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MLB Betting News and Trends For Wednesday 5/16/18

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(@shazman)
Posts: 57840
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Preview: Astros at Angels
Gracenote
May 16, 2018

Jose Altuve hasn't looked much like a three-time batting champion lately, but he delivered a big hit when his team needed it the most Tuesday to keep the Houston Astros in first place in the American League West. After showing signs he is ready to break out of a rare slump, the reigning AL MVP will try to lead the Astros to a series victory Wednesday when they visit the Los Angeles Angels in the rubber match of their three-game set.

Altuve, who reached base three times in Tuesday's 5-3 victory, delivered a go-ahead, three-run double to snap out of a 2-for-18 funk and give Houston a one-game edge atop the division standings over the Angels. Josh Reddick, who sparked the rally with a leadoff double and recorded two key assists from right field prior to the comeback, also scored an insurance run in the ninth as the Astros improved to 15-7 on the road this season and 16-9 against the AL West. Since beginning the season by winning 13 of its first 16, Los Angeles is 12-14 - including 3-3 in the middle of its 11-game homestand. Justin Upton remained hot in May, however, connecting on a two-run blast off Gerrit Cole in his first at-bat to run his totals for the month to seven homers and a majors-best 21 RBIs.

TV: 9:40 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet - Southwest (Houston), FS West (Los Angeles)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Justin Verlander (4-2, 1.21 ERA) vs. Angels RH Garrett Richards (4-1, 4.08)

Verlander is winless over his last three turns after going 9-0 in his first 11 regular-season starts as an Astro, mostly as a result of being given one run of support over that span. The 2011 AL MVP fell to 0-2 in three May outings despite posting a 0.90 ERA following Friday's loss to Texas in which he yielded one run over six innings. Upton is 1-for-12 against Verlander, who earned his last victory versus the Angels on April 25 when he permitted two runs in seven frames.

Richards did not factor into the decision for the first time in five trips to the mound Thursday against Minnesota, giving up all of his runs across 5 1/3 innings on a three-run homer to Brian Dozier. The 29-year-old Oklahoma product enjoyed his finest outing of the season six days earlier when he tossed 6 2/3 scoreless frames in a victory at Seattle. Richards was dominant in two starts versus the Angels last season but failed to win either time despite allowing one run and fanning 10 over 11 innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Angels (1.91) and Astros (2.05) boast the AL's top ERAs from their respective rotations this month.

2. Los Angeles DH Albert Pujols went 1-for-4 on Tuesday, breaking his tie for 30th place on the all-time hits list with Al Kaline (3,008) and moving within two of Wade Boggs (3,010) for 29th.

3. Houston SS Carlos Correa has not committed an error in his last 52 games, one shy of the longest streak by an Astro shortstop since Adam Everett in 2006.

PREDICTION: Astros 4, Angels 1

 
Posted : May 16, 2018 9:49 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57840
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MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, May 16

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MILWAUKEE (25 - 18) at ARIZONA (25 - 17) - 3:40 PM
BRANDON WOODRUFF (R) vs. MATT KOCH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 25-17 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 67-41 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 71-47 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-18 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 11-2 (+9.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-9 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 88-72 (+23.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 53-41 (+17.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-34 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 618-569 (-79.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

BRANDON WOODRUFF vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT KOCH vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

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CINCINNATI (14 - 29) at SAN FRANCISCO (22 - 21) - 3:45 PM
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. ANDREW SUAREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 14-29 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 13-36 (-20.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HARVEY is 14-30 (-20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 86-119 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-82 (-29.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-50 (-24.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MATT HARVEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HARVEY is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.316.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.5 units)

ANDREW SUAREZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA DODGERS (16 - 25) at MIAMI (15 - 26) - 7:10 PM
WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. CALEB SMITH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 16-25 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 99-94 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 4-9 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
LA DODGERS are 159-184 (-69.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 12-17 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 7-18 (-21.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 11-16 (-17.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 7-14 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 (+5.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

WALKER BUEHLER vs. MIAMI since 1997
BUEHLER is 0-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CALEB SMITH vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (22 - 17) at ATLANTA (25 - 16) - 7:35 PM
TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 118-93 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 440-458 (-90.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-23 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1265-1322 (-208.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 62-55 (-18.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-16 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 6-0 (+7.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
ATLANTA is 11-4 (+8.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 15-8 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-2 (+1.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CHATWOOD is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 6.56 and a WHIP of 2.015.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MCCARTHY is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.21 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-1.9 units)

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CLEVELAND (20 - 21) at DETROIT (19 - 22) - 1:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. RYAN CARPENTER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-2 (+0.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. DETROIT since 1997
BAUER is 4-5 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.845.
His team's record is 4-8 (-5.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-10. (-10.3 units)

RYAN CARPENTER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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TAMPA BAY (18 - 22) at KANSAS CITY (13 - 29) - 2:15 PM
JACOB FARIA (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 13-29 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 5-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 2-9 (-7.9 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 6-15 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 4-11 (-8.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 5-20 (-14.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HAMMEL is 12-28 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 7-18 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 3-12 (-10.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 10-18 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

JACOB FARIA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

JASON HAMMEL vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HAMMEL is 2-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.89 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+3.2 units)

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TEXAS (16 - 27) at SEATTLE (24 - 17) - 3:40 PM
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. CHRISTIAN BERGMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
COLON is 21-13 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.177.
His team's record is 25-15 (+7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 18-20. (-3.9 units)

CHRISTIAN BERGMAN vs. TEXAS since 1997
BERGMAN is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.058.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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OAKLAND (21 - 21) at BOSTON (28 - 14) - 7:10 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 126-187 (-50.9 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-1 (+4.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. BOSTON since 1997
CAHILL is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.518.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

CHRIS SALE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SALE is 4-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.862.
His team's record is 4-5 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.9 units)

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HOUSTON (27 - 17) at LA ANGELS (25 - 17) - 9:40 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
VERLANDER is 66-78 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 13-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-43 (+18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-14 (+13.2 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 71-41 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-14 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 104-50 (+28.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 1-8 (-7.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-2 (+2.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VERLANDER is 9-8 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.048.
His team's record is 10-10 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-4. (+9.4 units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RICHARDS is 4-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.136.
His team's record is 6-5 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.6 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (23 - 16) at BALTIMORE (13 - 28) - 12:05 PM
NICK PIVETTA (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NICK PIVETTA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

ANDREW CASHNER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CASHNER is 4-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.060.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (10 - 28) at PITTSBURGH (24 - 17) - 12:35 PM
HECTOR SANTIAGO (L) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

HECTOR SANTIAGO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SANTIAGO is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAMESON TAILLON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (21 - 21) at NY METS (20 - 18) - 1:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 9-18 (-14.7 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 329-283 (+45.0 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
TORONTO is 10-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
HAPP is 22-8 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 90-110 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 45-54 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 21-39 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. NY METS since 1997
HAPP is 3-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.569.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.9 units)

ZACK WHEELER vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

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ST LOUIS (22 - 17) at MINNESOTA (18 - 20) - 1:10 PM
MILES MIKOLAS (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 18-27 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-24 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 103-98 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 42-62 (-22.5 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 78-98 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-44 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 48-77 (-37.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-0 (+3.8 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

MILES MIKOLAS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

LANCE LYNN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY YANKEES (28 - 12) at WASHINGTON (24 - 18) - 7:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 86-49 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 169-104 (+38.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 68-42 (+23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SABATHIA is 25-13 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 31-16 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 25-29 (-19.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 57-46 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-30 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

C.C. SABATHIA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
SABATHIA is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.917.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SCHERZER is 6-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.352.
His team's record is 6-3 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.6 units)

 
Posted : May 16, 2018 11:07 am
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