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MLB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Thursday 4/25/24

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : April 25, 2024 9:00 am
(@shazman)
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MLB Weather Report Thursday, April 25

MLB Dunkel Thursday, April 25

 

 

 
Posted : April 25, 2024 9:31 am
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PITTSBURGH is 10-1 SU (8.9 Units) in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 79-44 SU (30.6 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 20-31 SU (-19.4 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 13-28 SU (-17.8 Units) when playing on Thursday in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 27-45 SU (-22.5 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 47-40 SU (12.8 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS are 96-70 Over (19 Units) in home games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 99-73 Under (18.7 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 179-144 SU (20.6 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 39-71 SU (-39.1 Units) in home games in night games in the last 3 seasons.

 
Posted : April 25, 2024 9:32 am
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 25

National League
Milwaukee
(15-8) @ Pittsburgh (13-12)
— Peralta is 2-0, 1.93 in four starts.
— Milwaukee is 4-0 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He is 2-1, 3.18 in 20 games (11 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Brewers won five of last seven games.
— They’re 11-4 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 14-5-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-4.2

— Keller is 2-2, 5.46 in five starts.
— Pittsburgh is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He is 0-4, 6.23 in six starts vs Milwaukee

— Pirates are 4-10 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 5-6 at home.
— under 8-3 home games
— scored run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-6.2

Philadelphia (15-10) @ Cincinnati (14-10)
— Wheeler is 1-3, 3.16 in five starts.
— Philly is 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 1-2, 2.98 in seven starts vs Cincinnati.

— Phillies are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
— Phillies are 5-4 on road.
— under 15-5 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-25
— record in first 5 innings: 15-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3.2

— Martinez is 0-0, 4.76 in 4 games (2 starts).
— Cincinnati is 2-0 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 0-0, 0.87 in five relief stints (10.1 IP) vs Philly.

— Reds won five of last six games.
— They’re 9-6 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-4

Los Angeles (15-11) @ Washington (10-13)
— Yomamoto is 1-1, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 1-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Dodgers won their last three games.
— Dodgers are 6-3 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-3

— Gore is 2-1, 3.60 in four starts.
— Washington is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 0-0, 4.66 in two starts vs Los Angeles.

— Nationals split their last ten games.
— They’re 4-7 at home.
— under 13-4 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-5

San Diego (14-13) @ Colorado (6-19)
— Vasquez allowed 4 runs in 5 IP (97 PT) in his first ‘24 start.
— San Diego is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— This is his first start vs Colorado.

— Padres are 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 8-5 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 11-27
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.1-3

— Hudson is 0-4, 6.53 in four starts.
— Colorado is 0-4 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 1-1, 2.45 in three starts vs San Diego.

— Rockies are 6-19 in their first 25 games.
— They’re 4-8 at home.
— under 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 6-14-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-4

American League
Boston
(14-11) @ Cleveland (17-7)
— Anderson is making his first ‘24 start.
— He’s allowed 4 runs in 13 IP in six relief stints TY.
— He was 1-6, 5.42 in 17 starts LY (Rays/Rockies)
— In his career, he is 59-56, 4.33 in 200 career starts
— He is 0-2, 7.84 in two starts vs Cleveland.

— Boston is 5-2 in its last seven games.
— Red Sox are 11-4 on road.
— under 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 9-25
— record in first 5 innings: 15-5-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4

— McKenzie is 2-2, 6.00 in four starts.
— Guardians are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He gave up 4 runs in 7 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Cleveland is 14-5 in its last 19 games.
— Guardians are 7-4 at home.
— over 9-5 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 13-7-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.2-4

White Sox (3-21) @ Minnesota (10-13)
— Soroka is 0-3, 7.83 in five starts.
— Chicago is 1-4 in his starts.
— over 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 7 IP in his one start vs Minnesota.

— White Sox lost 21 of first 24 games.
— Chicago is 1-12 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 6-14-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2.2-3

— Woods-Richardson gave up a run in 6 IP, in his first ‘24 start.
— Minnesota is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Twins are 4-1 in their last five games.
— They’re 5-6 at home.
— under 7-4 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 8-13-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3

Toronto (13-12) @ Kansas City (15-10)
— Berrios is 4-0, 0.85 in five starts.
— He’s thrown 21.2 consecutive scoreless IP.
— Toronto is 5-0 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He is 7-5, 4.72 in 21 starts vs Kansas City.

— Toronto is 7-4 in its last eleven games.
— Blue Jays are 7-9 on road.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.1-4

— Ragans is 0-2, 4.32 in his five starts.
— Kansas City is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Toronto.

— Royals are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— They lost three of last five home games.
— under 13-4 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-4.2

Seattle (12-12) @ Texas (13-12)
— Castillo is 1-1, 2.08 in his last two starts.
— Seattle is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He is 0-3, 4.91 in three starts vs Texas.

— Seattle won six of its last eight games.
— Mariners are 5-6 on road.
— under 18-5 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.1-4

— Heaney is 0-2, 7.41 in four starts.
— Texas is 0-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 4-7, 4.18 in 18 starts vs Seattle.

— Rangers are 5-6 in their last eleven games.
— They’re 6-6 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 9-25
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.2-4.1

Oakland (9-16) @ Bronx (17-8)
— Wood is 0-2, 7.89 in five starts.
— Oakland is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— A’s lost eight of their last eleven games.
— Oakland is 5-7 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-16-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5

— Cortes is 1-1, 3.41 in five starts.
— New York is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He is 0-1, 4.15 in 5 games (2 starts) vs Oakland.

— New York won five of its last seven games.
— They’re 8-4 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-3.2

Interleague Games
Houston
(7-18) @ Cubs (15-9)
— Verlander gave up 2 runs in 6 IP (78 PT) in his first ‘24 start.
— Houston is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is starts vs Chicago.

— Houston lost 18 of its first 25 games.
— Astros are 3-9 on road.
— under 8-0 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 10-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4.1

— Assad is 2-0, 2.11 in four starts.
— Chicago is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Cubs won eight of their last 11 games.
— They’re 9-3 at home.
— under 10-4 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3.1

Umpires
Mil-Pitt- Under is 2-0 in Hanahan games.
Phil-Cin- Under is 3-1 in Tosi games.
LA-Wsh- Over is 4-0 in Walsh games.
SD-Colo- Under is 2-1 in Moore games.
Bos-Clev- Under is 4-1 in last five Barry games.
Chi-Minn- Underdogs are 3-1 in Tomlinson games.
Tor-KC- Road team is 5-0 in Additon games.
Sea-Tex- Underdogs are 3-2 in Baker games.
A’s-NYY- Over is 3-1-1 in Hudson games.
Hst-Chi- Under is 2-1 in Visconti games.

 
Posted : April 25, 2024 9:34 am
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