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MLB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 4/15/24

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : April 15, 2024 9:07 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58081
Member Moderator
(@shazman)
Posts: 58081
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

CLEVELAND is 14-23 SU (-13.1 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 122-84 Under (29.6 Units) in home games when playing on Monday since 1996.

SAN FRANCISCO is 41-54 SU (-18.4 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 206-193 SU (-6.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more since 1996.

TEXAS are 17-3 SU (13.7 Units) in road games after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 13-39 SU (-29.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

NY METS are 25-38 SU (-24.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 122-80 Over (34 Units) in road games when playing on Monday since 1996.

CHI WHITE SOX is 13-35 SU (-25.5 Units) in home games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 97-80 SU (9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 126-88 SU (29.2 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

OAKLAND is 28-56 SU (-33.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 234-160 Under (58 Units) in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games since 1996.

LA DODGERS are 73-59 SU (17.5 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

 
Posted : April 15, 2024 9:24 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58081
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 15

National League
Colorado
(4-12) @ Philadelphia (8-8)
— Quantrill is 0-2, 7.20 in three starts.
— Colorado is 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Philly.

— Rockies are 4-12 in their first 16 games.
— They’re 2-8 on road.
— Colorado is 3-2 in series openers.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3

— Nola is 2-1, 5.06 in three starts.
— Philly is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 4-2, 3.63 in nine starts vs Colorado.

— Phillies split their last eight games.
— Phillies are 5-5 at home.
— Philly is 3-2 in series openers.
— under 10-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4

San Francisco (6-10) @ Miami (3-13)
— Harrison is 1-1, 4.76 in three starts.
— San Francisco is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Giants are 4-9 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 3-7 on road.
— Giants are 1-4 in series openers.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4

— Puk is 0-3, 8.44 in three starts.
— Miami is 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 0-1, 7.50 in six relief stints vs San Francisco.

— Marlins lost 13 of their first 16 games.
— Marlins are 1-9 at home.
— Miami is 0-5 in series openers.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

Pittsburgh (11-5) @ NY Mets (7-8)
— Perez is 1-0, 1.89 in three starts.
— Pittsburgh is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He is 4-0, 2.88 in eight games (4 starts) vs New York.

— Pirates are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— They’re 8-3 on the road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-2

— Houser is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts.
— New York is 0-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 4-3, 3.79 in ten starts vs Pittsburgh.

— New York is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Mets are 3-6 at home.
— under 6-3 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.1-3

San Diego (9-9) @ Milwaukee (10-4)
— Musgrove is 1-2, 6.52 in four starts.
— San Diego is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 1-3, 4.04 in eight starts vs Milwaukee.

— Padres are 4-2 in their last six games.
— They’re 3-3 in true road games.
— under 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-4

— Ross is 1-0, 2.70 in two starts.
— Milwaukee is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 2-1, 4.00 in five games (3 starts) vs San Diego.

— Brewers are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— They’re 3-2 at home.
— over 8-1-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 11-2-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-3.1

Cubs (9-6) @ Arizona (8-8)
— Brown is 1-0, 1.04 in two games (1 start).
— Chicago is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Cubs are split their last six games.
— They’re 4-5 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-3.1

— Kelly is 2-0, 2.29 in three starts.
— Arizona is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 2-1, 4.13 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Arizona won four of last five games.
— Diamondbacks are 6-4 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 10-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

Washington (6-9) @ Los Angeles (11-7)
— Mitchell Parker is making his MLB debut here.

— Nationals are 1-3 in their last four games.
— They’re 4-5 on the road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 1-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-2.2

— Glasnow is 3-0, 2.25 in four starts.
— Dodgers are 4-0 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 2-0, 5;48 in six games (3 starts) vs Washington.

— Dodgers are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Dodgers are 7-3 at home.
— over 7-2-1 at home
— scored run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-2.1-4

American League
Cleveland
(10-5) @ Boston (9-7)
— Curry is making his 2024 debut.
— He is 3-5, 4.23 in 43 MLB games (11 starts)
— He gave up 2 runs in 4.2 IP, in two relief stints vs Boston.

— Cleveland is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Guardians are 7-2 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-9.1-4.1

— Crawford is 0-0, 1.10 in three starts.
— Red Sox are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 0-2, 5.52 in three starts vs Cleveland

— Boston is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Red Sox are 2-4 at home.
— under 4-2 home games
— scored run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5-3.2

Minnesota (6-8) @ Baltimore (9-6)
— Varland is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts.
— Minnesota is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Twins won three of their last five games.
— They’re 5-4 on road.
— under 9-5
— scored run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-9-2

— Irvin is 0-1, 8.10 in two starts.
— Baltimore is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 0-0, 1.50 in three starts vs Minnesota.

— Baltimore split its last eight games.
— Orioles are 5-4 at home.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-4

Texas (8-8) @ Detroit (9-6)
— Lorenzen is making his 2024 debut.
— He was 9-9, 4.18 in 25 starts last year.
— 18 of his 25 starts last year were for the Tigers.
— He is 1-1, 3.38 in six games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— Rangers are 2-6 in their last eight games.
— They’re 3-3 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-2

— Olson is 0-1, 5;40 in his first two starts.
— Detroit is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He gave up a run in 1.2 IP, in his only start vs Texas.

— Detroit is 3-2 in its last five games.
— Tigers are 3-4 at home.
— over 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-8.1-2.2

LA Angels (7-8) @ Tampa Bay (9-7)
— Sandoval is 1-2, 8.49 in three starts.
— Angels are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 0-3, 3.69 in six starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Angels are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— They’re 5-4 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-3.2

— Eflin is 1-2, 6.35 in three starts.
— Rays are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 2-1, 3.00 in four starts vs Anaheim.

— Tampa Bay won six of last eight games.
— Rays are 5-5 at home.
— over 6-4 at home
— scored run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3

Bronx (12-4) @ Toronto (8-8)
— Gil is 0-0, 3.00 in two starts.
— New York is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 0-0, 5.87 in two starts vs Toronto.

— New York won 12 of its first 16 games.
— They’re 8-2 on road.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-5.2

— Bassitt is 1-2, 5.63 in three starts.
— Toronto is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 1-0, 0.87 in three starts vs New York.

— Toronto is 4-2 in its last six games.
— Blue Jays are 4-2 at home.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-5.1-2

Kansas City (10-6) @ White Sox (2-13)
— Lugo is 2-0, 1.45 in his three starts.
— Kansas City is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 1-0, 1.23 in two games (1 start) vs Chicago.

— Royals won eight of their last ten games.
— They’re 2-4 on the road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-2

— Nastrini is making his MLB debut.

— White Sox lost 13 of first 15 games.
— Chicago is 1-7 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-4.1-4.1

Interleague Games
Atlanta
(9-5) @ Houston (6-11)
— Vines is making his 2024 debut.
— Last year, he was 1-0, 3.98 in five games (2 starts)
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Braves are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— They’re 5-3 on road.
— over 10-3-1
— scored run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-1-3.1

— Arrighetti allowed 7 runs in 3 IP in his first MLB start.
— Houston is 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Houston lost 11 of its first 17 games.
— Astros are 4-6 at home.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-2

St Louis (7-9) @ Oakland (7-9)
— Gray threw 5 shutout IP in his first ‘24 start.
— St Louis is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-1, 4.24 in five starts vs Oakland.
— He pitched for the A’s from 2013-17.

— Cardinals lost five of their last seven games.
— They’re 4-6 on road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-3.1

— Stripling is 0-3, 6.00 in his three starts.
— Oakland is 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 1-3, 5.48 in seven games (3 starts) vs St Louis.

— A’s won six of their last eight games.
— Oakland is 3-7 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-4.2

Cincinnati (9-6) @ Seattle (6-10)
— Montas is 2-1, 3.24 in three starts.
— Cincinnati is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 2-3, 2.72 in nine starts vs Seattle.

— Reds are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— They’re 5-1 on road.
— over 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days:-2-3.1-3.1

— Kirby is 1-2, 8.16 in his three starts.
— Seattle is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Seattle lost eight of last eleven games.
— Mariners are 4-6 at home.
— under 12-3 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-3

 
Posted : April 15, 2024 9:26 am
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