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MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 30

MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 30

Texas - Washington Series Preview

Two teams headed in opposite direction meet this weekend at Nationals Park when Texas visits Washington for a three game set. The Rangers finding their stroke of late crossing 5.7 per/game with it's pitching staff giving up 3.2 per/contest head into Friday's opener on a 8-3 stretch stuffing +$581 into backers pockets. Meanwhile, injury plagued Nationals suffering through hitting problems (3.7 RPG), shaky pitching staff (3.6 RPG) hit the diamond 3-7 it's last ten costing it's followers -$596 at the betting window. Interleague play has not been kind to either team. Rangers are 3-4 so far, Nationals 3-5 in their eight clashes with the Junior League.


Nats lack of power could be the undoing in Friday's opener as Rangers hand the ball to Colby Lewis (4-3, 5.10 ERA) and Nats send Stephen Strasburg to the mound. Lewis' 5.10 ERA disguise the fact that the right-hander tosses better on the road (3-0, 2.86 ERA) than at home (1-3, 7.52 ERA). Lewis has never pitched against the Nationals but is 8-4 with a 3.22 ERA in his last 13 Interleague games. As for Strasburg the hurler continues to provide quality starts but is 0-2 the past three (0-3 TSR) thanks in large part to lack of run support as Nats platted just six runs over the three starts. This being the first game of the series should get the attention of sports players keeping tabs on Washington. The Nationals have struggled opening a series at home posting a 3-6 mark platting just 2.7 runs/game.


In a very early start (12:05 EST) the Rangers count on Nick Tepesch and his 2-0 record, 2.95 ERA over three starts (2-1 TSR) since being called up Triple-A. Tepesch trades pitches with Doug Fister who seems to be settling in with his new club. After a season opener in which he got shelled for 7 runs over 4 1/2 innings the right-hander has put together three solid starts allowing just 4 runs with 15 K and only one walk.


The series finale features Rangers Yu Darvish exchanging tosses with Tanner Roark. Darvish (4-2, 2.35 ERA) is returning to the rotation after being skipped last start with stiffness in his neck. Darvish had been on a 3-1 stretch prior to the skipped start. Rangers have done well vs the Senior league with Darvish posting a 4-1 record with the hurler 3-1, 1.83 ERA over the five starts. Roark has pitched well for Nationals but has little to show for it. He has allowed 3 or less runs in in eight of his ten starts but is just 3-3 on the year with a 3.47 ERA for his troubles. Nats have lost both of his Interleague starts this season despite the hurler tossing 6 2/3 innings of shutout ball vs Halos and 7 2/3 of 1 run ball vs Oakland. Another solid effort with Nats hopefully platting at least 2 or 3 an upset could be in the making. Nats are a smart 6-2 at home in game three of a series.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 30

MLB Betting Trends for Series Starting 5/29 and 5/30
By Kyle Hunter

Two months of the regular season have now passed. San Francisco, Oakland, Toronto, Detroit and Milwaukee have the best records in baseball. Three of those five are definitely surprises. No one expected the Giants, Blue Jays, or Brewers to be this good. The Giants pitching staff has been dominant once again. The Blue Jays lineup is absolutely destroying opposing pitchers. The Brewers consistently are winning close games with solid fundamentals. It will be interesting to track where these three surprises are in another month or two.

-San Francisco has the best record in the National League, and they’ll take on St. Louis on the road this weekend. The Cardinals record isn’t the best, but I still think they are the team to beat in the National League. The Giants are 23-9 in their last 32 games. They are 9-4 in their last 13 road games. The Cardinals are 40-16 in their last 56 home games.

-Pittsburgh meets Los Angeles at Dodger Stadium for a four-game series this weekend. The Pirates have been great to under bettors of late. The under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 road games. The under is 10-1-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Pittsburgh is just 25-67 in their last 92 games against the Dodgers.

-Break up the Astros! Houston has won five straight games in a row. This is a young team that will still have its rough spots, but they are definitely showing improvement. George Springer is a great young player. Baltimore is in Houston this weekend, and the Orioles are 12-3 in their last 15 games against the Astros.

-Detroit takes on Seattle starting Friday night. Justin Verlander has been the best pitcher in the American League for much of the last three or four years, but he has been slipping a bit of late. He has never had much success against Seattle. The Tigers are just 3-7 in Verlander’s last 10 starts against the Mariners. He starts for Detroit on Friday night.

-The Toronto Blue Jays are on 7 game winning streak at home. Kansas City has lost four games in a row. It’s a red hot team vs. an ice cold team in Toronto this weekend. The Royals are just 10-24 in their last 34 games at Toronto. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two.

-Two disappointing teams thus far in the AL East meet this weekend when Tampa Bay travels to Boston. The Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 road games, but they are 5-0 in their last 5 games against Boston. The under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these two at Fenway Park.

-Be careful backing John Danks and the White Sox on Friday. The White Sox are 3-20 in Danks’ last 23 Friday starts. Overall, the White Sox are 7-20 in their last 27 Friday games. The over is also 10-1 in the White Sox last 11 Friday games.

-To say that the Yankees have dominated Minnesota at Yankee Stadium would be an understatement. New York is 40-14 in their last 54 home games vs. the Twins. The under is 37-17-5 in the last 59 meetings between these two at Yankee Stadium.

Kyle Hunter's Featured Package

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 30

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

San Francisco at St Louis

St Louis and San Francisco get ready to duel again in what looks to be a pitcher's duel between right-hander Adam Wainwright and lefty Madison Bumgarner. Wainwright in great form pitching eight shutout innings this past Sunday behind a career-high 12 strikeouts has tossed six shutout's this season and brings an 8-2 record, miniscule 1.87 ERA to the mound. On the other side, Bumgarner heads to the hill with a 6-3 record, 3.15 ERA and is off a sharp 7 innings of 3 hit, 1 run ball with 10K and 0 walks. Bumgarner also brings an impressive 3-1 road record w/1.88 ERA. The MLB Betting community doing research into this matchup will have come up with two opposing baseball betting trends that favor Cardinals. St Louis has a 4-0 streak vs. Giants with Wainwright, the Giants have an 0-4 skid vs Cardinals handing the ball to Bumgarner including 0-2 when hooked up against Wainwright. Those digging deeper will have uncovered additional betting nuggets favoring St Louis. Cardinals have won five straight game two's of a series, have won 7 of Wainwright's last 9 home starts during the month of May. The 'Clincher' for those doing their homework - Cardinals have a perfect 7-0 record off a loss handing the ball to Wainwright and are a perfect 6-0 in night games with the hurler.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 30

Friday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet

Springer has underdog 'Stros on a roll

The Houston Astros have now reeled off six straight victories, obviously all as underdogs, thanks in large part to superstar in the making George Springer, who has seven HRs in the last seven games. They are just slight +104 dogs for their second game of their series against Baltimore.

Rays, Red Sox rematch

The Tampa Bay Rays (-126) and the Boston Red Sox meet for the second time in a week, this time at Fenway. The Rays swept away the Sox, culminating in a bench clearing brawl. But the roles have reversed a series later with the Sox sweeping away the Atlanta Braves in four games, while the Rays got swept by the Blue Jays.

Verlander an underdog for first time this season

Detroit Tigers starter Justin Verlander has struggled in his last three starts giving up 16 earned runs in 17.1 innings, resulting in him being listed as a slight +100 dog against the Seattle Mariners Friday night. It is the first time in 12 starts this season he has been listed as an underdog.

Pitching notes

* Two of the NL's top pitchers meet when Madison Bumgarner and the San Francisco Giants visit the Adam Wainwright and the St. Louis Cardinals (-144). The under is 9-1-1 in Bumgarner's last 11 starts as a road underdog, while Wainwright is 4-0 in his last four starts vs. the Giants.

* Josh Beckett makes his first start for the Dodgers (-128) since pitching a no-hitter against he Philadelphia Phillies last Sunday. Beckett has now won three straight decisions and given up just five runs in his last 27 innings pitched, with the over going 10-3 in his last 13 starts as a favorite.

Hitting notes

* Despite the Toronto Blue Jays nine game winning Thursday against Kansas City, Edwin Encarnacion is still on fire, hitting a pair of 2-run homers, tying the AL record for homers in May with 16. The Jays who averaged 5.9 run per game in the last 10 are just 6-4 over/under in that stretch.

* Speaking of the Royals, they made a coaching change before their 8-6 extra innings win over Toronto, naming Dal Sveum their new hitting coach. The Royals who went 3-7 SU and 6-3-1 over/under in their last 10 games, are last in the majors with 21 homers and last in the AL in runs and slugging percentage.

Totals streak

New York Mets (1-6 over/under): The Mets have found that nice balance of good pitching and not hitting, usually reserved for the likes of the Padres, scoring just 3.28 runs per game over the past seven, but only giving up 2.14 runs per game to opponents over that same stretch. The total for Friday's game vs. the Phillies is at 7.5.

Injury notes

* Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto is eligible to come off the disabled list Saturday, but the team said there is no timetable for the former MVP's return from a strained left quad. The Reds are 5-8 SU (-$109) and 8-5 over/under in Votto's absence.

* San Francisco Giants starter Matt Cain is expected to start Saturday against the Cardinals after missing his last start with a hamstring injury. The Giants are just 3-5 in Cain's eight starts this season, totaling -$212 on the money list.

Weather Watch

There is a chance of thunderstorms at Busch Stadium in St. Louis for the Cardinals matchup with the San Francisco Giants. There is also a 45 percent chance of rain with a 5-6 mph wind blowing in towards home plate from right field.

Umpire Stat of the Day

The under is 5-0 in umpire Paul Nauert's last five games behind the plate for games the Pittsburgh Pirates are involved in. The Pirates visit the Dodgers Friday, with a game total currently at 7.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 30

Astros go for 7th straight

Baltimore (26-26) at Houston (23-32) Line and Total: Baltimore -115, Houston +105, Total: 9

The sizzling-hot Astros look to extend their winning streak to seven when they host the Orioles in the second game of a four-game set at Minute Maid Park on Friday night.

Baltimore comes into this contest as the third-place team in the AL East and has gone 3-6 over its past nine games. Inconsistent pitching has really hurt the O's, as opposing offenses have scored 6.2 runs per game against them over the past nine contests. They took a loss in the first game of this series by a score of 3-1, as they managed to out-hit the Astros, 7-5, but collected just one extra-base hit. Nelson Cruz (.310 BA) continued his tremendous season with a 2-for-4 game and the current AL home run and RBI leader is on a 10-game hitting streak where he has gone 17-for-36 (.472) with five doubles, seven home runs, 12 RBI and 13 runs.
Houston has been on a hot streak recently, winning its past six games by a dominating margin of 37-11. In Thursday’s victory, they received a big start from Brad Peacock (6 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 8 K’s) while OF George Springer (.268) provided the game-winning two-run homer in the seventh inning. Springer had plenty of hype while playing in the minors (37 HR, 45 SB in 2013), and is quickly living up to his billing. The 24-year-old is the hottest hitter in baseball right now with seven homers in his past seven games and a .390 BA with 17 RBI during his current 11-game hit streak.

Taking the mound for the Orioles on Friday night will be RHP Miguel Gonzalez (3-3, 4.35 ERA) who will be looking for his third consecutive win. Opposing him will be 24-year-old LHP Brett Oberholtzer (1-6, 5.32 ERA) as he is coming off his first victory of the year. Baltimore has gone 15-14 on the road this season and may have the advantage against an Astros team that is just 11-15 in front of its fans. The Orioles' loss on Friday night put them at 6-4 against this Houston ballclub over the past three seasons as the two teams have split their four games this year. Baltimore is 84-55 (.604) in the past three seasons after three straight games without a stolen base, but the Astros are 7-1 over the past two seasons with a hot bullpen (1.25 or less WHIP in previous 15 games).

Miguel Gonzalez has been a solid starter for the Orioles over the past two seasons, but seemed to benefit from some luck with hitters having a .272 BABIP last year. This season, his numbers have been more normal, as batters are hitting .311 BABIP while he has continued to allow too many home runs (1.39 HR/9). He has raised his strikeout rate from 6.3 K/9 last year to a solid 8.0 K/9 this season, but has seen his control suffer to the tune of 3.3 BB/9. Gonzalez does seem to be improving as the season progresses though, and has seen his ERA drop in each successive outing while having three consecutive quality starts. He’s faced the Astros three times in his career, going 1-1 (2-1 team record) with a 3.78 ERA and 1.50 WHIP, but had a solid outing (7 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 6 K’s, 2 BB) against them in a no-decision just three weeks ago on May 10.

C Jason Castro has not been fooled by the righty in this matchup, going 4-for-8 with three doubles, a homer and 4 RBI in this matchup, as 3B Matt Dominguez (4-for-7, 1 RBI) and OF George Springer (2-for-3, 1 double, solo HR) have also had success against him. On the other hand, DH Chris Carter (1-for-8, 3 K’s) and 2B Jose Altuve (1-for-5, 2 walks) have done little in this matchup. Baltimore’s bullpen has been average this season, going 9-7 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, while saving 16-of-24 (67%) games. Zach Britton (0.94 ERA, 3 saves) has pitched his way into the closer role to replace injured closer Tommy Hunter (groin) despite Britton striking out just 18 batters in 28.2 frames (5.7 K/9) and going 3-for-4 in save chances.

Brett Oberholtzer earned his first win of the season in his last start when he went six innings while giving up three runs (2 ER) on six hits and one walk with eight strikeouts against the Mariners. It was only his second quality start in eight chances this season, as he did poorly in his previous three outings (14.1 IP) before the win, giving up 16 runs off of 28 hits with four homers allowed. Despite his poor performance, he has been hurt by an inflated .357 BABIP this year while having a solid 8.0 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9. Oberholtzer took on this Orioles team once last year, earning a win in an incredible start as he went seven scoreless innings with allowing a mere three hits and zero walks with six strikeouts. No player on Baltimore’s roster has had more than three at-bats against the 24-year-old, and the three hits have all been singles. He will be going up against one of the best offensive players in the majors right now though, as OF Nelson Cruz (.310 BA) leads the American League with 19 home runs and 49 RBI.

While Cruz has been tearing the cover off the ball, 1B Chris Davis (.237 BA) has gone hitless in his past four games and has just seven home runs this season after leading the league with 53 in 2013. The Astros’ bullpen has been awful this season, going 5-8 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.46 WHIP, while converting only 9-of-17 (53%) saves. But during the month of May, these relievers have been much more effective, going 3-2 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Closer Chad Qualls (2.76 ERA, 4 saves) is 4-for-5 in save opportunities after pitching a perfect ninth inning on Thursday, and has a 19:3 K/BB ratio over 16.1 frames this year.

Check out more MLB Odds and Props at!

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 30

MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers

Over the past several years, baseball has seen a surge in the types of stats used to break down what's happening on the field. Batting average, RBIs, wins – those aren't good enough anymore. Now, everything from a batter's performance in high-leverage situations to a runner's ability on the bases is analyzed, poured over and analyzed again.

But, at some point, old-school logic is almost impossible to ignore. When a skilled, seemingly healthy player is performing far below expectations, it's only natural to shrug, toss aside new-school stats, and say, "Come on – he's due!"

If anyone is "due," it's Pittsburgh's Francisco Liriano. One of last year's biggest surprises when he went 16-8 with a 3.02 ERA, Liriano has yet to win a game this year, posting an 0-5 record with a 5.06 ERA.

Make no mistake, Liriano hasn't pitched as well as last season, with home runs being the biggest culprit. But he's still striking out batters at an impressive clip, and he's inducing more ground balls than last year – a surprising stat given all the homers he's allowed. His xFIP (fancy new stat alert), which basically tells us what Liriano's ERA should be when factoring in batted-ball luck and neutralizing his HR-rate to the league average, is 3.57, which is obviously more than palatable.

Liriano faces the Dodgers in L.A. tonight, and while that might sound like a tough task, keep in mind that the Dodgers have the sixth-worst OPS against lefties this season. They've also struck out the eighth-most times against southpaws.

Sure, it's a bit intimidating that Josh Beckett, fresh off a no-hitter, will be on the mound for the Dodgers, but let's use some more old-school logic: If anyone is "due" for a letdown, it's Beckett, right? Either way, this is a nice matchup for Liriano, and if he can just pitch like he's capable of, he has a good chance of earning his first "W."

Orioles -106 at Astros

Baltimore is riding a three-game losing streak, but it's worth noting that two of those games came in an NL park, where they didn't have the luxury of a DH. Now at full strength, the O's should show the Astros why they have the second-best road OPS in baseball.

What really tips the scales for the O's is that Houston starter Brett Oberholtzer is an extreme fly-ball pitcher, which doesn't figure to go well against last year's home run champ, Chris Davis, and this year's current home run leader, Nelson Cruz. Expect baseballs to be cleared for takeoff in Houston tonight.

Diamondbacks -113 vs. Reds

The Reds are a different team away from home, ranking 29th in road OPS. The disappointing Diamondbacks are a different team at home, ranking seventh in home OPS. With former Red Bronson Arroyo pitching well (1.73 ERA in May), the D-backs have all the trends pointing in their direction.

Friday's selections:

Pirates (Liriano) +121 at Dodgers

Orioles (Gonzalez) -106 at Astros

Diamondbacks (Arroyo) -113 vs Reds

Mariners (Iwakuma) -115 vs Tigers

Angels (Richards) +109 at A's

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