Wednesday 3/4/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAB, NBA & NHL games.
Stephen Oh
UTAH -7.5
UTAH @ NEW YORK | 3/04 | 7:30 PM EST
6:10 PM
My model says that the Jazz cover the spread almost 70 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them at this point spread. Utah is coming off back-to-back victories overall and has won three straight on the road. The Jazz cruised to a 128-104 win over New York at home in January. Look for Utah to complete the season sweep.
14-4 IN LAST 18 NBA PICKS | +958
5-1 IN LAST 6 UTA ATS PICKS | +390
2-1 IN LAST 3 NY ATS PICKS | +91
VANCOUVER -126
ARIZONA @ VANCOUVER | 3/04 | 10:30 PM EST
3:46 PM
My model says that the Canucks win this game outright well over 60 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them here. Vancouver went 1-3-0 on its four-game road trip but is beginning a four-game stretch at home, where it is 3-1-1 in its last five. Arizona has struggled mightily on the road of late, losing four in a row and 10 of its last 11 (1-9-1). Take the Canucks.
6-1 IN LAST 7 NHL ML PICKS | +439
2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI ML PICKS | +16
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John Morrison NBA System
Champ NBA system bet for March 4th:
Oklahoma City Thunder {A** Bet - Take the money line if they're the favorites. If the A bet loses, then the B bet on the Thunder will take place on 3/6. The potential C bet is on 3/8.
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Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
8:58 AM
MEMPHIS +2
MEMPHIS @ BROOKLYN | 3/04 | 7:30 PM EST
The Grizzlies are playing terrific defense during their two-game win streak, and they catch a Nets team that could be tired after a thrilling overtime win in Boston last night. Memphis has covered its last five visits to Brooklyn. Grab the points.
92-77-2 LAST 171 NBA SIDES | +741
38-22 IN LAST 60 MEM ATS PICKS | +1405
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SDQL Gurus
Villanova Under 140.5
The Pirates have scored a significant fraction of their points from the foul line and the Wildcats have tended to stay Under versus similar opponents. Villanova has 18 straight Unders when they are coming off a home game and facing a team that has scored more than 19.75 percent of its points from the foul line, as long as they are not laying more than 30. The Wildcats are 0-6 OU in this spot. Villanova has averaged 14.52 assists, and this activates a team trend of the Pirates. Seton Hall has 11 straight Unders when it's a favorite following a win in which it didn't trail by double digits at the half and is facing a team that has averaged fewer than 15 assists.
26-16 IN LAST 42 CBB PICKS | +835
OVER 153.5
LSU @ ARK | 3/04 | 7:00 PM EST10:21 AM
The Razorbacks’ offense is taking care of the ball, and this has been a solid Over indicator. Arkansas has reeled off 16 straight Overs as a home favorite when it comes off a game in which it committed fewer than 10 turnovers and wasn’t out-rebounded defensively by more than 10. The Razorbacks are 4-0 OU in this spot this season. This has been a nice Over spot for the Tigers, as they have 19 straight Overs as a road underdog when their line is more than 11 points higher than it was in their previous game, as long as their opponent has not won eight straight. The Tigers are 3-0 OU in this spot this season.
26-16 IN LAST 42 CBB PICKS | +835
OVER 132.5
STLOU @ GMASON | 3/04 | 7:00 PM EST10:17 AM
The Billikens are coming off a 72-69 win at Rhode Island in which they made only eight free throws. St. Louis has reeled off 13 straight Overs when the line is within three points of pick 'em. It is coming off a road game in which it scored less than 19 percent of its points from the foul line. George Mason has recorded seven and 12 assists, respectively, in its last two games - both losses. This green-lights a performance indicator that reads, “The Over is 19-0 when the Patriots are coming off a loss when less than 50 percent of their baskets were assisted in each of their last two games and they are facing a team that has not lost three straight."
26-16 IN LAST 42 CBB PICKS | +835
OVER 156.5
SJST VS NMEX | 3/04 | 5:30 PM EST10:11 AM
In its last two games, San Jose State has shot 27.5 and 39.6 percent from the field. This has been a big Over indicator, as the Over is 13-0 the last thirteen times the Spartans were an underdog following two games in which they shot worse than 40.5 percent when the last of which was at home. San Jose State surpassed the posted number by an average of 18.12 points in those 13 contests. As for the Lobos, we see that the Over is 10-0 the last 10 times they were a favorite coming off a home game in which they held their opponent to fewer than 80 points. We make the play the Over.
26-16 IN LAST 42 CBB PICKS | +835
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SDQL Gurus
Over 239.5 Portland
The Wizards have gone Over 15 straight times on the road after a road game in which Bradley Beal had a negative plus/minus and 13 straight as an underdog following a loss as a road dog when they are facing a team that is averaging more than five blocks, screaming over the number by an average of 22.19 points. The Trail Blazers are 12-0 OU (+18.17 points) as a home favorite following a road win when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 30 points from 3-pointers. The value is with the Over.
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS O/U PICKS | +90
ORL +7
ORL @ MIA | 3/04 | 7:30 PM EST10:29 AM
The Heat are 0-11 ATS (-9.45 points) as a favorite with less than two days' rest after rebounding less than 20 percent of their own misses and 0-10 ATS (-7.10) as a favorite following a win in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers. The Magic are 9-0 ATS (+9.22 points) with rest following a home loss in which they had more than eight times as many field-goal attempts as turnovers. This is a soft spot for Miami. Grab the points.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +90
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CleInsiderSports
NBA
Pass
NCAAB
Central Florida +1
NHL
Ducks ML (+260)
MLB
Cubs ML (-105)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Virginia -1.5 over Miami-Florida (NCAAB)
3* Indiana -3 over Minnesota (NCAAB)
3* Jacksonville St. +2.5 over Eastern Illinois (NCAAB)
Elite Sports Picks
Florida St. -2.5 over Notre Dame (NCAAB)
National Sports Service
4* Tulsa +2.5 over Temple (NCAAB)
3* Saint Louis -2 over George Mason (NCAAB)
3* Clemson +1.5 over Virginia Tech (NCAAB)
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Primetime Sports Picks For 03/04/20
4 Unit --> Arkansas -2.5 over L.S.U. (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Indiana +11 over Milwaukee (NBA)
3 Unit --> Florida International +9.5 over Louisiana Tech (NCAAB)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 03/04/20
4★ Jacksonville St. +2.5 over Eastern Illinois (NCAAB)
3★ Xavier +5 over Providence (NCAAB)
3★ Oklahoma St. -6 over Kansas St. (NCAAB)
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3 Rivers Sports
NCAA BK
3* #805 FIU +9.5
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Mike Barner
MEMPHIS +1.5
MEMPHIS @ BROOKLYN | 3/04 | 7:30 PM EST
12:37 PM
This is a tough spot for the Nets, who are coming off of a big comeback win on the road against the Celtics on Tuesday. That game went into overtime, so Brooklyn could have some tired legs. That could be a recipe for disaster against the Grizzlies, who have played at the seventh-fastest pace in the league. With the Grizzlies coming off back-to-back wins against the Lakers and Hawks, I’ll take the points.
90-56-2 IN LAST 148 NBA ATS PICKS | +2843
10-6 IN LAST 16 MEM ATS PICKS | +339
CLEVELAND +2.5
BOSTON @ CLEVELAND | 3/04 | 7:00 PM EST
12:17 PM
The Celtics are in rough shape, in large part because they just played an overtime game against the Nets on Tuesday. Kemba Walker (rest) has already been ruled out, while it would seem unlikely that Gordon Hayward (knee) or Jaylen Brown (hamstring) will play since they just injured themselves against the Nets. Jayson Tatum (illness) could also miss his second straight game. If he does, that basically leaves Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis and a bunch of backups. Even with Andre Drummond (calf) and Darius Garland (groin) out for the Cavaliers, I think they have enough to win this game outright.
90-56-2 IN LAST 148 NBA ATS PICKS | +2843
3-0 IN LAST 3 BOS ATS PICKS | +300
6-3-1 IN LAST 10 CLE ATS PICKS | +269
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
10:22 AM
COLORADO -1.5
ANAHEIM @ COLORADO | 3/04 | 9:30 PM EST
The Avalanche are playing excellent hockey right now despite being banged up and have won a season-high seven straight but are scoring very few goals in the process. The team also is 6-0 in its last six Wednesday games. The Ducks are just 2-5-1 in their last eight games, were beat up in Chicago last night and are just 2-5 in their last seven games played on zero days rest. Avalanche puck line (-115) is the play.
29-23 IN LAST 52 NHL PICKS | +645
2-1 IN LAST 3 ANA ATS PICKS | +131
3-2 IN LAST 5 COL ATS PICKS | +108
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Johnny Boy Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
10:48 AM
VANCOUVER -117
ARIZONA @ VANCOUVER | 3/04 | 10:30 PM EST
The Canucks have lost three straight games and they are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games while the Coyotes are just 5-4-1 in their last 10 games. However, the Canucks are 20-7-4 at home this season while the Coyotes are 15-15-4 on the road. Thatcher Demko has not been very good lately allowing at least three goals in each of his last four starts. However, this is only Kuemper’s second game back from injury. Take the Canucks at home.
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Hank Goldberg
DAYTON -4
DAYTON @ RHODE ISLAND | 3/04 | 9:00 PM EST
10:43 AM
Dayton is undefeated in the Atlantic 10 and is playing for seeding in the NCAA Tournament. The Flyers won the first meeting by 14, but the game wasn't really that close; Dayton started the game on a 17-0 run. The Flyers have too much offensive firepower for Rhode Island. I'm on Dayton.
5-3 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +158
FLORIDA ST. -1.5
FLORIDA ST. @ NOTRE DAME | 3/04 | 9:00 PM EST
10:36 AM
Florida State desperately needs this win if it wants to win the ACC title. The Seminoles have the 16th best defense in the country in terms of efficiency and will be motivated after the loss at Clemson. I'm taking Florida State.
5-3 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +158
SETON HALL -4
VILLANOVA @ SETON HALL | 3/04 | 8:30 PM EST
10:30 AM
This is a huge game for Seton Hall, which can clinch the Big East title outright win a win on Senior Night. The Pirates don't want to lose on Wednesday and have to play at Creighton with the title at stake. After dropping consecutive games to Creighton and Providence, Seton Hall has turned things around with three straight wins. Take the Pirates to cover.
5-3 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +158
3-1-1 IN LAST 5 NOVA ATS PICKS | +190
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WunderDog NBA Pick:
Game: Oklahoma City Thunder (519) @ Detroit Pistons (520)
Time: Wednesday 03/04 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Oklahoma City -7.5 (-116) at Bookmaker
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Millerlocks
5:30 pm est ncaab
san jose state vs. New mexico
pick: Under 157 (-113)
risk: 11 units
7:00 pm est ncaab
clemson vs. Virginia tech
pick: Virginia tech (-122)
risk: 11 units
7:35 pm est nba
memphis grizzlies vs. Brooklyn nets
pick: Memphis grizzlies +1.5 (-104)
risk: 11 units
9:00 pm est ncaab
virginia vs. Miami florida
pick: Virginia -2 (-109)
risk: 11 units
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Vic Monte
Arkansas -2.5
Georgia Tech -6
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Total Sports Solutions GOY (The Swami)
Wyoming Cowboys
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Machine
NBA:
Magic +7 *10 units*
NCAAB:
Indiana -3 (-120) *25 units* HAMMER
Notre Dame +1.5 *10 units*
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SPARTAN*| CBB ** SIDESWED, 03/04/20 - 8:30 PM
781 Villanova*4.5 (-110) Southpoint*vs 782 Seton Hall
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
Okay we hit again last night with Michigan State getting the job done at Penn State. 13 of the last 14 winners for us. And yes guys, yet once again proof positive why it is important to let the game run it's course. Down 19 in the first half of course there were the faint of heart ready to abandon ship. Well they play forty long minutes. I honestly was not that concerned. Penn State has had problems closing and once again that affliction reared it's ugly head. On the flip side the Spartans are not a club prone to panic mode. And it all showed. Many thanks once again to those along.*
Okay, as always onward we march. I love this game. NO, not a lock or any BS like that. But I will take the Wildcats here getting the points in a game they very well might prevail in outright. I don't generally overplay the revenge factor but when you are dealing with team like Villanova it is a legit thing to consider. TCU with a revenge factor against Kansas does not quite measure up if you get my drift. And I think we have some legit value here off the poor performance last time out for the Cat's. Providence got them and I do expect a solid effort here from Jay Wright's club. Too talented and yes, too well coached not to bounce back here. No slight towards the Pirates, who I consider a threat in the dance to go deep, but I love this spot for Nova. Last time out against Providence the Wildcats shot a miserable five of thirty from beyond the arc. I most definitely do not expect that to happen again. Frankly I love the way this one sets up for Wright and his kids. Take the points and run like a bandit. I'm going large here on Villanova.*
Now, one final word. We are 5-0 with these caliber releases this season. This is the time of year you use the work you haôve put in and go for the larger releases. The results clearly speak for themselves. But no game is ever a sure hit. I don't promote locks. That is a term I loathe. BS label from carnival barkers. Please never over play on one game. Just trying to help as always. Many sincere thanks as always and best of luck to each of us. Enjoy the game and let's get another one.
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Prez's 5% nhl main event
columbus blue jackets over 5.5 goals
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Wayne Root
Pinnacle- St. Louis
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Zack Cimini
UT-SAN ANTONIO +5.5
UT-SAN ANTONIO @ OLD DOMINION | 3/04 | 7:00 PM EST
1:41 PM
For the second time in less than a month, UTSA will play at Old Dominion. In the first matchup, UTSA’s Jhivvan Jackson torched the Monarchs with a season-high 45 points. Expect Jackson to facilitate to his teammates and UTSA to cover the same number offered in the first matchup on Feb. 6.
63-49-5 IN LAST 117 CBB ATS PICKS | +863
SETON HALL -3.5
VILLANOVA @ SETON HALL | 3/04 | 8:30 PM EST
1:38 PM
The Seton Hall Pirates will have the opportunity to become the first team to sweep Villanova this season. The Wildcats' 54 points in their last outing were their second-fewest of the season. Shortening the game for the final five minutes may be Jay Wright’s objective, but expect the Pirates to do enough to cover the small number. Grab Seton Hall.
63-49-5 IN LAST 117 CBB ATS PICKS | +863
2-1 IN LAST 3 NOVA ATS PICKS | +99
2-1 IN LAST 3 SETON ATS PICKS | +89
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Power Plays (The Swami - CBB) - 10* Top Play LSU +3
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Joe Williams
Arizona Coyotes +105
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Matt Rivers
FOURTH
Blank Check
Waive The Rating
College Basketball Play of the Season
Dayton
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Matt Blunt
Arkansas -3
Notre Dame +1.5
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LMM Sports
2 team 6pt. Teaser. Texas AM and TCU.
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Matt Blunt
Thunder -8
Knicks +8
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Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
4:13 PM
CREIGHTON -12.5
GEORGETOWN @ CREIGHTON | 3/04 | 8:00 PM EST
Creighton shot 4 of 27 from long range last time out, and I think the Bluejays fix that tonight at home. They're out to avenge a 3-point loss at Georgetown on Jan. 15. The Hoyas have lost four in a row, with their last road outing resulting in a 21-point defeat at Marquette.
7-1 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +590
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Kenny White
OVER 157
SAN JOSE ST. VS NEW MEXICO | 3/04 | 5:30 PM EST
2:53 PM
The Spartans rank 14th in the country in pace of play. Their offense is ranked No. 259 but their porous defense ranks No. 293. New Mexico ranks 38th in pace, its offense is 117th and the defense is No. 192. This is a battle of teams that play fast and are better on offense than defense. Back the Over.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +307
CHARLOTTE +4.5
NORTH TEXAS @ CHARLOTTE | 3/04 | 7:00 PM EST
2:46 PM
Charlotte is tied for fourth place in the conference and the top four teams receive a bye. Both teams have two games left. There is a lot of incentive for the 49ers. North Texas clinched the top seed in the Sun Belt with a huge OT win over Western Kentucky. This game is now basically meaningless for the Big Green. Take Charlotte plus the points.
5-1 IN LAST 6 CBB ATS PICKS | +389
OVER 147.5
FLORIDA ST. @ NOTRE DAME | 3/04 | 9:00 PM EST
2:41 PM
Both teams play at an up-tempo pace. Florida State has a top-20 offense, while Notre Dame's offense ranks 38th and their defense ranks 116th. The Irish average 13 more points per game at home than on the road and they're 10-7 to the Over. Florida State is 18-11 Over on the season and the first meeting was 85-84.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +307
LA SALLE -1
MASSACHUSETTS @ LA SALLE | 3/04 | 7:00 PM EST
2:14 PM
La Salle is trying to avoid playing an extra game in the conference tournament. The Explorers trail Massachusetts by two games. However, George Washington resides in the middle of both teams and could be the team playing the extra game. La Salle has won and covered three of its last four games and is also 9-5 ATS at home this year.
5-1 IN LAST 6 CBB ATS PICKS | +389
UNDER 143
FIU @ LOUISIANA TECH | 3/04 | 7:30 PM EST
2:07 PM
FIU has slowed the pace drastically from the beginning of the season. In the last six games, the Panthers are averaging just 126.5 ppg, which includes a 142 game against Southern Mississippi in which there were 53 points scored in the final 10 minutes. Louisiana Tech plays a methodical offense and very fundamental defense with very little pressure. The Bulldogs force opponents to use a high percentage of the shot clock.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +307
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Bill Marzano
UNDER 140
VILLANOVA @ SETON HALL | 3/04 | 8:30 PM EST
1:47 PM
This is a big game for Seton Hall, which is looking to clinch the Big East title for the second straight year with a win tonight. This will be a battle defensively, and look for both teams to dial it up. Villanova comes into this game off a tough loss to Providence and scored its second fewest points on the season. The Wildcats allow 65.9 points per game while Seton Hall allows 67.2. The Under is 8-2 on the road this year for Nova and 9-5 at home for Seton Hall. Under is the play.
44-33-1 IN LAST 78 CBB O/U PICKS | +773
UNDER 130
TULSA @ TEMPLE | 3/04 | 7:00 PM EST
1:45 PM
Tulsa crushed Temple, 70-44, in the last meeting, has allowed 57 points or fewer in five of its last six games and is allowing just 63.4 points per game this season. Temple has dropped three straight games and is really struggling from the field, shooting 40.8 percent and 32.3 percent from beyond the arc. The Under has cashed in eight straight Wednesday games for Tulsa and is 14-2 in night games this year. Take the Under.
44-33-1 IN LAST 78 CBB O/U PICKS | +773
2-1 IN LAST 3 TULSA O/U PICKS | +91
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Tim Doyle
MEMPHIS +101
MEMPHIS @ BROOKLYN | 3/04 | 7:30 PM EST
4:12 PM
The Grizzlies have figured it out of late, winning each of their last two contests, and the Nets are playing the second game of a back-to-back set. Can Caris LeVert hit the 50-point mark again? I have my doubts. Will Ja Rule be at the game? I know Rookie of the Year candidate Ja Morant will. He will be the difference in this one.
4-1 IN LAST 5 NBA ML PICKS | +476
OVER 240
NEW ORLEANS @ DALLAS | 3/04 | 9:30 PM EST
4:06 PM
The Pelicans gave up 139 points against Minnesota last night. Luka Doncic may get the Mavericks to 150 in this one with his elite passing. This will wind up being a track meet.
7-4 IN LAST 11 NBA PICKS | +365
CLEVELAND +4
BOSTON @ CLEVELAND | 3/04 | 7:00 PM EST
4:03 PM
Why aren't the Cavaliers getting seven points here? The spread is begging you to take Boston in the second game of a back-to-back set after it has dropped two overtime decisions at home. Don’t do it!
7-4 IN LAST 11 NBA PICKS | +365
ST. BONA. -12
SAINT JOSEPH'S @ ST. BONA. | 3/04 | 7:00 PM EST
3:59 PM
I’ve been to Olean, New York, you haven’t! The Reilly Center provides a huge home-court advantage and the Bonnies are the much better squad here as they look to make some noise in March.
12-7-1 IN LAST 20 CBB PICKS | +523
NOTRE DAME +104
FLORIDA ST. @ NOTRE DAME | 3/04 | 9:00 PM EST
3:50 PM
The Fighting Irish have NCAA Tournament dreams and need this win at home. Their shooters will be torching the baskets in an electric environment in South Bend. Different styles favor the home team in this matchup.
12-8 IN LAST 20 CBB ML PICKS | +691
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Mike Tierney
TCU +16.5
TCU @ KANSAS | 3/04 | 8:00 PM EST
4:16 PM
Kansas C Udoka Azubuike (ankle) desperately wishes to play in his final home appearance. If he hits the floor it all, his minutes should be limited, what with the postseason approaching. If the Jayhawks jump out ahead, which is a likely scenario, he could spend extra time on the bench, which will make it easier for TCU to cover. The Horned Frogs hope to get back Gs R.J. Nembhard and Francisco Farabello, who missed the previous two games.
10-8 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +118
5-2 IN LAST 7 TCU ATS PICKS | +271
UNDER 133
XAVIER @ PROVIDENCE | 3/04 | 6:30 PM EST
4:13 PM
Out: Xavier point guard Paul Scruggs (12.7 ppg, 2.9 apg), with an ailing hamstring. Possibly out: F Alpha Diallo, Providence’s top scorer and rebounder (13.6 ppg, 7.9 rpg), with an eye injury. If that’s not enough to make the case for an Under, consider that Xavier has gone Over just once in the past six away games while the Friars tend to stay Under against foes with winning records. Both teams could play tight, given that neither has locked down an NCAA berth.
10-8 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +118
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