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Bank of America 500 Betting News and Notes

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Charlotte Motor Speedway Data

Season Race #: 12 of 36 (05-28-17)
Track Size: 1.5-miles
Banking/Turns 1 & 2: 24 degrees
Banking/Turns 3 & 4: 24 degrees
Banking/Frontstretch: 5 degrees
Banking/Backstretch: 5 degrees
Frontstretch Length: 1,980 feet
Backstretch Length: 1,500 feet
Race Length: 334 laps / 500 miles
Stage 1 & 2 Length: 90 Laps (each)
Final Stage Length: 154 Laps

Top 10 Driver Ratings at Charlotte

Jimmie Johnson 110.4
Kyle Busch 105.6
Matt Kenseth 96.1
Denny Hamlin 95.8
Erik Jones 94.6
Kasey Kahne 93.6
Joey Logano 91.9
Kevin Harvick 89.1
Kurt Busch 88.0
Martin Truex Jr. 86.9

Note: Driver Ratings compiled from 2005-2017 races (25 total) among active drivers at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

Qualifying/Race Data

2016 pole winner:
Kevin Harvick, Chevrolet
196.029 mph, 27.547 secs. 10-07-16

2016 race winner:
Jimmie Johnson, Chevrolet
134.929 mph, (03:42:47), 10-09-16

Track qualifying record:
Kurt Busch, Chevrolet
198.771 mph, 27.167 secs. 10-09-14

Track race (500 miles) record:
Brad Keselowski., Ford
158.308 mph, (03:09:53), 10-12-13

 
Posted : October 5, 2017 7:39 am
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Charlotte - Driver Tale of the Tape

1 - Martin Truex Jr (No. 78 Furniture Row Racing Toyota)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 86.9
2017 Rundown
· Five wins, 13 top fives, 20 top 10s,
· Led 1886 laps
· Average Finish of 10.6

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· One win, four top fives, eight top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 15.667, 12th-best
· Average Running Position of 14.095, ninth-best
· Driver Rating of 86.9, 10th-best
· 356 Fastest Laps Run
· 5473 Laps in the Top 15 (62.9), ninth-most
· 865 Quality Passes, eighth-most

2 - Kyle Busch (No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 105.6
2017 Rundown
· Four wins, 12 top fives, 18 top 10s,
· Led 1651 laps
· Average Finish of 11

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· 11 top fives, 16 top 10s; two poles
· Average finish of 13.520, sixth-best
· Average Running Position of 9.689, second-best
· Driver Rating of 105.6, second-best
· 600 Fastest Laps Run
· 7127 Laps in the Top 15 (78.8 ), second-most
· 1216 Quality Passes, series-most

3 - Kyle Larson (No. 42 Chip Ganassi Racing Chevrolet)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 82.7
2017 Rundown
· Four wins, 14 top fives, 18 top 10s,
· Led 1109 laps
· Average Finish of 10.3

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· One top five, two top 10s
· Average finish of 19.750, 18th-best
· Average Running Position of 15.470, 14th-best
· Driver Rating of 82.7, 14th-best
· 79 Fastest Laps Run
· 1403 Laps in the Top 15 (47.8 ), 16th-most
· 255 Quality Passes, 20th-most

4 - Brad Keselowski (No. 2 Team Penske Ford)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 85.9
2017 Rundown
· Two wins, 12 top fives, 17 top 10s,
· Led 644 laps
· Average Finish of 13.3

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· One win, three top fives, seven top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 15.000, 11th-best
· Average Running Position of 14.747, 11th-best
· Driver Rating of 85.9, 11th-best
· 197 Fastest Laps Run
· 3344 Laps in the Top 15 (56.9), 12th-most
· 628 Quality Passes, 14th-most

5 - Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 110.4
2017 Rundown
· Three wins, four top fives, ten top 10s,
· Led 193 laps
· Average Finish of 15.8

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Eight wins, 15 top fives, 19 top 10s; four poles
· Average finish of 13.960, ninth-best
· Average Running Position of 7.980, series-best
· Driver Rating of 110.4, series-best
· 865 Fastest Laps Run
· 7843 Laps in the Top 15 (86.7), series-most
· 1212 Quality Passes, second-most

6 - Kevin Harvick (No. 4 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 89.1
2017 Rundown
· One win, nine top fives, 17 top 10s,
· Led 626 laps
· Average Finish of 12.2

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Three wins, seven top fives, 15 top 10s; two poles
· Average finish of 14.120, 10th-best
· Average Running Position of 15.000, 12th-best
· Driver Rating of 89.1, eighth-best
· 340 Fastest Laps Run
· 5860 Laps in the Top 15 (64.8 ), seventh-most
· 964 Quality Passes, sixth-most

7 - Denny Hamlin (No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 95.8
2017 Rundown
· Two wins, 12 top fives, 16 top 10s,
· Led 391 laps
· Average Finish of 12.1

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Seven top fives, 15 top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 12.792, fourth-best
· Average Running Position of 11.367, third-best
· Driver Rating of 95.8, fourth-best
· 337 Fastest Laps Run
· 6594 Laps in the Top 15 (76.3), fourth-most
· 1006 Quality Passes, fourth-most

8 - Ricky Stenhouse Jr (No. 17 Roush Fenway Racing Ford)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 67.4
2017 Rundown
· Two wins, four top fives, seven top 10s,
· Led 50 laps
· Average Finish of 17.3

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Average finish of 20.273, 19th-best
· Average Running Position of 21.349, 22nd-best
· Driver Rating of 67.4, 22nd-best
· 20 Fastest Laps Run
· 1017 Laps in the Top 15 (25.0), 24th-most
· 205 Quality Passes, 21st-most

9 - Ryan Blaney (No. 21 Wood Brothers Racing Ford)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 74.4
2017 Rundown
· One win, three top fives, ten top 10s,
· Led 260 laps
· Average Finish of 18.3

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Average finish of 26.200, 30th-best
· Average Running Position of 18.017, 18th-best
· Driver Rating of 74.4, 20th-best
· 6 Fastest Laps Run
· 883 Laps in the Top 15 (47.3), 18th-most
· 135 Quality Passes, 25th-most

10 - Chase Elliott (No. 24 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 76.7
2017 Rundown
· Eight top fives, 16 top 10s,
· Led 364 laps
· Average Finish of 12.7

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· One top 10
· Average finish of 24.250, 26th-best
· Average Running Position of 20.182, 21st-best
· Driver Rating of 76.7, 19th-best
· 72 Fastest Laps Run
· 533 Laps in the Top 15 (34.7), 21st-most
· 71 Quality Passes, 31st-most

11 - Matt Kenseth (No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 96.1
2017 Rundown
· Eight top fives, 14 top 10s,
· Led 323 laps
· Average Finish of 14.8

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Two wins, 12 top fives, 20 top 10s; two poles
· Average finish of 13.680, seventh-best
· Average Running Position of 13.339, sixth-best
· Driver Rating of 96.1, third-best
· 473 Fastest Laps Run
· 6163 Laps in the Top 15 (68.2), fifth-most
· 1046 Quality Passes, third-most

12 - Jamie McMurray (No. 1 Chip Ganassi Racing Chevrolet)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 79.4
2017 Rundown
· Two top fives, 15 top 10s,
· Led 16 laps
· Average Finish of 13.2

Charlotte Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Two wins, seven top fives, 11 top 10s
· Average finish of 17.680, 16th-best
· Average Running Position of 17.134, 16th-best
· Driver Rating of 79.4, 17th-best
· 173 Fastest Laps Run
· 3932 Laps in the Top 15 (43.5), 19th-most
· 846 Quality Passes, ninth-most

 
Posted : October 5, 2017 7:42 am
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Bank of America 500
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com

Four drivers are now out and we've got 11 more to go until we crown the 2017 Monster Energy NASCAR CUP Champion. So far you can use three fingers to count the legitimate contenders, but let's see how it plays out anyway.

The second stage of NASCAR's Playoffs begins Sunday at Charlotte Motor Speedway, the first of three races in the Round of 12. This is perhaps the most interesting stage of the playoffs just because of the randomness of Talladega Superspeedway being involved next week where no driver is safe from being involved in a wreck.

However, sandwiched outside Talladega are two 1.5-mile tracks -- Sunday at Charlotte and October 22 at Kansas Speedway. We've seen seven races on 1.5-mile tracks already this season and Martin Truex Jr. has been dominant on all of them winning four of his fives races this season. That includes the past two races on 1.5-mile tracks at Chicagoland to kick off the Chase and at Kentucky on July 8. He also won at Las Vegas and Kansas and led the most laps in both.

He didn't win the May 28 race at Charlotte, but he did lead a race-high 233 laps before finishing third. Austin, who just got eliminated from the playoffs, won the Coca-Cola 600 on fuel strategy for his first career Cup win. Sunday's race is 100 miles shorter.

Last season it was Jimmie Johnson who won this race on his way to his seventh Cup championship. Last week at Dover, Jimmie Johnson had his first top-five in 16 races. Maybe Johnson has found some speed, or maybe he just loves Dover where he owns a track record 11 wins.

“We were so fast off the truck last weekend in Dover and with a third-place finish, have some good momentum heading into Charlotte," Johnson said. "We’re still looking for that sweet spot and need to start leading some laps but I have a ton of faith in my Lowe’s team. They never quit.”

Johnson hasn't had a top-five on a 1.5-mile track since winning at Texas in April, but he certainly loves Charlotte and might be a decent look at odds of 15/1 or higher. He leads all active drivers with eight wins there and 1,930 laps led.

The driver that has caught fire lately and looks the only real challenger to Truex for the championship is Kyle Busch. He won the past two weeks at New Hampshire and Dover to give him four wins on the season. He didn't have any wins in the first 20 races and now has four in the past nine races. However, in 27 Cup starts at Charlotte he doesn't have any wins, but has led 971 laps and accumulated 11 top-fives. He was runner-up at Charlotte in May. Despite no wins, he still calls it his favorite track.

“Charlotte is my favorite racetrack for a lot of reasons," Busch said. "Just growing up watching races on TV, I loved watching the All-Star Race under the lights and the 600 with all the sparks flying and all the guys going after hard-fought, hard-racing wins. The Xfinity Series has been good to me there. The Truck Series has been pretty good to me there, too. In Cup, I’ve had a lot of good finishes, but haven’t won one until the All-Star Race in May, but hoping that’s the beginning of good things for me there.”

Kyle Larson doesn't have a win on 1.5-mile tracks this season, but he's got a bunch of second-places finishes. Four times he's been runner-up in the seven races on 1.5s. In eight career starts at Charlotte he has a mediocre 19.8 average finish, but had a career-best fifth-place in this race last season.

Look for this to be a three-way battle between Truex, Busch and Larson. If I had to pick two drivers that would be contending with them for the win it would be Kevin Harvick and Matt Kenseth.

The driver I'll be rooting for the most as a fan is going to retire at the end of the season. Dale Earnhardt Jr. is from North Carolina, but has never won a points-paying race on his home track -- he did win 2000 All-Star Race as a rookie.

“The challenge at Charlotte is not landing too tight in Turns 1 and 2 and being too tight in the center there," Earnhardt said. "Something that I think we all fight and we all have to work on there is trying to get your car to roll the middle of the corner, have that front grip and keep the car turning in the middle. You get into the corner so fast in Turn 1 and transitioning into that banking, the car really lands hard and gets tight, so trying to make that transition is a real challenge. Charlotte is our home track and I haven’t won a points race there yet, so that’s certainly something I would like to do. We have been seeing some improvements in our performance and our speed, so I’m looking forward to Charlotte.”

Earnhardt had a top-10 last week at Dover, the same race where his teammate Johnson found speed. The only top-five Junior has had on a 1.5-mile track this season was at Charlotte's sister-track in Texas, the race Johnson won. Maybe the teammates have something figured out. It'll be interesting to see how they run during Friday and Saturday's practices.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #78 Martin Truex Jr (9/2)
2) #18 Kyle Busch (5/1)
3) #42 Kyle Larson (7/1)
4) #4 Kevin Harvick (10/1)
5) #20 Matt Kenseth (12/1)

 
Posted : October 5, 2017 7:43 am
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Bank of America 500 Betting Predictions
By Adam Burke
Bangthebook.com

BOFA 500 oddsThe field of drivers eligible to win the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship has gone down from 16 to 12 as we get set for action at Charlotte Motor Speedway for this year’s Bank of America 500. This is the first race of three scheduled for the round of 12 and then the field of eligible drivers will shrink to eight. This is the second stop of the season at Charlotte.

There weren’t any surprises with who got bounced from the round of 16 after last week’s race at Dover. Ryan Newman, Austin Dillon, Kasey Kahne, and Kurt Busch will all be racing for wins instead of points from this point forward. The drivers that remain eligible for the title are Martin Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, Kyle Larson, Brad Keselowski, Jimmie Johnson, Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott, Matt Kenseth, and Jamie McMurray.

Points reset to 3,000 for the next round and then drivers are awarded additional bonus points for wins and stage bonuses as a result of the new scoring system. Truex is first with 3,059 points. Busch is next with 3,041 points. Larson follows with 3,034 points. Keselowski has 3,020 points in fourth place. Johnson rounds out the top five with 3,017 points, but things are very jumbled in the middle. Harvick has 3,015 points, following by Hamlin with 3,013, and then Stenhouse with 3,010. The guys below the cut line right now are Blaney with 3,008 points, Elliott with 3,006 points, Kenseth with 3,005 points, and McMurray with 3,003 points.

NASCAR officials are hoping for a smoother ride this weekend. The Memorial Day weekend race didn’t start until late on Sunday and was completed early Monday morning. Austin Dillon was the winner of that Coca-Cola 600, which is why he was in the playoffs. There are a lot of drivers with multiple wins at Charlotte, but none of them have more than Jimmie Johnson, who has eight career wins at this track. Some of that history is evident in the betting lines for this week’s race.

The race favorite at 5Dimes Sportsbook is Martin Truex Jr. at +300. The surprise level here is zero. Truex is probably the best driver in NASCAR when it comes to 1.5-mile tracks. He won the spring race last year and finished third with the most laps led in this year’s race. He has yet to grab a win in the fall race at Charlotte, but he was third back in 2015. The prices keep getting smaller and smaller on Truex and Kyle Busch. Truex did finish in the top five in each of the Round of 16 races, including a win at Chicagoland for the second straight year. Of Truex’s four wins this season, three are on 1.5-mile tracks.

Kyle Busch has gotten hot at the right time. The #18 team has four wins over the last nine races, including wins in the Round of 16 at New Hampshire and Dover. Busch did not win any of the playoff races last season, so this is a big step in the right direction for both driver and team. Busch was the runner-up in the Charlotte race earlier this year. Incredibly enough, with two stops here each and every year, Busch has never won a race in Charlotte, unless you count the All-Star Race, but nobody really does. Don’t be surprised if that drought ends this week given how hot his team has been. The +400 price may be a bit of a bargain given how well things are going.

Kyle Larson has run well on big tracks and Charlotte is a pretty big track. It is a nice and wide 1.5-mile racing surface, which should play well to his strengths. Larson finished in the top five in all three Round of 16 races as well, but couldn’t find his way to the winner’s circle. He won four races during the regular season, including a clean sweep at Michigan. He also won at Auto Club Speedway, so three of his four wins came on two-mile circuits. His win in Richmond was on a short track and came as a bit of a surprise. Charlotte hasn’t been the best track for Larson, but he did finish fifth in this race last year. He’ll be near the top, but the +600 price may not be enough to back him this week.

Kevin Harvick is one of four drivers at +1000. The others are Jimmie Johnson, who, as mentioned above, has eight career wins at Charlotte, Matt Kenseth, and Denny Hamlin. Johnson won this race last year to snap a little bit of a drought at Charlotte. His most recent win prior to that was in 2014 in the spring race. He won three straight from 2003-05 and his last fall win came back in 2009. He finished 17th here in the spring.

Among the +1000 crew, Denny Hamlin is a decent bet. He won the third stage in the 600-mile race earlier this spring. He hasn’t won at Charlotte, but Joe Gibbs Racing vehicles do really well on 1.5-mile tracks. Kevin Harvick is a three-time winner at Charlotte, but his team doesn’t seem to have the speed that it had last season. He may not be the best of bets here, though he did grab the pole in the spring and that would be helpful for him. Kenseth was fourth in the spring at Charlotte and has won here before.

For those looking at a long shot to come up the pack, I’d look at Erik Jones at +3000. Jones is backed by Joe Gibbs Racing, which never hurts. He was seventh at Charlotte earlier this season. Jones had a stretch at the end of the regular season with five straight top-10 finishes and three of those were top-five finishes. This is a good course for racing, as the track dimensions keep things fairly uncongested. That’s the type of race that Jones needs in order to break through and get that first Cup Series win.

 
Posted : October 5, 2017 10:47 am
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Charlotte Fantasy Racing Preview
By: Jeff Wackerlin
Racingone.com

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Sunday's Bank of America 500 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

Who's HOT at Charlotte

• Martin Truex Jr. has posted a 5.0 average finish and combined to lead 756 laps in the last five races, including one win.
• Defending race winner Jimmie Johnson leads all drivers with eight wins and laps led (1,930).
• Kevin Harvick has finished in the top 10 in eight of the last nine races, including two wins - one coming in this event in 2014.
• Kurt Busch has finished in the top 10 in the last five races with a 7.0 average finish in the span.
• Matt Kenseth has finished in the top 10 in four of the last five races, including two straight top fives.
• Kyle Busch has finished in the top 10 in 15 of his last 20 starts, including a runner-up in May.
• Brad Keselowski, winner of this event in 2013, has finished ninth or better in four of the last five race.
• Denny Hamlin, who led 52 laps in this event last year, has finished in the top five in three of the last four races.

Keep an Eye On at Charlotte

• Ryan Newman has finished in the top 10 in his last three starts at Charlotte. His ninth-place finish at Charlotte in May is his only top 10 in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.
• Chip Ganassi Racing teammates Kyle Larson (7.4) and Jamie McMurray (8.9) rank second and third, respectively, in average finish in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.
• Clint Bowyer (11.6), Joey Logano (12.3), Ryan Blaney (12.3) and Chase Elliott (12.7) each rank in the top 10 in average finish among all drivers that have competed in all seven races at 1.5-mile tracks in 2017. Elliott led 103 laps last year in this event.
• Austin Dillon's only top 10 at a 1.5-mile track this season was his win at Charlotte in May on fuel mileage.
• Erik Jones finished seventh in his first Charlotte Cup start in May.

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Kyle Busch
Pete Pistone: Martin Truex Jr.
Robbie Mays: Chase Elliott
Tyler Burnett: Martin Truex Jr.
John Singler: Jimmie Johnson

Driver Notes - Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Charlotte

Martin Truex Jr. has dominated the last two spring races at Charlotte, combining to lead 625 laps, including a win in 2016. He led 233 laps this year and this weekend's race will held in the day and use the same tire combination that was used in May. Truex is the only multiple winner at 1.5-mile tracks this season, winning four times, including the last two at Kentucky and Chicago. He has also combined to lead 765 laps in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.

Kurt Busch is the only driver that have finished in the top 10 in the last five races at Charlotte. Busch finished sixth in May to post his average finish in the five races at 7.0. That finish was his last of three top 10s at 1.5-mile tracks this season. An engine issue at Kentucky relegated him to a 30th-place finish. This weekend, Busch will debut a new chassis (No. 12) in the Bank of America 500.

Erik Jones finished seventh in his first Charlotte start in the Cup Series in May. The finish was one of two top 10s in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks this season. Jones has finished 12th or better in four of the last five races this season dating back to Darlington with three of them coming in the top 10.

Ryan Newman has finished in the top 15 in his seven Charlotte starts with Richard Childress Racing with five of them coming in the top 10, including the last three races. Newman's ninth-place finish at Charlotte in May is his only top 10 in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.

Denny Hamlin led 52 laps and finished 30th last fall due to an engine failure to snap a streak of four consecutive top-10 finishes at Charlotte. He bounced back in May to finish fifth for his 12th top 10 in the last 14 Charlotte races. Hamlin is one of two drivers (other Truex) that have finished in the top five in the last three races at 1.5-mile tracks dating back to Charlotte.

Daniel Suarez finished 11th in his first Charlotte start in the Cup Series in May. Suarez's only top 10 in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks came at Kansas. He also has finishes of 11th and 12th at Charlotte and Chicago, respectively.

Kevin Harvick finished 38th last fall due to an engine failure to snap a streak of seven straight top-10 finishes. He bounced back to lead 45 laps and finish eighth in May. Harvick is a two-time winner of the Coca-Cola 600 with the last one coming in 2013 with Richard Childress Racing. He has one win in the fall race and three runner-up finishes at CMS with Stewart-Haas Racing. Harvick is one of only two drivers (other Truex) that has finished in the top 10 in the last five races at 1.5-mile tracks dating back to Texas.

Matt Kenseth has led 249 laps, posted six top 10s and an average finish of 11.0 in his nine starts with Joe Gibbs Racing at Charlotte. He's finished in the top five in the last two races, including a second-place finish in this event. This season, Kenseth has posted four top 10s and an average finish of 10.0 in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Brad Keselowski finished 39th in May after an accident when he wasn't able to avoid Chase Elliott's car because of oil on the track. This finish snapped a streak of four consecutive top 10s at Charlotte. Keselowski, winner of this event in 2013, has posted five top 10s in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks this season, including a win at Atlanta.

Austin Dillon won in May at Charlotte after stretching the fuel mileage in his No. 3 Chevrolet. The win was his second top 10 in seven starts at the track and is his only top 10 in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. finished 10th in May at Charlotte for his 13th top 10 in 34 starts at Charlotte. The finish was his second top 10 in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.

Jamie McMurray has finished 19th or better in the last nine races at Charlotte, including five finishes of 12th or better. This season, McMurray ranks third in average finish (8.9) in the seven races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Kyle Busch is still winless in points-paying Cup races at Charlotte. He led 63 laps and finished second in May for his second consecutive top 10. Busch has yet to win at a 1.5-mile track this season, but has finished in the top five in three of the last four races and has combined to lead 319 laps in that span.

Joey Logano finished 36th last fall to snap a streak of two consecutive top 10s that includes a win the 2015 fall race where he led 227 laps. Logano finished 21st in May at Charlotte, but has finished in the top 10 in the last two races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Aric Almirola missed the May race at Charlotte due to injury. His lone top 10 in 10 overall starts came in this event in 2015.

 
Posted : October 6, 2017 8:40 am
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Bank of America 500 - Drivers to Bet
StatFox.com

Charlotte Motor Speedway hosts the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series playoffs on Sunday, when the drivers compete in the Bank of America 500. Last week, Kyle Busch emerged victorious at the Apache Warrior 400, defeating runner-up Chase Elliott. Elliott led for 138 laps in that race, and he has to be feeling pretty devastated now. He has still never won a Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race, but it seems like it’s only a matter of time now. As for this week’s race, Jimmie Johnson once again stands out in this field. Johnson has won the Bank of America 500 a record four times, and last year’s win was when he separated himself from Bobby Allison, Cale Yarborough and Mark Martin. All three of those guys had won the race three times in their careers. Only one other active driver has won this race more than once, and that is Jamie McMurray. McMurray’s victory in 2010 was his second here, so he’ll also be feeling pretty good when he gets out there on Sunday. It’s also worth noting that Hendrick Motorsports has more victories (eight) here than any other team. Chevrolet, meanwhile, is the best manufacturer, as 21 winners have driven a Chevy in this race. With that out of the way, let’s now look at some of the best value plays for Sunday:

Kyle Larson (11-to-2) - Kyle Larson has never won the Bank of America 500, but he has certainly come pretty close. Larson came in fifth in last year’s race here, and he also came in sixth here three years ago. He’s knocking on the door and also happens to be one of the hottest drivers in the world right now. Larson has two victories in the past seven races, and he has finished in fifth, second and fifth in his past three as well. Look for him to make another run at a win on Sunday and don’t be afraid to back him with these odds.

Jimmie Johnson (10-to-1) - The fact that Jimmie Johnson is only going off at 10-to-1 here is rather appalling. Johnson has won this race a record four times, which should make him the favorite to win. Vegas must have felt that he is slipping or something, but that is hardly the case. Johnson came in third at last week’s Apache Warrior 400 and has now finished inside the top 10 in three of the past four races. With his recent form and track history here, he’s worth a shot.

Brad Keselowski (12-to-1) - Keselowski hasn’t won four times here, but he did win this race back in 2013. That should give him some confidence when he gets out there on Sunday, and so should the fact that he has finished inside the top 10 here in each of the past two races. Keselowski’s odds are probably as favorable as they are because he hasn’t won a race since early in the season, but he is too good of a driver to stay out of victory lane for long.

Jamie McMurray (60-to-1) - As previously mentioned, McMurray has won the Bank of America 500 twice in his career. And while the last time he won here was in 2010, McMurray does have two top-10 finishes in this race since then. He’s a ridiculous value at 60-to-1 and is worth playing for even the smallest of amounts. It only helps that the 41-year-old has finished inside the top-10 in four of the past seven races.

 
Posted : October 7, 2017 10:07 am
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