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MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, August 2
MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, August 2
MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend's major league action:
Dioner Dialed In
Dioner Navarro has been on fire for the Blue Jays (-110, 8.5) as of late. The surprise catcher has been one of the team's most productive hitters during their recent streak. Navarro has hits in five of the Blue Jays last six games including five RBIs as Toronto continues to hold the second AL Wild Card spot while chasing the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East.
Austin Jackson left his last appearance with the Detroit Tigers midway through an eventual loss to the Chicago White Sox, but the new Seattle Mariners outfielder who was a part of the three team David Price deal will be bringing a needed red hot bat to the Pacific Northwest. Jackson had two hits and an RBI to stretch his hitting streak to five games.
Boston Red Sox fans can likely finally give up any hopes of turning around their season as defending World Series champions. After trading Jon Lester and John Lackey at the deadline, things are likely to go from bad to worse for Boston. Not a good sign for a team that is 2-8 in their last ten ball games
AJ Burnett starts Saturday for the Phillies and has been providing consistent overs since July when on the mound. Since July 1, the Over is 5-1 when the former Blue Jays and Yankees pitcher gets his start.
Marcus Stroman will start Sunday's series finale for the Blue Jays against the cellar dwelling Astros in the midst of a breakout streak of a quality starts for Toronto. The young potential ace has three straight wins on the mound, two of which were against the Red Sox including a no hitter bid at the Rogers Centre and a win at Fenway.
Dodgers outfielder Yaisel Puig is doing his best to put himself in NL MVP consideration with the Dodgers and is red hot heading into August. The Cuban is 12-26 in his last five games at the plate, including two four hit games and hits in all but one appearance for Los Angeles.
Oakland will have to find production to replace Yoenis Cespedes, the back to back Home Run Derby champion who was included in the Jon Lester trade with Boston. Cespedes currently has 17 home runs and 67 RBI's this season as one of the best bats for the A's so this weekend will be interesting for Oakland in terms of finding out where their new power will come from.
Cincinnati Reds (1-9 O/U in last ten): Cold bats have been the issue for the Reds all season, so it should be no shock that they have quite the streak of Unders going during their recent struggles. Going 3-7 in their last ten, nine games have went under the total for the Reds in those ten ballgames.
Prop of the Day
Yu Darvish has been the lone bright spot for the Texas Rangers this season and is still very much an ace in the AL with a 10-6 record and a 2.90 ERA. A play on the Rangers F5 ML or the F5 Under could be a strong Sunday prop play with Darvish on the mound.
Boston outfielder Shane Victorino will miss Friday's game against the Mariners with a slight back injury that is causing him discomfort. Red Sox manager John Farrell will be hoping newly acquired outfielder Yoenis Cespedes will be able to replace him in the lineup.
Cincinnati Reds outfielder Jay Bruce will be expected to return to baseball this weekend following a leave of absence to due to passing of a family member. Bruce is currently struggling along with the Reds, but will be looking to get back on track at the plate in a return to the game.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, August 2
Baseball Betting Previews for August 2
The dog days of August continue on Saturday with a big rivalry game and another key matchup. Does Boston have any starters available that aren't fresh out of the minor leagues? We'll preview both key matchups below.
New York Yankees (55-52, 46-59 O/U) at Boston Red Sox (48-60, 44-60 O/U)
Last game: (8/1/14): Boston over New York Yankees, 4-3.
Key Betting Trends
NY Yankees are:
2-5 last 7 road games.
5-1 last 6 with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
4-1 last 5 during game 2 of a series.
1-8 last 9 vs. American League East.
1-7 last 8 during game 2 of a series.
0-4 last 4 as a favorite.
Pitching matchup: (RHP) Shane Greene (2-1, 3.28 ERA) vs. (RHP) Allen Webster (1-0, 3.38 ERA)
Outlook: Due to trades, Boston is back to Allen Webster on the mound, who was called up to take the place of Jake Peavy, who was traded to the San Francisco Giants. Webster has one start this season and gave up two runs in 5 1/3 innings with five walks against Tampa Bay on the road on July 27. The Yankees have their own pitching problems but that's due to injuries to C.C. Sabathia, Michael Pineda, Ivan Nova and Masahiro Tanaka. They send Shane Greene to the mound, who allowed three runs in his last start in 5 1/3 innings against Toronto. Greene has never faced the Red Sox and this is Webster's first start against the Yankees. MLB Odds: Boston is a -125-money line favorite. Total: 9.0.
Los Angeles Angels (65-43, 54-49 O/U) at Tampa Bay Rays (53-56, 52-52 O/U)
Last Game: (8/1/14): Los Angeles Angeles over Tampa Bay, 5-3
Key Betting Trends:
LA Angels are:
2-6 last 8 as a road dog.
1-4 in Wilson's last 5 starts as an underdog.
0-6 in Wilson's last 6 road starts.
Tampa Bay is:
8-0 last 8 during game 2 of a series.
9-2 last 11 as a favorite.
20-6 last 26 overall.
Pitching matchup: (LHP) C.J. Wilson (8-6, 4.33 ERA) vs. (RHP) Chris Archer (6-6, 3.37 ERA)
Outlook: Southpaw C.J. Wilson is coming off the disabled list due to an ankle sprain. Wilson was struggling before the ankle injury, allowing 19 runs in his last four games. He's been up-and-down against Tampa Bay, allowing 10 runs in his last three games. The Rays hit left-handers better than they do against right-handers (.254 to .248). Tampa Bay, still in the race even after the David Price deal, throws Chris Archer to the bump. He gave up no runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Angels in May. Archer has thrown four quality starts in his last five games. They'll need to win with Archer on the mound since he becomes elevated to the ace role with Price gone. Baseball Odds: Tampa Bay is a -110-money line favorite. Total: 7.5.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, August 2
MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
LAS VEGAS -- Saturday's baseball schedule has three teams as large favorites at -200 or higher and another that started that high, but where the dog has been bet heavily enough to drop the number. The Nationals, Dodgers and Tigers are those big favorites while the A's, with Jon Lester making his Oakland debut, have been bet from -210 down to as low as -160 in this afternoon's game against the Royals and Jason Vargas (3.31 ERA).
The Royals currently have a three-game win streak going while the A's have lost two in a row. Making matters worse for Oakland is that the Angels have won their last two and are only one game out of first place in the AL West. It was interesting to see the A's last night in their first game since trading Yoenis Cespedes. They failed to score any runs in their 1-0 loss. We'll see how that story materializes along the way since the A's had scored an MLB-best five runs per game with Cespedes.
All those high-priced teams will still be played just like they are everyday with the majority of the betting public, with many of the parlay bettors opting to get a better price by laying the 1.5 runs on the run-line.
With only two months remaining in the regular season, we'll be seeing quite a few more favorites over -200 just because home field becomes priced higher for the good teams. Those good teams also start to separate themselves more. And then when September rolls around with all the minor league call-ups, we'll see even more large favorites on a daily basis.
Fantasy baseball: Play for money at Draft Kings
It's hard to show a continued profit if laying over -140 and it's even harder if messing around with the run-line. The best strategy is to find one or two of those big underdogs that have a legitimate shot of winning -- like the Royals on a roll and the A's dropping two straight -- where the pitcher has shown some past excellence and ability match up with top-shelf lineups.
Another strategy is to stay with the a few favorites that are playing well against lesser teams that are at the bottom of the pitching rotation with the fourth or fifth starter. The Pittsburgh Pirates as a -126 favorite tonight at Arizona fit that profile behind Vance Worley.
Pittsburgh has been pleasantly surprised with the output Worley has given them since getting a shot to show his stuff when Gerrit Cole and Francisco Liriano went on the disabled list. All he's done is post a 4-1 record with an exceptional 2.27 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in seven starts. He comes off a complete-game, 5-0, shutout at San Francisco on Monday, and if can come close tonight to matching what he's done already, the Pirates are going to have a difficult choice on who to yank out of the rotation when Cole returns next week.
The Diamondbacks will counter with rookie Chase Anderson (6-4, 3.34 ERA), who the Pirates beat 5-1 at Pittsburgh on July 2. In three starts since then, he's posted a 1.89 ERA, which is part of the reason the Pirates have such a low price posted on them tonight.
There should be some sense of urgency for the Pirates in these final two games with Arizona because they are only 4-4 on their current 10-game road trip. If they can get by Arizona tonight and tomorrow, they'll return to the Steel City for 10 games where they have the best home record in the NL.
Arizona will be looking for a little revenge tonight after the Pirates plunked Paul Goldschmidt in the ninth inning of last night's game that was well in hand. At least that means one or two extra men on base for the Pirates tonight as Arizona manager Kirk Gibson will surely retaliate.
Pirates (Worley) -126 at Diamondbacks
Giants (Peavy) +120 at Mets