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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, June 13

Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, June 13

DUNKEL INDEX

LA Angels at Atlanta
The Braves open up an interleague series tonight against the Angels and come into the contest with a 9-2 record in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Atlanta is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105)

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 13.735; Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.147
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Under

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.068; Miami (Eovaldi) 13.840
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Over

Game 905-906: San Diego at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 17.834; NY Mets (Colon) 15.823
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Over

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.091; Milwaukee (Garza) 15.964
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-145); Under

Game 909-910: Washington at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 14.391; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.244
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under

Game 911-912: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Anderson) 16.536; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.395
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-220); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+190); Over

Game 913-914: Colorado at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 13.095; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.723
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under

Game 915-915: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 14.662; Baltimore (Jimenez) 16.629
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); Over

Game 917-918: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 16.958; Detroit (Smyly) 16.045
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Over

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 13.690; Boston (Lackey) 14.792
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 12.647; White Sox (Quintana) 14.983
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-140); Under

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.365; Houston (McHugh) 16.237
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Over

Game 925-926: NY Yankees at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.319; Oakland (Gray) 18.481
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-185); Under

Game 927-928: Texas at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 17.391; Seattle (Hernandez) 16.293
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+180); Over

Game 929-930: LA Angels at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.287; Atlanta (Harang) 17.696
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105); Over

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DUNKEL INDEX

NHL

NY Rangers at Los Angeles
The Rangers head to LA following a 2-1 win in Game 4 and come into tonight's contest with a 9-4 record in their last 13 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. New York is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+160)

Game 59-60: NY Rangers at Los Angeles (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 14.147; Los Angeles 11.932
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+160); Under

WNBA

Seattle at San Antonio
The Storm head to San Antonio tonight to face a Stars team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games. Seattle is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Stars favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+6 1/2)

Game 601-602: Chicago at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 108.235; Washington 115.419
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 7; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 5; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-5); Over

Game 603-604: Minnesota at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.118; Atlanta 116.410
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 156
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 162 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+2); Under

Game 605-606: Connecticut at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 102.866; New York 112.737
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10; 160
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5 1/2; 148
Dunkel Pick: New York (-5 1/2); Over

Game 607-608: Seattle at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 107.193; San Antonio 110.866
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 140
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+6 1/2); Under

Game 609-610: Los Angeles at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 117.349; Tulsa 110.361
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4; 157
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-4); Under

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SPORTS WAGERS

Mexico +138 over Cameroon

Even Jose Mourinho is raving about the talent of this Mexican squad entering the 2014 FIFA World Cup. In fact, the Mexican team has come a long way since their qualification struggles in CONCACAF play. The 19th ranked football club in the world finished fourth in the final group stage while qualifying for an intercontinental playoff. As a result of the aggregate in their playoff against New Zealand, La Verde was able to transcend and qualify for their sixth World Cup. Nevertheless the Mexican team has forced many football enthusiasts to take a collective gasp. America has been a problem for them, and the Mexicans have not been able to defeat their neighborly rival in any of the last three World Cup fixtures. Furthermore, Honduras has been a perpetual thorn in the side of this traditionally dominant Central American club. A loss to Bosnia-Herzegovnia in a friendly prompted even more alarm from El Tri supporters. However, the Mexicans were able to win a Gold Medal against Brazil, a football empire at the 2012 Olympics. So clearly Mexico has the prowess and capability.

Facing Mexico will be African qualifier Cameroon. Les Liones are an impressive squad, dominating their group en route to their ninth clinching of a World Cup seed in their last eleven attempts. Among the talent on this Cameroon squad is Chelsea striker Samuel Eto’o, a brilliant and tactical goal scorer. Eto’o is a creative and innovative point manufacturer, leading the attack against a Mexican defense that can be permeable on several occasions. Nevertheless, Mexico has been revered for their excellence as a football club historically and this Group A showdown has profound implications for either squad hoping to advance to the round of sixteen. With the host nation Brazil circled as the favorite, a win for either Mexico or Cameroon could be the three points needed to give either squad the required propulsion in to the knockout round. Considering a contest with 18th-ranked Croatia looming for both parties, this game could be a virtual elimination event if either squad were to leave the loser. Place your bets on Mexico to capitalize and make their presence felt early in Group A.


Spain vs Netherlands – Draw +253

This could very well likely be the most anticipated match-up of the Group Stage. A re-match of the 2010 Final featuring the defending champions Spain against the runner-up Netherlands. The Dutch have vengeance fresh in their minds after losing to Spain in an overtime thriller in 2010. The Spanish will return a heralded top squad in the world rankings. The Dutch are formidable, featuring a club ranked fifteen overall in the FIFA Rankings.

The Spanish are a heavy favorite to repeat as champions and certainly are poised to be a shoe-in to win the group stage. However, this fixture has a sense of emotion and passion injected to it, which you may not see in many other matches. This one has the makings of a blockbuster, all over again. The Dutch are a heavy underdog entering this contest and are projected to lose this match outright. However, a draw is the best bet in this scheduled affair.

In the group stage, matches do not go to overtime. In fact, the game will conclude at 90 minutes regardless of the score. In the FIFA 2010 World Cup, Spain defeated the Netherlands by a margin of 1-0 in the final minutes of extra time. Given the defensive posture of the Dutch, it will be hard for Spain to break the backfield of the Netherlands. Consequently, it would be naïve to surmise that Spain would lose this contest. In fact, the overall record between the two squads is 4-4-1 for both sides. Historically, these two are evenly matched foes with a goal difference of three in favor of Spain. The only definitive difference maker will be decided by the play of the Dutch midfielders against a potent Spanish midfield formation. For this reason, the odds favor a draw offering no reconciliation to a determined Orange hoping to avenge their World Cup blues.

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DAVE COKIN

PITTSBURGH PIRATES AT MIAMI MARLINS
PLAY: MIAMI MARLINS -125

The Pirates head to Miami with some positive momentum. The Bucs finally called up Gregory Polanco, 2013 MVP Andrew McCutchen is a major roll, and there seems to be more energy on this team than I’d been seeing previously this season.The Pirates are still a couple of games under .500, but they’re also just 2.5 games out of the wild card race, so things are not as bad as they could have been for the Bucs with their disappointing start to the season.

The stunner is that we’re 65 games into the season and if the campaign ended today, the Marlins would be selling playoff tickets. I thought this team would be somewhat improved this season, but I’d be lying through my teeth if I said I expected them to be playing at this level. What’s even more impressive is that they’re hanging in pretty well in spite of the devastating loss of Cy Young candidate Jose Fernandez.

The Marlins have been stellar at home all season, and they’ve also got some momentum following a decent road trip. Miami also should be refreshed thanks to some peculiar scheduling that allowed them days off on both Monday and Thursday this week. And they’ll have their ace on the hill tonight as they open the set with the Pirates.

Nathan Eovaldi has taken a major step forward this season. Eolvaldi is a true flamethrower, but prior to this year, he was mostly a big heater with not a whole lot more. That’s not the case anymore. Eovaldi is still going to feature the four-seam rocket, but his slider has really developed nicely and in the process, he’s turned himself into a legit commodity with a genuine chance at becoming an ace. Eovaldi is not quite there yet, but it’s also clear he hasn’t reached his ceiling yet. Eovaldi has been outstanding at home, and there’s nothing fluky about that nifty 2.49 ERA he’s sporting when pitching in his friendly confines.

Jeff Locke was terrific last weekend in a hard luck loss to the Brewers. I think it was probably the best game I’ve seen Locke pitch. But I’m not banking on him repeating the performance here. Consistency has not been a forte for Locke, and he’s still going to have to prove to me he’s anything more than rotation filler.

Locke will certainly have his work cut out tonight. Not only is he facing the ace of the current Miami staff, he’ll also be up against a Marlins offense that has put some startling numbers at home. Giancarlo Stanton is having a great season and is a legitimate MVP candidate. Casey McGehee has been a huge surprise in his return to the majors, and two kids, Christian Yelich and Marcell Ozuna, could each be emerging stars.

I see Eovaldi with a definite edge over Locke and while the Pirates offense is looking better, Miami at home has been a big run producer. I’ll give the late inning edge to Pittsburgh with that rock solid pen, but it’s not like the hosts are bad in that regard. I made Miami a slightly bigger favorite than where they’re currently priced, particularly with Neil Walker sidelined for the Bucs and the scheduling dynamics favoring the home team. Look for the Marlins to get the series opener tonight.

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Rob Vinciletti

Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream
Play: Minnesota Lynx -1.5

Minnesota has several powerful angles that apply in this game. They have won and covered both times as a short road favorite and are 7-0 off 3 or more road games. In June games they are 17-4. When playing an opponent that allows 77 or more they have won 30 of the last 35 . Atlanta has scored 90+ in back to back games and that's sets them up in a negative system that pertains to small home dogs. They have lost 23 of 36 vs winning teams and 6 of the last 8 here at home vs Minnesota. So we will back the better team in Minnesota.


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Cajun Sports

Rockies vs. Giants
Play: Under 7.5

The Rockies head west for a three-game weekend set in San Francisco against the Giants. The pitching matchup for Game One on Friday night has De La Rosa going for the Rockies and Lincecum throwing for the home team. Our BbTPR Index projects a run total in this contest of 5.94 runs against a total of 7.5. Our SPbMatrix projects a run differential of -1.78 runs against the same game total of 7.5 which gives us solid value on the Under. A check of our MLB database reveals a league-wide system that tells us to Play UNDER on road teams with a line within 20 cents of pickem versus a divisional opponent that is currently ahead of them in the divisional standings. This system has produced a record of 67-91-7 Under for a profit of +1800 Units since the beginning of the 2013 season. With solid support from two of our primary indexes and a power system that has been perfect the last four qualifying contests we will call for an Under in this matchup on Friday night.

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TJ Masterline

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: San Francisco Giants -127

Rockies are 16-36 in the last 52 meetings in San Francisco. Rockies are 1-4 in De La Rosas last 5 road starts vs. Giants. Rockies are 21-43 in their last 64 games following a win. Rockies are 27-57 in their last 84 road games. Rockies are 16-35 in their last 51 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Rockies are 18-40 in their last 58 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Rockies are 18-42 in their last 60 games as a road underdog. Rockies are 3-8 in their last 11 games as an underdog. Rockies are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Rockies are 3-11 in their last 14 overall. Rockies are 3-11 in their last 14 games on grass. Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games. Rockies are 3-12 in their last 15 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rockies are 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League West. Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series. Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 Friday games. Giants are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter. Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite. Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League West. Giants are 9-3 in their last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 19-7 in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Giants are 19-7 in their last 26 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Giants are 43-16 in their last 59 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Giants are 15-6 in their last 21 overall. Giants are 10-4 in their last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 15-6 in their last 21 games on grass. Giants are 10-4 in their last 14 home games. Giants are 15-7 in their last 22 during game 1 of a series. Giants are 6-1 in Lincecums last 7 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Giants are 6-1 in Lincecums last 7 home starts. Giants are 5-1 in Lincecums last 6 starts as a home favorite. Giants are 5-1 in Lincecums last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 5-1 in Lincecums last 6 starts as a favorite. Giants are 4-1 in Lincecums last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Giants are 8-2 in Lincecums last 10 starts with 4 days of rest. Giants are 15-5 in Lincecums last 20 starts. Giants are 15-5 in Lincecums last 20 starts on grass.

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Joe D'Amico

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles is just 13-19 at home this season, averaging a mere 3.81 RPG at Dodger Stadium. Overall, they are 6-9 their L15. Their offense owns a Team BA of .251. SS, Hanley Ramirez has missed 3 straight games with a shoulder injury and is likely to sit out again today. Puig has been the one batter who the lineup can count on. Inconsistency has plagued the offense all season long. Clayton Kershaw gets the nod. The LH is 5-2 but had one of the worst outings of his career vs. Arizona on May 17th when he yielded 7 runs in just 1 2/3 IP. The Diamondbacks are 6-4 their L10 overall. Their lineup hits .258, smashed 63 HR's, and has stolen 39 bases. Goldschmidt and Pollock have been hitting the ball well as the offense boasts six sluggers either flirting with or have over 60 hits. Chase Anderson gets the nod here. The RH is 5-0 on the season with a 3.14 ERA, 22K's, and 7 BB's, in 28.2 IP, only yielding 4 HR's. The Dodgers are 1-7 in Kershaw's L8 starts vs. The Diamondbacks, 2-5 their L7 vs. RH starters, and 2-6 their L8 games played at home. Take Arizona. Thank you. My Base Ball is unstoppable.


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Jim Feist

Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros
Pick: Houston Astros

Tampa Bay is a mess, especially on the road, while Houston has a winning home mark but is a dog here. Tampa Bay's offense is 27th in baseball in runs scored, 26th in slugging. The Rays are 8-20 in their last 28 road games and 2-10 against a right-handed starter. Alex Cobb is 1-4 with a 4.39 ERA and the team is 0-3 his last three starts. Cobb allowed seven runs on 10 hits in just 4.1 innings of work against the Mariners on Saturday to fall to take the loss. Cobb threw a lot of strikes in this one, but the Mariners feasted on both his fastball and changeup. That is three straight clunkers for Cobb, despite a 14:4 K:BB over his last 15.1 innings of work. The Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Starter Collin McHugh (4-3, 2.82 ERA) has been sharp, allowing just 37 hits in 54 innings, with 19 walks and 60 Ks.

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Art Aronson

Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies    
Play: Philadelphia Phillies -118

The Phillies are coming off a three game sweep of the Padres and with what I believe to be a clear advantage on the mound, look for them to keep the momentum rolling in this series opener. The Cubs are coming off a series loss to the Pirates and send Jake Arrieta (1-4, 2.50 ERA) to the hill; Arrieta is 1-1 with an ERA of 8.44 in two career starts against the Phillies lifetime. The home side counters with right-hander Roberto Hernandez (2-4, 5.35 ERA); Hernandez is coming off a couple rough starts but was solid in his last outing versus the Cubs, giving up two earned runs in just over five innings of work. Note that Chicago has lost four of five and is a dismal 11-24 on the road this season. The Phillies have taken two of three from the Cubs this season and nine of 15 the past three years. Phillies slugger John Mayberry said last night: "It's definitely a game of momentum and I think with the way we've played these last few games, that can definitely carry over." I concur with Mayberry who has been hitting the cover off the ball lately. Consider Philadelphia in this spot.


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Jack Jones

Los Angeles Angels -109

The Los Angeles Angels get the nod as a small road favorite against the Atlanta Braves Friday night.  For starters, the Angels had Thursday off, while the Braves had to play in Colorado.  So, the Angels will be the more rested and focused team heading into this one.

I also believe that Los Angeles has a big edge on the mound tonight.  C.J. Wilson continues to pitch at a high level, going 7-5 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.165 WHIP in 13 starts this year.  The Braves are only hitting .244 and scoring 3.5 runs per game at home in 2014, so the left-hander should have his way with them.

There's no denying that Aaron Harang has had a solid year for the Braves, but I believe it's an aberration based on how he has struggled over the past couple of seasons.  Also, Harang has never fared well against tonight's opponent.  Indeed, the right-hander is 0-5 with a 7.59 ERA and 2.039 WHIP in seven career starts against the Angels.

The Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 interleague games, while the Braves are 0-6 in their last six interleague games.  Los Angeles is 43-19 in its last 62 interleague road games.  The Angels are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. NL East opponents.  Atlanta is 2-8 in its last 10 games as an underdog.

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Marc Lawrence

Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox
Prediction: Boston Red Sox

The Indians and Red Sox meet at Fenway Park in Boston Friday evening in the opener of this three-game series where John Lackey matches serves with Justin Masterson. Lackey, who toes the slab in sharp KW form with 17 K's and 3 walks in his last three starts, is 13-6 his last nineteen home team-starts, and 6-2 his last eight games here during the month of June. Meanwhile, Masterson has dropped 3 of his last 4 starts against his former mates and is 4-11 away in his career team-starts during June. Too many numbers to ignore here, and we won't. We recommend a 1-unit play on Boston.

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Sean Murphy

Minnesota vs. Detroit
Pick: Minnesota

It may come as a surprise to most, but the Twins have actually been playing much better baseball than the Tigers lately, and there's not all that wide of a gap separating these two clubs in the A.L. Central standings.

It's not as if the Tigers have a decisive edge on the mound in this one. Kyle Gibson takes the ball for the Twins. He's just 5-5 on the season but has posted a respectable 3.91 ERA and 1.29 WHIP and has given up fewer hits than innings pitched, not to mention only four home runs in 69 innings of work.

Tigers starter Drew Smyly was more effective in a relief role over the last couple of seasons. While he does own a slightly better ERA than Gibson this year, the Tigers are just 3-6 in his nine starts. They've won only once in his four trips to the hill at home.

Thanks to a series win in Toronto earlier this week, the Twins are back to the .500 mark on the road. For all the talent the Tigers boast on their roster, they've only managed to win one more than they've lost at Comerica Park.

While the Tigers were wrapping up their series in Chicago last night, the Twins were enjoying an off day - a much needed one considering they hadn't been idle since May 22nd. Solid value with the Twinkies here.

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Bryan Power

Pittsburgh vs. Miami
Pick: Miami

After a profitable 4-3 road trip, the Marlins will be happy to be back home where they are a league best 22-11. Had they not run into Yu Darvish in the final game of said trip, you have to think they would come into this series w/ even more momentum. An additional advantage here is they had yday off while Pittsburgh did not...

While its touch and go as to whether or not Nathan Eovaldi will actually start here for Miami (awaiting birth of 1st child), it's still worth backing them at home where they average 5.1 rpg. If Eovaldi does go, the Fish will be getting a pitcher who has a 2.86 ERA and 0.773 WHIP his L3 starts.  He's allowed 3 ER or fewer in 9 of 10 starts.

Meanwhile, it's been one good and one bad start for Pirates starter Jeff Locke. The team has lost both, albeit in totally different fashions - 11-10 and 1-0.  The latter came Sunday after a month stay on the DL.   Pittsburgh is just 12-18 on the road and the Marlins vs. 11-4 record vs lefties looks nice.

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River City Sharps

Rockies / Giants Over 7.5

The Rockies and lefty Jorge De La Rosa (6-5, 4.04) open up a three-game series tonight in San Francisco as they take on Tim Lincecum (5-4, 4.97) and the Giants. The Rockies offense is back on the attack after scoring 28 runs over the past three games, while the Giants still boast the best record in MLB and are coming off a 7-1 pasting of the Nationals. Both of these pitchers have had their troubles lately keeping runs off the board and we think that may continue tonight as both of these offenses are humming once again. The OVER is 4-1 in the Giants last five games as a home favorite and the 5-1 in the Rockies last six road games. We think you are going to see some runs tonight in the first game of this series and see some serious value with the OVER in this spot.

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Bryan Leonard

San Diego at New York
Play: New York

Cashner has become a popular hurler in betting circles. A major reason is his impressive ability to strike out the opposition. While there is nothing wrong with strikeouts the betting markets tend to make you overpay for the privilege, just ask and Justin Verlander backers the past two seasons.

Bartolo Colon has strikeout ability also but he's generally not considered a strikeout pitcher. Colon has been excellent when he's not pitching in a fly ball enhanced park. Which is why he has been so good the past few years pitching in Oakland and here in New York. Without having to worry about the long ball Colon can do what he does best in throwing off the timing of a hitter. In our estimation because of his age and his girth Colon continually gets underrated in positive parks like Shea.

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Footy Tipster

Mexico vs. Cameroon
Pick: Mexico

Mexico take on an aged Cameroon side which they should have little difficulty seeing off!

Get on Mexico to win a the attractive price of +126!

Mexico and Croatia are the two teams who will be batling for second place on Group A.

Both teams know maximum points against Cameroon is vital.

Cameroon may be in for a tough time of it in Group A, they have little talent in their side and have a lot of old heads in their too.

Mexico will be practically at home for this one and will know anything less than a win here is unacceptable.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, June 13

Scott Spreitzer

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers    
Play: Cincinnati Reds +116

We had Milwaukee on these pages yesterday and cashed when they finally opened things up in extra innings.  But back home tonight, we believe the Reds are the correct side.  Homer Bailey is on a red-hot run winning four straight starts, while posting a 3.00 ERA.  Bailey has also pitched well in his last four starts against the Brewers.  The Reds hope to have Brandon Phillips tonight, but we should note that Jay Bruce is starting to find his rhythm and Joey Votto has 4 hits in 10 at-bats since making his return.  Matt Garza counters for Milwaukee after getting bombed a couple of times by the Reds last season as a member of the Chicago Cubs.  Votto and Bruce are hitting a combined .322 against the righty and I expect more success tonight.  I'm recommending a play on the Reds on Friday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, June 13

Jimmy Boyd

San Francisco Giants -134

The Giants are showing great value as a decently priced home favorite on Friday. San Francisco will be sending out Tim Lincecum, who is coming off a strong start at home against the Mets. Lincecum allowed New York to score just 3 runs on 6 hits over 6 innings of work. The Giants are 6-1 in Lincecum's last 7 home starts and 15-5 in his last 20 overall.

Colorado will counter with Jorge De La Rosa, who has an ugly 4.55 ERA on the road and comes in with a not so impressive 4.42 ERA and 1.418 WHIP over his last 3 starts. The key here is that De La Rosa has been awful on the road against the Giants. In his last 5 starts at AT&T Park, he's 0-4 with a 8.59 ERA.

Huge system in play telling us to fade the Rockies. Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 who are stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season, after 3 straight games where they had 12 or more hits are 7-33  over the last 5 seasons. That's a 83% system in favor of the Giants.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, June 13

Steve Janus

Toronto Blue Jays +104

Toronto should not be an underdog in this matchup. The Blue Jays' Drew Hutchison is 3-1 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.956 WHIP on the road this season (6-2 team record), while Baltimore's Ubaldo Jimenez is 0-5 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.663 WHIP at home (0-6 team record). Adding to this is the fact that Hutchison has 1.50 ERA and 1.083 WHIP over 4 career starts against the Orioles and Jimenez has a 5.24 ERA and 1.500 WHIP over 6 career starts against Toronto. Needless to say the Blue Jays have a clear edge on the mound.

Key Trends - Toronto is 10-1 in their last 11 games as an underdog, 7-1 in their last 8 against the AL East and 11-2 in their last 13 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or worse.

System - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts are 41-18 (70%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons.

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