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College Basketball Betting News and Trends For Thursday, March 22, 2018

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shazman

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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, March 22, 2018 from various handicappers and websites

Posted : March 22, 2018 7:48 am

shazman

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Posts: 57970

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NCAA tournament
Thursday’s NCAA games
Kentucky won/covered its last six Sweet 16 games, and they were underdog in three of those; Wildcats are 13-2 outside the SEC- 8 of those 15 games were against top 100 teams, with 65-61 loss to Kansas, 83-76 win over West Va. Kentucky won nine of its last ten games; they’re least experienced team in country that has #17 eFG% defense. Kansas State won four of its last five games, allowing 53 ppg in first two tourney games; they’re 2-0 vs SEC teams, beating Vandy/Georgia, both by 5 points. Last five years, Big X teams are only 3-8 in Sweet 16 games.

Nevada played only six guys last weekend; they trailed Texas by 14, Cincinnati by 22, but won both games without playing one possession of zone defense. Wolf Pack are 2-0 vs MVC teams this season, beating Illinois St by 30, so Illinois by 22- they’re 13-3 outside Mountain West- they start three juniors, two seniors (#42 experience team). Loyola won its two games last weekend by total of 3 points; they won last 12 games. Ramblers lost by 34 at Boise State in their only MW game this season. Oddly, Loyola is #14 in country at shooting 3’s (40%); Nevada is #14 in county at defending the 3-pointer (31.6%).

Last 10 years, underdogs are 5-1 vs spread when #’s 3-7 seeds meet in Sweet 16. Texas A&M won five of its last games; they’re 13-1 outside SEC, with only loss by 3 to Arizona in Phoenix. Aggies are #235 experience team that started season in Germany with win over West Va- they beat Penn State by 11 in only Big 14 game. A&M starts three juniors- their bench plays #62 minutes in country, so they’ve got depth. Michigan won last 11 games but needed last second 3-pointer to nip Houston and get here; Wolverines lost 77-75 to LSU in only SEC game- they won two of last three Sweet 16 games, losing 69-68 to Oregon LY.

Gonzaga is in Sweet 16 for 4th year in row, winning in this round two of last three years- they’ve won their last 16 games, winning last weekend by 4-6 points. Zags are #241 experience team that is 12-3 outside WCC (#80 NC sked). Florida State was down 14 to Xavier Sunday but KO’d #1-seed Xavier; since 2005, #8-9 seeds are 3-3 vs spread in Sweet 16 games, after they had KO’d the #1 seed. Seminoles are experience team #222; they’re 13-1 outside ACC (NC sked #329), losing 71-70 to Oklahoma St. This is Florida State’s first Sweet 16 since 2011.

Other tournaments
Thursday’s other tournaments
Sam Houston State is only 3-7 outside Southland Conference; they also had four non-D-I wins- they played #51 non-conference schedule. Bearkats start four juniors and a senior; they played four starters 31:00+ in Monday’s home win over Eastern Michigan. Sam Houston is experience team #21 that plays pace #241- they force turnovers 20.2% of time (#71)- they lost four of last six true road games. UTSA is 9-3 in its last 12 games; they won by 14-16-7 points in their three games vs Southland foes this season. Roadrunners start three sophomores, two juniors.

Campbell Camels lost four of last five true road games; their last one was Feb 22. Camels are 6-6 outside Big South (#338 NC schedule)- they make 38.5% of their 3’s. Campbell’s best player is a 5-9 guard; they start two sophs, two juniors (experience team #199), and played three starters 31:00+ in Monday’s home win over New Orleans. San Francisco is 8-3 in its last 11 games; they won seven of last eight home games. Dons are #266 experience team that plays pace #244- they beat Big South champ Radford by 11 at home in December.

Posted : March 22, 2018 8:03 am

shazman

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Loyola-Chicago Ramblers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Preview and Predictions 03-22-2018

21st March 2018 by Gracenote
Neither Loyola Chicago nor Nevada was supposed to be here, and that was before a miraculous bounce and an historic comeback put them in the Sweet 16. Two of the teams who helped shake up the NCAA Tournament South Region square off Thursday in Atlanta, and one will become an unlikely entry into the Elite Eight.

Nevada lived on the edge last weekend in Nashville, overcoming a 14-point, second-half deficit in an 87-83 overtime win over Texas before rallying from a 22-point hole to knock off No. 2 seed Cincinnati in the second-largest comeback in NCAA Tournament history. The seventh-seeded Wolfpack have matched the school record for wins and are in the Sweet 16 for just the second time. Loyola nearly squandered a late lead against No. 3 seed Tennessee on Saturday before Clayton Custer's jumper bounced around the rim and in for a 63-62 victory. The 11th-seeded Ramblers haven't lost in nearly two months, winning 12 straight contests since suffering a 69-67 setback at Bradley on Jan. 31 and 19 of their last 20.

TV: 7:07 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT LOYOLA (30-5): The Ramblers are disciplined on defense, ranking fifth in the nation in scoring defense (62.2 points) while committing the second-fewest fouls per contest. But they also have plenty of offensive prowess, with five players averaging double digits in points. Custer (13.3 points, 4.2 assists) leads the way, but Aundre Jackson (11.1 points) averaged a team-high 14 points in the first two games of the Tournament.

ABOUT NEVADA (29-7): The Wolfpack are the rare team that can push the pace - they average 83 points - without getting careless, as their 9.6 turnovers per game are the fourth-fewest in the nation. Caleb Martin (18.8 points, 5.4 rebounds), Jordan Caroline (17.7, 8.7) and Cody Martin (13.9, 6.3, 4.7 assists) are the team's most productive players, but reserve guard Josh Hall (6.8 points) was huge last weekend as he averaged 14.5 points and six rebounds. Kendall Stephens (13.4 points) is a prolific 3-point shooter, hitting 44.4 percent from beyond the arc.

TIP-INS

1. Stephens has made a Mountain West-record 126 3-pointers this season and registered at least five on 13 occasions.

2. The Ramblers are 21-0 when leading at halftime and 28-1 when scoring at least 60 points.

3. Caroline has recorded 27 career double-doubles, with the Wolfpack going 25-2 in those games.

PREDICTION: Nevada 73, Loyola Chicago 72

Posted : March 22, 2018 8:24 am

shazman

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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Michigan Wolverines Preview and Predictions 03-22-2018

21st March 2018 by Gracenote
Third-seeded Michigan looks to build on one of its most memorable wins in the NCAA Tournament when it faces No. 7 seed Texas A&M on Thursday in Los Angeles. Jordan Poole buried a deep 3-pointer as time expired against Houston on Saturday to help the Wolverines, who are the highest seed remaining in the West Region, make their fourth Sweet 16 appearance in six years while reaching 30 victories for the fourth time in program history.

Michigan coach John Beilein set a school record for NCAA Tournament wins with 15 following the 64-63 victory against the Cougars and aims to lead the Wolverines to the Elite Eight for the third time in their last five postseason appearances. Texas A&M jumped all over second-seeded North Carolina midway through the first half and never looked back en route to an 86-65 victory Sunday over the reigning national champions. The Aggies, who were ranked as high as fifth nationally during the regular season, boast three key contributors that are 6-10 and hope to ride their size advantage to their first Elite 8 appearance in program history. "It's an absolutely great feeling to keep dancing," Texas A&M center Tonny Trocha-Morelos told reporters. "It means a lot because this is my senior year and I wanted to do something like this for the younger guys."

TV: 7:37 p.m. ET, TBS

ABOUT TEXAS A&M (22-12): TJ Starks led the way with 21 points and five assists against North Carolina to move within one assist of breaking David Goff's school record of 13 during the 1980 NCAA Tournament. Tyler Davis flirted with a double-double as he added 18 points and nine rebounds to move past Jeff Overhouse (739) for 11th place on the Aggies' all-time rebounding list with 745. D.J. Hogg produced 14 points and Robert Williams grabbed 13 rebounds as Texas A&M won the battle of the boards 50-36 against one of the nation's best rebounding teams.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (30-7): Moritz Wagner overcame a sluggish start to score 10 of his 12 points in the second half and Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman also tallied 12 points to lift the Wolverines past Houston despite shooting a season-low 35.6 percent from the field. Charles Matthews and Duncan Robinson each added 11 points while Poole finished with eight, including the game-winning shot from 28 feet away. "Jordan does that all the time in practice," Beilein told reporters. "The guy has an overdose of swag and he's got everything you could ask for as he dreams of those shots and lives for those shots."

TIP-INS

1. Michigan has won 11 consecutive games, including eight in a row away from home.

2. Texas A&M has blocked 16 shots over its first two tournament games.

3. The winner will play Florida State or Gonzaga in the Elite Eight on Saturday.

PREDICTION: Michigan 77, Texas A&M 75

Posted : March 22, 2018 8:24 am

shazman

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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Kentucky Wildcats Preview and Predictions 03-22-2018

21st March 2018 by Gracenote
Stars are made during the NCAA Tournament, and no one is shining brighter than Kentucky freshman Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The 6-6 point guard looks to continue his stellar play Thursday as fifth-seeded Kentucky faces No. 9 seed Kansas State in a South Region semifinal contest at Philips Arena in Atlanta.

Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 27 points, six rebounds and six assists in Kentucky's 95-75 second-round win over Buffalo and is averaging 21.8, 5.8 and 6.6 while shooting 57 percent in five postseason games - including the SEC Tournament. "He gives other teams hell," teammate Jarred Vanderbilt told reporters. "When he has the ball, he finishes well, and when they collapse on him, he's finding us for open shots, layups, dunks. He's turned into a great leader for us." Kentucky has won nine of its last 10 contests and enters as a prohibitive favorite against a Kansas State team that hopes to have leading scorer Dean Wade back after missing the last three games due to a foot injury. A First-Team All-Big 12 selection, the 6-10 Wade averages 16.5 points and 6.3 rebounds for Kansas State, which relied on its defense to open the NCAA Tournament with wins over Creighton (69-59) and UMBC (50-43).

TV: 9:37 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT KANSAS STATE (24-11): Barry Brown averages 16.1 points for the Wildcats, who defeated UMBC despite going 1-for-12 from 3-point range and committing 18 turnovers. Making its first appearance in the Sweet 16 since 2010, Kansas State allows an average of 66.9 points behind a tenacious defense led by Wade, who was optimistic about returning to action after practicing on Wednesday. If Kentucky turns the game into a shootout, Xavier Sneed (10.7 points) could play a key role from beyond the arc.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (26-10): The highest remaining seed in the South Region, Kentucky opened the NCAA Tournament with a 78-73 triumph over No. 12 Davidson before shooting 56.3 percent in a 20-point win over No. 13 Buffalo. Expect Kansas State to slow the pace in an effort to contain Gilgeous-Alexander and Kevin Knox, who averages a team-high 15.6 points and scored 25 in the victory over Davidson. The Wildcats, who forced both opponents to shoot under 40 percent, could receive a boost from Vanderbilt as the freshman forward has missed the last five games due to injury but hopes to return Thursday.

TIP-INS

1. The winner advances to face either No. 11 seed Loyola Chicago or seventh-seeded Nevada in the Elite Eight.

2. Kentucky holds a 9-0 lead in the all-time series, including a 56-49 win in the first round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament.

3. Kentucky is 6-0 in the Sweet 16 under coach John Calipari, with an average margin of victory of 14.5 points.

PREDICTION: Kentucky 76, Kansas State 65

Posted : March 22, 2018 8:25 am

shazman

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Posts: 57970

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Topic starter

Florida State Seminoles vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Preview and Predictions 03-22-2018

21st March 2018 by Gracenote
Fourth-seeded Gonzaga is in the Sweet 16 for the fourth consecutive season but has higher aspirations as it faces ninth-seeded Florida State on Thursday in a West Region contest of the NCAA Tournament in Los Angeles. Gonzaga, which has won 16 straight contests, played in last season's NCAA title game and has had its odds of returning helped by the slew of upsets in the Tournament.

The Seminoles are in the Sweet 16 for the fifth time in school history after recording a shocking 75-70 upset of top-seeded Xavier, which caught the attention of Bulldogs coach Mark Few. "Physically, probably easily the most physically imposing and athletically gifted team we've faced maybe in the 20 years I've been head coach, I would say," Few said of Florida State during Wednesday's press conference. "Just the bodies, the size, the length, and the athleticism is really impressive." Seminoles coach Leonard Hamilton may have gushed even more about the long-time success of the Gonzaga program and the challenge his team faces. "I'm just extremely impressed with how well they play together," Hamilton said of the Bulldogs at his team's press conference on Wednesday. "They're confident in what they do. They've got a little bit of a confident edge about who they are and what they represent."

TV: 10:07 p.m. ET, TBS

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (22-11): Terance Mann wasn't expected to be available against Xavier due to a groin injury before choosing to play just prior to game-time but now is closer to full health after having three days over which to recuperate. Mann ranks third on the squad in scoring (12.7 points) and is averaging a team-best 5.5 rebounds on a deep team that typically uses 10 players. Phil Cofer (12.9 points, five rebounds) and Braian Angola (12.8, team-best 63 3-pointers) share the bulk of the scoring load along with Mann, while Trent Forrest is a highly valuable contributor as he averages eight points while leading the Seminoles in assists (4.1) and steals (50).

ABOUT GONZAGA (32-4): The emergence of freshman guard Zach Norvell Jr. (12.7 points, 74 3-pointers) has been a big reason why the Bulldogs were able to reload this campaign, and he established season highs of 28 points, 12 rebounds and six 3-pointers in the 90-84 second-round win over Ohio State. "He's got a persona that we really need in our program right now, quite frankly," Few told reporters. "We have an overabundance of introverts, and that's one thing he's not. So I call him our spiritual leader." The Bulldogs feature four other double-digit scorers in Johnathan Williams (team-high 13.6 points), Killian Tillie (12.9), Josh Perkins (12.4) and Rui Hachimura (11.4).

TIP-INS

1. Gonzaga defeated Florida State 67-60 in the first round of the 2010 NCAA Tournament in the lone previous meeting between the teams.

2. Seminoles G PJ Savoy ranks ninth on the squad in scoring (6.6 points), but it was he who drained the go-ahead 3-pointer with 1:08 remaining in the win over Xavier.

3. Hachimura scored a career-best 25 points against Ohio State for his fifth 20-point performance of the campaign.

PREDICTION: Gonzaga 87, Florida State 83

Posted : March 22, 2018 8:25 am

shazman

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Posts: 57970

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NCAAB

Thursday, March 22

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Trend Report
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LOYOLA-CHICAGO @ NEVADA
Loyola-Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Loyola-Chicago's last 5 games
Nevada is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games

TEXAS A&M @ MICHIGAN
Texas A&M is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Texas A&M is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Michigan is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games

SAM HOUSTON STATE @ UTSA
UTSA is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
UTSA is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

KANSAS STATE @ KENTUCKY
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Kansas State's last 19 games
Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

FLORIDA STATE @ GONZAGA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 6 games
Florida State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Gonzaga's last 7 games

CAMPBELL @ SAN FRANCISCO
San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
__________________

Posted : March 22, 2018 9:48 am

shazman

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Posts: 57970

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Topic starter

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 22

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KANSAS ST (24 - 11) vs. KENTUCKY (26 - 10) - 3/22/2018, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
KENTUCKY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
KENTUCKY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.