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MLB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Friday 9/6/19

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 9/6/19

 
Posted : September 6, 2019 7:54 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57775
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Friday, September 6

National League
Cardinals (79-61) @ Pirates (61-78)
Mikolas is 1-1, 5.48 in his last four starts; he is 2-1, 3.94 in five starts vs Pitt this year. Team in his starts: 15-13
5-inning record: 6-16-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28 Over/under: 8-16-4

Musgrove is 1-1, 4.81 in his last four starts; he is 0-4, 11.00 in four starts vs StL this year. Team in his starts: 13-15
5-inning record: 13-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-27 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven

Cardinals won 12 of last 15 games; they’re 10-12 in road series openers- under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-4 last ten games.

Pittsburgh won five of last seven games; they’re 8-14 in home series openers- over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2-1 last eight games.

Diamondbacks (73-67) @ Reds (66-75)
Ray is 3-0, 4.30 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 4.09 in four starts vs Cincy. Team in his starts: 17-11
5-inning record: 12-11-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28 Over/under: 14-13-1

Mahle is 0-2, 7.62 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 4-16
5-inning record: 6-13-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-20 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Arizona won nine of its last ten games; they’re 16-7 in road series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3-1 last 11 games.

Cincy lost six of its last nine games; they’re 9-13 in home series openers- under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Phillies (72-67) @ Mets (71-68)
Eflin is 1-0, 2.08 in his last two starts; he is 1-1, 6.19 in three starts vs NYM this year. Team in his starts: 9-14
5-inning record: 9-13-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-23 Over/under: 11-12

Matz is 2-1, 2.66 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 11.40 in four starts vs Philly this year. Team in his starts: 13-12
5-inning record: 8-11-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-25 Over/under: 11-12-2

Phillies split their last 14 games; they’re 11-11 in road series openers- under is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-3 last 11 games.

Mets won four of last six games; they’re 9-12 in home series openers- over is 3-0 in their last three games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight home games.

Nationals (78-61) @ Braves (87-54)
Corbin is 2-1, 2.00 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Atlanta this year. Team in his starts: 17-11
5-inning record: 14-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: under 9-3 last 12

Keuchel is 3-0, 1.08 in his last four starts; he is 0-2, 6.97 in two starts vs Washington this year. Team in his starts: won last four
5-inning record: 8-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-14 Over/under: 2-9-3

Washington lost three of last four games; over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2-1 last eight games.

Braves won their last seven games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 13-4-1 last 18 games.

Cubs (76-63) @ Brewers (71-68)
Hamels is 1-1, 3.71 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 1.85 in four starts vs Milwaukee this year. Team in his starts: 14-9
5-inning record: 13-8-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-23 Over/under: 11-11-1

Davies is 0-5, 6.07 in his last six starts; he is 1-2, 4.91 in five starts vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 12-14
5-inning record: 10-10-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26 Over/under: under 4-0 last four

Cubs won seven of last nine games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Milwaukee is 4-6 in its last ten games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight games.

Giants (67-73) @ Dodgers (92-50)
Samardzija is 0-2, 3.97 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 2.61 in two starts vs LA this year. Team in his starts: 14-14
5-inning record: 8-11-9 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-28 Over/under: under 6-2 last eight

Kershaw is 0-2, 6.00 in his last two starts; he is 1-1, 1.29 in two starts vs SF this year. Team in his starts: 18-6
5-inning record: 15-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-24 Over/under: over 7-2 last nine

Giants lost eight of their last ten games; they’re 14-9 in road series openers- under is 6-4 in their last ten road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-1-1 last five games.

Dodgers won their last four games; they’re 16-7 in home series openers- over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-3-1 last nine games.

Rockies (59-82) @ Padres (64-75)
Melville is 1-1, 3.86 in three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Lamet is 1-1, 5.14 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 7.00 in two starts vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 3-7
5-inning record: 5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-10 Over/under: over 5-1-1 last seven

Rockies lost their last nine games; they’re 1-8 in last nine road series openers- over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-1 last seven road games.

San Diego lost its last three games; they’re 13-9 in home series openers- over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1-1 last five games.

American League
Rangers (69-73) @ Orioles (46-94)
Burke is 0-1, 1.50 in three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 0-3

Bundy is 1-1, 5.32 in his last four starts; he is 3-1, 1.61 in six games (4 starts) vs Texas. Team in his starts: 9-17
5-inning record: 12-12-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-26 Over/under: 11-13-2

Rangers lost three of last five games; under is 10-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under is 10-1 in last 11 games.

Baltimore lost five of last six games; under is 3-0 in their last three games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-0 last four games.

New York (92-49) @ Boston (75-65)
German is 1-1, 4.96 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 4.50 in three starts vs Boston this year. Team in his starts: 19-4
5-inning record: 15-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: under 3-0 last three

Bullpen game. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

New York won eight of last ten games; they’re 12-9 in road series openers- under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-0 last six games.

Red Sox are 7-4 in their last 11 games; they’re 12-10 in home series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-2 last 10 home games.

Blue Jays (55-86) @ Rays (83-59)
Buchholz is 1-2, 6.32 in his last three starts; he is 9-8, 2.62 in 24 games (22 starts) vs TB. Team in his starts: 3-4
5-inning record: 2-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-7 Over/under: 2-5

Morton is 1-1, 6.28 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 2.31 in two starts vs Toronto this year. Team in his starts: 18-11
5-inning record: 15-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-29 Over/under: last three over

Blue Jays lost six of last seven games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.

Tampa Bay won seven of last eight games; over is 7-3 in their last ten home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-0 last four games.

Angels (65-76) @ White Sox (62-78)
Peters is 0-1, 8.40 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 3-4
5-inning record: 3-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-7 Over/under: 5-2

Giolito is 2-2, 2.67 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 3.75 in two starts vs LAA. Team in his starts: 16-11
5-inning record: 15-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-27 Over/under: under 3-1-1 last five

Angels lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 11-15 in road series openers- over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 last four road games.

White Sox lost eight of their last ten games; they’re 1-6 in last seven home series openers- over is 7-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-4 last 12 home games. Chicago manager Renteria will miss this weekend series (shoulder operation).

Indians (81-60) @ Twins (87-53)
Plutko is 1-1, 3.94 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 4.73 in three games (2 starts) vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 10-5
5-inning record: 7-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-15 Over/under: over 3-1 last four

Pineda is 4-0, 3.91 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.60 in two starts vs Cleveland. Team in his starts: 16-9
5-inning record: 15-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-25 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Indians lost five of last seven games; they’re 12-10 in road series openers- over is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 last six games.

Minnesota won 10 of last 12 games; they’re 14-8 in home series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 last four games.

Mariners (58-83) @ Astros (91-50)
Milone is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three games; he is 0-1, 1.80 in three games vs Houston this year- they might use an opener. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Valdez is 1-4, 10.61 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 2-5
5-inning record: 2-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: 2-4-1

Mariners lost eight of their last ten games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Houston won 10 of last 13 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.

Tigers (41-97) @ A’s (81-58)
Turnbull is 0-5, 7.61 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: lost last 13 starts
5-inning record: 5-18-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-24 Over/under: 8-14-2

Bailey is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 1.50 in two starts vs Detroit this year. Team in his starts: 5-3
5-inning record: 5-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-8 Over/under: 5-3

Tigers lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 9-14 in road series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2 last seven games.

Oakland is 13-6 in its last 19 games; they’re 17-6 in home series openers- under is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.

Before this game starts, teams will finish a suspended game from earlier this season.

Interleague
Royals (51-90) @ Marlins (49-89)
JLopez is 1-0, 8.18 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 3-10 (won last two)
5-inning record: 2-11 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-13 Over/under: 8-4-1

PLopez is 0-2, 11.25 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 6-10
5-inning record: 7-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-16 Over/under: 6-10

Royals won four of their last five games; they’re 7-15 in road series openers- over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1-1 last eight games.

Miami lost seven of last ten games; they’re 9-14 in home series openers- under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0-1 last five games.

 
Posted : September 6, 2019 8:07 am
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%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/5
Ariz 21-71……18-68……39
Atl 21-69…..25-71……46
Cubs 18-67……25-70…..43
Reds 24-67……27-73…..51
Colo 17-72……26-66……43
LA 20-67……25-73……45
Mia 13-66……20-70…..33
Milw 21-67…..25-71…..46
Mets 26-64……21-66…..47
Philly 17-66…..21-70……38
Pitt 25-71…..18-67……43
StL 17-68…..20-70……37
SD 19-68……21-68…..40
SF 10-71……15-66……25
Wash 22-69…..21-67……43

Orioles 20-71…….23-69..….43
Boston 20-69…….24-69……44
W Sox 16-71…….18-68…….34
Clev 20-69…..21-71……..41
Det 21-71……18-65……..39
Astros 26-70…..17-69……..43
KC 19-68…..24-72……..43
Angels 26-72……15-67…….41
Twins 28-71……18-68……46
NYY 21-66……27-75……48
A’s 17-66…..19-71…….36
Sea 19-71…..17-69…….36
TB 24-70…..22-70……46
Texas 17-73…..24-67…….41
Toronto 18-71…..19-71…….37

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 75-55 NL, favorites -$1,213 under 61-60-3
AL @ NL– 64-58 NL, favorites -$1,296 over 66-54-7
Total: 139-113 NL, favorites -$2,509 Over 126-115-10

 
Posted : September 6, 2019 8:09 am
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901ST LOUIS -902 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 40-49 SU (-22.5 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

903ARIZONA -904 CINCINNATI
ARIZONA is 26-14 SU (12.3 Units) vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

905PHILADELPHIA -906 NY METS
NY METS are 22-11 SU (12.5 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

907WASHINGTON -908 ATLANTA
WASHINGTON is 55-33 SU (19.6 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

909CHICAGO CUBS -910 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 22-46 SU (-27.8 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

911SAN FRANCISCO -912 LA DODGERS
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-3 SU (13 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season in the current season.

913COLORADO -914 SAN DIEGO
COLORADO is 10-33 SU (-25.9 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

915TEXAS -916 BALTIMORE
TEXAS are 9-22 SU (-16.9 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

917NY YANKEES -918 BOSTON
NY YANKEES are 12-1 SU (10.9 Units) after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span in the current season.

919TORONTO -920 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 4-14 SU (-12.6 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

921LA ANGELS -922 CHI WHITE SOX
LA ANGELS are 17-30 SU (-18 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better in the current season.

923CLEVELAND -924 MINNESOTA
CLEVELAND is 26-8 SU (17.8 Units) in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

925SEATTLE -926 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 29-18 SU (13.2 Units) in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

927DETROIT -928 OAKLAND
DETROIT is 34-57 SU (-29.2 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

929KANSAS CITY -930 MIAMI
KANSAS CITY is 12-25 SU (-15.5 Units) in road games when playing on Friday in the last 3 seasons.

 
Posted : September 6, 2019 8:10 am
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Dunkel's Highlighted Game
St. Louis at Pittsburgh - Friday September 6, 2019

The St. Louis Cardinals come into today’s contests with the second highest Dunkel road rating on the board at 16.590. St. Louis is 9-2 in its last 11 road games versus a team with a losing record. The Pittsburgh Pirates come in with a Dunkel home rating of 14.088. Pittsburgh is 7-17 in its last 24 home games. The Pittsburgh Pirates come in with a Dunkel O/U home rating of 9.097. The Pirates have gone over in nine of Joe Musgrove’s last 12 starts in game 1 of a series. Dunkel’s Pick: St. Louis (-130; Over).

Texas @ Baltimore

Game 915-916
September 6, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Burke) 13.654
Baltimore
(Bundy) 15.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-135); Under

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh

Game 901-902
September 6, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Mikolas) 16.590
Pittsburgh
(Musgrove) 14.088
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-130); Over

Kansas City @ Miami

Game 929-930
September 6, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Sparkman) 14.256
Miami
(Lopez) 12.687
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+110); Over

Arizona @ Cincinnati

Game 903-904
September 6, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Ray) 13.619
Cincinnati
(Mahle) 16.966
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+105); Under

Philadelphia @ NY Mets

Game 905-906
September 6, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 15.250
NY Mets
(Matz) 17.150
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-150); Under

NY Yankees @ Boston

Game 917-918
September 6, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(German) 16.551
Boston
(Chacin) 17.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-115
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-115); Under

Toronto @ Tampa Bay

Game 919-920
September 6, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Buchholz) 14.595
Tampa Bay
(McKay) 16.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 907-908
September 6, 2019 @ 7:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Corbin) 18.799
Atlanta
(Keuchel) 14.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-120); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee

Game 909-910
September 6, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hamels) 15.495
Milwaukee
(Davies) 16.927
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-135
10
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+115); Under

Cleveland @ Minnesota

Game 923-924
September 6, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Plutko) 13.498
Minnesota
(Pineda) 15.957
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-180
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-180); Over

Seattle @ Houston

Game 925-926
September 6, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Milone) 16.206
Houston
(Valdez) 14.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
N/A

LA Angels @ Chicago White Sox

Game 921-922
September 6, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Peters) 16.130
Chicago White Sox
(Giolito) 14.616
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+130); Under

Detroit @ Oakland

Game 927-928
September 6, 2019 @ 10:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Turnbull) 12.309
Oakland
(Bailey) 15.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-250
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-250); Under

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers

Game 911-912
September 6, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Samardzja) 13.554
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 15.768
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-265
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-265); Over

Colorado @ San Diego

Game 913-914
September 6, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Melville) 12.340
San Diego
(Lamet) 14.346
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-175
9
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-175); Over

 
Posted : September 6, 2019 9:10 am
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