Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 9/5/20
MLB public betting, line movement September 5
Patrick Everson
Trevor Story and the Rockies face the daunting task of trying to solve the red-hot Dodgers on Saturday night. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles a -190 favorite.
MLB betting odds are on the board and taking money for a 17-game Saturday schedule, including a couple of doubleheaders. One of the day’s final games features unquestionably the majors’ best team, as the Los Angeles Dodgers play host to the Colorado Rockies.
The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s games.
MLB line movement
The Dodgers are 30-10, playing .750 ball 40 games into this 60-game shortened regular season. Los Angeles is on a six-game win streak and is a ridiculous 19-3 over its last 22 outings. The SuperBook opened the Dodgers -190 and the Rockies +175, and there was no line movement by late Friday night for this 9:10 p.m. ET first pitch.
The Tampa Bay Rays (27-12) are almost as hot as the Dodgers, playing .692 ball overall while going a superb 21-4 in their last 25 games. Tampa Bay opened a solid -230 at home for Saturday’s 6:40 p.m. ET contest against the Miami Marlins (+205), and there was no line movement Friday night.
Max Fried is the unstoppable force for the Atlanta Braves, who have won all eight of his starts while he’s gone 6-0 with a stout 1.60 ERA. It’s no wonder the Braves opened -230 at The SuperBook against the visiting Washington Nationals (+205) for a 7:10 p.m. ET contest.
MLB public betting
The Consensus indicates public bettors are firmly behind all three of the aforementioned Saturday favorites. As of late Friday night, the Dodgers were landing 71 percent of Consensus picks, the Rays were at 74 percent and the Braves 71 percent.
The Chicago White Sox were the most popular early Consensus play, drawing 84 percent of picks Friday night for a 7:05 p.m. ET road start against the Kansas City Royals.
901SAN DIEGO -902 OAKLAND
SAN DIEGO is 27-49 SU (-26.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.
903MIAMI -904 TAMPA BAY
MIAMI is 7-18 SU (-15.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons.
905NY YANKEES -906 BALTIMORE
NY YANKEES are 9-0 SU (10.2 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
907CINCINNATI -908 PITTSBURGH
CINCINNATI is 2-13 SU (-14.8 Units) vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game in the current season.
909CHI WHITE SOX -910 KANSAS CITY
CHI WHITE SOX is 11-1 SU (11.5 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
911DETROIT -912 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 43-29 SU (18.6 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the last 3 seasons.
913PHILADELPHIA -914 NY METS
PHILADELPHIA is 35-52 SU (-31.6 Units) in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.
915MILWAUKEE -916 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 19-7 SU (10.7 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.
917WASHINGTON -918 ATLANTA
WASHINGTON is 11-19 SU (-12.6 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.
919TORONTO -920 BOSTON
BOSTON is 2-14 SU (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.
921ST LOUIS -922 CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-22 SU (11.5 Units) in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
923HOUSTON -924 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 4-16 SU (-14.3 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.
925TEXAS -926 SEATTLE
TEXAS are 3-11 SU (-12.8 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.
927COLORADO -928 LA DODGERS
COLORADO is 21-39 SU (-23.1 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.
929ARIZONA -930 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-2 SU (6.8 Units) in home games in night games in the current season.
931CHICAGO CUBS -932 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 45-40 SU (1 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.
933LA ANGELS -934 HOUSTON
LA ANGELS are 4-16 SU (-14.3 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.
MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, September 5
National League
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Reds (17-22)
DeSclafani is 0-2, 16.20 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 1.17 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-6 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 3-1-1
— Cincinnati lost five of its last eight games.
— Reds are 5-8 in their last 12 road games.
— Over is 6-3 in the Reds’ last nine games.
Pirates (12-25):
Williams is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts; he is 0-2, 1.64 at home.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-5 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: under 5-1
— Pirates lost six of their last nine games.
— Pittsburgh is 7-12 at home this year.
— Over is 8-5-2 in their last 15 home games.
Washington @ Atlanta
Nationals (13-24):
Fedde is 0-2, 6.87 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: over 3-0-1
— Washington is 8-16 in its last 24 games.
— Nationals are 6-11 in their last 17 road games.
— Over is 17-6-1 in their last 24 games.
Braves (23-15):
Fried is 3-0, 2.25 in his last three starts; he is 4-0, 1.52 at home.
Teams’ record in his starts: 8-0 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: under 4-3-1
— Braves are 11-5 in their last 16 games.
— Atlanta is 7-3 in its last ten home games.
— Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.
Philadelphia @ New York
Phillies (19-15)
Howard is 1-1, 5.94 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: over 3-1
— Philly won 10 of its last 11 games.
— Phillies won their last four road games.
— Over is 8-5-1 in their last 14 games.
Mets (17-22)
Lugo allowed one run in 6.2 IP in two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 1-0-1
— Mets lost six of their last eight games overall.
— New York is 7-11 at home this season.
— Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.
St Louis @ Chicago
Cardinals (14-15)
Wainwright is 3-0, 3.18 in five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 3-1-1
Hudson is 1-0, 2.04 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 2.45 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals:under 3-2
— St Louis won three of its last five games.
— Cardinals are 7-5 in their last 12 road games.
— Over is 6-4-1 in Cardinals’ last 11 games.
Cubs (23-15):
Alzolay allowed one run in five IP (70 PT) in his one ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Cubs are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Chicago is 5-7 in its last 12 home games.
— Over is 13-7 in their last 20 games.
Colorado @ Los Angeles
Rockies (18-20):
Marquez is 0-4, 8.07 in his last five starts; he is 1-2, 3.80 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-5 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: under 5-1-1
— Rockies lost five of their last seven games.
— Colorado won three of its last four road games.
— Under is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games.
Dodgers (30-10)
Gonzolin allowed one run in 17.2 IP in four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 3-0-1
— Dodgers won 12 of their last 14 games.
— LA won its last 11 home games.
— Under is 9-5 in their last 14 home games.
Arizona @ San Francisco
Diamondbacks (15-24):
Former Giant ace Bumgarner makes his first start since August 9; he is 0-3, 9.87 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-4 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: over 4-0
— Arizona lost 13 of its last 15 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost eight of their last nine road games.
— Under is 11-4 in their last 15 games.
Giants (18-21):
Former Diamondback Cahill 0-0, 2.51 in four starts this year (14.1 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: under 3-1
— Giants lost six of their last eight games.
— SF won six of its last nine home games.
— Under is 4-3 in Giants’ last seven home games.
American League
Detroit @ Minnesota
Tigers (17-19):
Skubal is 1-1, 6.75 in his first three MLB starts (9.1 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: over 2-1
— Detroit won six of its last nine games, but lost twice Friday.
— Tigers are 8-9 on the road this season.
— Over is 9-7-1 in their road games.
Twins (24-16)
Maeda is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 0.64 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: under 3-0 last three
— Twins won their last four games.
— Minnesota is 14-3 in its last 17 home games.
— Under is 15-3-3 in their last 21 games.
Toronto @ Boston
Blue Jays (21-17):
Anderson is 0-0, 4.12 in five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: under 4-1
— Blue Jays are 17-11 in their last 28 games.
— Jays are 8-4 in their last 12 road games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
Red Sox (13-27):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-5 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: over 3-1 last four
— Red Sox are 7-9 in their last 16 games.
— Boston is 4-11 in its last 15 home games.
— Over is 9-4-2 in their last 15 home games.
New York @ Baltimore
Bronx (21-17):
Cole is 0-2, 5.94 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 5.06 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 5-3
Allowed run in first inning: 4-8 Totals: over 4-2-2
— Bronx won five of its last nine games.
— New York lost eight of its last ten road games.
— NY won 19 of its last 20 games with Baltimore.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three games.
Orioles (17-21):
Akin allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (81 PT) in his only ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Orioles lost 13 of their last 18 games overall.
— Baltimore is 3-9 in its last 12 home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
Chicago @ Kansas City
White Sox (24-15):
Giolito is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 3.18 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: 4-4
— Chicago won 15 of its last 22 games overall.
— White Sox won seven of their last ten road games.
— Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten road games.
Royals (14-25):
Bubic is 0-4, 5.86 in six starts this year, 0-3, 6.08 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-6 Team in first 5 innings: 0-6
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: under 5-1
— Royals lost 13 of their last 19 games.
— KC is 3-6 in its last nine home games.
— Under is 12-6-2 in their last 20 games.
Houston @ Angels
Astros (21-16):
Bielak is 1-2, 7.00 in five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 3-2
Urquidy is making his first ’20 appearance; he was 2-1, 3.95 in nine games (7 starts) LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Astros is 6-6 in their last 12 games overall.
— Houston lost its last four road games.
— Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games.
Angels (14-25):
Canning is 0-2, 5.40 in his last five starts; he is 0-1, 3.68 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: under 4-3
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Angels are 7-14 in their last 21 games.
— Halos are 5-8 in their last 13 home games.
— Over is 15-5-1 in Angel home games.
Texas @ Seattle
Rangers (13-24):
Gibson is 0-2, 9.37 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 5.19 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-6 Team in first 5 innings: 2-5
Allowed run in first inning: 4-7 Totals: over 4-2-1
— Texas lost 15 of its last 18 games.
— Rangers lost nine of their last ten road games.
— Over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games.
Mariners (16-22):
Sheffield is 2-1, 3.57 in his last four starts; he is 2-1, 2.70 in three home outings.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: over 4-1-1
— Seattle won eight of its last 11 games.
— Mariners won six of their last seven home tilts.
— Under is 3-2 in their last five games.
Interleague
Miami @ Tampa Bay
Marlins (16-17):
Alcantara allowed 10 runs in 10.2 IP in two starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1
— Miami lost six of its last eight games overall.
— Marlins won four of their last six road games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine road games.
Rays (27-12):
Snell is 3-0, 3.05 in his last four starts; he is 0-0, 1.80 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-7 Totals: over 4-2-1
— Tampa Bay won 21 of its last 25 games.
— Rays won seven of their last nine home games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Brewers (18-19):
Woodruff is 1-2, 4.50 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 3.05 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-5
Allowed run in first inning: 1-8 Totals: under 7-1
— Milwaukee won five of its last seven games.
— Brewers lost four of their last five road games.
— Over is 5-1-1 in Milwaukee’s last seven games.
Indians (23-15):
Civale is 2-2, 4.33 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 3.75 at home.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: under 5-2
— Cleveland is 6-3 in its last nine games.
— Indians are 3-6 in their last nine home games.
— Under is 5-3-2 in Cleveland’s last ten games.
San Diego @ Oakland
Padres (24-16)
Paddack is 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 6.43 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 7-1
— San Diego won 14 of its last 18 games.
— Padres are 7-2 in their last nine road games.
— Over is 11-6 in their last 17 games.
A’s (22-13):
Manaea is 2-0, 3.48 in his last two starts; he is 1-1, 6.23 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: over 4-1 last five
— Oakland is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— A’s won 10 of their last 12 home games.
— Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games
MLB
Saturday, September 5
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Trend Report
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San Diego @ Oakland
San Diego
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home
Oakland is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
St. Louis @ Chi Cubs
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Miami @ Tampa Bay
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston @ LA Angels
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Minnesota's last 20 games at home
Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 13 games when playing Toronto
NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Chi Cubs @ St. Louis
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado @ LA Dodgers
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Texas @ Seattle
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 10 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games on the road
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Arizona
LA Angels @ Houston
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels