Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 7/29/19
Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….
13) When you’re handicapping NFL season win totals, sometimes turnovers can be an indicator of future progression/regression.
From 2005-17, 19 teams have been minus-16 or worse in turnovers for a season; those 19 teams won an average of 5.1 more games the following season.
Usually when a team is so awful in turnovers, it is because the QB got hurt or it results in a coaching change, which creates positive results.
12) Last year, 49ers/Buccaneers had the worst turnover ratios in the NFL.
San Francisco was -25; they lost QB Garoppolo before the season.
Tampa Bay was -18; they fired their coach and hired Bruce Arians, who figures to improve QB Jameis Winston’s play this season.
11) Over last four seasons, 19 teams that were -10 or worse in turnovers won an average of 3.34 more games the following season.
10) Reverse thing goes for teams with positive turnover ratios; the last team to have a turnover rate of +16 or better, then win more games the next season was the ’05 Colts, who went 14-2 in ’05 (+12 TO’s) after going 12-4 in ’04 (+19 TO’s).
9) Over last six years, 32 teams with a turnover rate of +10 or better won an average of 2.28 fewer games the following season.
8) These five teams have a +10 or better turnover ratio last year:
Texans (+15), Seattle (+15), Bears (+12), Rams (+11), Patriots (+10).
7) Baseball stuff:
— Blue Jays traded utility guy Eric Sogard to Tampa Bay.
— Blue Jays also traded P Marcus Stroman to the Mets.
— Marlins traded closer Sergio Romo to Minnesota.
6) Baltimore Orioles hit multiple homers in 10 straight games, which surprisingly is a major league record.
5) Royals 9, Indians 6— Trevor Bauer took the baseball and fired it over the CF fence while manager Terry Francona was coming to the mound to take him out of the game.
4) Bengals’ WR AJ Green didn’t just sprain his ankle Saturday, he tore ligaments in the ankle and is out 6-8 weeks.
3) Mets’ OF Michael Conforto homered, then struck out in a 6-run first inning Sunday. Pirates’ starter Chris Archer threw 48 pitches in the first inning.
Steven Matz threw a 98-pitch complete game against the Pirates Saturday.
2) When the Cincinnati Reds are playing at home and a close call goes their way, during the replay review, they play the Beatles’ classic “Let It Be” over the stadium PA system.
1) Over last week, Milwaukee’s Brian Anderson, Colorado’s Drew Goodman have spoken glowingly on TV about Reds’ legendary broadcaster Marty Brennamen, who is retiring after this season.
Just good to hear people say nice things about a colleague; Brennaman replaced Al Michaels in the Reds’ broadcast booth- his first game was in 1974, when Hank Aaron hit his 714th home run and tied Babe Ruth for the all-time record. Nice way to start a great broadcasting career.