NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, May 12

NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, May 12

NBA Playoffs

ll three Miami-Brooklyn games were within three points at half; Nets are 5-2 vs Miami this season, 3-0 here- they made 15-25 from arc in its Game 3 win. Nets were 18-48 from arc in first two games. Brooklyn is 26-19 vs spread at home this year. Saturday's loss was first for Miami in its seven playoff games; they're 21-21 vs spread on road. Six of last ten series games went under total, five of last seven Miami games went over.

Spurs led first three games of series 65-39/70-51/60-40 at half; Portland has to be competitive before they can even win a game. Aldridge was just 15-46 from floor last two games; Blazers are -20 in turnovers so far in series. Spurs lost seven of last ten visits to Rip City, but they've won last four games with Portland overall, and figure to get lot of rest for old roster, with win here, since Clippers-Thunder look like they're going 7.

Over is 40-24 in playoffs this season, 9-5 in this round.
Favorites are 22-42 in playoffs this season, 6-8 in this round.

Armadillosports.com

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, May 12

Monday's Playoff Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The two most incredible comebacks of the postseason both happened in the same day, as the Clippers and Pacers erased large deficits for Game 4 victories on Sunday. Oklahoma City covered as five-point underdogs in spite of throwing away a 22-point lead in a 101-99 defeat, while Indiana overcame a 19-point hole to get past Washington as a three-point ‘dog to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. Underdogs improved to 8-6 against the spread in the second round of the playoffs and an incredible 42-21-1 ATS in the postseason, hitting at an amazing 67% rate.

Tonight’s action involves San Antonio trying to put away Portland and advance to the Western Conference Finals, while Miami looks to bounce back after Brooklyn woke up from a two-game offensive slumber.

Heat (-2½, 187½) at Nets

Miami cruised to a 2-0 series lead over Brooklyn following a pair of blowouts at home, allowing an average of 84 points per game. However, when the venue shifted to the Barclays Center for Game 3 on Saturday, the Nets got back in the series with a 104-90 rout of the Heat as one-point underdogs to cut the series deficit down to 2-1.

After the ‘over’ luckily hit in Game 1, the ‘under’ of 191½ was never in doubt in Miami’s 94-82 dominating effort in Game 2. On Saturday night, the Heat and Nets shot lights out immediately, as Miami led 30-29 after one quarter to put the ‘over’ on a good pace. The following two quarters saw a 41-point spot and a 40-point effort, placing the ‘over’ in jeopardy, but a 54-point fourth quarter clinched the ‘over’ of 188.

The key for Brooklyn in Game 3 was the 26-14 third quarter spurt to put Miami away and seize a 14-point advantage heading into the final quarter. Jason Kidd’s team shot a blistering 52% from the floor and drilled 15 three-pointers, including four treys from Mirza Teletovic, who has knocked down 10 three-pointers in the last two games off the Brooklyn bench. On the flip side, Miami’s LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, and Chris Bosh accounted for 60 points, as this was the first game of the playoffs in which no other Heat player scored in double-figures besides the Big Three.

Brooklyn improved to 3-0 SU/ATS in three home games this season against Miami, as the Nets have won 19 of their last 22 contests at the Barclays Center (15-7 ATS). The loss was the first for the Heat in the postseason, but this team has proven it can bounce back following a defeat in the playoffs. Last postseason, Miami put together a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS record after a loss, with the lone ATS setback coming in the dramatic Game 6 comeback against San Antonio in the NBA Finals. In fact, the Heat has won their past nine games in the playoffs off a defeat, with the last losing streak in the postseason coming against the Celtics in the 2012 Eastern Conference Finals.

Spurs (-3½, 211) at Blazers

It’s amazing to think that San Antonio was on the verge of elimination in the opening round of the playoffs against Dallas. The Spurs destroyed the Mavericks in Game 7 to advance to the second round, as the defending Western Conference champions are playing like the team that won 19 straight games at one point this season by building a 3-0 series edge over the Blazers.

All three victories by the Spurs in this series have come by at least 15 points, including a 118-103 triumph in Game 3 to easily cash as a one-point underdog. San Antonio jumped out to a 20-point halftime lead, while the Spurs nailed all 25 free throw attempts. Portland’s bench scored just six points, while Damian Lillard and LaMarcus Aldridge missed a combined 28 shots from the floor as the Blazers dropped to 0-7 ATS the last seven games since covering in the first two contests against Houston in the opening round.

San Antonio is riding a six-game streak to the ‘over,’ while cashing tickets in each of the last four games following an 0-8 ATS stretch at the end of the regular season and the first six contests against Dallas. The Spurs close the door when they have to in the playoffs, pulling off sweeps in their last four playoff series after building a 3-0 lead, including sweeps last postseason over the Lakers and Grizzlies.

Portland is looking to avoid just its second losing streak of four games this season, while the Blazers haven’t dropped consecutive contests at the Moda Center. Terry Stotts’ club put together a perfect 7-0 record at home off a home loss, while going 3-1 ATS this season in the role of a home underdog, which includes a victory over the Spurs back in November.

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Heat at Nets: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Miami Heat at Brooklyn Nets (+2.5, 187.5)

The Brooklyn Nets have the opportunity to turn the Eastern Conference series into a best-of-three when they host the Miami Heat in Monday’s Game 4. After being beaten handily in the first two games, Brooklyn was the superior squad in Saturday’s 104-90 victory, and following up that performance with another win would tie the series at two games apiece. Miami scored just 33 total points in the middle two quarters while suffering its first postseason loss since last year.

The Nets set a franchise record with 15 3-pointers in the double-digit victory with guard Joe Johnson (five) and backup forward Mirza Teletovic (four) combining for nine. Also of note was how Brooklyn slowed down LeBron James over the final three quarters (12 points on 2-of-8 shooting) after he erupted for 16 first-quarter points on 6-of-7 shooting. “It’s a 48-minute game,” Nets coach Jason Kidd told reporters. “I’m not counting how many times you score. I’m looking at how many shots he’s taking and he was making them in the first quarter. We didn’t lose patience and we stuck with the game plan and we found a way to win.”

ABOUT THE HEAT: Though Miami was staggered a bit in Game 3, the two-time defending champs are good at brushing off defeats. “I’ve been part of a lot of series and understand that the series is never won in two games or in three games,” James told reporters. “And you move onto the next one and you learn from the previous one how you can get better.” The Heat have followed up each of their last eight playoff defeats with a victory as they typically kick it up into a higher gear. “We didn’t have that desperation in this game,” said center Chris Bosh after Game 3, “but usually, a loss will do that and you’ll come back with it.”

ABOUT THE NETS: Strong bench play from Teletovic (12 points) and Andray Blatche (15 points, 10 rebounds) helped fuel the impressive victory. Teletovic opened up the floor with his 3-point marksmanship and Blatche operated superbly in the paint with his first career playoff double-double. Blatche was a bit intimidated by the stage in the first two games – “I wasn’t being as aggressive as I should’ve been,” he said – but in Game 3, he provided the type of energy the team needed in the second quarter. Bench play will continue to be key with point guard Deron Williams struggling on the offensive end – 3-of-20 shooting over the last two games.

TRENDS:

* Over is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings in Brooklyn.
* Home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
* Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Eastern Conference.
* Over is 5-2 in Heat last seven overall.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The 104 points scored by the Nets marked the first time this postseason Miami allowed 100 or more.

2. Teletovic is 11-of-19 from 3-point range in the series and 33 of his 37 points have come from behind the arc.

3. Heat G Ray Allen missed his only 3-point attempt in Game 3 after making 7-of-12 over the first two games.

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Spurs at Trail Blazers: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers (+3.5, 210.5)

The San Antonio Spurs are making it look easy as they cruise toward the Western Conference finals. The Spurs will try to polish off a four-game sweep when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers for Game 4 of the semifinals on Monday. The Trail Blazers thought the change of scenery could change the complexion of the series but San Antonio was just as impressive on the road and ended up cruising to a 118-103 victory in Game 3.

No NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit in a best-of-seven series and Portland is just hoping for a better effort. “We’re going to come out and have a great effort on Monday night,” Trail Blazers coach Terry Stotts told reporters. “That’s the most important thing. We’re going to show our character, we’re going to show our pride and we’re going to come out and play our (rear ends) off on Monday.” The Spurs recognize that getting the final win won’t be easy. “The close-out is always the hardest game,” San Antonio guard Tony Parker said.

ABOUT THE SPURS: San Antonio is the fourth team in NBA history to win four straight postseason games by 15 or more points and has rarely looked vulnerable against the Trail Blazers. The Spurs held a 60-40 lead at the half in Game 3 - the third straight time they held at least a 19-point cushion at the break - and controlled the game in the second half. Parker scored 20 of his 29 points in the first half on Saturday and is averaging 26 points in the series. “(Parker) got us out of the gates,” forward Tim Duncan told reporters. “He continues to shoot the ball really well. He’s getting to his spots. He’s making great decisions for our offense.”

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS: Portland has yet to figure out a way to slow the San Antonio offense in the first half and is struggling to get into a rhythm early with its own offense. “”It’s frustrating,” Stotts told reporters. “You’ve got to play through the frustration. It’s part of the game. It’s part of the playoffs. … But yeah, it’s frustrating to get down 20 in the first half. You look at the scoreboard and it’s a hole.” All-Stars LaMarcus Aldridge (38 percent) and Damian Lillard (37.5) are both struggling from the field in the series while Mo Williams (groin) has been a non-factor off the bench and could miss his second straight game on Monday.

TRENDS:

* Spurs are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last five Conference Semifinals games.
* Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 6-0 in Spurs last six overall.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Spurs bench is outscoring the Blazers’ reserves 140-43 in the series.

2. Lillard is just 1-of-13 from beyond the arc in the series after hitting 23-of-47 in the first round.

3. Portland has led for a total of 33 seconds in the three games.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, May 12

NBA Playoff  Odds and Picks
By: Craig Williams
Sportingnews.com

The Miami Heat threw the first two punches of their conference semifinal series with Brooklyn, but the Nets haven't backed down, and after their 104-90 win in Game 3, they'll have a chance to lock the series up at two games apiece Monday night (8 p.m. ET, TNT).

Line: Heat -2.5, Total: 188

The Nets were lights-out from beyond the arc on their home floor, hitting 15 of 25 long-range attempts. They shot 52.8 percent from the field overall.

Avoiding a 3-0 deficit certainly calls for a small sigh of relief, but the Nets are well-aware of what's necessary going forward.

"I think this is a must-win coming up Monday," Garnett said. "If we want to give ourselves any type of room ... any type of chance, I think that we've definitely got to take care of home."

Bookmakers have adjusted to the Heat's Game 3 loss, with the expectation Miami will bounce back in Game 4. Miami was -1 on Saturday night.

The adjusted series price: has the Heat laying -1600, with the Nets the +1000 underdog.

The Linemakers' lean: When the barrage of three-pointers came raining down on the Heat in Game 3, it seemed like they gave up mentally and started just standing around. They got crushed on the boards (43-27) and were out-hustled in all facets, yet turned the ball over only 10 times.

The Nets looked like the team from the regular season that beat the Heat four times. But can we expect the Nets to shoot 60 percent from beyond the arc again? Probably not, and the Nets might have just made the Heat mad.

Look for Miami to bounce back. The play is Miami -2.5.

San Antonio Spurs (-3.5, 210.5) at Portland Blazers

The good news for the Blazers is that they've trimmed their margin of defeat in each of the first three games. The bad news is those margins have been 24 (as a 6.5-point dog), 17 (+6.5), and 15 (pick 'em) -- all big losses against the spread.

San Antonio has just been too much for Portland. At this rate, avoiding a sweep at home would be a minor moral victory for the young Blazers.

Once again, Tony Parker sparked the rout. "He's been the engine for us," Gregg Popovich said. "He started out really well tonight. He made shots, he involved everybody else. He was playing great D at the other end. He's really playing a whole complete game."

And of course you have Tim Duncan, who passed Karl Malone for fifth place all-time on the career playoff points list.

The Linemakers' lean: The Spurs are clicking, playing their best ball of the season -- and the best ball of any team in the NBA. They have too many bodies shuffling in and out of the lineup -- playing effectively -- for a team like Portland (six bench points in Game 3) to hang with. Now we have a sweep scenario, where the demoralized Blazers may be more inclined to lay down instead of fight the uphill battle, which is why 3 points have been added to what the spread should be.

The Spurs have now gone OVER in eight of their 10 playoff games, and this one should fly OVER as well.

Spurs -3.5 and OVER 210.5 are the plays.

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