5-10 in Pac-12, 0-6 on road, with five of six losses by 12+ points. Coogs are shooting 30.8% on arc (#286), 45.3% inside arc- their eFG% is #328. Washington lost nine of its last ten games, but beat Cal by 35 in last game; Huskies are 3-12 in Pac-12, 3-5 at home- they’re 1-9 in Pac-12 games decided by 8 or less points.
NCAAB
Dunkel
Friday, February 28
Kent State @ Ohio
Game 875-876
February 28, 2020 @ 6:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
52.530
Ohio
56.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 4
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 1 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-1 1/2); Over
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State
Game 851-852
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
50.805
Georgia State
59.535
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 8 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 5 1/2
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(-5 1/2); Under
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky
Game 853-854
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Wright State
51.190
Northern Kentucky
56.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 6
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 3
145
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Kentucky
(-3); Over
Pennsylvania @ Yale
Game 865-866
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Pennsylvania
50.093
Yale
61.198
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Yale
by 11
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Yale
by 8
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Yale
(-8); Over
Harvard @ Columbia
Game 855-856
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Harvard
52.473
Columbia
48.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Harvard
by 4
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Harvard
by 7 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Columbia
(+7 1/2); Under
Dartmouth @ Cornell
Game 861-862
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Dartmouth
48.746
Cornell
51.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cornell
by 2 1/2
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dartmouth
by 1 1/2
123 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cornell
(+1 1/2); Over
Princeton @ Brown
Game 867-868
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Princeton
49.232
Brown
53.086
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brown
by 4
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brown
by 1
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brown
(-1); Under
Davidson @ Dayton
Game 869-870
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Davidson
58.866
Dayton
73.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dayton
by 14 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dayton
by 10 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Dayton
(-10 1/2); Under
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield
Game 857-858
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Quinnipiac
45.169
Fairfield
42.868
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Quinnipiac
by 2 1/2
118
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fairfield
by 2 1/2
129 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Quinnipiac
(+2 1/2); Under
Siena @ Marist
Game 863-864
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Siena
54.553
Marist
46.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Siena
by 8 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Siena
by 5 1/2
128 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Siena
(-5 1/2); Over
Washington St @ Washington
Game 873-874
February 28, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
54.768
Washington
61.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 7
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 10
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(+10); Under
Monmouth @ Rider
Game 859-860
February 28, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Monmouth
49.444
Rider
49.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
Even
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rider
by 3 1/2
148
Dunkel Pick:
Monmouth
(+3 1/2); Under
Texas State @ TX-Arlington
Game 871-872
February 28, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
59.534
TX-Arlington
50.442
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 9
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TX-Arlington
by 1
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+1); Over
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Friday, February 28
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GA SOUTHERN (17 - 12) at GEORGIA ST (18 - 11) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 5-1 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 5-1 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WRIGHT ST (24 - 6) at N KENTUCKY (21 - 8) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 5-1 against the spread versus N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 4-2 straight up against N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HARVARD (18 - 7) at COLUMBIA (6 - 20) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
HARVARD is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
HARVARD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
HARVARD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
HARVARD is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBIA is 3-1 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 4-1 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
QUINNIPIAC (12 - 15) at FAIRFIELD (11 - 16) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
QUINNIPIAC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
QUINNIPIAC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in February games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
QUINNIPIAC is 3-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
QUINNIPIAC is 3-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MONMOUTH (16 - 11) at RIDER (15 - 12) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONMOUTH is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
RIDER is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 117-152 ATS (-50.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
RIDER is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
RIDER is 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RIDER is 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RIDER is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.
RIDER is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONMOUTH is 3-2 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
MONMOUTH is 3-2 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DARTMOUTH (10 - 15) at CORNELL (6 - 17) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 30-53 ATS (-28.3 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
CORNELL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CORNELL is 3-2 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
CORNELL is 4-1 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SIENA (16 - 10) at MARIST (7 - 19) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 3-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PENNSYLVANIA (13 - 10) at YALE (20 - 6) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
YALE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
YALE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 100-67 ATS (+26.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 100-68 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
YALE is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
YALE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PENNSYLVANIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
PENNSYLVANIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 4-2 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 4-2 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PRINCETON (12 - 11) at BROWN (13 - 10) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRINCETON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PRINCETON is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
BROWN is 3-2 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
BROWN is 3-2 straight up against PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DAVIDSON (15 - 12) at DAYTON (26 - 2) - 2/28/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 222-161 ATS (+44.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 218-164 ATS (+37.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 107-67 ATS (+33.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
DAYTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DAYTON is 1-1 against the spread versus DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
DAYTON is 2-0 straight up against DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TEXAS ST (19 - 10) at TX-ARLINGTON (13 - 16) - 2/28/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-ARLINGTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
TX-ARLINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TX-ARLINGTON is 5-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WASHINGTON ST (14 - 14) at WASHINGTON (13 - 15) - 2/28/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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KENT ST (18 - 10) at OHIO U (14 - 14) - 2/28/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 162-124 ATS (+25.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 162-124 ATS (+25.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.
OHIO U is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
OHIO U is 95-63 ATS (+25.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
OHIO U is 96-65 ATS (+24.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-2 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 4-1 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
By: Jason Logan
PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS AT IOWA HAWKEYES
Penn State is not playing well, following two straight losses with a slim one-point win over Rutgers Wednesday. The Nittany Lions have failed to cover the NCAA basketball pointspreads in each of those contests, unable to put in a consistent 40-minute effort in those outings.
Penn State is plagued by slow starts, scoring just 26 and 24 points in the opening half in losses to Illinois and Indiana before exploding for 42 points in the opening half versus Rutgers. However, PSU went ice cold coming out of the break and scored only nine points in the opening 10 minutes of the second half and finished with only 23 points in the final frame.
Iowa has been competitive in its last three outings, covering in each of those games. That’s been fueled by strong starts, with the Hawkeyes putting up first-half efforts of 33 and 46 points in games versus Michigan State and Ohio State and averaging almost 40 first-half points at home on the year. That could offer an opportunity with Iowa's first-half spread hosting Penn State Saturday.
AUBURN TIGERS AT KENTUCKY WILDCATS
Kentucky has revenge on its mind facing the Tigers at home this Saturday. Auburn dealt Kentucky a 75-66 loss in Alabama on February 1 but the real stinger was a 77-71 defeat at the hands of War Eagle in the Elite Eight of last year’s NCAA tournament.
The Wildcats bring their best basketball into this SEC showdown, winning seven straight games while posting a 6-1 ATS mark in that span. What’s more impressive is that four of those games came on the road, including tough stops at Tennessee, LSU and most recently Texas A&M, and UK has checked those foes to just 65 points per game. The Wildcats are extra stingy on their home court, allowing under 38 percent shooting from the floor while limiting visitors to just over 29 percent success from distance.
The Tigers have stubbed their toe away from home in recent weeks, losing four of their last six road outings outright while needing overtime to pick up those two victories – going 1-5 ATS as visitors in that span. Bruce Pearl’s team watches its shooting percentage dip from 46 percent to 39 percent in opposing gyms, including just 26.3 percent from 3-point range on the road. We're going to take a long look at Auburn's team total inside Rupp Arena, leaning toward the Under.
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS AT MARYLAND TERRAPINS
Maryland is breathing a little heavy after a narrow one-point win at Minnesota Wednesday, edging the Golden Gophers 74-73 and playing Over the 134.5-point total. The Terrapins have topped the total in three straight games and seven of their last 10 contests heading into Saturday’s huge home date with Michigan State.
The Spartans lost at home to Maryland on February 15 in a 67-60 contest that stayed below the 138-point number despite a fast and furious opening half which produced 70 points, including 39 first-half points from Maryland. Since then, Michigan State has hung scores of 86 and 78 points on the board, including 51 second-half points in Tuesday’s victory over Iowa.
These Big Ten rivals have been a winner for Under bettors in recent meetings, with a 2-7-1 Over/Under mark in their last 10 matchups. However, with the Izzone buzzing for this 8 p.m. ET national TV start and both team capable of lighting it up - depending on the opening total - we think the Over is worth a wager between Maryland and Michigan State.
MID-MAJOR TO WATCH: MONTANA GRIZZLIES (17-10 SU, 13-12 ATS, 13-12 O/U)
The Grizzlies are battling to stay atop the Big Sky Conference with four games left on their schedule, including this Saturday’s matchup with Sacramento State – the program’s third straight road game after playing at Montana State last Saturday and at Northern Arizona Thursday.
Montana was one of the hottest mid-major wagers in college hoops, having covered in six straight games heading into Thursday but came up short as a 2.5-point road favorite in a 57-56 loss at Northern Arizona. Keep an eye on its odds against the Hornets and how much Montana may have left in the tank after a tough week of travel.
BETTING TRENDS AND NOTES
• One of the best under-the-radar NCAA basketball bets has been taking the Over in Seattle Redhawks road games this season. Seattle is just 4-7 Over/Under at home but a remarkable 10-2 Over/Under in the role of visitor. The Redhawks average 70 points for and allow 76.4 points against away from home – not exactly stat sheet-stuffing results – but continue to come in above the number in those road games. Bettors get one last kick at the can with Seattle road Overs when the team visits California Baptist this Saturday, its final away game of the regular season.
• The Butler Bulldogs could have guards Kamar Baldwin and Aaron Thompson back on the court for this Saturday’s showdown with DePaul. Both players were injured in a bad loss to Creighton on Sunday and are officially listed as day-to-day, but Bulldogs coach LaVall Jordan told a radio show that he believes the two starters will be available. Baldwin leads the team with 15.9 points per game while Thompson is scoring 6.8 points and dishing out almost five assists per outing. Both are among Butler’s best defenders, headlining a defense giving up only 62.8 points per game this season.
• A number of mid-major conferences play their final games of the regular season this weekend, with regular season titles and No. 1 seeds in the conference tournament still up for grabs. The Big South has a battle at the top between Radford and Winthrop, Wright State and Northern Kentucky play for No. 1 in the Horizon League Friday, and Robert Morris and St. Francis (PA) will duke it out for the Northeast regular season crown (in a weird twist with true No. 1 Merrimack ineligible to compete in postseason) on Saturday.