Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 20

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 20

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Miami at Indiana
The Heat look to bounce back from their 107-96 loss in Game 1 as they face a Pacers team that is 3-18 ATS in its last 21 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Miami is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-2 1/2)

Game 505-506: Miami at Indiana (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.284; Indiana 121.360
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 184
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-2 1/2); Over

MLB

Cincinnati at Washington
After taking the series opener in 15 innings (4-3) last night, Cincinnati comes into Game 2 with a 4-0 record in Johnny Cueto's last 4 starts against the Nationals. Cincinnati is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115).

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.742; Washington (Fister) 14.338
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115); Under

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 16.353; Miami (Desclalfani) 15.561
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105); Over

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.759; Atlanta (Teheran) 14.622
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+135); Over

Game 907-908: LA Dodgers at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Beckett) 16.512; NY Mets (Montero) 15.112
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Under

Game 909-910: Arizona at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Arroyo) 15.357; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.228
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+170); Over

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.525; Colorado (Morales) 15.144
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under

Game 913-914: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.412; Cleveland (Bauer) 14.468
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-155); Under

Game 915-916: Oakland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Pomeranz) 14.263; Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 15.307
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Over

Game 917-918: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 14.626; Boston (Doubront) 15.980
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Under

Game 919-920: Seattle at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.245; Texas (Lewis) 15.140
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-105); Over

Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Rienzo) 15.889; Kansas City (Ventura) 15.067
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+185); Over

Game 923-924: Houston at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Feldman) 14.889; LA Angels (Skaggs) 16.403
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Under

Game 925-926: Baltimore at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 16.000; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.956
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Over

Game 927-928: NY Yankees at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Tanaka) 16.511; Cubs (Hammel) 15.011
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165); N/A

Game 929-930: Minnesota at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 15.249; San Diego (Kennedy) 14.311
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+155); Over

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Jesse Schule

Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh
Pick: Over

The Orioles are coming off an 8-6 loss at Kansas City, and they have just two wins in their last six games. The Pirates have also struggled, with just a pair of wins in their last seven overall.

We will see Miguel Gonzalez start opposite Francisco Liriano in the series opener in Pittsburgh tonight, and both pitchers have struggled this season.

Liriano (0-3, 4.25 ERA) is still in search of his first victory, despite pitching well in a Pirates victory at Milwaukee his last time out. He has not performed well at home, with a record of 0-1, 4.88 ERA in five starts so far.

PNC Park was considered to be a "pitcher's park", with only Safeco having a lower Park Factor in 2012. That ranking climbed from 29th to 17th last season, and so far this year the Pirates home park is ranked 3rd just behind Coors Field and Busch Stadium.

Pirates relievers lead the league in blown saves, and the starting rotation ranks near the bottom of the NL with a team ERA of 3.91.

Gonzalez (1-3, 4.76 ERA) will rejoin the rotation after being relegated to the bullpen. He's 0-2 with a 6.86 ERA in four starts on the road this season.


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Marc Lawrence

Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds

Johnny Cueto and the Reds meets Doug Fister and the Nationals in DC in the 2nd game of this three-game series Tuesday evening with Cueto in terrific current form with 26 K's and 4 walks in his last three starts. Cueto is also 6-2 in his career team starts in this series, including 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA his last two here. With Fister just 5-14 in his May starts, look for Cueto to improve to 15-6 in his last twenty-one May starts here tonight. With that we recommend a 1-unit play on Cincinnati.

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Art Aronson

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians    
Play: Detroit Tigers -145

After a delayed plane ride to Cleveland, Detroit looked pretty flat footed in yesterday’s series opening loss, but I think it can bounce back with a win tonight. Justin Verlander (5-2, 3.15) wasn’t sharp in his last outing but was still able to get the win despite giving up five runs over six frames in his team’s win over the Orioles. The Tigers have played well with their ace on the hill as the team has won six of its last seven games started by JV. Note that Verlander has a 2.70 ERA while winning three straight starts at Progressive Field. The Indians counter with Trevor Bauer (0-1, 1.50 ERA); Bauer was recalled from Triple A for this start. The third overall selection by Arizona in the 2011 draft, Bauer is 2-5 with a 5.03 ERA in nine career starts and has not looked comfortable at the big league level. A start opposite Justin Verlander is sure to make him nervous here. Bauer will also have to contend with a red hot Miguel Cabrera as the reigning two time AL MVP recorded his third straight three hit game yesterday and is batting .417 during a 14 game road hitting streak. It took a delayed plane ride and extra innings to snap the Tigers six game winning streak; meanwhile the Indians have a lot of problems across the board having lost four of five coming into Tuesday. Consider taking the Tigers at a fair price on the road.


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Nick Parsons

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves    
Play: Atlanta Braves -135

Coming off one of their best offensive performances of the year, I look for the Braves to carry that momentum over into Tuesday’s game.

The Brewers meanwhile are trending in the opposite direction having lost three straight.

Milwaukee managed just seven hits in Monday’s 9-3 series opening loss, a setback which dropped it to 2-7 on the road since late April. Note that the Brewers are batting a meager .191 and have been outscored by a whopping 46-22 in those games.

Atlanta can empathize with issues at the plate as it struggled to produce at the start of the season. The Braves looked much better in yesterday’s win though, slugging out a season high 15 hits.

Milwaukee sends Yovani Gallardo (2-2, 3.07 ERA) to the hill; Gallardo is 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA in three start this month.

The home side counters with Julio Teheran (2-3, 2.20 ERA) who is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up five runs and five walks along with seven hits over 3 1/3’s innings in a 10-4 loss to the Giants on Wednesday. So is it time to hit the panic button if you’re a Teheran fan?

Obviously not, note that Teheran posted a very respectable 1.71 ERA in his first eight starts previous to that dud.

The starters are likely a wash, but I think a pretty fair price on a suddenly hot hitting home side.

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Rob Vinciletti

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox    
Play: Boston Red Sox -137

Boston qualifies in a simple yet effective league wide system that is cashing at 87% since 2004. we are playing on certain game 1 of a series home favorites off a home loss, if they scored 2 or less runs and are taking on a team that comes in off a road favored loss, also scoring 2 or less runs. Boston has lost 4 straight and 3 in a row here at home after a sweep by Detroit. Tonight they take on Toronto. Boston is 10-4 in games where the total is 9 to 9.5 and has won 10 of 14 vs left handers while averaging 5.3 runs. J. Happ for Toronto has a an era over 5 vs Boston and Doubront for the Sox has 2 solid home starts vs the jays allowing 4 runs in 13+ innings. Look for Boston to take the opener.


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Jim Feist

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox    
Play: Toronto Blue Jays +122

Boston is a great hitter's park and into town comes Toronto, 4th in baseball in runs scored, second in slugging and 11th in on base percentage. Starter J.A. Happ (3.57 ERA) has turned a corner, with the team 2-1 his last three starts. Happ pitched well Thursday to earn the win, allowing just one run and six hits over six innings. He walked two and struck out four, tossing an even 100 pitches in a 4-2 win over Cleveland. Toronto has a winning road record while Boston has a losing home mark. The Blue Jays are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record, 4-1 against a left-handed starter. Boston has unreliable lefty Felix Doubront (2-3, 4.54 ERA) going, who is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in Fenway this season. The problem is control, walking 11 batters in 23 innings in this park, along with 27 hits (38 base runners in 23 IP). The Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record, so grab the dog.

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River City Sharps

Milwaukee Brewers +125

Really good pitching match up tonight as the Brewers send their ace Yovani Gallardo (2-2, 3.07 ERA) to the mound against the Braves and Julio Teheran (2-3, 2.20 ERA) This is actually a rematch of a game on Opening Day, where the Brewers won a 2-0 decision. Gallardo has pitched pretty well throughout the early part of the season, but isn't getting much run support from his team. That may improve now with the return of Carlos Gomez to the Milwaukee lineup. Teheran has had similar tough luck with run support and the Braves have actually scored less than two runs in four of Teheran's starts. The Brewers have cooled off as they dropped two of three games in Chicago against the Cubs and then lost the series opener to the Braves on Monday night. We expect this one to be a tight game, but think the Brewers get themselves back to winning ways tonight with Gallardo throwing a gem.

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Bryan Leonard

Kansas City -1.5

The White Sox and Royals will continue their AL Central series when Andre Rienzo and Yordano Ventura face off on Tuesday night at Kauffman Stadium. This looks like a great matchup for the Royals, a team that the statistics suggest is ready for a major breakout. Left-handed batters are slugging .483 off of Rienzo so far this season through 71 plate appearances and that's a continuation of last season when lefties slugged .455 in 165 plate appearances. Lefties have posted a .347 wOBA against Rienzo in his career.

Rienzo will continue to struggle as a Major Leaguer because of below average whiff rates on all of his pitches. For a guy that pitches to contact, Rienzo has a Major League walk rate above 11 percent. Rienzo has also seen a major upswing in fly balls after posting an above average ground ball rate last season. The White Sox are also -14 defensive runs saved so far this season, which will definitely have an impact with guys like Rienzo that don't strike out many hitters.

Yordano Ventura gets a crack at a right-handed heavy lineup minus Jose Abreu and that's a great matchup for a guy like him. Ventura has posted a 1.13 WHIP with 53 K in 48.2 innings of work. He's also seen increases in both his ground ball rate and pop up rate, which is a big reason why his batting average against is just .213. He's pitching ahead in the count more with a first-pitch strike percentage increase of over seven percent.

So far this month nobody is striking out more than the White Sox, who are striking out in nearly 26 percent of their plate appearances. Speaking of monthly stats, the Royals have the third-lowest BABIP despite the lowest percentage of strikeouts. Progression to the mean should be coming for the Royals on balls in play and facing off against a pitch-to-contact guy with a bad defense should start that trend.

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Dave Essler

Chicago White Sox +1.5 -115

Cashed with the White Sox last night and plan on it again tonight. The Royals at -200? Again? Yes, it's all about Ventura and Rienzo. First of all, where are the Royals' heads at after scoring 5 in the first, at home, then losing the game? Probably not a good place, and conversely where are the White Sox at? Probably pretty confident. I know Ventura's stats, but he threw 100+ pitches again last week, has given up at least one bomb in three straight games, and the White Sox are one of the few teams that HAVE seen him. I also know Rienzo's stats, or I wouldn't be betting. His WHIP is a respectable 1.27 and the White Sox have won all six games he's pitched in. That's enough for me to take the White Sox, who are one of the streakiest teams in baseball, and perhaps we get them on the uptick here, after last night's home-run fest.

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Wunderdog

Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Pick: Atlanta -121

No team surprised more than the upstart Milwaukee Brewers. The Brew Crew jumped out to a shocking 20-7 start on the season, but it appears the bloom is quickly coming off the rose as they have struggled to a 7-10 mark over their last 17 games. The Brewers lost two of three to the lowly Cubs, and struck out 39 times in the three games as the offense has found itself searching for answers. The Braves are 13-8 at home on the season, and Mike Minor has solid career numbers vs. Milwaukee posting a 2.96 career ERA against them. Peralta has had a strong start, but pitching on the road vs. a winning team has left the Brewers on the short end of a 2-7 record in their last nine. The Braves are 80-36 in their last 116 here, and Milwaukee has been a strong part of that as the Brewers are a woeful 2-9 here in their last 11. Play on Atlanta.

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Bryan Power

Cincinnati vs. Washington
Pick: Cincinnati

You can do a lot worse in betting MLB than by simply taking Johnny Cueto to win.  The Reds ace has been downright filthy so far in 2014, allowing 2 ER or less in all nine of his starts.  He's the first to do that while at the same time going at least seven innings to start a season since 1909.  He is the MLB leader in ERA at 1.25 and not only that but opponents are batting just .135 against him, making Cueto just the third pitcher in the last 95 years to have an ERA below 1.50 and an opponents batting average under .150 through his first nine starts.  His WHIP is 0.708 and he's already tossed three complete games, two of them shutouts.  So yeah, this guy is pretty good and right now the clubhouse leader for the Cy Young in the National League.

Yet, somehow the Reds are only 5-4 w/ him on the mound, so maybe I should take back my earlier statement about you being able do to a lot worse than simply by taking Cueto.   That said, here he'll be facing a Washington team that has to be somewhat crushed after losing in 15 innings last night (I won w/ the Over!).  Cueto is 3-0 w/ a 2.67 ERA all-time vs. the Nats.  The Reds own hitting is destined to improve after going a woeful 2 of 24 w/ RISP Monday in a game they probably should have put away long before the 15th inning.  Cueto is the deciding factor here and the fact we can grab him at basically even money is fantastic.

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Will Rogers

Philadelphia vs. Miami
Pick: Miami

Tonight, the Marlins return home (where they are much stronger) and I like their chances against the Phillies.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Homefield Advantage - Miami has the best home record in Major League Baseball.  They are 17-5 in their home park, a far cry from their 6-17 road record.  They have won 11 of their last 12 at home.  The big difference between the Marlins at home on the road is on offense.  They are averaging 5.7 runs/game in Miami, batting .296.

2. Phillies Not Very Good - Before recording two straight wins at home against Cincinnati where they scored 20 runs, the Phillies had been shutout in consecutive contests.   They still have a very poor run differential at -21, which is easily the worst in the division.  Miami is a NL East best +20 in terms of runs scored versus allowed.

3. X-Factor - Revenge.  The Marlins were swept in Philadelphia earlier this year.

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Jimmy Boyd

Arizona Diamondbacks +170

The Diamondbacks are worth a look at this price, given how well starter Bronson Arroyo has been throwing. Arroyo is 3-0 and has a 0.39 ERA and 0.814 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He's also pitched extremely well on the road this season. Arroyo is 3-1 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.176 WHIP over 4 road starts.

It's also worth noting that the Diamondbacks have shown some life here of late. Arizona is 10-6 over their last 16 games after starting the season 8-22. Their offense has came alive, averaging 4.9 runs and hitting .272 with a solid .342 OBP over their last 7 games. St Louis will be sending out their ace Adam Wainwright. While he's got great numbers overall, he's posted a 4.26 ERA and 1.421 WHIP over his last 3 starts and in his most recent outing against Arizona (2013) he allowed 4 runs on 11 hits in defeat.

The Diamondbacks are 17-8 in their last 25 games against a NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.70 or better and 7-2 in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Take Arizona!

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Chase Diamond

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
Play: Seattle Mariners -112

This Baseball game features the 21-22 Mariners at the 21-23 Rangers. This game really has two teams that have underachieved so far in MLB. Rangers struggles really focus around their starting pitchers who alot have been injured off and on all year. Huge advantage for Mariners today as Hisashi Iwakuma take the mound and he has been lights out 2-0 1.59 ERA in 3 starts he faces very pedestrian Colby Lewis who is 3-2 with a 4.99 ERA. Look for the Mariners to shut down the Rangers today and win 3-1.


New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs    
Play: Chicago Cubs +153

This game has the 23-20 Yankees at the 15-27 Cubs. Cubs have won 2 straight and really no one is giving them a chance in this game even though they are at home and the Yankees are no super team. Yanks send Japenese phenom Masahiro Tanaka to the mound he has been brilliant 6-0 with a 2.17 ERA this record and being the Yankees has Vegas giving the Yanks far to much juice to lay on the road against a good young Cubs pitcher Jason Hammel he is 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA I expect him to be super motivated to get some respect.


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Steve Janus

Cincinnati Reds -102

I'm backing the Reds in this one. Cincinnati will send out Johnny Cueto, who leads the majors with a 1.25 ERA. Cueto is 4-0 with 3 complete games in his last 6 outings and I expect another dominant performance against a Nationals team that is playing without Bryce Harper, Ryan Zimmerman and Adam LaRoche. Cueto hasn't pitched on the road since late April, but there's no need to be concerned. He's got a 1.12 ERA and 0.833 WHIP over his 3 road starts in 2014.

The Reds offense will be without Joey Votto and Jay Bruce, but I like their chances of providing Cueto with enough run support to bring home the win. Cincinnati has 23 hits over their last 2 games and will be going up against Doug Fister, who is making just his 3rd start of the season.

Cueto has thrown at least 8 innings in each of his last 6 starts and that's important to note after yesterday's 15-inning affair.

System - Favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 96-33 (74%) since 1997.

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Bruce Marshall

Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona seems to have shaken its April doldrums and takes some momentum into St. Louis after winning the final two games of the three-game weekend set vs. the Dodgers. The D-backs have more than held their own ont he road this season, as their 12-10 mark away from Chase Field is the third best in the NL. Overcoming the Cards and their ace Adam Wainwright might not be easy, but the Redbird offense has often floundered, and rejuvenated Arizona starter Bronson Arroyo has gone 3-0 with a 0.91 ERA in four starts since after pitching a seven-hitter in last Tuesday's 3-1 victory over Washington.

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Sammy P

Milwaukee at Atlanta
Play: Atlanta -140

After back-to-back solid showings the Atlanta Braves offense appears ready to turn the corner after an anemic stretch of play that saw them produce 2.5 runs over a 24-game span. They plated six runs in a win at St. Louis and then last night exploded for 15 hits and 9 runs against the Brewers. The biggest positive though was seeing the normally free swinging Upton brothers and Evan Gattis combine for six walks. That type of production should continue tonight against Milwaukee's Yovani Gallardo who after a strong start to the season has been pounded around his last three outings. Atlanta's Julio Teheran has been sharp for much of the season with a 2.20 ERA. He ran into difficulty last time out – a rare warm day in San Francisco with the wind blowing out. Outside of the outing, Teheran has been a quality start machine (8 straight). In the late innings, the Braves will have the edge with MLB's best xFIP among relievers and closer Craig Kimbrel rested. Lay the moderate price with the home side.

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DAVE COKIN

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES AT MIAMI MARLINS
PLAY: MIAMI MARLINS -110

What a debut for Miami rookie Anthony DeSclafani. He broke into the bigs with a bang last week in a superb performance against the Dodgers. DeSclafani will now try and make it two straight as he takes on veteran AJ Burnett and the Phillies.

DeSclafani’s stuff, and there’s plenty of it, was impressively displayed in his debut and I can see him being a real handful for hitters not used too seeing him. DeSclafani is definitely not one of those out of nowhere kids. He’s one of the best prospects in the Marlins organization, but he does appear to be ahead of schedule and has jumped a few previously higher rated guys in the process. I think the kid has a great chance to shut down this Phillies entry tonight.

AJ Burnett has scuffled some in his last couple of outings and it’s possible that the hernia that will require off season surgery is impacting him to some extent. In any event, Burnett is more a go against at this point in time and as I beat him last time out, I have no problem trying to do so again tonight.

The Marlins win the team data as well. They’re the better team here, Miami has a great record at home, yet the price here is really cheap. I made DeSclafani -125 and feel there’s value because he’s still mostly unknown. Add in Burnett perhaps getting shade overpriced because he’s better know to most bettors and we’re looking at a bargain of sorts with the home team. I like the idea of coming right back with a second play on DeSclafani and I’m playing the Marlins tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 20

Kyle Hunter

Mariners at Rangers
Play: Mariners -105

The Seattle Mariners deserve to be a much bigger favorite than they are in this game. Hisashi Iwakuma is back from injury and he is healthy and pitching with tons of confidence. Iwakuma hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts, and his stuff is truly electric. Colby Lewis isn't getting the strikeouts he used to, and he is a guy who has to get strike outs or he can't be a quality pitcher. Lewis gives up too many long balls, and he has an ERA above 5 in his career at home in Texas. Seattle is 8-1 in their last 9 as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are 7-1 in their last 8 following an off day. Texas is 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Texas is 1-7 in their last 8 as a home underdog. A 28-3 angle.


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