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MLB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Sunday 4/11/21

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 4/11/21

 
Posted : April 11, 2021 7:58 am
(@shazman)
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MLB Matchups

 
Posted : April 11, 2021 8:12 am
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951CHICAGO CUBS -952 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 18-5 SU (12.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

951CHICAGO CUBS -952 PITTSBURGH
DEREK SHELTON is 18-5 SU (12.5 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) (Coach of PITTSBURGH)

953MIAMI -954 NY METS
NY METS are 8-18 SU (-13.8 Units) vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the last 3 seasons.

955MILWAUKEE -956 ST LOUIS
MILWAUKEE is 12-29 SU (-20.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

957COLORADO -958 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-10 SU (12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

957COLORADO -958 SAN FRANCISCO
GABE KAPLER is 20-10 SU (9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record (Coach of SAN FRANCISCO)

959WASHINGTON -960 LA DODGERS
WASHINGTON is 5-13 SU (-14.1 Units) in road games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

961CINCINNATI -962 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 35-21 SU (16.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the last 3 seasons.

963PHILADELPHIA -964 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 102-83 SU (34.1 Units) in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game since 1996.

965BOSTON -966 BALTIMORE
BOSTON is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

 
Posted : April 11, 2021 8:13 am
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, April 11

NL games
Miami (2-6) @ Mets (2-3)
— Miami hasn’t named a starting pitcher.

— Marlins lost six of first eight games.
— Miami split its first two road games.
— under 4-0-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-4

— Stroman allowed one run in six IP (85 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He has never pitched against Miami.

— Mets lost three of their first five games.
— Mets split their first two home games.
— Over 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

Milwaukee (4-4) @ St Louis (4-3)
— Anderson allowed four runs in five IP (79 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-3, 3.32 in four starts vs St Louis, 0-2, 4.50 in two starts here.

— Brewers split their first eight games.
— Milwaukee won three of first five road games.
— Under 5-3
— scored run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2

— Ponce de Leon allowed one run in five IP (93 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-0, 2.00 in four games (3 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals won four of their last five games.
— St Louis split its first two home games.
— Under 3-1-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1

Colorado (3-6) @ San Francisco (5-3)
— Marquez is 0-0, 3.60 in his first two ’21 starts.
— He is 4-4, 5.53 in 10 starts vs San Francisco, 3-3, 4.46 in six starts here.

— Colorado lost six of its last eight games.
— Rockies lost their first two road games.
— Under 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-1

— DeSclafani allowed one run in five IP (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-1, 4.24 in three starts vs Colorado.

— Giants are 5-3 in their first eight games.
— Giants won their first two home games.
— Last six games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2

Cubs (4-4) @ Pittsburgh (2-6)
— Former Pirate Williams allowed two runs in six IP (85 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— This is his first start against his old team.

— Cubs split their first eight games.
— Chicago split their first two road tilts.
— Six of last seven games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1

— Brubaker allowed one run in four IP (82 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-1, 1.84 in three games (2 starts) vs Chicago.

— Pirates lost six of their first eight games.
— Pittsburgh split its first two home games.
— Under 4-4
— scored run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1

Philadelphia (5-3) @ Atlanta (4-4)
— Moore allowed two runs in 3.1 IP (74 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed three runs in seven IP in his one start vs Atlanta.

— Phillies won five of their first eight games.
— Phillies lost their first two road games.
— Last five games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1

— Smyly allowed four runs in six IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— This is his first start vs Philadelphia.

— Braves won their last four games.
— Atlanta won its first two home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-3

Cincinnati (6-2) @ Arizona (3-6)
— DeLeon allowed two runs in five IP (81 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed six runs (4 earned) in 3.2 IP in his one start vs Arizona.

— Cincinnati won six of its last seven games, scoring 60 runs.
— Reds split their first two road games.
— Over 7-0-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1

— Weaver allowed three runs in 5.2 IP (82 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-0, 5.06 in six games (5 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Arizona lost six of first nine games.
— Arizona split its first two home games.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6

Washington (1-4) @ Dodgers (7-2)
— Scherzer allowed four runs in six IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start
— He is 5-4, 2.76 in 14 games (12 starts) vs LA, 4-2, 2.96 in eight starts here.

— Washington lost four of its first five games.
— Nationals are 02 on road; they’re still missing guys.
— Over 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-3

— Kershaw is 1-1, 4.97 in his first two ’21 starts.
— He is 12-3, 2.23 in 17 games (16 starts) vs Washington.

— Dodgers won seven of their last eight games.
— Dodgers won their first two home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-2

AL games
Bronx (3-5) @ Tampa Bay (4-4)
— Montgomery blanked Orioles for six IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 5.14 in six starts vs Tampa Bay, five of which were in NYC. He threw two shutout innings in his one start at the Trop.

— New York lost five of its first eight games.
— New York lost its first two road games.
— under 6-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4

— Honeywell will be an opener in this game. He has been injury-prone, hasn’t pitched in a pro game since 2017.

— Tampa Bay lost four of its last six games.
— Rays won their first two home games.
— Six of last seven games went over
— scored run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-3

Kansas City (3-3) @ White Sox (3-4)
— Minor allowed four runs in six IP (93 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 2.89 in seven games (2 starts) vs Chicago, 0-2, 3.38 in three games (2 starts) here.

— Royals split their first six games.
— Royals are 1-2 on the road.
— last three games under
— scores run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3

— Cease allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-1, 4.22 in four starts vs Kansas City.

— Chicago won three of its last four games.
— White Sox won their home opener Thursday.
— over/under 4-4
— scored run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1

Seattle (4-4) @ Minnesota (5-3)
— Flexen blanked Giants for five IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota

— Seattle lost three of its last five games.
— Seattle split its first two road games.
— over 5-3
— scored run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1

— Shoemaker allowed one run in six IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-5, 4.42 in 15 games (13 starts) vs Seattle.

— Twins won five of their last seven games.
— Minnesota split its two home games.
— over 4-4
— scores run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2

Detroit (3-5) @ Cleveland (4-3)
— Urena allowed six runs in three IP (81 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Detroit lost five of their last six games.
— Detroit lost its first two road games.
— under 5-3
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3

— Allen allowed two runs in five IP (72 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed three runs in 4.2 IP in one relief appearance vs Detroit.

— Cleveland won three of their last four games.
— Indians won three of first four home games.
— under 5-2
— scores run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5

Boston (5-3) @ Baltimore (4-4)
— Pivetta blanked Tampa Bay for five IP (92 PT) in first ’21 start.
— He is 3-0, 2.41 in three starts vs Baltimore.

— Boston won its last five games, after an 0-3 start.
— Red Sox won their first two road games.
— Last six games went over
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-2

— Lopez allowed four runs in 4.2 IP (75 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed seven runs in six IP in two relief stints vs Boston.

— Orioles lost four of their last five games.
— Baltimore lost its first two home games.
— under 4-4
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2

Angels (6-3) @ Toronto (4-5)
— Cobb allowed three runs in six IP (97 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-7, 5.10 in 13 starts vs Toronto.

— Angels won six of their first nine games.
— Halos won two of their first three road games.
— over 5-4
— scored run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2

— Blue Jays haven’t named a starting pitcher.

— Toronto lost four of its last five games.
— Toronto lost two of their first three home games.
— under 6-3
— scored run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6
— For now, Blue Jays are playing home games in Dunedin, FL

Interleague games
San Diego (6-3) @ Texas (3-5)
— Morejon allowed two runs in four IP (64 PT) in his first ’21 start.

— Padres won three of their last four games.
— San Diego won its first two road games.
— Seven of last eight games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1

— Foltynewicz allowed seven runs in four IP (95 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— He is 1-2, 5.06 in four starts vs San Diego.

— Texas lost last two games, outscored 11-4.
— Texas is 2-3 at home.
— under 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3

 
Posted : April 11, 2021 8:13 am
(@shazman)
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MLB

Sunday, April 11

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Trend Report
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Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home

LA Angels @ Toronto
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
LA Angels is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing LA Angels

Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Miami @ NY Mets
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 12 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games

Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Seattle @ Minnesota
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home

San Diego @ Texas
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Texas's last 21 games when playing at home against San Diego

Colorado @ San Francisco
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Washington @ LA Dodgers
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

 
Posted : April 11, 2021 8:14 am
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