Thursday 5/12/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NBA & NHL games
Andy Lang
PGA Byron Nelson
4% Tommy Fleetwood Top 40
4% CT Pan WILL MAKE THE CUT
4% Alex Noren Top Swedish
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mlb8 club
Pittsburgh Pirates – Cincinnati Reds
Over 7.5
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The Prez
3% Edmonton Oilers -140
Play is good to -155.
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ZITI Sports
NHL PLAYOFFS
Tampa Bay Lightning -130 Toronto Maple Leafs (7:30 PM)
NBA PLAYOFFS
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks UNDER 212 (9:30 PM)
MLB
Houston Astros -130 Minnesota Twins (3:45 PM)
Los Angeles Dodgers -144 Philadelphia Phillies (10:10 PM)
SOCCER OVER SYSTEM
Belgium - First Division A- Anderlecht vs. Royal Antwerp OVER 2.5 -125 (2:30 PM)
Iceland - Premier League- Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Fram Reykjavik OVER 3 -140 (3:15 PM)
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MLB-Martingale
1 UNITS
Washington Nationals – New York Mets
New York Mets -2.5 @ 2.50
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Carmine Bianco
3% Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers -140
3% Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins
Total Over 6.0 (+105)
3% Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning -135
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The Winners Circle – Thursday Sports Plays
NBA BASKETBALL
Play Philadelphia -2 over Miami
Play Dallas +2 over Phoenix
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NHL HOCKEY
Play Edmonton -140 over Los Angeles
Play Carolina +120 over Boston
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MLB BASEBALL
Play Los Angeles Dodgers -140 over Philadelphia
Play Houston -135 over Minnesota
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Allie O'Neill
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH | 05/12 | 6:35 PM EDT
OVER 8
ANALYSIS: Now, 10 straight Reds games have gone over eight. We saw these teams play three games in Cincinnati last week and all three went over. In the first game of that series, we saw this exact pitching matchup with Connor Overton and JT Brubaker that ended the Reds' long losing streak with a nine-run game. The Reds have since scored a total of 40 runs in their five most recent games. Cincinnati and Pittsburgh allow their opponents more runs than any other teams in the league, so I'll take this over eight at a nice +105.
+941 18-7-2 IN LAST 27 MLB PICKS
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Matt Severance
PHILADELPHIA @ L.A. DODGERS | 05/12 | 10:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -140
ANALYSIS: I think the Dodgers lost their focus a bit early this week in Pittsburgh in losing two of three -- so the Phillies should have their full attention starting Thursday night. We are getting a pretty cheap price on LA at home because it's 2021 Cy Young runner-up Zack Wheeler on the mound for the Phils. After a slow start, he has returned to form in his past two, but those were both at home against lousy offenses. Tyler Anderson (3-0, 2.78) has been very good for the Dodgers, holding opponents to a .205 average in 22.2 innings. We have to take LA (10-2 at home) at this price as it probably will go up.
TORONTO @ TAMPA BAY | 05/12 | 7:30 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -130
ANALYSIS: The teams have alternated wins thus far, although the champs had the Leafs on the ropes early in Game 5 in Toronto but let them off and lost a chance to clinch at home Thursday. Are you aware Tampa Bay has won 16 consecutive playoff games following a loss? Just incredible. I so badly want to see a Game 7 in this series anyways.
CAROLINA @ BOSTON | 05/12 | 7:00 PM EDT
BOSTON -128
ANALYSIS: All the models seem to like Carolina, but the home team has utterly dominated every game of this series and Boston having the last line change tonight is huge because the trio of Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak and Patrice Bergeron was spectacular in two games in Beantown but did little in the three in North Carolina. Boston's defense will be whole for the first time since Game 2 with Hampus Lindholm set to return after being injured in that one. I'd love to take the Carolina puckline but not at -240.
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Stephen Nover
MLB Underdog Game of the Week
NYY
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newworldinsiders
HEARTLAND INSIDER: Orioles +1.5
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Goodfella
NBA
3 Heat +3
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Matt Severance
N.Y. METS @ WASHINGTON | 05/12 | 1:05 PM EDT
N.Y. METS -158
ANALYSIS: Washington upset the Mets and had-been-excellent pitcher Tylor Megill on Wednesday in a blowout. Taijuan Walker isn't as good as Megill, but I still like New York against the Nats' Joan Adon (1-5, 6.99). He allowed four runs over 4.1 innings vs. New York in his season debut April 9. This will be Walker's first look at team other than Philadelphia this season. I don't really trust him that much, but the Mets have a strong bullpen and didn't use anyone noteworthy Wednesday so Walker may have a short leash. The Mets are 10-1 in their last 11 games following a loss.
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John Bollman
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH | 05/12 | 6:35 PM EDT
OVER 8
ANALYSIS: I might be a little late on this Reds over trend but with their bats heating up, I see no reason not to ride it. They have the worst bullpen in the league, and when you combine that with the 6th best wOBA in the league against righties in the past two weeks, you’ll get runs. Connor Overton pitched really well in his first two starts but he faced the Pirates lineup five days ago and that gives the advantage to the hitters. JT Brubaker pitched well against the Reds last time around too but the Reds hitters get a second look at him in a week. The Pirates also have the fifth worst bullpen in the league. Take the over.
N.Y. METS @ WASHINGTON | 05/12 | 1:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON 140
ANALYSIS: I wanted to wait until lineups were out to see if the Nats were gonna continue to roll with their righty-crushing lineup, and they are. The Nats dominated Tylor Megill yesterday and they get Taijuan Walker today who is coming off a brutal outing against the Phillies. The Nats also have the 3rd highest wOBA in the past three weeks against righties to catapult them into 9th in the league overall against righties. The Nats also could have won Game 1 had it not been for a couple mental mistakes or a big hit, I like the value in the Nats against a righty right now.
PHILADELPHIA @ L.A. DODGERS | 05/12 | 10:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -140
ANALYSIS: I am kicking myself for not playing the Pirates yesterday as the Dodgers seemed like they were affected by the East Coast travel. They head home to the West Coast today, and as I have mentioned before, I feel like teams tend to be fine in the first game changing time zones then it is the next game where it really hits the players. Tyler Anderson also most likely traveled back to the West Coast before the rest of the team. The Phillies have been good against lefties this season ranked 7th in the league in wOBA against lefties. However, it is very important to check the most recent two weeks as well. In the past two weeks, the Phillies are ranked 4th worst in the league in wOBA against lefties. Zach Wheeler was hit hard in his only road start of the season, take the Dodgers at home.
TORONTO @ TAMPA BAY | 05/12 | 7:30 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -135
ANALYSIS: The Lightning have been money following a loss the past few postseasons and I don’t think they’ll go out at home after their run the last two seasons. The Maple Leafs have had trouble closing out teams in the past as they have yet to win a series in the Auston Matthews era. This could finally be their year to advance, but I don’t think they do it on the road. I like the Lightning at home coming off a loss.
Kelso
50 sixers
50 dodgers
15 astros
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Goodfella
1* Lightning
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Big Al
Mets
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Scott Spreitzer
5* Lightning -135
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Larry Ness
MLB 10* Game of the Week - Dodgers -136
10* PERFECT STORM - Dallas +2
Las Vegas Insider - 76ers -2
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Ben Burns
10* HIGH HEAT! - Miami +2.5
10* TOP GUN - Phoenix -1.5
3-GAME NHL PASS - Lightning -130 , Hurricanes Under 6 , Blues Under 6.5
10* SWEET SPOT! - White Sox -144
BREAKFAST CLUB! - Tigers Over 7
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LockCity
Sixers ml
Suns ml
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Tomas Sports
Cardnails ml
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In Game Trap
7-5 +$3,600 so far in the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
Minnesota Wild vs St Louis Blues OVER 6.5 (5*)
LA Kings +123 (5*)
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Drew Martin
5% Dodgers ML
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Allie O'Neill
BALTIMORE @ ST. LOUIS | 05/12 | 1:15 PM EDT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: The Cardinals are starting lefty, Steven Matz who has been incredibly inconsistent in his starts thus far. For the Orioles, Bryan Baker is expected to open for another left-handed relief pitcher, Keegan Akin. The Cards scored 11 runs on the Orioles yesterday. St. Louis has the highest OPS in the league against lefties, so Akin should present another opportunity for a high-scoring game. Despite the Orioles' offensive struggles, Matz has struggled at home and should be good for a couple runs. Take the over in this early game.
Rob Vinciletti
Pirates ML -130
Suns ML -130
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Andy Lang
NBA
4% Joel Embid under 39' PRA (-115)
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WUnderdog
nba
Miami +2.5 @ philadelphia
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Brandon Lang
100 Dimes - Dallas Mavericks +2
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IC
4 - Under 207 Philadelphia vs. Miami
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Matt Severance
MINNESOTA @ ST. LOUIS | 05/12 | 9:30 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -110
ANALYSIS: Stayed away from this series for the most part because the teams in my mind are so evenly matched. However, I will take the Blues at home to close things out because I believe Wild coach Dean Evason is making a mistake going with Cam Talbot in net for the first time in this series. Granted, Marc-Andre Fleury hasn't been great of late but is more proven in the playoffs over his career. Hey, I only played goalie on a pond in Michigan, but I would imagine Talbot would be a bit "off" having not seen game action since April 28. His road GAA during the season was .35 worse than at home. Love to take the Wild puckline, but -260 is stupid. Thoughts/questions? Twitter: @jordanpaytonsn1
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Zack Cimini
PHILADELPHIA @ L.A. DODGERS | 05/12 | 10:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -145
ANALYSIS: Despite returning from an East Coast road trip and despite pitcher Tyler Anderson not throwing more than 80 pitches in a game this season, I expect the Dodgers to hit Phillies pitcher Zack Wheeler hard. I'm on L.A.
N.Y. YANKEES @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 05/12 | 8:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -149
ANALYSIS: Both teams come in red-hot, as each has won eight of its last 10 games. Chicago's recent stretch has been led by dominant pitching. All eight of the team's wins have come with four or fewer runs scored. I expect the White Sox bats to break out against inexperienced Yankees pitcher in Luis Gil. I'm on Chicago.
+1220 16-4 IN LAST 20 MLB ML PICKS
MIAMI @ PHILADELPHIA | 05/12 | 7:00 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -2
ANALYSIS: With their backs against the wall, the 76ers must find a way to stave off elimination. In Game 5 they had no answer for the Heat’s intensity. Yet, this series has shown us that the home team has a big edge. Take Philadelphia as it regroups in front of the home crowd and forces a Game 7.
+1110 21-9 IN LAST 30 NBA ATS PICKS
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Jeff Hochman
TORONTO @ TAMPA BAY | 05/12 | 7:30 PM EDT
TORONTO 115
ANALYSIS: It seems too easy just to take the Lightning after a loss. The Maple Leafs are the faster team, so let's take them to end the series. Tampa Bay looks gassed after playing all those games over the past three seasons. Take the road team.
+318 5-2 IN LAST 7 NHL PICKS